Lens 2021-09-29T14:40:18

Tweets

https://t.co/kuTrmeFy7y https://t.co/rqTAIQwBrD
@atrembath @ryanavent It is even worse than @ryanavent says We know with 100% certainty that the scenario used as the basis for these very precise 2200 estimates is wrong as of 2021--> https://t.co/xIodEiMRMX https://t.co/0qp0BeGwtn
Spooky. https://t.co/0wL7NBAzCW
Exc: A major investigation into boxing at the 2016 Olympics has identified 7-10 suspicious matches where bout manipulation is likely to have taken place - including Irish boxer Michael Conlan's quarter-final. Report from Professor McLaren coming tomorrow https://t.co/t3SJlTzUWc
NEW: The NCAA says it will expand “March Madness” branding to its women’s basketball tournament, reversing the practice of limiting the valuable marketing asset to the men’s championship. https://t.co/O22e344ec5
NEW: Smoke is seen rising from Casa Bonita, signaling Colorado has a new congressional redistricting map. #copolitics
While Bernie Sanders and Chris Murphy have proposed a bill to ensure college athletes the right to unionize, @ProfPacella and I argue in @arizlrev that Olympic athletes -- most notably women's gymnasts -- need this right as well. https://t.co/pdN4dmcQPt
I can't believe it. Last week we put out "Misclassified" on HBO about how the NCAA has used the term "Student-athlete" for over 50 years to convince college players they aren't entitled to worker protections. The NLRB general counsel has just agreed, and cited the show on page 1.
For all those men who talk about women's sports not earning the same revenue as men's sports... It took the NCAA 50 years after Title IX to promote women's basketball the same way they were promoting the men. 50. Damn. Years. https://t.co/rpvNxz3R8D
The story is part of Vox's newest series, "Level Playing Field" on HBO – available here: https://t.co/CraKSdraCb https://t.co/UIEzeJubrM
Some won’t get it. Love this. https://t.co/ctrX6zG98r
Morning comes to Tuscany. https://t.co/u7qrgFIYER
FUN FACT-Zhang Shan, a woman, won the 1992 Olympic skeet shooting event, which was gender integrated—she beat men. But in the 1996 Olympics, the IOC gender-segregated the sport and didn’t offer a woman’s division: the defending Olympic champion wasn’t allowed to compete.
And it's a large reason why I participated in their film. They had the ethical sense to understand that I would be deeply impacted by that film, and that my consent and participation mattered. They decided it was better to make no film than one without me.
RT @Ayjchan: Here's how you can watch the @AAAS @ScienceMagazine live panel on the #OriginsOfCovid moderated by @sciencecohen tomorrow 9am…
How Much Does How Much We Hate Each Other Matter? https://t.co/DhWAnYLkQ2
Gain-of-Function Research: All in the Eye of the Beholder https://t.co/PvgFuJLqYl via @undarkmag
Thread on fascinating paper . . . https://t.co/pI8fwvr79r
RT @joeposner: I can't believe it. Last week we put out "Misclassified" on HBO about how the NCAA has used the term "Student-athlete" for o…
EScAPE Newsletter, Issue #36 https://t.co/UImZzc1azy via @EScAPE_Covid19
RT @seaningle: Exc: A major investigation into boxing at the 2016 Olympics has identified 7-10 suspicious matches where bout manipulation i…
RT @Redistrict: Breaking: after hours of (at times tense) deliberations, Colorado's commission has voted to adopt the 4D-3R-1C map below as…
RT @WinterSportsLaw: The lawsuit floodgates are about to open. https://t.co/zGzBzr8qNI
College NIL Firms Challenged by Speed of Free-Market Reform Push https://t.co/IFyV7iXjLh via @sportico
Hive Mind: Are there good estimates of the value of college athletics programs to overall university marketing and branding?
Where college sports are headed? https://t.co/Qt7LA7uh15
Governments launch unprecedented initiative to end new coal power https://t.co/bl4CZYeexZ via @seforallorg
RT @NLRBGC: The GC also advises that, where appropriate, she will allege that misclassifying such employees as mere “student-athletes” and…
RT @NLRBGC: Today, in a new memo, General Counsel Jennifer Abruzzo explains her position that certain Players at Academic Institutions are…
Timeline😐 1972 = Title IX 1982 = "March Madness" first used to describe NCAA men's bball tournament 2022 = NCAA expands branding of "March Madness" to women's NCAA bball Tournament https://t.co/Cbngzo3TUG
RT @ConnectCommune: Our colleagues discuss enhancing #scienceadvice legitimacy and building trust in science and governance. https://t.co/l…
Wow, more big news on college athletes Biden Administration NLRB is pursuing their classification as employees & targeting the phrase "student athlete" for legal action https://t.co/4zPCctuEkj
Lost in translation? Beyond sex as a biological variable in animal research @Madeleine_Pape https://t.co/kKKW5Jnodo
Trust in scientists in times of pandemic: Panel evidence from 12 countries https://t.co/16gDWkMjWW
RT @ftcommodities: Blow for plant based meat companies which rely on peas as a key ingredient after French group Roquette, which counts Bey…
RT @TheEconomist: Both Olaf Scholz of the SPD and Armin Laschet of the CDU/CSU have claimed the right to try to form a governing coalition.…
Such modeling/scenario studies are exploratory: They allow us to assess the consequences of specific assumptions & relationships So any one such study is just a dot in a painting But potential of adaptation to weather/climate extremes is robust to uncertainties across studies
Interesting modeling study projecting future flood damage under adaptation assumptions https://t.co/bCgb42BBVc ➡️Paltry $5B/yr gives $~18B/yr in net benefits (SSP2-4.5, conclusion robust across scenarios) ➡️SSP1-2.6 more flood damage than SSP2-4.5 means development path > climate https://t.co/exQvkRPYfr
Rättad testosteronstudie väcker nytt liv i Semenya-debatten https://t.co/TwF5RNNpxp
@SportsBizMiss I think the solution is to completely spin off athletics into for-profit corporations. Athletes are employees of the corporations and compensation includes tuition to the university plus salary. The corporations license the use of university trademarks and lease facilities.
Perhaps number that is more performative than descriptive 🤔 @RogerPielkeJr https://t.co/amNFKYNjRh
@MattHayesCFB The memo itself may only apply to private schools, but the reasoning in the memo relies on common law rules governing employer-employee relationships to determine they are employees. It also speaks of college athletes broadly. So this will be very persuasive in other settings.
@RogerPielkeJr Near 100% for large state schools, especially in the Southeast I’d wager. I don’t wear my Bama shirt repping the history department (though it is an excellent department, and I would if that were an option).
@RogerPielkeJr Look to Mexico and Chile and a few other South American countries and how University teams have integrated with the professional soccer leagues there.
Fantastic news that the rules in England will change to allow gene editing of crops with no additional regulatory hurdles. Strong pro-science signal from UK govt - hopefully the EU will learn from this example.
Emissions, for one thing. https://t.co/vmUIsuoW1f
The claims that “crypto isn’t just used for money laundering” and “crypto is becoming economically significant to Miami” are somewhat in tension
Is "quiet climate policy" enough to address climate change? If not, what would be? @mattyglesias @X3MarCela @MarkVinPaul & @shannonosaka ask the tough questions at Ecomodernism 2021: #QuietClimate Policy Register for the livestream 👇 https://t.co/z9KznyQLNQ https://t.co/pJtdN3Xb6y
Is there room for conservatives in the climate debate? @carloslcurbelo @SarahLongwell25 @stevenfhayward & @DaniSButcher weigh in at Ecomodernism 2021: #QuietClimatePolicy Register for the live stream 👇 https://t.co/Ne1D32XrOu https://t.co/y2S3GNjYDb
@atrembath I always thought alt meat was about environmental footprint, human health, and animal welfare. I guess some thought it was really about smashing capitalism.
@toddjmoss Protesting capitalism, really. The smashing is so undertheorized as to be not really a part of the vision.
@atrembath More room for nature!
Amusing disclaimer often made in carbon dioxide removal circles: “CDR is in no way a substitute for cutting emissions.” Which is funny because it is literally a 1:1 substitute. Rather than fib, it’s better to say that the scale of the problem is such that we have to do both.
It’s probably not possible, in terms of real resource calculus, to only tax those making above $400k. https://t.co/0btZtgWtaZ Once you understand this, it pushes you in the direction of just trying to make the tax code efficient and government spending effective.
If CEPP becomes law, closing Diablo Canyon will cost California between $500 million and $1.5 billion in penalties and forgone payments. New from @hausfath @Dr_A_Stein and me @TheBTI https://t.co/l79n8fC84k
Your regular reminder that not every game is a Prisoner's Dilemma, and that the dominant strategy is not "defect" when "defect" hurts you without hurting the other player at all. https://t.co/xY4SDlliTW
Traditional definition of climate justice risks undermining development in sub-Saharan Africa. Important new report from @malemayehou @KatieAuth @MurefuBarasa @MBazilian @bhandlerenergy @uiweala1 @toddjmoss @MutisoRose @MssZeeUsman: https://t.co/8zeD85BNWg
At least they’re forthright about what portion of the $5.9 trillion is explicit here. https://t.co/ex2oIQlgir
Goals come and go. Aesthetic allegiances are forever. https://t.co/whrHc64KvE
@atrembath @ryanavent we project so much confidence that estimates of the social cost of carbon range between -$1000/tC and +$100,000,000/tC
How to make environmentalism sound as unappealing as possible. Tell people the world needs to be poorer. https://t.co/JDPzYY5lFC
Just awesome to see this endorsement! https://t.co/I16LDed0HJ
Proud to be a part of this new important work! 6 principles for climate justice: Diversity Agency Ambition Resilience Innovation Equity https://t.co/Ehd2FTqcjC
@ryanavent What's interesting here is that the climate predictions you're citing are themselves stacked on top of the very economic models you decry The source of the bad climate stuff is a global economy thats assumed to race off in a carbon heavy direction reminiscent of China for 100yrs
Someone could write an entertainingly snarky analysis of what the shifting patterns of MacArthur winners tell us about how bien pensant liberals have reimagined the meaning of genius over the years.
screaming (into the abyss of irrationality) https://t.co/YDSchguNSG
My wife, after drinking her first pumpkin spice drink of the season: “I just burped pumpkin and it was so enjoyable.” I am not a Pumpkin spice lover but I’m happy she’s happy. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
I think it's reasonable to say "let's not do anything that might render the Earth uninhabitable in 200 years." But I don't think it's meaningful to say "let's pursue policies that will maximize economic growth over the next 200 years." Because nobody knows what policies do that.
really funny tendency now where certain pundits/groups/congressmembers need the left to defeat the moderates in support of Joe Biden's agenda so that they can continue to credibly oppose leftist arguments about the system and party being fundamentally worthless https://t.co/0mwbeSz0gR
RT @NOIweala: The @energyforgrowth & @TheAfricaCenter have launched a new report, Reframing Climate Justice for Development. Proud of my so…
RT @voooos: A lot of work remains to adapt the constrained warming projections used by the latest IPCC report to applied climate science. S…
RT @TheBTI: Is "quiet climate policy" enough to address climate change? If not, what would be? @mattyglesias @X3MarCela @MarkVinPaul & @sh…
RT @TheBTI: Is there room for conservatives in the climate debate? @carloslcurbelo @SarahLongwell25 @stevenfhayward & @DaniSButcher weigh…
Do anti-Powell climate hawks disagree with the consensus here, or do they just think that Fed regulation to mitigate a hypothetical climate-driven financial crisis is more important than dovish monetary policy actually mitigating a demand-driven financial crisis?
This @ryanavent piece critiquing climate economists for projecting too much confidence in expected long-term outcomes is fair enough, but the same criticism could be levied at the climate impacts literature. https://t.co/txqisAaJc7
Furthermore, what is the case that, if such a meltdown is possible/likely, Lael Brainard would make meaningful efforts to avert it compared to Jerome Powell?
What is the case for a possible, let alone likely, looming climate-driven financial meltdown? https://t.co/HYlwPx1zje
you ever feel like you just need a bedtime poptart?
If you’ve been vaccinated against COVID-19, there’s a good chance your shopping list includes Rao’s Homemade pasta sauce and Beyond Meat burgers. And you’re likely to shop at Trader Joe's. https://t.co/kKCYRjVAOa
People who don’t re-rack their weights at the gym: https://t.co/KakfBnGY8w
@atrembath The possible case I guess would be a housing bust following a catastrophic event / a sudden re-pricing. The criticism that the Fed should be looking carefully at climate risks to housing lending was reasonable but seems to have got much broader and vaguer.
Who should be the next James Bond? https://t.co/XTk5svniRq
Chain restaurants are bad except when they're good. Or something... https://t.co/kSjUtFfuKX
RT @hausfath: If the proposed Clean Energy Performance Program becomes law it will severely penalize utilities for closing existing nuclear…
RT @atrembath: If CEPP becomes law, closing Diablo Canyon will cost California between $500 million and $1.5 billion in penalties and forgo…
@RichardTol @atrembath @ryanavent We keep treating these estimates, as if they were empirically derived assessments of the future rather than post-hoc rationalizations of what people already believe...
In a new letter, 21 grid reliability experts, incl. long-time PJM CEO, commissioners of 4 state PUCs, express "our confidence that our nation’s power system reliability can be preserved and enhanced with the Clean Electricity Performance Program (CEPP)." https://t.co/C0M2PDcJsZ
Tropical Forests as Key Sites of the Anthropocene Lots of great new work here! Special Feature in @PNASNews https://t.co/ekL5I5UFvW https://t.co/6D8G5lmD40
Proud to be part of this letter! https://t.co/P5V05cQvdQ
BIG BUSINESS: Folks I want to ADDRESS this issue. [ECONOMISTS nod] You KNOW I am a supporter of a carbon tax ECONOMISTS: Absolutely BIG BUSINESS: BUT! https://t.co/30EmXg7Wgu
What are several state electricity commission chairs, a former FEEC chair, a former head of the largest competitive electricity market in the world, and a bunch of experts standing together to say today? The Clean Electricity Performance Program will deliver for Americans. https://t.co/IZoToUa7En
If you’re not paying attention, Congress has invented two totally fictitious crises and adopted several completely fake rules in order to finally force itself to do the work that was supposed to be finished a month ago… relatable tbh
The political and substantive stakes in Congress this week: 😬
https://t.co/9ZsRZeuMgc https://t.co/L5JbS4xTne
Metal-grade silicon price up from $4 to $10 per kg this month on power, coal crunches in China. About 1.1kg of metal Si is needed per kg of polysilicon, so that's going to hurt even at current polysilicon prices of nearly $29/kg. Hoshine's stock price up 500% since Jan.
@JesseJenkins Super green? https://t.co/FLADy7aIaZ
I'll write more about what's happening in the US natural gas market later, but my quick take is that this is a functioning market at work: The US remains wells supplied and these natural gas prices signal to operators to come off the sidelines & ready new supplies for the winter.
We are setting the stage for a lot of confusion given differences in the future warming projections in the IPCC AR6 and the latest generation of models (CMIP6). For example, here are future projections for Norway from CMIP6 (dashed) and scaled to AR6 assessed warming (solid): https://t.co/YlVoKXxbn3
We urgently need more social science research to figure out why Americans care so much about federal budget deficits. https://t.co/EcoOTo49hf
Older boy went to the Mariners game tonight, they crushed the A's, they're 1.5 games out of the wild card slot, someone hung out a "Believe" banner, his friend recovered a foul ball, and he just came home practically vibrating with joy, talking & talking.
https://t.co/ijNcthWlnC https://t.co/8kHsT4U6vM
I am excited to be, along with #MeredithFowlie co-directing the @nberpubs Env & Engy Econ Program! I look forward to learning from Meredith and all of the amazing EEE researchers. I am at your service! Pls let me know if you have ideas for the program. #energytwitter @econtwitter
Genuine props to @jonathanchait for being one of the few capable of seeing what's happening in plain sight: https://t.co/Fgb3Uds0kv
...again & again, that they're willing to compromise. It doesn't matter that prog surrender at this junction would mean no significant D legislation, on climate among other things, for 10 years or more, if ever. The machine is set up to scold progs, so that's what it does.
It doesn't matter than, in this case, it's the corporatist "centrist" in Congress being petulant & unreasonable. It doesn't matter that progs are defending the agenda Biden ran & won on, which the public overwhelmingly supports. It doesn't matter that progs have said ...
I see we've entered the stage where center-left pundits fall all over themselves to counsel progressive surrender. There is nothing on this earth center-left pundits love more than signaling to one another how Reasonable they are, how above crude partisanship, how matuuuure.
@yayitsrob World class use of a tricky tweet format. 10/10
No offense to my friends who practice the dismal science, btw… I just needed a foil.
Sanders on $3.5T: "You tell me what to cut. " "Tell the working families of this country we don't need to make childcare affordable? "Tell the younger people we should not address the crisis of climate change? "Tell the homeless people we should not build affordable housing?
Where we are on Hill climate negotiations: @brianschatz tells me he is "medium" encouraged a climate deal will be struck, up slightly from "low medium" last week.
I cannot tell you how stoked I am to welcome my twitter buddy and sparring partner @JesseJenkins to the @Eavor Advisory Board. I suggested he talk to @John_Redfern, and I guess the logic of what closed loop geothermal offers did the rest. Welcome aboard! https://t.co/yPKy8AyBLT
I'm honored and completely overwhelmed by the recognition from @macfound and @HHMINEWS. Flexible funding with a multi-year commitment is the professional scientist's dream and I'm incredibly grateful for this opportunity. 1/4
Who has two thumbs and made himself a triple shot cappuccino in the morning? And is now jittery as hell cause of it. 🙋🏽‍♂️🙋🏽‍♂️🙋🏽‍♂️
No. It sounds like idolatry: worship of a political or personal ideology disguised as God’s will. And it sounds immoral: there is no reason a neutral government should privilege “religious” convictions. My secular convictions are no less worthy of special rights. https://t.co/vQyiNbLQUe
Finally adding a weekly #SustainWhat "Lines of Position" (navigation term) sift for deeper threads & themes amid the news flow on climate, clean energy & resilience. @DBaird13 @leahstokes @jtemple @cflav @KHayhoe @AlexandriaV2005 and, yes, a seasnake... https://t.co/omNKlV4lMr https://t.co/z7eRPhDBm0
This is not what the U.S. wants. We need to get competitive in battery manufacturing! https://t.co/8LWOozxGL9
@mr_james_c I imagine there are many versions :) But seriously though I want this dress!
I could get behind a dress like this 🥁 https://t.co/c3bq6WsLHC
Whether it is by myself or with the kids, friends, @columbiaclimate & @ColumbiaUEnergy colleagues, or climate ministers, this is by far the best way to get around #NYC. 🚴‍♂️@cathmckenna @CroftHelima @danieljpropp @torrelavelle https://t.co/t0ekAplmbQ
In the face of GOP intransigence & repeat filibuster of efforts to ensure America's obligations to creditors are paid & avoid financial crisis, I find the Biden Administration's unwillingness to suspend the filibuster for debt ceiling increases nonsensical https://t.co/2u4RGBpcef
@mslopatto Through the media telephone game, I think this has gone from drinking water from a puddle that she wanted to disinfect because it might have had bear urine in it, to somehow she got hold of and couldn't wait to chug down pure bear urine.
Some of my thoughts from a couple of weeks ago: https://t.co/BcY6EXMIva
@Steps2KeepCool @hausfath I also suggested learning from climate modeling experiences, and cited a @hausfath article. Convergence of thought. https://t.co/cBhN4THprJ
@hausfath @ThierryAaron @SunnySimons @AndrewDessler @KevinClimate @70sBachchan @AliceClimate @AlexSteffen @IsakStoddard @jf_broderick Then again, we have no real idea what helps to motivate action -- our "science" on this question is utter garbage compared to climate science -- and we shouldn't pretend otherwise.
⚠️False Alarm: Every problem is seen as a climate problem, and every solution is cutting CO₂⚠️ In reality, most problems are much better solved by simple & effective solutions first. We need a better, smarter climate conversation. Read my new book: https://t.co/E8O3zcHKEe https://t.co/KSdSUoy5hp
It's almost — almost — and here me out here, as if fossil energy companies' support for a carbon tax was always about avoiding stiffer regulations. Now that the tax is actually possible, well… https://t.co/JeK1P4GRvg
This is probably the most important newspaper article ever written, and every person in the world needs to properly understand what George has said here and in his thread. I can attest to the accuracy of everything George says. My own short thread below. https://t.co/nSJht6Djwd
@GeorgeMonbiot @cochranereturns Hi George - Here is support for your point. https://t.co/NnHWPzzsfw
@GeorgeMonbiot Exactly, I am tired of having to explain why this is a false argument, based on multiple logical fallacies.
@GeorgeMonbiot It's a crisis of when fantasy created by handful of very rich people, as a distraction, meets reality. It is just one great big mess.
When I got Covid in 2020 and spent weeks in the hospital, it was harrowing. But it was nothing compared to what my family is dealing with now—also as a result of Covid. This is a Covid horror story in which no one actually gets Covid, and it could still happen to anyone 🧵
Some personal news https://t.co/k9iT3GTZek
Roughly 500 Mt CO2/yr of BECCS (+ another 120 Mt CO2/yr of DAC) for negative emissions technologies. This is in line with what may be required to offset industry and transport. Coal+CCS (~ 200 GW) in 2060, though interestingly with larger capacities in 2035, implying retirement.
A big result is the reliance on hydrogen from electrolysis (constituting 20% of electricity demand in 2060). This is highly speculative given uncertain demand growth in sectors such as transportation and industry, but SOEs are *very* interested in it. https://t.co/E4xccSdqQ3 https://t.co/x8GzZMmVuA
Relatedly, deployment skews heavily toward northeast and northwest (wind & solar) reflects better CFs, but there is a clear trade-off in grid integration and infrastructure vs eastern and southern that might shift results. (even before policy preferences) https://t.co/tL050T6juS
Half of solar PV capacity is to be integrated into buildings. It's unclear why the analysis drove so much into DG and BIPV. Land use can become somewhat constraining, but only in eastern coastal regions (competing with ag) and only after significant utility-scale build-out...
By 2060, they envision roughly: 5000 GW solar PV 1200 GW wind 1000 GW storage Much larger PV/wind shares than previous analyses (https://t.co/mhN3Z0ThU4), which fits with our team's modeling (TBD) in this area: PV and storage costs come down, lower CFs mean we build more PV. https://t.co/b3Xu7SSqlJ
New @IEA modeling on meeting China's carbon neutrality covers a wide breadth of areas on how to achieve this vision across major emitting sectors. Kudos goes to this major cross-sectoral effort. Some thoughts here on power supply, a key component for long-term planning: 🧵 https://t.co/DXTt2hnmeg
The @payneinstitute is proud to play a small role on the data science aspects of improved and expanded methane emissions monitoring. This time on pipelines. https://t.co/uB915fuIaz
WATCH: Sen. @ossoff, colleagues call for inclusion of his solar legislation in budget reconciliation https://t.co/Yb5O2OqCRS
I frankly am baffled that making good on our debts is subject to a Congressional vote at all. They approved the spending already. Paying creditors should be unquestionable. Sigh...
👏👏 Now do Western ISO! https://t.co/qEKMZuM4gD
Oops, forgot @CarbonWrangler ! https://t.co/2Z160O190o
Nearly half the states in the U.S. have banned cities from banning gas in new buildings and renovations — creating a huge hurdle to decarbonization and preserving a major source of bad indoor air pollution. Must-read @rebleber look at what’s going on: https://t.co/LNxpeosfuW https://t.co/NL14Ia71Gm
@JesseJenkins Debt limit brinkmanship and climate are what disconnected me from the Republican party years ago. Thanks for all you're doing on policy right now!
Check out the latest #IndiaEnergyHour episode, in which @ramansrikanth shares insights on near-term win-win policy options for how India could shut down older, more polluting coal plants, benefiting climate + public health while also increasing power sector efficiency. (THREAD) https://t.co/KlfjmsgeIC
So glad (!) to contribute to this new commentary. @Microsoft actions & investments have yielded key insights on the CO2 removal market today & how it could improve. Thanks to @lucasjoppa @amyluers Elizabeth Willmott @EnvDefenseFund Steve Hamburg & Rafael Broze for being awesome. https://t.co/PGSuvNzs1a
The AR6 took a novel (and I think improved) approach to future warming projections. Rather than simply using the CMIP6 mean, they used three different weighted CMIP6 estimates – with weights based model agreement with observed temperatures over the past few decades. https://t.co/3IS81yTInJ
Right now most folks doing assessments would use the dashed lines, even though they are inconsistent with the best estimate of warming in the AR6. This is because there is currently not any gridded future warming projections available that are consistent with AR6 assessed warming
@nberpubs Oops: #econtwitter
This is a great example of the evolving our commercial structures to better exploit available synergies between old hydro and new renewables. https://t.co/QXVMw5Canf
@JesseJenkins @RichardMeyerDC Futures point to $4, very roughly.
@drvolts David you gotta believe!
Crazy idea: let's pass #BuildBackBetter and turbocharge this kind of investment and job creation in the clean energy industries of the 21st century. Cool? Cool. https://t.co/Lv6aMagFBu
On whether a CEPP is in particular danger (Manchin called it out repeatedly), Schatz says, "I don't think there's special jeopardy for this particular program, I think everything's being negotiated over. To the extent there's risk, it applies to everything."
Alright, everyone. Deep breath. Clear head. Eyes on the prize. It's time to pass the Build Back Better Act.
Ford and South Korea’s SK plan to spend $11.4 billion to construct three battery factories and an assembly plant for electric F-Series pickup trucks in Tennessee and Kentucky, the biggest investment in the U.S. automaker’s history https://t.co/jbRD5T9gUs
NEW: Big Business positioning on carbon pricing. Groups such as @USChamber aren't planning (for now) to lobby for Democrats to include a carbon tax in reconciliation despite the left-for-dead policy gaining surprising new life. My latest reporting https://t.co/pSXM7qb2QY
Right. Need to push the timing of investment. CEPP pushes that button. Sooner pushes innovation and market evolution. Look, if we could get sensible MC pricing of energy and storage (we’re far from this, but moving slowly), renewables would crush fossil. Need to get there faster https://t.co/re0RndEsxx
"Power systems can achieve 80% carbon-free energy with full reliability, in fact, this is already being achieved in a number of grids around the world." https://t.co/bLjYzF6z6Q
.@Sammy_Roth @pfairley https://t.co/nqwqMSKjHq
the Coastal Climate Risk & Resilience traineeship https://t.co/aue6uvyRZ5 the Megalopolitan Coastal Transformation Hub https://t.co/eoG9XO0BN1 the Earth 2100 Big Idea https://t.co/i6Fr7dKCnb
Some of the links in the message: the Rutgers Office of Climate Action https://t.co/ZJrPZgo9iP the Rutgers Climate Action Plan https://t.co/eCeIi6exVa
Perfectly sums it up. Thing is, I know people in the press know this is the empirically accurate description of American politics today. They know pretending this is a political disagreement is a lie. Yet they keep misleading voters with “both sides” BS. How do they sleep? https://t.co/IGEiXJ02ua
This was really tremendous. Great to see folks tackling big issues and understanding the stakes - more importantly, the opportunity presented here. https://t.co/ctFzqpAf7K
Asked if White House is confident there will be a vote on infrastructure tomorrow, @PressSec says this is all like an episode of a TV show. "Maybe the West Wing if something good happens, maybe Veep if not,” Psaki adds.
RT @pleh_mann: #EnergyTwitter, I am looking for overviews of legal land-use restrictions for renewable energy facilities (setback distances…
“The CEPP encourages companies not only to build clean generation, but to do it faster than we would see in a business as usual scenario. You are paying them to go above and beyond business as usual.” -@Exelon's senior VP of federal affairs, David Brown https://t.co/qK8XeSMt9X https://t.co/xL5iWCZzmh
RT @east_winds: New @IEA modeling on meeting China's carbon neutrality covers a wide breadth of areas on how to achieve this vision across…
RT @cleanaircatf: What is clean firm power and why is it so important? What distinct roles do #NuclearEnergy, #CarbonCapture, + #ZeroCarb…
Two iconic US brands, @GM & @Walmart back Congressional passage of strong #CleanEnergy & #ClimateAction policies in the #BuildBackBetter Act NOW. Important to see these big brands throwing weight behind these critical measures. https://t.co/GHnDFyA2eP https://t.co/wGkFOSgPTb https://t.co/tyeq84Yhx3
@frank_jablonski Ah yes, the old straw man where if someone merely has substantial influence over their party but not complete dictatorial control, we can dismiss their positions as irrelevant. Right...
@acruiz Like I said: nonsensical. McConnell and the GOP has made their position clear.
Making good on our nation's debts should be uncontroversial & debt ceiling increases pro forma. The alternative -- defaulting on US debts -- is utterly unacceptable, inflicting massive costs on US citizens & economy. Even risk of default due to political intransigence has costs.
What would it mean for jobs, wages, and the clean energy transition if we made more solar panels and equipment in the United States? Check out this working paper by @ErinNMayfield and I for answers: https://t.co/aSz9cKIj4T https://t.co/VuPRW2hvxv
RT @business: Ford and South Korea’s SK plan to spend $11.4 billion to construct three battery factories and an assembly plant for electric…
@nalanpog @JoelwCharles Your logic here makes no sense to me. Failing to deliver any bill that makes substantive progress is a HUGE blow to climate efforts in the US. NDCs are empty pledges without domestic policy behind them. They cannot be "strengthened" without passage of federal legislation.
@JoelwCharles Well said. Hoping for a happy ending soon!
@nebulousmenace @StanfordEnergy 1) a decline in Li-ion efficiency would mean slightly higher cost of renewables+batteries (ReB) cases but our fixed o&m costs for batteries include periodic cell replacement so that may already account for the effect you are mentioning.
@nebulousmenace @StanfordEnergy 2) we did. 3) if nuclear costs $10/W it is likely uncompetitive vs other firm options. So think of the cases w/o nuclear and with one or two other clean firm options as equivalent to that case.
But what color are Supergrid's cape and tights? https://t.co/emW2DxiD2r https://t.co/IxRdpMufxc
@RichardMeyerDC Agreed. The question is what is the new "sustainable" or "disciplined" price level that this cycle will settle back at?
RT @CostaSamaras: New paper: ridesourcing results in a 50–60% decline in air pollutant emission externalities, but increased vehicle travel…
@JesseJenkins @StanfordEnergy Finally got to this. Good interesting stuff, although it's going to sound bad that I have nothing but mean comments hereafter. 1) Li-Ion at 92% efficiency; probably wouldn't change anything, but I've heard 80% is standard because it goes down over the system lifetime. [1/3ish]
@yayitsrob Worse if you think about Congress not as one person but instead as two, with one coworker who is always trying to make the other fail.
@JesseJenkins I don’t think I’ve ever had to remind myself so often of the difference between my circle of influence and circle of concern, while simultaneously fighting like heck to maximize my circle of influence to get this bill across the finish line. It challenges one’s mental health.
🎉🎉🎉 https://t.co/p1OLT2d5Jh
“There’s probably nothing we could do that has a bigger effect on shaving peak temperatures over the next few decades than removing methane,” @StanfordEarth 's Rob Jackson on the need to pull methane from the atmosphere. https://t.co/oFtH3irAoN by @casey_crownhart
@mkraju Have you asked about the threat of corporate Dems to sink the reconciliation bill unless they get a vote on the infrastructure bill tomorrow? https://t.co/JQulGboKqO
What is clean firm power and why is it so important? What distinct roles do #NuclearEnergy, #CarbonCapture, + #ZeroCarbonFuels play in decarbonized electricity systems? A new paper in @ELSenviron from @JesseJenkins, @StanfordEnergy, + others explains. https://t.co/WbXcmk7mNv
@JesseJenkins a nice efficient beige
My feed is mostly climate, energy, and Joe Manchin, so it occurred to me today that I have no idea how the rest of the reconciliation bill is perceived. Are other advocates and groups out there pushing hard for social policies like housing, education, child assistance, etc.? https://t.co/zHxcyCKSp9
@JesseJenkins I think the Dems should raise the #DebtLimit to $100 trillion. Essentially ends the question. As you point out, all the spending is already approved.
A great thread on the problems of #TrillionTrees. It’s not only about trees here, but also about problematic incentive structures in climate science. We need a better understanding of the market for public attention at science-policy interfaces: https://t.co/oLb04ms2RO https://t.co/O1FMUTxjKg
This means that models with too much or too little historical warming were given less weight in the resulting analysis. These three weighted estimates were averaged, and further combined with a simple emulator tuned to the latest climate sensitivity estimates. https://t.co/5X0VakFxLn
In hindsight, that 10 pm iced coffee may have been a mistake.
Me: Tweets about ebikes/ecargo bikes Me: Tweets about vehicle electrification Reply guys: electrifying vehicles isn't the answer, we need to do other things. 🤔are they the nuclear bros of transportation decarbonization?
I'm not sure people fully appreciate the risks of $10/mmbtu gas this winter. Regional prices in severe weather could be in the high double or even triple digits
Crazy. 🦓🦓🦓🦓🦓 https://t.co/RaKPPTdSls
Clare and Dale said “we won’t stay together unless there is a two-track process for infrastructure” https://t.co/65ZNhXxM2x
.@POTUS is focused on real investment in econ revitalization of energy communities, not empty words. Excellent meeting yesterday of the Interagency Work Group w/commitments from @US_EDA @usda @ARCgov & @ENERGY with #communitiesleap! https://t.co/g65h6PBQ7B
We don't talk enough about how academia is still in an agrarian age. Everyone studying fields
This produces warming estimates that are noticeably below those of the CMIP6 multimodel mean – given that very high sensitivity models are given less weight (and are inconsistent with the sensitivity ranges used by the emulator).
I've eaten bread baskets and goat cheese Cote-Nords at Berkeley brunch institution La Note for two decades. This morning, I wrote about the incredible woman behind it and the many tragedies she's overcome to keep it open: https://t.co/UtaubFCJ5s
Exciting news that shows manufacturing electric vehicles can create thousands of good-paying, union jobs here at home. Let’s take this progress to the next level with #BuildBackBetter to supercharge a future that’s electric, innovative, & Made in America. https://t.co/jOS03SYrW0
Some things in the Build Back Better budget that could help us build more EV plants like these, faster, and make them union facilities: - Consumer EV tax credits w/ $5K bonuses for union + domestic content - 48C - Supply chain incentives - Battery recycling grants (BID) - PRO Act https://t.co/IZ3u50Bh5s
RT @cleantechsonia: What are several state electricity commission chairs, a former FEEC chair, a former head of the largest competitive ele…
RT @EPAEnvJustice: Webinar on new #EnvironmentalJustice funding opportunity. #EJ
RT @alizaidi46: Tackling the climate crisis presents a BIG economic opportunity for our workers and communities. @POTUS Build Back Better…
RT @ginamccarthy46: Exciting news that shows manufacturing electric vehicles can create thousands of good-paying, union jobs here at home.…
Microsoft recently paid to remove 1.3 million tons of CO2 from the air. For carbon-cutting efforts like this to scale, three 'bugs' need to be fixed. @CarbonWrangler of @ColumbiaUEnergy and colleagues outline them here. https://t.co/CDtdpe0sBj @Nature
Tackling the climate crisis presents a BIG economic opportunity for our workers and communities. @POTUS Build Back Better plan positions us to do just that — unlock the FULL economic upside of meeting the moment on climate. https://t.co/l9geSwHFtj
Most of what you need to know about the aluminum market is this: aluminum is congealed electricity https://t.co/hB8qt2sdXR
Extinction is so profoundly sad each time, and this @USFWS list update (birds, bat, bivalves, fish..) is particularly wrenching. @catrineinhorn's beat. So much for all those expeditions seeking ivory-billed holdouts: https://t.co/pEQQPWj4TD. 1935 vid @CornellBirds.. https://t.co/mW7gFeFRyG https://t.co/5gs4tFxcOB
This review gets ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️ for knife sharpness - Eleven Madison Park's starless new menu (with some kudos for the bread & desserts). https://t.co/vBsyQUzEre https://t.co/fRwEVjqPU2
To be fair, electricity markets are just administrative constructs already... *ducks* https://t.co/5a62X8WCPS
I’ll add that this is (another!) problem created by the filibuster: If you didn’t have to jam everything into one giant budget reconciliation bill, you could craft and pass a sequence of bills that each had a singular purpose and defining policy.
How does China's surging coal use connects to US natgas trends? Strong international coal use has been very bullish for US coal prices as producers meet export demand. Higher coal prices contributes to less gas-to-coal switching in some areas, leading to sticker natgas demand. https://t.co/qIl5tNtvSI
And… exhale. New big pandemic piece coming out tomorrow am. (I know it’s faintly ridiculous to promote these as if I’m dropping a new album but, idk, they’re a lot of work and I hope people will read them.)
What would be useful is if the community could create a set of weights (and pre-calculated weighted fields) in-line with AR6 assessed warming ranges for researchers to use for their own analyses. Otherwise we will see a lot of too-warm unweighted CMIP6 results in future papers.
@hausfath @drvolts @ThierryAaron @KevinClimate @70sBachchan @AliceClimate @AlexSteffen I think a) 2°C is still on the table but b) 2°C is going to be a lot more painful than people expected
Uh fine. We will take it. #climate #climatecrisis https://t.co/toTNQF25qo
"What we need to do is behave like adults and get the job done.” @ClimateEnvoy TONIGHT 830 PM EST: @Ginger_Zee hosts our @ABCNewsLive climate special #YearOfExtremes @JamesAALongman reports from #Greenland’s melting #IceSheet Interviews w/@ClimateEnvoy & @ClimateOfGavin https://t.co/o7zLs4yfD3
@drvolts @AndrewDessler @ThierryAaron @KevinClimate @70sBachchan @AliceClimate @AlexSteffen I mean, 1.5C is not physically impossible. Its useful to have gradations of difficulty rather than making blanket statements of implausibility.
What Zeke says. https://t.co/1XfXOz5Inn
This isn’t a climate emergency, or a biodiversity emergency, or a pollution emergency, or a soil emergency. It's a full-spectrum assault on every aspect of the living world. And our only means of stopping it is to level down. My column. https://t.co/95tjmW9VcW
For the 2nd year in a row, #wildfires have burnt extensive areas in #California between July & September But what are the corresponding carbon emissions for 2020 & 2021? According to our #Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service #CAMS, the highest since🛰️measurements began https://t.co/54mw1IWMd7
Great thread on the overwhelming hype and massive practical challenges around planting a trillion trees: https://t.co/M2SbPht9UN
@S_HastingsSimon I've learned that much of Twitter isn't conducive or friendly to "yes AND..." nuances.
A rather technical data request for climate twitter: Does anyone have a NetCDF file of the CMIP6 multimodel mean for the SSP1-1.9 scenario (ideally using one member per model) handy? I could download all the runs and do it myself, but it would save time if its already been done.
@herrfischer @ScienceMagazine Corrected, not retracted (Science also published four critical technical comments on the study): https://t.co/SeoyvZRlqd
Neil for President https://t.co/IdX3vKfhXg
A lot of work remains to adapt the constrained warming projections used by the latest IPCC report to applied climate science. See @hausfath's thread. The question is: Who pushes this to happen? https://t.co/b8tIrN2L2S
@HyperHydr0 Agreed, weights are problematic for precipitation (though multimodel means are not great there either, weighted or unweighted).
It's unsurprising that @sapinker's book Enlightenment Now is loved by billionaires. It's a catalogue of system-justifying falsehoods. I analysed the environment chapter, and found it crammed with anecdote, cherry-picking and discredited claims: https://t.co/08JkTJp8IV
He grandly claims his critics are "opposed to reason" or "opposed to the Enlightenment". It's more mundane than that. We're opposed to bullshit. More on this subject in Alex Blasdel's article today: https://t.co/Llp2ypqwbb
When the journal's proof reader demands page ranges for a citation, but the journal's own citation export tool doesn't provide them.
@drvolts @AndrewDessler @hausfath @ThierryAaron @KevinClimate @70sBachchan @AliceClimate @AlexSteffen By still on the table, I guess Andrew meant: 2⁰C is more likely than 1.5⁰C.
@thirstygecko @scottstgeorge I find this PNAS publishing avenue problematic too. There was an influential but wrong COVID paper last year that was just waved through "review" thanks to this mechanism. By the time non-Fellows can weigh in (if at all) a lot of damage is already done.
At the weekend, I bemoaned the apparent absence of market liberals in energy. So perhaps only fair to deal with the one area where the challenge to market liberals is most profound: what to do about new nuclear power.... https://t.co/hliETb72po
@SimonLLewis @herrfischer @ClaudeAGarcia @hausfath @ScienceMagazine @ETH @CrowtherLab So in light of all of this, let’s make sure we assume the best of the scientists and activists mentioned herein and focus our effort to give constructive advice for how to do better. I admit I myself have not done this enough.
The @theAGU Fellows have been announced and it is awesome to see the @AGUPaleoSection well-represented! Huge congratulations to Simon Brassell, @derp_code, @baker_and and Jerry McManus! 🎉 https://t.co/aj0zU2Ydns
@binarybits @ryanavent I think the first paragraph is incorrect; according to @hausfath we've known since 2008 that warming is likely to stop soon after emissions hit zero. https://t.co/Nke4pVgKm9 https://t.co/HRysKPIERs
RT @CopernicusEU: For the 2nd year in a row, #wildfires have burnt extensive areas in #California between July & September But what are t…
@ThierryAaron @SunnySimons @drvolts @AndrewDessler @KevinClimate @70sBachchan @AliceClimate @AlexSteffen @IsakStoddard @jf_broderick I hope they will. Certainly telling people that 2C+ warming is a foregone conclusion is not going to help motivate action to keep temps under 2C 😉
RT @JesseJenkins: In a new letter, 21 grid reliability experts, incl. long-time PJM CEO, commissioners of 4 state PUCs, express "our confid…
@ThierryAaron @SunnySimons @drvolts @AndrewDessler @KevinClimate @70sBachchan @AliceClimate @AlexSteffen @IsakStoddard @jf_broderick Are you suggesting that because a fair outcome is implausible any outcome is implausible? I agree that rich countries should do their fair share, but I'm not sure how strong a constraint optimally fair outcomes is on all possible <2C outcomes.
@ClimateBen @drvolts @ThierryAaron @KevinClimate @70sBachchan @AliceClimate @AlexSteffen None of those current or stated policy projections involve large-scale net-negative emissions.
@jsabs But if that is the case you would still have to do a pretty rapid lift to avoid penalties if you are shutting down 40 percentage points of clean generation over two years (so as you suggest it wouldn't change things too much): https://t.co/mu0PSVz6oC
@jsabs That allows the deferral of grants or payments, but as its written does not imply a three year rolling window for the calculation of year-over-year clean energy changes, unless I am misinterpreting it (and, to be fair, the language is less than completely clear...).
@NatureAtCal @ESPM_Berkeley @whendeesilver @theAGU Congrats @whendeesilver!
@jsabs Is that an amendment to the draft text? It specifies both grants and payments are given relative to year-over-year changes in clean energy percentage: https://t.co/pCiObFEz80
@ClimateBen @drvolts @ThierryAaron @KevinClimate @70sBachchan @AliceClimate @AlexSteffen What is a reasonable assumption in this case. There is a growing published literature on current and stated policy outcomes available; are there any alternative estimates you would point to? https://t.co/Kb5gslItmg https://t.co/0VczBqTobv
"Nature-based storage projects sequestering carbon for < 100 years accounted for most proposals... (in total, more than 95% of CO2 volume). Its cheaper and easier to establish trees and enrich soils than to deploy nascent tech that capture carbon and store it geologically."
"Systems for accounting for carbon removal do not distinguish between short- and long-term forms of CO2 storage (see ‘Some carbon-removal strategies’). This distorts the market and discourages investments in more-durable solutions."
@KetanJ0 @duncan__c Illinois just passed a good bill with strong support for both existing nuclear and renewables. A very different picture from what happened in New York last year, thankfully: https://t.co/hdfaRFd4a1
Great piece in @Nature on lessons learned from @Microsoft and @stripe's efforts to do offsets and carbon removal right. One big takeaway is that we need a lot more scalable long-term carbon removal (and companies that are willing to pay a premium for it): https://t.co/0Qd9cTxjCU https://t.co/sTtmVmECT9
@JuliusBusecke @pangeo_data @charlesstern Here you go: https://t.co/F5flqM36vk
@SunnySimons @drvolts @AndrewDessler @ThierryAaron @KevinClimate @70sBachchan @AliceClimate @AlexSteffen For 1.5C; 2C requires ~1.7% global emissions reductions (relative to current levels) per year starting today. Of course, the longer emissions take to fall the larger that annual reduction number becomes.
@PFriedling @drvolts @AndrewDessler @ThierryAaron @KevinClimate @70sBachchan @AliceClimate @AlexSteffen We have a helpful comparison of simple (no-net-negative emissions) pathways for 50% chance of 1.5C and a 66% chance of 2C here: https://t.co/mTz8QN1AAb
@drvolts @ThierryAaron @KevinClimate @70sBachchan @AliceClimate @AlexSteffen To put it another way, bending the curve of future warming down to 2C is a lot easier if you are on track for ~2.4C than if you are on track for 4C.
@drvolts @ThierryAaron @KevinClimate @70sBachchan @AliceClimate @AlexSteffen I don't think its a particularly likely without significantly enhanced ambition by countries relative to what we are seeing today. But I'm more optimistic that its a real possibility now than I was five years ago given progress made on clean energy and enhanced commitments: https://t.co/r1UwqIzLf9
@drvolts @ThierryAaron @KevinClimate @70sBachchan @AliceClimate @AlexSteffen The broader point here is that there is a world of difference in emissions pathways implied by an additional 0.5C warming between 1.5C and 2C.
@drvolts @ThierryAaron @KevinClimate @70sBachchan @AliceClimate @AlexSteffen A 50% chance of it, sure. Maybe a 66% chance if we get our act together quickly. Thats consistent with getting to net-zero by 2080 or so, which isn't crazy given the progress we have made: https://t.co/vQQkiflqSP
@ThierryAaron @KevinClimate @70sBachchan @AliceClimate @drvolts @AlexSteffen Thankfully this bit has not aged well: "Indeed, as we’ll see, stopping at 2 degrees C is getting close to impossible as well. There is no longer any reasonable chance of avoiding “dangerous” climate change, so 1 degree C vs. 2 degrees C is a somewhat academic debate."
@micsolana @kimmaicutler We will see what happens with Diablo; but more broadly there are a lot of existing US nuclear plants at risk of closure. The design of CEPP distinctly disfavors a large year-over-year decline in clean energy generation (which shutting down nuclear plants tends to result in).
@JuliusBusecke @pangeo_data @charlesstern Let me stick it up on GitHub for you.
We estimate that PG&E will be on the line for between $500 million to $1 billion in penalties depending on how fast they install clean energy in 2024 and 2025. They will also potentially be at risk for missing out on an additional $500 million in incentives.
So, if you are a utility planning to close existing nuclear plants, you better be in a position to replace 100% of their clean energy generation in the year they retire – rather than down the road – to avoid penalties under the CEPP. Utilities may want to reconsider accordingly.
Fully replacing Diablo with other clean generation in the year it is retired is a much more difficult task than replacing it over a longer period of time. Based on the CPUC, the clean firm gen and long-term storage intended to replace Diablo won’t be online until 2028 or later.
Because Diablo’s generation is baked into PG&E’s baseline, they will have to pay a penalty for any decline in clean energy percentage in the year in which each generating unit is retired, but are not eligible for any future clean generation incentives as they fill in the gap.
This is an important restriction: the ultimate replacement of Diablo’s generation with other clean energy sources will not result in any incentives — and will not reduce the penalty — unless it happens in the same year that Diablo is retired.
The magnitude of this penalty depends on the extent to which Diablo’s generation can be replaced by other clean generation in the year it retires.
PG&E is planning to decommission Diablo Canyon that is responsible for approximately half of their current clean energy in 2024 and 2025 (with one of the two generating units retiring in each year). This will very likely result in PG&E paying a penalty under the CEPP.
Finally, to avoid manipulation of the system, no incentives can be awarded for year-over-year increases in clean gen if it remains below baseline levels. This prevents utilities from removing existing clean gen and then being rewarded with incentives for filling the gap back in.
In addition, the CEPP includes a penalty for utilities that fail to achieve a 4 percentage point increase in clean generation. Specifically, utilities suffer a $40 per MWh penalty for the diff between their year-over-year increase in clean gen and the 4 percentage points target.
These $150 per MWh payments are given each year based on year-over-year changes. Effectively this means that each addition of clean generation gets a one-time payment, assuming the utility exceeds the minimum 4 percentage point increase in the year in which it is installed.
For example, if a utility had 20% of the electricity generation from clean sources in 2022, and increased that to 24% in 2023, they would be eligible for a payment of $150 per MWh for 2.5% (4% minus 1.5%) of their total generation.
CEPP awards utilities with a payment of $150 per MWh for an increase in year-over-year clean energy generation of over 1.5 percentage points if the total increase year-over-year exceeds 4 percentage points.
If the proposed Clean Energy Performance Program becomes law it will severely penalize utilities for closing existing nuclear plants. We estimate that closing the Diablo Canyon plant would cost PG&E somewhere between $500 million and $1.5 billion: https://t.co/7mBlxZxClY
@JuliusBusecke @pangeo_data @charlesstern Right now its quite small (just annual weights for the CMIP6 MMM that can be applied to each gridcell). Ultimately it would be good to have specific model weights or something similar to allow better exploration of uncertainties.
@AGrinsted They have all the other CMIP6 SSPs, but not SSP1-1.9 unfortunately.
@KrantzLena The observational data is from the Berkeley Earth dataset.
@amharmer High latitude regions warm a lot more than the global average, unfortunately.
RT @guynewey: At the weekend, I bemoaned the apparent absence of market liberals in energy. So perhaps only fair to deal with the one are…
@ThijssenR (the 1930s in Norway were roughly half as warm as today, that is)
@ThijssenR Half as warm. But yes, there was a distinctly warm period in the 1930s in higher latitude land areas. Here is the Arctic, for example: https://t.co/UaYFM3sguE
@jgladwig Just the AR6, given that assessed warming ranges just came out. On CMIP6 weighting see Liang et al, Ribes et al, and Tokarska et al (@kasia_tokarska)
RT @wang_seaver: Check out the latest #IndiaEnergyHour episode, in which @ramansrikanth shares insights on near-term win-win policy options…
@JensTerhaar Pretty sure the assessed warming values are only applied to surface air temperatures in the AR6; I think precipitation and other climate variables just use the unweighted CMIP6 ensemble.
RT @voooos: A lot of work remains to adapt the constrained warming projections used by the latest IPCC report to applied climate science. S…
@ryanavent @sidkap_ @binarybits The most recent IPCC report gives a zero emissions commitment (ZEC) close to zero, based on the results of the ZECMIP experiments. They say its likely < 0.3C with a best estimate of ~0C, which is the same as I report in my piece. See Chapter 4 (section 4.71): https://t.co/rqVxnPl5XI
Accidentally exported a too-small version of the figure at the start of the thread. Here is a crisper version: https://t.co/HfmN6i9r1D
To create the figure in at the start of the thread, I've scaled each grid cell in the CMIP6 multimodel mean by the ratio of AR6 assessed GSAT to CMIP6 mean GSAT. This pattern scaling works reasonably well for the mean, but does not provide an easy way to account for uncertainties
@JohnFBruno @ecoangelhsu @RARohde @dan613 @MichaelEMann @DrSeaBove Accelerating aerosol emissions is the general explanation. That said, this is a period where observations and model projection don't agree perfectly: https://t.co/yPGR6AqnNr
(Monthly or annual resolution is fine, and only need tas field)
@gilbeaq @SizeMichael Sure, thats why 2021 coal use will still be below 2019 levels despite a an uptick. But expensive gas is still contributing to more coal generation this year, and will likely slow down retirements relative to a world of cheap gas (though expensive gas helps renewables/nuclear)
@hausfath I think it isn't these people as salespersons, but the idea is just too welcome and comfortable. It promises to solve both climate and biodiversity .. but is seriously flawed if you think a bit more.
Now if only there was more #climatefinance to meet current policies, pledges, and targets... https://t.co/4ijaikPa1o
@hausfath I don’t mean to make too much of this. What you say is all true until it gets to “you have to time it to a given year”. You don’t. You have 3 years to do it without penalty. But you have to keep moving … so if you don’t achieve +4% in year x, you have until year x+1 to get to 8%
Important thread for anyone who may use CMIP6 for regional work. ~0ne-third of CMIP6 models run implausibly warm, so IPCC AR6 authors created *global* "assessed" temp projections to correct for this. But no guidance (yet) on correcting the CMIP6 output at *regional* scales. https://t.co/9iTx3qdjdY
Agree. AND - all those “short term” solutions on the left are far more likely to have benefits outside carbon, whereas DAC has fewer in exchange for longer term storage. Wouldn’t it be great to easily see the other benefits beside the carbon benefit? #corebenefitslabel https://t.co/blippAYLs3
@hausfath It says in the SPM that ocean heat uptake is also constrained. There is also a NCC paper about constraining past with future uptake, that makes me even more suspicious, given that almost all is taken up in the Southern Ocean & that all models don't represent obs in sea ice trends
@hausfath @ecoangelhsu @RARohde @dan613 @MichaelEMann @DrSeaBove Thanks Zeke.
Congratulations to @ESPM_Berkeley professor @whendeesilver on her election to the American Geophysical Union (@theAGU)! Silver was selected for her outstanding research and contributions to science. https://t.co/7uw73XwaWp
@ClimateOfGavin We’re putting NCAR’s Climate model, inputs and outputs into https://t.co/r3Majter6j for free access by anyone. Some CMIP6 data is already there. Happy to host more datasets, once we know what people want to use and share.
@hausfath Interesting. Thanks for highlighting. Would be heroic to get relicensing done at this point.
@hausfath Regarding the Ribes et al. method (which is not a model weighting), we have recently worked on (and submitted) an extension to the regional or local scales -- using both GSAT and local observations to build the constraint. More on this soon (I hope)!
@jdcmedlock It seems quite possible that it will play out differently, yes. But do we have evidence, beyond the popularity of Medicare and a couple of other non-means-tested programs?
Ro is right https://t.co/KvQe0lhlTA
Kyrsten Sinema dramatically crosses the aisle, joins the GOP, and rips off her mask to reveal — it's been Martha McSally all along!
@ratemyskyperoom 40% improvement in just months. If the pandemic lasts another year I'll be there!
The hysteria around NFTs is gonna look very embarrassing & obvious in retrospect in like 18 months. If I'm wrong I hereby agree to carry on living my life and not giving the matter much additional thought.
This is a gigantic leap in smoke days across a very short period of time. https://t.co/Cj5ETox8L1
@GeorgeMonbiot @sapinker Every corporation needs a good yes man. "Don't worry, be happy. Accept your place in our hierarchy, and the status quo. It will get better in 12 generations."
All those pesky environmental standards! https://t.co/il5h54b2C7
@GeorgeMonbiot Thanks @GeorgeMonbiot, what a powerful statement against the illusion of green growth. For alternatives to "green growth" and policies to accompany the levelling down, check out degrowth and postgrowth. https://t.co/2Ai3d7t21L
RT @BBCJustinR: Come along to this event at the @britishlibrary! I’ll be quizzing @GeorgeMonbiot and @frannyarmstrong on why Britain’s rive…
@chrisvivagogy @RTwin83 Could I check that you are aware of efficiency paradoxes? The Jevons Paradox and Khazzoom-Brookes Postulate, for example? (There are many more).
@cochranereturns I didn't say it's not an issue. I said you are literally arguing with a mathematical function (demographic momentum). So I ask, again, what you intend to do about it.
@chrisvivagogy That's not what I'm talking about. The waste you intend to use is already spoken for, many times over.
@chrisvivagogy So the same "wastes" as everyone else is relying on to reduce their emissions. They've already been counted several hundred times over in the corporate and government net zero plans I've seen. But these are limited resources. Sorry to sound cynical, but this comes round and round
@cochranereturns And now it's slowing towards a halt, the remaining growth driven by demographic momentum. Even 100% access to family planning (obvs a good thing) would reduce the remaining rate by only 1/4. So what's your solution to the existing population size? Genocide? Killing the firstborn?
@chrisvivagogy Yes, but what's the feedstock?
@Rogue_mariner But it does mean consuming them. Which means making them.
@chrisvivagogy I have yet to see a biofuel that is carbon negative, and the great majority cause more problems than they solve (land take, habitat destruction etc). What's yours and where does it come from?
@Ewannic Even if you're thinking corporately, the words are coming out of your own mouth.
It's as if in everything we do and say, we have to separate ourselves from everything else, to cut the cords that connect us to the world. But that's just my personal opinion. Otherwise known as my opinion.
Look at the language we use. "Individuals" is now widely used as a replacement for "people". We now attach the redundant prefix "personal" to almost everything. I mean, how can you have an impersonal friend? And how can you speak impersonally? ("Personally speaking ...")
Mistaking complex systems for simple ones opens the way for an extreme individualism, that now governs political and economic thinking. People claim to be "self-made", to "go it alone", to "stand apart". But only because they have no understanding of the world that shaped them.
Because we profoundly misinterpret our situation, everything we do to improve it has perverse consequences.
In other words, in public life we use the wrong measures in trying to understand the wonderful, fascinating, amazingly complex planet on which we live. And its living systems. And human society. A complex system is as different from a simple one as a river is from a swimming pool
Complex systems are entirely different, in properties, functions and outcomes, to simple ones. The world's composed of interlocking complex systems. Yet we insist on discussing and analysing it as if it were a series of simple ones. It's like using kitchen scales to measure light
The highly simplified model of the world projected by politics and the media makes moral idiots of us all. In science and mathematics, extraordinary advances have been made in the understanding of how complex systems work. But these are not reflected in public discussion.
Systems thinking helps us to edge a little closer to what Kant called the ding an sich: the world as it is, rather than the world bounded by our perceptions. Of course, we will never progress beyond a certain point, because our senses shape this thinking too. But ... Thread/
@Jonny_is_green A good question. Success in economic terms is failure in environmental terms.
@cochranereturns It really doesn't. Growth is driven and captured largely by economic elites seeking concentrated wealth. And it's not an explosion either. Population growth rates have fallen to 1% a year and will keep falling.
RT @JohnJohnStewart: This is brave, funny and couldn't highlight more clearly how pavements get taken away from pedestrians.....
RT @LukewSavage: I had the pleasure of speaking with @GeorgeMonbiot about his latest piece of writing, which takes a refreshingly materiali…
At a time of global crisis, the BBC is burrowing under the duvet. The more extreme our situation gets, the more conservative it becomes.
I guess there's a weary inevitability about the BBC giving Pinker a series. It has become ever more hostile to ideas that challenge established power, and ever more receptive to those that support it.
@kemptownbod Please read my article. It's full of serious evidence.
RT @LilyMTomson: @GeorgeMonbiot @thameswater In Berlin the metropolitan government test local lakes weekly and provide an online map of wat…
He's been right about stuff in the past, but this book is a lazy recitation of rightwing talking points, relying on secondary or tertiary sources that suit his arguments, and making numerous claims that are demonstrably false.
People who have spent similar amounts of time parsing other chapters that cover their specialisms, have reached the same conclusions. It's a total crock. However, Gates, Zuckerberg, Bill Clinton and others heavily invested in the status quo are mad about it.
RT @rivercide_live: We're launching the edited version of Rivercide at the British Library in London this Thursday at 7pm, with @Feargal_Sh…
Our political power as citizens is confined to our own nations. So this is where we must lobby and protest and seek political change.
From now on, I'm blocking anyone who says: "what about China's emissions?" or "why don't you go and protest in China?" when I call for environmental action at home. I'm so sick of this morally bankrupt effort to shed responsibility. Here's why: https://t.co/5IvbtFGdYi
Here's an interview I did with @LukewSavage for Jacobin, about how to build a robust new democratic politics, that resists conspiracy theories and the far right while building strong communities. https://t.co/PrZjFSqGim
Please don't forget this, as you watch the latest shambles unfold. https://t.co/1D2lcLTPHF
@DGBAMCH57 @GeorgeMonbiot Just imagine - everyone has a vote that is taken into account, and mature politicians talking with each other. Just imagine no queues - covid being dealt with effectively and no shortages in the supermarkets... Sounds great...
@GeorgeMonbiot Hi George, "Go protest in China" roughly translates to "I can't be arsed, stop pricking my tiny conscience"
@GeorgeMonbiot Brave article, thank you. Won't be appreciated in some eheclons unfortunately.
@GeorgeMonbiot Oddly enough, there's an article in today's Graun about power cuts in China due to not meeting government-mandated effeciency requirements. https://t.co/LBsvN9ne7c
This just about sums up @PowysCC at a time when we’re experiencing a biodiversity crisis. Pass every large poultry unit, reject wildlife. Disgraceful! https://t.co/cpu1d8EhlJ
@GeorgeMonbiot @thameswater In Berlin the metropolitan government test local lakes weekly and provide an online map of water quality to help people safely access swimming opportunities. Such a contrast to swimming in sewage in the UK..
@GeorgeMonbiot @thameswater My whole family had diarrhea after a canoeing trip on the Thames last year. Afterwards I read a survey from 2013 that showed over half of the swimmers in an official Thames swim got symptoms including diarrhoea, stomach cramps and vomiting.
@GeorgeMonbiot No one ever went hungry telling people what they want to hear
@GeorgeMonbiot @LukewSavage Fascinating read George, and very inspiring. I find your insight on these issues extremely useful in navigating an increasingly confusing world. 👌
Pinker is a smart guy, but he is clearly arguing for an a priori position, rather than reasoning from clear premises and data. Anyone who critically looks at his arguments can clearly see it. It's difficult because some of it is indeed true! Just not enough for his positions. https://t.co/8eKZeHvumE
@tommyds @GeorgeMonbiot This needs a slight correction: No one ever went hungry telling rich people what they want to hear.
@GeorgeMonbiot I absolutely understand how assorted establishment figures gravitate to Pinker though. As you say, he peddles facile solutions that serve to preserve the status quo. He represents everything I despise about modern academia
@GeorgeMonbiot I thoroughly disagree with you all the time but this is a great thread. You're absolutely right complex systems are reduced to simple ones We then reduce simple ones even further to "2 x 2"'s with 1-2 metrics. And we loose a lot of information projecting dimensions that way.
We’re catastrophically loath To count the cost of endless growth The rich world’s economic feast A greedy nature-munching beast That ravages not part but whole A planet-spanning Whac-A-Mole In short, to slash the planet’s stress The only way, says George, is less @GeorgeMonbiot https://t.co/dlqFag7rbV
@GeorgeMonbiot I once got stopped for speeding. I proceeded to tell the policeman about Lewis Hamilton, who speeds all the time, and never gets a ticket He had to let me go The logic was to strong Or was it a dream?
@GeorgeMonbiot We do the same with poverty. Break it down into arbitrary meaningless categories which distract from the whole. For example - fuel poverty, child poverty, food poverty, funeral poverty, period poverty… we seem to struggle with even identifying large problems.
@GeorgeMonbiot the kind of people who say 'yea but china' also have a pile of other do-nothing cards in their back pockets. Which were probably made in China...
@GeorgeMonbiot Thank you for saying it @GeorgeMonbiot
@GeorgeMonbiot @GeorgeMonbiot , does this mean you'd put yourself in the degrowth camp? Or do you prefer one of the others (a-growth, post growth, steady state economics, etc)? Whichever it is, excellent article with clear examples.
Please for the love of everything holy stop calling continuously changing conditions the new normal.
New report from @energyforgrowth and @TheAfricaCenter: "Reframing Climate Justice for Development" We need to address poverty to reduce current suffering. We need to address climate change to reduce future suffering. We can do both. #notZeroSum #energy https://t.co/uxnnFPfoFB https://t.co/7N7z88pJf9
Wonder where this student got the idea that he was too healthy to need a Covid vaccine? Devastating. https://t.co/PqNXBfRvDs
@jasonintrator Isn’t that literally how disciplinary communities are defined?
“I’m not going to put [my family’s] health or lives in danger because I want to hold a big research when … I had to get shots my whole life and… I couldn’t tell you one thing about any of them.” @Dame_Lillard 🔥 https://t.co/LEA7ZzCJqt
https://t.co/ZrNJ0ra5Gp https://t.co/dfpZXVH3Mw
FOLLOW-UP: they were full of it https://t.co/EZ0T9Yk4T4
In the past two years, the number of states that forbid cities from regulating natural-gas utilities has gone from zero to TWENTY, @rebleber reports. This is really shameless. https://t.co/kjgExpptKI https://t.co/7bS5Acj9TP
Virologists claiming SARS-CoV-2 spilled over at multiple markets are, imo, unintentionally, participating in a disinformation campaign. It has been repeatedly clarified that the market the earliest "known" covid case visited was a Walmart-equivalent RT-mart. Not a wet market. https://t.co/3smc828tRQ
@JosephMajkut Time for the third continental supergrid conference then? https://t.co/zo1EfkvDml
This is how you use a massive platform. Wish more sports super stars spoke up boldly about their choice to get vaccinated against #COVID19 . Their voices go a long way with fans. Thank you @Dame_Lillard . @KingJames you next. 😊 https://t.co/cbT16yGKhb
@chrisolsonnd Your imagination is active. Name one thing I got wrong.
I think @FERChatterjee is the hero Gotham needs. https://t.co/V2W5p1gNjk
🤭🤭🤭 almost like we should have better regulation and shouldn’t keep living in Enron’s wild dream world. (Awaits lecture from someone on why this isn’t the same blah blah blah - underlying all of this, it is the same.) https://t.co/2SaO5gh3oo
When people try to negatively describe me as a moderate I think about how moderates are actually 80% of America. In Congress, we're the principled ones who behave the same way whether or not our party is in power; the ones who actually sell ideas to people who disagree with us.
This new piece on solar supply chains @wef by @MBazilian and me, offers three suggestions for how improve the situation.. https://t.co/JJqDCTknsL
@maggiekb1 I got distracted by the prospect of microwavable tamales!
What a great feeling -- to be back in this room and see friends that I haven't seen in person for over a year. And what a delight to have @TellurianLNG Chairman Charif Souki for our first hybrid event @CSISEnergy in this new world. You can catch the recording in the link below. https://t.co/CZc2JxUK3e
I have some ideas. https://t.co/0PNLz4s4U9
How ⁦@ClimateWeekNYC⁩ became a fixture on the political calendar. Wonderful reporting from ⁦@zakderler⁩ and ⁦@climatemegan⁩ about it’s evolution. https://t.co/ZjQntuCY2U
Binge watching peaked in the mid-2010’s when the big cohort of Millennials were in their mid-20’s. Your time/energy’s just different at 40 with a couple kids. https://t.co/toza4l1PH3
The vaccine mandate is a clarifying example of police unions being entirely indifferent to public safety, because there’s no risk at all to the officers and no real opportunity to frame it as somehow leading to more crime. They just think they ought to be exempt from the rules. https://t.co/CPtNhyRHFF
Day dreaming about Estonia's corporate tax and its low, uniform effective tax rates. https://t.co/8P2OYZ4XFd https://t.co/n9uT6vAMto
I don't know how I feel about this new practice of providing distributional estimates that exclude certain taxes. We should be educating taxpayers that the economic burden of taxes is *always* on people. https://t.co/uQjIxmliap
It would be amazing if Sinema's stand on personal/corporate income tax hikes leads to a carbon tax. If you told someone in 2003 that a former Green Party activist would get the U.S. a carbon tax in 20 years, you would not guess that causal chain.
I'm to the point of parenting (he's a HS senior) when each of these spontaneous encounters feels to me like one of a finite & rapidly shrinking number, the loud tick of a clock, and I squeeze it for all its worth.
This statistic - centenarian B-52s will still be flying in 2051 - says so much about our priorities. More from @PopMech: https://t.co/DBxEKtJc5Q https://t.co/8Jzr3STkiA https://t.co/0txO8qAEsB
Brewing #COP26 fights over rich countries' failed pledge of $100 billion/year for poor countries distract from a much more profound misallocation of wealth facing climate risk. @IlanKelman https://t.co/x6mjQFsPc3
@AndrewDessler This is so me, in 1994, teaching Geochemistry for the first time using Bill Schlesinger’s Biogeochemical Cycles book without ever taking this class. Literally, I have dozens of pubs and funding that stemmed from this!
Industrial policy: Everybody's doing it https://t.co/WJQNFuiYnD
🚨 NEW: An @ACORE report by @VibrantCE explores how real-time power market options in the Southeast would create more than 1 million new jobs in the region, and allow utilities to meet their decarbonization goals. Learn more. 📖➡️ https://t.co/Kft9z8Th38 https://t.co/N95V03yRoV
Powerful testimony just now by @LauraEdelson2 at @HouseScience committee hearing on the walls preventing researchers from studying the "disinformation black box." https://t.co/svGSff1JHg 1/2 https://t.co/ZA5Tc97mpS
I may have missed it but I didn't see anything in this article on #cop26 related to obligations to developing countries? Way too much of the conversation is about emissions. Not nearly enough is about vulnerability reduction. https://t.co/jIiscEUWIb
O-1 has the coolest name of any visa category (“individual of extraordinary ability”) and we should take advantage of the considerable executive branch discretion around it to really blow out it into a great skilled migration program.
I don't think anybody outside of DC really cares which group of senators votes to keep America from defaulting on its debt. There is no moral high ground from either party on this issue.
Happy National Sons Day @dougducey @jaredpolis @SpencerJCox @RepMeijer @davidfholt
Sometimes she’s not so bad https://t.co/BRaEGpYovO
@drvolts Lead author on that work is Prof. @DocCHarper and here's the open access version of the research paper: https://t.co/PJ9CyWEUdZ
The debate goes around in circles a bit because there's a heavy focus on the end point. But the single key metric is the total mass of GHGs sent up into the big blue. That is - you can even have a later end date, if you promise go super-hard early on: https://t.co/jyhJH2ZQX4
This is such a self-inflicted wound https://t.co/Hn8Dc42WsG
Wild. The Conference Board says that China's total factor productivity has SHRUNK over the last 10 years. (Standard sources have it growing at a ~0.7% annualized rate over that time.) https://t.co/we978uEKU1 https://t.co/UIS5rUGPGu
In 2020 alone, weather & climate disasters fueled by global warming cost the nation $𝟗𝟒 𝐛𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐨𝐧, & these disasters are only becoming more frequent & severe. We must include a #carbontax in the #BuildBackBetterPlan to fight the #climatecrisis. https://t.co/0tXV3XhZGL
A hidden truth of academics: the first time you teach a class, you learn 1000x more than the students do.
Most on brand tweet from this account yet. Well played https://t.co/SV5h6oHAy6
🤦‍♂️ https://t.co/PSTYCJ6bf6
@CarbonWrangler Squandered a perfect opportunity to say, “there’s a ton of work to be done…”
@JosephMajkut Too bad we can’t block the other two.
When I complain to @laurent_bopp about French (i.e., the genders of nouns and letters that don't get pronounced), he comes back with how it's often impossible to know how an English word is pronounced without first hearing it. He's not wrong. Listen to this. 👇 https://t.co/F7Go0dB1DK
@MaxGhenis @elidourado @JosephMajkut Oh, and I forgot congestion pricing and parking reform (both negative net cost).
@DouthatNYT @HeerJeet @ebruenig This does seem closer to what’s going on.
if you're honest and clear about your epistemology, "thinking for yourself" really means "choosing the right people to think for you" and even this is a strange ideal: the vast majority of what we believe is determined by the family/culture we are born into, not "free thought"
Build the Ike Dike https://t.co/8mWGsVbPJp
whenever I point this out people push back, hard, because our current culture has romanticized "free" thinking instead of actually examining *how* we come to believe the things we do this willful blindness makes it hard to deal with the mechanisms of misinformation
@waiterich @ColeJ_L thank you for seeing the profundity
some great discussion in the replies to this https://t.co/0vF3456n0r
if you wanna reduce murders you gotta pull carbon outta the air stat. hotter it gets the more people murder. true story. look it up
We should add a sequel tax to the reconciliation bill. @JeremyLNeufeld https://t.co/C0QH1K1h6H
The new @RutgersU Climate Action Plan isn’t just about putting our own house in order -- it’s about mobilizing all the strengths of the university to address one of the most critical challenges humankind faces. https://t.co/eCeIi6exVa
Sure I’ll listen and I’ll love it, and check out those socks on our host, @ntsafos. That’s what I’m talkin’ about. It’s just the kind of flairing I can get behind. https://t.co/iWxl7Er0ox
@EPAMichaelRegan @Vicki_A_Arroyo @EPA Oooh ooh oooh, did a 2nd-grader tell u u should list CO2&CH4 as a collective criteria-air-pollutant that's reasonably anticipated 2 endanger public welfare, which would trigger a #GHG2ndaryNAAQS that—if u navigate things right—could be a controlling, decadal reduction standard?!?
RT @ebruenig: if you wanna reduce murders you gotta pull carbon outta the air stat. hotter it gets the more people murder. true story. look…
@ahardtospell https://t.co/9Us4MmZS4I
@ahardtospell Dare I say it would be,,, based?
RT @AWFlint: @TaxFoundation's @ahardtospell (one the best twitter handles of all time) has a great analysis of why it would be better to in…
@kaleekreider @ClimateWeekNYC @zakderler @climatemegan New York is nice in the fall.
The last two years have apparently moved at a relativistic pace. https://t.co/a5ZF8PJYcR
@ShanuMathew93 My colleagues @ntsafos and @lachlanrcarey did a whole thing on that https://t.co/GNJI5uJLvZ
The fact that this could have been Cooper Kupp, Desean Jackson, or Matt Stafford should make defenses quake in fear. https://t.co/ZUeTnBNRyI
RT @WillHurd: When people try to negatively describe me as a moderate I think about how moderates are actually 80% of America. In Congress,…
This could be the wrong play. Second to ambition, the biggest concern of climate advocates is durability. It would go a long way INHO to say "this is what we want and this is what we will fight to maintain" https://t.co/oL4wav6SRF
RT @CSISEnergy: One week from today! Oct. 6 at 9AM ET. @EIAgov will present the International Energy Outlook 2021 - long-term projections o…
My tweets https://t.co/4kVZFGWBnt
RT @kdgscribe: @ChristieFERC @SenJohnBarrasso @ClementsFERC @MartinHeinrich @SenMikeLee @RichGlickFERC Responding to Qs from @SenatorHick o…
@johnmulliken @Harvard @BU_Tweets @LaCDPQ The future of pollution is private (or state-owned)?
RT @elidourado: Amusing disclaimer often made in carbon dioxide removal circles: “CDR is in no way a substitute for cutting emissions.” Wh…
RT @bobkopp: Some personal news https://t.co/k9iT3GTZek
RT @Justin_Higgins2: We just spoke to climate experts from CSIS last night about the budget reconciliation bill and what it will do for add…
Last week I moderated a pane on carbon pricing and the role it can play toward a net-zero world. Heavy hitters on the panel put together by @GregBarkerUK, the EN+ group, and the CPLC https://t.co/GdT1NvNZSi$
@whatisnuclear All I'm saying is that CSIS has very nice facilities.
The boys are back in town! @ntsafos and Charif Souki live @CSISEnergy taking energy transition and global gas markets. Join us at the link https://t.co/Zqds1e4itX https://t.co/Lv0LbSEJui
@ehdomenech Socks, earbuds, small paperbacks
Attn #energytwitter: it’s not too late to join @CSISEnergy this morning for a conversation with @ntsafos and Charif Souki of @TellurianLNG about the future of LNG in the energy transition. Grab a coffee and get fired up! https://t.co/Zqds1e4itX
RT @bencahillenergy: Capital discipline fading? I expect companies will sing a different tune in fall earnings calls. https://t.co/tmSlEcO2…
@Justin_Higgins2 @ntsafos @CSIS @PoliticsNMedia @Clubhouse Thanks for a great show Justin
@ChristieFERC @SenJohnBarrasso @ClementsFERC @MartinHeinrich @SenMikeLee @RichGlickFERC Responding to Qs from @SenatorHick on whether Congress should create federal #transmission siting authority, @RichGlickFERC said "If Congress were to create some sort of siting authority that would have some benefits of moving transmission forward."
We just spoke to climate experts from CSIS last night about the budget reconciliation bill and what it will do for addressing climate change. It’s a sober and nuanced take on the situation, not alarmist. Will be releasing the podcast this week here: https://t.co/xUYgRm6BwL https://t.co/goCOOtOf0t
⁦@TellurianLNG⁩ thanks ⁦@ntsafos⁩ ⁦and ⁦@JosephMajkut⁩ ⁦@CSISEnergy⁩ for the opportunity to discuss the importance of #natgas and #USLNG in the global energy evolution #LNG $TELL https://t.co/ScgmsDgjZ6
Seeing this real-time with US-China tariffs and a slowdown of Chinese exports of panels. We'd be fools to not build up capabilities to do this ourselves or introduce additional supply chain sources. Certain event in 2020 showed why having multiple supply chains is prudent... https://t.co/4NsIxAAP2N
@TaxFoundation's @ahardtospell (one the best twitter handles of all time) has a great analysis of why it would be better to include a carbon tax in reconciliation instead of an increase in the corporate rate. https://t.co/RAvBHuyuyY
@bobkopp @JosephMajkut @RutgersEOAS Hey, @NJGov -- this is something for the #gardenstate to celebrate! 🌎 🌊 💙
Capital discipline fading? I expect companies will sing a different tune in fall earnings calls. https://t.co/tmSlEcO24A
@JosephMajkut Lol. Trying to give poor FERC a nervous breakdown?
@JosephMajkut @ntsafos @CSISEnergy Nice backdrop!
⁦@TellurianLNG⁩ Chairman kicking off ⁦@CSISEnergy⁩ with ⁦@ntsafos⁩ #USLNG #LNG $TELL https://t.co/7vZCZrXxe0
Who inspires @DroneSeed CEO @GrantCanary? @ayanaeliza, @leahstokes, @drvolts & @MichaelEMann 🌊🧪🌞🎓🌳 https://t.co/9y0HvgN6tt
Helps us spread the word! We have a new website that provides resources in real time explaining how climate change worsens extreme events. Check it out: https://t.co/Bs8ayGL1m3 https://t.co/QjUtOlhD3T
When your country makes the vaccines, did the clinical trials, and had enough vaccines for every person. But you're #48 on the list https://t.co/CtQtGEAl0S https://t.co/Oou9ayex1x
last september we started a youtube channel dedicated to climate/environment solutions and set ourselves the goal of reaching 10k subscribers in the first year in exactly 12 months we've hit 100k subs and 10 million views! https://t.co/MGHwzCKgra https://t.co/kQhhturQ3c
@JohnPaczkowski @jtemple @mslopatto I like to think you'd taste the first bowl of bear urine and send it back. "Not pure enough."
I'm a broken record here, but whatever is happening on Capitol Hill right now is functionally incomprehensible to anyone whose full-time job isn't paying attention to it.
If you enjoy the rich, savory umami taste of mushrooms, fish sauce, or cheese, thank your primate ancestors, who developed an increased taste sensitivity to the amino acid glutamate as their diets shifted to include more leaves and fewer insects. https://t.co/fhkqaWkcvW https://t.co/QcfFeKxrcA
I’m really interested in the idea of a personal dashboard. You could take data from different pieces of my life and display it as a widget on an iOS home screen or a complication on an Apple Watch. Is anyone doing this? https://t.co/PCn1IKoNtL
Uh guys, I just won a freaking Emmy! The @WSJ’s first Emmy! https://t.co/L7B9GqnSd2
And the climate movement isn’t even losing the battle of ideas. Almost no serious politician outside fringes of the US Republican Party denies the reality of anthropogenic global warming any more. The situation was very different even ten years ago.
The metal silicon price has been below $2.5/kg since at least 2003, to give you an idea how weird this price spike is. It's just sand cooked up with carbon, after all.
@jtemple I’m already planning to be away for aug-September next year.
So when a Republican loses a presidential bid by a million or under votes--are we going to hear the conspiracy theory that the Dems somehow tricked their voting base into not getting vaccinated so they would die?
H/T to @axios for @CDCDirector's quote, which mirrors my thinking exactly. I got my Pfizer boost this wk @cvspharmacy in rural GA, where I was on vacation. Zero wait (I wish there was more demand–GA: few masks, 45% vaxxed), mild sore arm only side effect (same as shots 1 & 2). https://t.co/bbtb7hlA0o
That said, it's difficult for me to sort out my feelings about these awards, as they are so intertwined with the pandemic. It feels perhaps uncomfortable to be professionally rewarded for doing something that felt like a moral imperative. 3/4
If you’re event *requires* a tech check for Zoom, Crowdcast, or Streamyard, count me out. Count. Me. Out. I already know how to use all of this stuff, and the waste of my time is egregious. Hard boundary. Line in the sand. KEEP IT.
I'm trying to get through this pandemic without getting seriously ill or injured. With hospitals slammed with COVID cases, & health care workers facing grave moral injury, I'm not trying to add to that.
The Vatican City State will would soon begin requiring all employees — including the highest members of the Catholic Church — to show proof of vaccination or of a recent negative COVID test. Those without the proper certificates will paid no salary. https://t.co/nHYjkZx9Fn
Earther is a bear blog now. My DMs open for bear tips only https://t.co/jVAPShBA5L
if you love uranium pellets as much as i do, tell everyone! 🐻 get yours at ✨ https://t.co/CsK1J0yGRL https://t.co/sHMCMzzD31
@jtemple https://t.co/nCiu2BeTqA
Miss E update: just got the results of her latest CT scan back and the miracle continues. Tumors continue to shrink despite the fact that her last dose of the immunotherapy drug was back in February. Thank you so much for your support and prayers! https://t.co/7m3FIPqXSB
@eroston That's the church you'll find me praying in every day.
@eroston What if I don't think of anything as holy tho?
Social norms. Most people are vaccinated. Most people support mask mandates in schools In some communities you may feel alone but most people support you
@jtemple The real challenge is detecting and decrying the first while making clear, safe room for the second. I'd also argue that the first is a *wwayyyy* bigger problem than the second. Delay of action, or justification for worsening, is frequently couched in language of tech innov
@jtemple The problem here is that people define 'bet' and 'focus' in different ways. Eg: a fossil company saying "We're going to open this gas field because we expect carbon removal to be cheap in 2040" ≠ "We're going to let a government agency research how to make carbon removal cheap"
@BobbyBigWheel @jmartNYT So if you are the Christ, yes, the great Jesus Christ, prove to me that you're no fool: walk across my swimming pool...
We used to have <10 smoke days every year a decade ago, and now we have 1.5 months. https://t.co/3mDEHSgJmn
Breakthrough infections for vaccinated people are often mild its true But a small number, especially vulnerable folks, can get sick Boosters reduce breakthrough infections and likely slow spread And that is a good thing So when its your turn -- get the 3rd shot
Science Communicator | Climate Science Communicator https://t.co/0CojKq48nz
@CoreyT_WX just entered the newsroom with "I have to see it all" in reference to this tweet. Quickly followed by "THE LETTER- JUST THE LETTER." 🤣🤣🤣
Tonight’s dress should continue to terrorize the anonymous author of this mailed letter of concern regarding my lady parts. 😀 https://t.co/hVqdEMG8VS
@mattyglesias Yes! You’re so right @mattyglesias ! As an O-1 recipient, this visa was critical to me starting my company @WeaveGrid and has enabled me to create 30+ highly innovative American jobs focused on decarbonization! The O-1 & EB-1A should be given out liberally to accelerate growth.
New study from the ONS looking at self-reported long COVID following SARS-CoV-2 infection in schools 1 in 3 staff & 1 in 10 secondary school children report persistent symptoms lasting 4 wks or more after infection. In most they affected day to day life & were not short-lived.🧵 https://t.co/Ed9XOODEm6
🌲Professional News🌲 Today is my first day as the Dep. Press Secretary for @EvergreenAction. As the fight for bold climate action wages on, I am eager to be on the front lines with such a wonderful team - & to be working under the direction of the wonderful @hollyburkeAK
@APIC, we were lucky to have @SaskiaPopescu speak at our chapter meeting on the very timely topic of "How to Maintain Sustainable IPC During the Pandemic". Our members loved her presentation - thank you again for joining us, Dr. Popescu 🙏🏾 https://t.co/CLcTQavOAJ
@epidemiolakshmy @APIC Thank you!! Means so much coming from you and the fantastic IPs on the call ❤️
Florida Man, meet California Woman https://t.co/IftwBLcyNJ
@PatrickTBrown31 @farnham_h2o @KenCaldeira Looks like a really interesting analysis. Would be interested to see how it applies in Western Europe. One winter when I was in Berlin, I remember it being still, cloudy and cold for about 6 weeks straight. Eugh.
Revised: I suspect that, without @Reddit and @Twitter to give it a platform, cryptocurrencies would have never taken off. https://t.co/94aYAcTFnn
Relevant to the Ford announcement: a study out of CMU shows that -- *without* active measures to remove gas-powered vehicles from the road -- hitting US climate targets requires 100% of new car sales to be EVs ... in 2020. https://t.co/bcOlE8aVzN
Could be that a media outlet contacted me & asked if I wanted to appear to talk about this story & then I ranted so much about what shitheads car companies are & how disingenuous this announcement is that they said "never mind" & backed slowly away. https://t.co/UQEyrtYz2b
Personal dashboard + community dashboard? Well, that sounds exactly like what we’re building for your health at @joinvital 👀 https://t.co/6OrQGa5BcN
@timinclimate @PeteMilne4 @KetanJ0 Having said that, if I go to the national accounts, I am pretty sure they don't show the monetary flows if there is less than three companies.
@timinclimate @PeteMilne4 @KetanJ0 You get facility level in Norway https://t.co/KAl3KqeU0S Not sure of the quality of the data though, here is one oil platform https://t.co/wh4jxmfHpQ
@timinclimate @PeteMilne4 @KetanJ0 Agree. I would also add it is a bit different with activity levels and emissions, as emissions are a little more indirect. And some sort of emissions should be publicly disclosed anyway. I think this is really an accounting principle which has leaked over to emissions accounting.
@timinclimate @PeteMilne4 @KetanJ0 But, these sorts of things are usually explained in the footnotes of obscure reports.
@timinclimate @PeteMilne4 @KetanJ0 It would not surprise me if there are additional criteria too. If there are three companies, A, B, and C, and A is really small, then B and C can back calculate info from the other. So there is probably a size criteria in addition.
@timinclimate @PeteMilne4 @KetanJ0 I think it is a fairly common, in my two experiences (Norway, Australia). Not just to do with environment, but everything. Internal sharing of average wages across different positions for wage negotiations, being a recent example.
@KetanJ0 @timinclimate @PeteMilne4 Fewer than 3 operators, meaning operators can back calculate competitors activity level?
@Peters_Glen @KetanJ0 @timinclimate Yes. I’m not sure if three is the fixed magic number, but the idea is that the data cannot be used to estimate the emissions of individual facilities. So WA has just two coal mines and no disclosure but NSW and QLD coal mining emissions are disclosed.
It's just so good. Mr. Yong proves again and again that it is possible to write longform, deep, clear syntheses of our pandemic moments that include literally ALL the rt experts. Writing about history? Ask historians. Writing about public health law? Ask #PHLaw scholars. Etc. https://t.co/zcpvt9A2Qi
“Just the flu” https://t.co/kscDemShB3
I am live on https://t.co/HBIuGuMmsS to go through school reports and publish today's update.
@kaleekreider @KenCaldeira executive order and Mid-holocene
Rationality: What It Is, Why It Seems Scarce, Why It Matters | Steven Pinker https://t.co/KeJRXJokyk
Today: https://t.co/6QvVeh0OTj
This is the actual argument for vaccines. https://t.co/wGAs3zbRzR https://t.co/iexnDaDepb
mcconnell: Democrats can raise the debt ceiling on their own so we won’t default schumer: okay so can we raise the debt ceiling on our own? mcconnell: [chuckles] no. https://t.co/kyijnMEvqq
The bipartisan infrastructure bill would be a huge win for progressivism. It would get rid of lead water pipes in America. It would pour $105 billion into trains and transit. It would prove that big government is good for the economy. TAKE THE W. https://t.co/elVn2haNL8
It’ll take a couple weeks for the FDA to review, but fingers crossed that by the end of October there will be an emergency use authorization for kids age 5 to 11! https://t.co/yPwwcjiacu
@eliowa This is so important for people to realize
@edyong209 @DrTomori Cannot go wrong with Brandt & Gardner! I teach this one in almost every class: https://t.co/eGoKEzKiVV Then I pair it with @paulalantz's powerful work on the medicalization of public health ... e.g., https://t.co/qu7rw5pL7X
@edyong209 @DrTomori There's so much to say here -- I am saying some of it in some planned and forthcoming pieces!! -- but hopefully we can get your work on it since it is just so. dang. good. 🙏
@edyong209 @DrTomori In some of your more recent essays you are drilling down into a crucial split and debate within organized public health itself: the willingness to permit the forces of medicalization to shift the 19th c. focus on social reform ...
"Nuts are not linked to weight gain" https://t.co/E1TvJEgKxu "...no association between nuts & weight gain, and in fact some analyses showed higher nut intake associated with reductions in body weight & waist circumference..." I love nuts, so bring on the #confirmationbias!
What Rs are doing is utterly irresponsible to the point of sociopathy. Read this paste-bland NYT story & see if you can tell that. https://t.co/cDYbq6zP67
Watch this! Greta absolutely roasts the fake Net Zero by 2050 plan of the UK government holding COP26 and other governments around the world. See Alok Sharma glowering on the screen above her, and she totally dismantles his false rhetoric. https://t.co/SzEI0aMVhS
No no no. Explaining is losing. WHAT IS IN THE BILL https://t.co/hvGxp9Vidf
@tnicholsmd Good for you! More antibodies in a delta world is a good thing. Happy to report my sister and parents all got their boosters this month 😃 (I’m #teamModerna so waiting for the data for my boost).
No, it’s correct and everyone in Boston knows it. https://t.co/eeuKLOdYzh
IMO the problem with the 3.5 trillion dollar bill is no one seems to be messaging what’s in it, so even if it gets passed (which it won’t, as is), Dems will get no political credit for it and Republicans get the simple 3.5 trillion reckless spending talking point pounded in. https://t.co/jE8J7CKIJt
How many rich people go to community college? Come on. https://t.co/cc1PZruUbU
The tendency is to bucket everything into either a sh*thole country or a Salvation Army country. Bomb them or patronize them, or bomb them and *then* patronize them. The idea of foreigners as genuine peers, economic competitors, or true partners is surprisingly foreign.
One day our grandchildren will ask us, how did you cope with this pandemic back then, when one in 500 people around you died, and all we'll have to say is well, we got used to it. https://t.co/VZBIqPtVfU
They were smart. We were smart. They had Spassky, We had Fischer. They had Shostakovich, we had Van Cliburn. Vysotsky v Dylan. Landau v Feynman. That was a long time ago now. Oddly, some things now actually make me miss the Cold War with Soviet Russia: https://t.co/OiKVU6bbjw
Coin Center wrote an open letter to the W3C: decentralized identity standards shouldn't be waylaid by erroneous and unrelated environmental concerns. https://t.co/Bp7BBRRgXS
@aaronhuertas It's not even the shifting baselines. It's the accelerating rate of shifting of shifting baselines.
The Departed (one guy) https://t.co/8bkb2E5Kmo
He just wants freedom from his eternal servitude https://t.co/br5ETAQNN4
IDSA is pleased to announce Daniel P. McQuillen, MD, FIDSA (@McQHoya81) as IDSA President beginning Oct. 4. A senior physician in the Division of Infectious Diseases at @LaheyHospital, Dr. McQuillen is committed to advocating the value of ID: https://t.co/tHE6xG5F2k https://t.co/1CfvCUmemx
AND a diehard crusader against air pollution! https://t.co/30qhNEUhj4
@reid24hrs @Suzybarnes Depends on how many km you drive it per year (e.g. above 20k km you should replace it and below 5k km not) and what happens when you sell it. Usually an EV is better, esp. regarding CO2. See my pinned thread.
@pdf_27 @e2dot7182818284 @Herbert_Diess @VW @WulfHemmerle https://t.co/3e2FkRvY7M
@BozzettoStefano @agritof80 @FranFerrante @pierogattoni @dPiovan @CarloStagnaro @RArtegiani @GiaSilvestrini @zaghi_massimo @FedericiGiulio @consorziobiogas Thx!
RT @somssichm: #PlantScienceClassics #2: Radiation-induced mutagenesis. 100 years ago, in 1921, Emmy Stein developed radiation-induced #mut…
In both these companies *99 PERCENT* of employees stepped up and got vaccinated. So maybe - just maybe - coverage should focus sliiightly more on the 100,000 workers who got vaccinated rather than the complete 1% edge case. https://t.co/FGXmsic8Nl
This is key. People aren't moved by granular policy details. Making the state work in an effective, transparent way builds support for more social welfare policy. All this means testing stuff is just about inter-party positioning. https://t.co/P0OkbyYGbV
So it is about the money. https://t.co/QtxsGSG1Vq
@balajis But... but... that would decentralize and disempower the Deciders of News 😉 (In all seriousness, longitudinal vision is seriously lacking in modern society. This would be a major level-up.)
If you want to understand the UK's energy crisis, including what caused it (mandates of unreliables + restrictions on the natural gas unreliables depend on) and how to fix it (liberate nuclear and natural gas) read this excellent article by @mattwridley. https://t.co/keRXYeSbA6
It's very cool to see more prominent people making the crucial distinction between "climate change" and "climate catastrophe." @JuliaHB1 does a great job of this at the 5-minute mark of this video. "Climate change" is real. "Climate catastrophe" is pseudoscience fiction. https://t.co/kU346Lj7ZC
I sometimes wonder whether I should introduce the people who claim I don't have virology expertise to the people who claim that I engineer dangerous virus hybrids in the lab. Both sides have a comparably underwhelming understanding of science.
I look forward to debunking the multi-market myth on the AAAS panel in ~36 hours. https://t.co/E13sG7kvCc
"Tactical urbanism"!! https://t.co/NGKvJlsEid https://t.co/fVczkfddV2
I visited France's "Ministry of Ecological Transition" in 2017 and they told me that it was ok to close working nuclear plants because there was too much energy anyway. I noted that Fessenheim could power 3 million electric cars. "Oh, that's transportation policy not energy." https://t.co/9fM1NtUHpz
Elon Musk is the master of saying nothing while sounding like he is saying profound things.
You're a progressive, Liz! You're supposed to say Powell hasn't done enough easy money to help the little guy, not that he's encouraging financial crises and needs to tighten up! Come on!!
Media - please be responsible and highlight this, rather than constantly platforming the very vocal minority who challenge these norms. https://t.co/5VioVhTy3E
@vlamers @eliowa With vaccines a-plenty, we should be recommending the JnJ vaccine to young men concerned about myocarditis, and the opposite for ppl worried about clots. We need to be honest with people about where apparent differences really are even when risks are small.
The Vatican announced Tuesday that employees of the Vatican City State will be required to receive a coronavirus vaccine, regularly submit a recent negative COVID-19 test, or go without pay as of Oct. 1. https://t.co/wuX4fy20um
@KenCaldeira @sterndavidi As David noted, the total value in use can only be meaningfully calculated for non-essential goods and services.
@KenCaldeira @sterndavidi The change in the value in use is applied in the estimates of the costs of climate change and the costs of climate policy.
@KenCaldeira @sterndavidi However, you can approximate a change in the value in use by integrating under the demand curve. This would be exact under weak complementarity.
@KenCaldeira @sterndavidi Therefore, value in use can be known only up to an integration constant. And, because its unit is arbitrary, only up to an affine transformation.
@KenCaldeira @sterndavidi The dichotomy between value in use and value in exchange goes back to Aristotle. Jevons, Menger and Walras showed that value in exchange = price = marginal value in use.
@KenCaldeira @sterndavidi That's not quite what David wrote.
Dr Fauci updates on expected timing of results from NIAID booster shot mix & match trial for #covid19 vaccines. Tested each (Moderna, Pfizer, J&J) as booster for itself & others. Moderna: results in J&J: results w/in a week Pfizer: results in early Oct https://t.co/zZR1CznJ3G
@zchagla @Dame_Lillard @KingJames Yes. Just made me sad. So much work still to be done to fight misinformation. @NBA many trusted experts available to come talk to players and answer their questions. Reach out.
I am proud of be a member of the @AmerAcadPeds an organization that advocates for kids since they can’t advocate for themselves. https://t.co/AJQAiSVN7Y
Can’t come soon enough! My twins turn 5 the end of October, oldest turns 8 soon thereafter. The moment they’re eligible to be vaccinated is when they’ll get it. https://t.co/wLCTX2aYVu
Why the grumpy face? https://t.co/1p6AmbPtIo
@boysek @eliowa It has been very overblown on even “regular” media, let alone with anti-vaxxers.
@eliowa Another report indicated that he was afraid of the risks of myocarditis.
https://t.co/0oN96882WC https://t.co/jIEw46dAJ5
.@IAGovernor, @IADeptofEd, @IAPublicHealth - Donate here. #PrayforBaylee https://t.co/JyN0t0uWNB
.@IAGovernor, @IADeptofEd, @IAPublicHealth Abdicated their duty to make “reasonable accommodations” for Iowa kids. They knowingly put kids at unnecessary risk and brag on a budget surplus. #PrayForBaylee
'We have to evaluate the motives of health care institutions' https://t.co/qSnYhdhsRd via @scalawagmag
RT @thedailybeast: The Vatican announced Tuesday that employees of the Vatican City State will be required to receive a coronavirus vaccine…
@gbosslet @LongDesertTrain At least in Iowa, hospitalization to cases has been biased but massive undertesting
RT @choo_ek: “I’m not going to put [my family’s] health or lives in danger because I want to hold a big research when … I had to get shots…
RT @AlanLevinovitz: No. It sounds like idolatry: worship of a political or personal ideology disguised as God’s will. And it sounds immora…
RT @FranParrCB: .@IAGovernor, @IADeptofEd, @IAPublicHealth - Donate here. #PrayforBaylee https://t.co/JyN0t0uWNB
@magneticanisot1 @NoamUrbach @EricTopol @OurWorldInData Cases are also in unvaccinated kids and they just moved schools online
RT @IDSAInfo: IDSA is pleased to announce Daniel P. McQuillen, MD, FIDSA (@McQHoya81) as IDSA President beginning Oct. 4. A senior physici…
@SNystagmus @VincentRK Of course vaccinated are far less likely to catch Covid, far less likely to spread the virus because they’re less likely to catch Covid. Most importantly, vaccinated are far less likely to get severe infections or die. Great vaccines and safe vaccines
RT @rubin_allergy: I am proud of be a member of the @AmerAcadPeds an organization that advocates for kids since they can’t advocate for the…
RT @bachyns: It’ll take a couple weeks for the FDA to review, but fingers crossed that by the end of October there will be an emergency use…
RT @Boghuma: Still struggling to digest FDA and CDC guidance on #covid #vaccine #boosters? I had the pleasure of contributing to this @npr…
RT @notdred: FOLLOW-UP: they were full of it https://t.co/EZ0T9Yk4T4
RT @PreetiNMalani: Fellow @UMich COVID dashboard watchers were delighted to see students pass 96% vaccination over the weekend, faculty at…
RT @Boghuma: This is how you use a massive platform. Wish more sports super stars spoke up boldly about their choice to get vaccinated agai…
RT @historyvaccines: NBA legend Kareem Abdul-Jabbar calls for unvaccinated players to be removed from teams https://t.co/vNxZ8QoVNn
@justin_hart Kids shouldn’t wear seatbelts because they rarely die in car accidents? Crap logic. Protect the kids from a preventable virus infection with a safe vaccine. Plus seeing plenty of long-term issues like shortness of breath and many kids can’t play the sports they love.
@vlamers @eliowa Precisely. Most people don't know that with vaccine it's mainly an issue for younger men, that the myo/pericarditis is mild, and resolves quickly, and that it's very rare. They also don't know that COVID is much more likely to give them myo/pericarditis and it's much more severe.
@eliowa Exactly. We need ethical standards that demand medical professionals w/ influence & power because of their professional position must operate w/ accountability to real-world consequences rather than in siloed self-indulgent, self-righteous claims to furthering scientific debate: https://t.co/rTAJFGwaeC
@eliowa https://t.co/oGTrrruMVT
Now listening to our very own ⁦@GSTTnhs⁩ #IPC Director ⁦@jonotter⁩ saying let’s be aspirational & get #SSI #surveillance going for all surgical categories ⁦@IPS_Infection⁩ #IP2021 #InfectionPrevention https://t.co/5NtVy4MxSX
@eliowa We are in an area of only 24% Dems. It is a nightmare!
This is an excellent piece, which is not surprising since it was written by @LydiaYKang. @UNMC_IM @unmc @NebraskaMed https://t.co/uuBGdyYIZ9
Context: this is out of more than 35,000 employees, 99.5% of whom are vaccinated. https://t.co/Vu4xXAXGGr
NBA legend Kareem Abdul-Jabbar calls for unvaccinated players to be removed from teams https://t.co/vNxZ8QoVNn
@eliowa Needed this today. Thanks Doc
@denise_dewald @eliowa It really is, as the lone person in the store with a mask. I live in a deep red area in MI, it is a nightmare. I look forward to escaping soon.
@vlamers @eliowa People just don't understand relative risks. I don't think it's been well communicated. I'm trying.
One of my first acts as Governor was to restore funding to Planned Parenthood — a vital resource for reproductive care. Jack Ciattarelli opposed funding to Planned Parenthood and rubber-stamped Chris Christie’s war on women’s health care.
Thank you Alex (Something feels not quite right if we are always doing multi-year, in-depth environmental reviews for certain emission-free power sources, sometimes for others, and *never* doing these multi-year, in-depth environmental reviews for *high* emission sources… 🤷‍♀️) https://t.co/LPWYI3Alf7
don't get it twisted yall https://t.co/MhcGWS7VHz
Concept: what if your community newspaper was re-centered around a community dashboard? It addresses the ADD aspect of news judgment. Rather than random stories every day, your community would instead track metrics over time, like $ saved or time working out. And improve them.
Yes https://t.co/eBPcrVvegU
@CautionPesimism The economics
The time to build nuclear was 45 years ago. We missed the window... https://t.co/c7zBgJjO3B
@rmnth @SamHarrisOrg Fun diagram. But I think this isn't even a second order effect, it's the dominant effect. Also, regulatory action against large companies may reduce the number of acquisitions, but it also directly increases their power (by +++) by erecting a regulatory moat.
"You need to achieve financial independence in order to achieve ideological independence in order to achieve collective independence." - @balajis
this is a genius idea https://t.co/q3F6OvR0zG
@Noahpinion https://t.co/S3zIN5gehM
It’s time. Announcing I’m the first co-sponsor of @SenMarkey’s bill to expand the Supreme Court. Let’s restore balance to the Judiciary and eliminate the filibuster.
Replace legacy media on every channel. It can be done, it will be done. https://t.co/3yNVDgzg3F
This is why the sopranos is completely separate from all other tv, especially its prestige successors, it’s anna karenina, people are going to be talking about it in 100 years https://t.co/g1RZ3FvMQ0
in the sense that the best things (michael jordan, steview wonder, picasso) are underrated, FRED is immensely underrated
@balajis Check out what @OrbitModel is doing, lots more to come too.
@balajis CARES act was another absurd subsidy to private insurance more so than the attempt to build state capacity
@balajis I actually agree. But the state itself is starved of resources outside of the military. That money goes first and foremost to prop up asset prices and the traditional finance sector. There isn’t some profligate public spending spree on the state itself. That has been hollowed out
“These [NCAA] athletes are now, by default, influencers,” @mediakits’ @KieransLyfe says with @thecaseyadams. “They still have that influence on social media, even past their NCAA career, so I do think that it's important for them to take advantage of it as much as possible.” https://t.co/qNvK3w6YRk
A scene from Idiocracy. https://t.co/qjwLuIjmf2
A THREAD on most thought provoking insights on crypto by @balajis: 1/ Crypto is just another asset class = the internet is just another TV channel. It’s more than an asset class because it transforms the custody, trading, issuance, governance, and programmability...
@balajis @ImZachStar is incredible and sits on that level with content IMO
@balajis "We didn't go & say, "Oh Blackberry, do better." "Blockbuster, do better..." We just replaced them...with better technological versions. So the idea that, "Oh, New York Times, do better" - That's a completely outmoded way of thinking about it." ~ @balajis https://t.co/kuYPv4mR9C
@balajis "There was a real leadership shift from Deng and Jiang and Hu to Xi. The Mao era was revolutionary communist. The Deng, Jiang, Hu era was internationalist capitalist, I think that was real. And then the Xi era is nationalist socialist." ~ @balajis https://t.co/zbZa6B6wcj
@balajis And Numberphile - https://t.co/1Kw7TFyfvB
@balajis Kurzgesagt - https://t.co/tT6MFGWy1C
On a personal level: what do you *need* to know about and track over time? - Your health, blood glucose, physical fitness - Your income, burn rate, personal runway - Your progress towards long-term goals Not random infotainment. That's recreation. So: dashboards > newspapers.
@balajis Been doing this for a decade. Now run it all on AirTable. For myself, my family, my business, community and others. https://t.co/17UaffR226
“[We’ll see a rollback in] the alphabet soup that FDR put in place… the SEC is not set up to go after millions of crypto holders & developers… The FAA is not set up to go after millions of drone developers… The FDA is not set up to go after millions of biohackers” @balajis https://t.co/eg1ZnLQDm8
@balajis That's the day at your regular tech startup. I don't know who said it (@paulg?) but a sign for a successful startups is investing early on in a big screen just to display KPIs.
@balajis @palladiummag for all your governance futurism needs
@Austen @balajis https://t.co/AocG9dP74J
Quantifying things can be very helpful. You might think you're poles apart, that it's 0 and 1. But maybe you'd be fine with 0.47 and they're ok with 0.55.
@basche42 This post compares New Deal to ARRA, finding them comparable. But where are the tangible results? For a few billion of private money we got (profitable) SpaceX. For $787B of public funds...we got what? And why do we think the CARES act will be better? https://t.co/Nmyej3txUt
@basche42 There actually was a WPA/TVA-scale spending spree with the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, the stimulus of 2009. But there was no Hoover Dam. Why? Because, across partisan lines, the US can't execute in the physical world anymore. https://t.co/SWtoV6nXVz
@basche42 I think we're seeing the same thing from different directions. Basically, the people in the US state are either unable or unwilling to actually serve the greater good. Incentives aren't aligned, metrics aren't there, leaders aren't there. But I don't think this is lack of $.
@basche42 We agree that the state prints trillions of dollars. They might be ethics-limited, in that they are intentionally bidding up their own assets. Or they could be intelligence-limited, in that they don't realize the effects. But they aren't resource-limited in dollar terms.
@basche42 How is it starved of resources? It prints literally trillions of dollars. It is the least resource-limited organization on the planet, perhaps in human history.
Competent governments do exist. And there are pockets of competence within the US government, as within any government, particularly at the local and state levels. But you don't have to be a libertarian — I don't call myself one — to observe the decline of US state capacity.
And after PG&E failed to provide power, the CDC failed to control disease, the foreign policy establishment failed in Afghanistan, and the Federal Reserve failed to control inflation…does it make sense to ask anything of the American state? We can rely on that state to fail.
No. Employers also want this because it allows them to protect their company from the demands of social media mobs. They announce that their hands are tied by policy. Proof: I fund many employers. https://t.co/FTWFId3pMT
The nepotists of New York vs the founders of the world? I know who I have my bets on.
No one wants to join it It's too risky Then it succeeds Then everyone wants to join it Then everyone joins it Then it becomes mediocre It's too risk-averse Then it fails Now no one wants to join it
Meanwhile, the global audience for high IQ content continues to build. Veritasium alone now has 10M subscribers. Here's a list of my favorites. What else is like this? - https://t.co/Y6OYpmhybr - https://t.co/gEjLncShSz - https://t.co/tDEl8yvNp2 - https://t.co/HQOSEEQVqA https://t.co/cY9HQ4sEzG
@schraubd I agree, though we might define a "union" slightly differently. https://t.co/0F8cWhOKab
@MickeyParx @thxbutknow Similarly with India this decade. Or startup cities, or crypto, or anything. You have to actually go and seek it out to see it.
Btw, city managers are more like CEOs. Unlike mayors they are not elected. They run the city on a day-to-day basis. https://t.co/UzQQmzQhGo
Just like a startup, you can pull many different kinds of analytics into a city dashboard. https://t.co/QKzVogDjz8 https://t.co/C9bYD3Mxii
The OpenGov City Manager's Dashboard. This could be extended to startup cities, and to online communities with large budgets like DAOs. https://t.co/QKzVogDjz8 https://t.co/UujfTfMGpN
What OpenGov is doing is also relevant here. Perhaps integrate citizen data, on an opt-in, aggregated, and anonymized basis, into the city dashboard via a city app. cc @FrancisSuarez @ZacBookman https://t.co/gF1DAQAWpS https://t.co/a7IAx481nM
Our current metrics for society are bad because they are easily gamed and aren't granular enough. Society doesn't necessarily prosper as a whole if the stock market goes up. But it would if the (inflation-adjusted) net worth histogram was right-shifted. https://t.co/QtVW72IElH
How to execute on this? 1) Fintech apps already have much of this data 2) States like Estonia & Singapore have national ID systems via e-identity & Singpass that can serve as primary key 3) Histograms can be calculated in privacy-preserving way, eg: https://t.co/TASs0XFR1A https://t.co/A2OTa9nmLG
Imagine if local governments began looking at the histogram of net worth of their population every day, calculated in an opt-in/privacy-protecting way. Not just the median, the whole distribution. Not just the income, the savings minus debt. Then acted every day to boost that. https://t.co/dRXhmRN8pw
@rmnth @SamHarrisOrg That is, web2 VCs will exit via M&A or public listing. Ballpark estimate is that M&A is at least 50%, maybe more of exits. But they are also fast exits, even if they are smaller amounts than public listings. You can determine exact % from crunchbase or cb insights.
@rmnth @SamHarrisOrg Also, "VC willingness to fund startups" should be replaced by "VC returns". It's not an abstract willingness, it's their direct financial performance. No M&As means at least 50% of their exits go away, maybe more. https://t.co/G3fqqSjXZM
RT @Dominic2306: Our Government is NOT oriented to dashboards with long-term metrics for key priorities. It is literally run by *the PM lis…
RT @valkenburgh: Coin Center wrote an open letter to the W3C: decentralized identity standards shouldn't be waylaid by erroneous and unrela…
RT @lopp: "You need to achieve financial independence in order to achieve ideological independence in order to achieve collective independe…
@thxbutknow Journos, academics, the foreign policy and natsec establishment to a surprising degree, even people talking about institutions. US dominance is assumed. Much discussion has actually turned more inward looking over the last decade, even as Asia has risen. https://t.co/xltuCdMp9j
We discussed this on the recent All-In. As @chamath pointed out, countries in Africa or South America were treated as economic partners by China, but sympathy objects by the US. China itself was mostly underrated by the US, and still is in many ways. https://t.co/qKTEYm3rAF
The audience for the US establishment is the US establishment. They aren't writing to, building for, or really even thinking about the rest of the world. They don't see economic peers, only military targets or sympathy objects. Let this be your arbitrage.
RT @Jevaughn_Brown: @balajis "We didn't go & say, "Oh Blackberry, do better." "Blockbuster, do better..." We just replaced them...with bett…
RT @Nico_Jochnick: Dashboards are relevant, actionable, and consistent - everything a news feed is not. It's incredible how far we've ventu…
The pseudonymous economy. https://t.co/qXO8XJLryD
RT @Austen: I’m really interested in the idea of a personal dashboard. You could take data from different pieces of my life and display it…
RT @bharattttttt: A ward-level "Open Garbage Free" dashboard for Delhi, informed by a real-time assessment of complaints on Twitter, Facebo…
Doesn't necessarily mean reading *zero* news, zero infotainment, zero serendipity. Just treat it like watching a movie, as part of your entertainment budget.
Take the sugar out of your coffee, take the newspaper (or news feed) out of your morning. Replace it with a personal dashboard, then a community dashboard.
If we think about it from the "jobs to be done" perspective, newspapers have this incredible pride-of-place — first thing you look at in the morning! — but typically do not add enough value to deserve that position. Personal dashboards could, though... https://t.co/vVwxPF3lyR
dashboards > newspapers This feels like a good vector of attack to definitionally disrupt newspapers. First thing you look at each day shouldn't be random stories someone else picked. Should be carefully selected metrics you want to improve. See also: https://t.co/3v6Ti6FBPk
Now extend this to communities. The metrics you consider personally important should also be considered important by the community you want to join, and on their dashboard. Maybe you want to learn a language or minimize sugar. With a little thought, you can dashboard it.
RT @lndian_Bronson: Here's an example, from Bartholomew Co., IN: https://t.co/CvJWvsYB4f https://t.co/zxhJ9ZHfnV
The point of tracking metrics over time, and centering the morning on them, is that it gives long-term memory and focus. The day doesn't start with random stories from a newspaper. The day starts with visualizing shared long-term goals, and tracking actions against those goals.
Any company beyond a certain scale has a set of dashboards that the CEO and all execs review each day. Examples below. What if you did that for a community, like a DAO? https://t.co/l16bwdEmZU https://t.co/b1ShTQXfmE
I adore this idea. https://t.co/vb2oPaSmXu
@balajis In Singapore the salary of ministers is based on those KPIs. https://t.co/YKAPxSlTbU
@balajis Hey @balajis - you might like this. Also, I appreciate your work. Let's try connecting. https://t.co/oYIbGjTYWh
This would be such a cool dashboard https://t.co/cm7nNYrdje
Communities of creators will overcome old institutions like legacy media. My small note on this: https://t.co/NSWYdbpQQo https://t.co/VCp0Wm6cnA
@balajis PBS spacetime is fantastic
Here's the link to Making Sense podcast with @balajis: https://t.co/dCV44ZGcn8
A ward-level "Open Garbage Free" dashboard for Delhi, informed by a real-time assessment of complaints on Twitter, Facebook, 311 etc. The news we consume today is fixated on issues that have no bearing on our actual lives. We cannot improve what we don't measure. https://t.co/EC35IwfzSI
Here's an example, from Bartholomew Co., IN: https://t.co/CvJWvsYB4f https://t.co/qCZqkDU28i https://t.co/zxhJ9ZHfnV
@balajis Stand-up maths with Matt Parker. https://t.co/lMcjrdtLzY
One of my takeaways from @SamHarrisOrg's recent podcast with @balajis was around 2nd order consequences of the current approach to big tech regulation. Here's a casual loop diagram capturing Balaji's argument. https://t.co/fPN9jRQYvF
Kurzgesagt - https://t.co/NVcFjxHRhD #Physics Videos by Eugene Khutoryansky https://t.co/PlTXOR0XAR Smarter Everyday - https://t.co/oFbr337vwV Oversimplified (History) - https://t.co/zFSejQR397 https://t.co/Dizm9oImnJ
@balajis https://t.co/PMHSvuXZEI Build 8 BIT computer from scratch and great videos on networking
@balajis Not quite like these but @ColdFusion_TV deserves a mention.
Such a great concept - as a former dashboard builder I am going to start planning a public climate dashboard for @oco_crew https://t.co/ybNyKgKZhO
This isnt a bad idea. I’m not sure it even needs 90 days. 15 would probably work for many of the stupid cases. (Interestingly it did not work for McNeil, and neither did having a union so when the woke really want you unjustly fired they can still win). https://t.co/W5i5aF2TAS
Interesting thread. https://t.co/XFyVinorSH
I am very pro-dashboard Working on a project that I will have to answer questions about, whip up a quick dashboard. “Whoa, we didn’t even think to make one measuring that” - the other GIS people on my team https://t.co/4kImfJs9q5
@balajis The startup-city mentality is one which drives innovation and results in less regulation and more business and entrepreneurship. If localities daw themselves as the institutional anchors of a successful future, they would be far more in tune with future proofing their governance.
An example of a new kind of corporate media - when a venture firm decides to go direct. Because it understands, as @balajis puts it: "Every company is a media company." "Own a media company or be owned by one." You need both, a great product and a great distribution. https://t.co/Btw2JMj7ve
Then a startup comes along Then go to 1 https://t.co/dS7Q3dXSKE
@balajis Watching this make me sad think it’s time I go off social for a while. I’ll be building. I’ll put my head up later. Good luck
This is exactly it. Choose 3 topics you care deeply about. Research, learn, investigate, corroborate. Reject everything else - even if it’s important to others, to you it’s just an insulin trigger. https://t.co/twmcwxyimU
@balajis Meanwhile China is using these countries as resource hubs to mine Lithium, Nickel and Molybdenum.
@balajis @chamath You guys hit on some important points with real, honest perspectives that are hard to accept for too many people.
Concept: Community newspaper re-centered around a community dashboard with meaningful metrics related to each community. https://t.co/lWpkmu0GFS
Related: https://t.co/Hs15snBflJ
@balajis Primer has published a bunch of videos running simulations of some hard unintuitive problems. I truly appreciate the work that goes into these @primerlearning https://t.co/jbP6xxj5Lp
A deep dive into the mechanics of the world's most indebted real estate company https://t.co/1pfvWX69CK
@Noahpinion You're right; this is a hostage situation where the hostage is either non-corporeal, or is actively belching carbon into the sky.
@jtemple How would boiling urine make it more potable anyways? Was she preparing to steam distill it?
Przy pomocy cynicznych miernot rujnuje się ludziom życie tylko po to, aby @ZiobroPL mógł pozować na twardziela. https://t.co/PFVMMTppl9
Really enjoying Cavell's The Census of Walden, especially the part where he's like, "OK, one Thoreau, 1200 squirrels, probably 10,000 tiny fish, 37 crows." Oh. Senses of Walden. My bad.
@Noahpinion Seems like most of these areas are in the suburbs now
It’s not the infrastructure bill THEN maybe the Build Back Better package down the road. That wasn’t the deal. Progressives won’t back down. We’re fighting the people’s fight and we’re going to deliver the entire Build Back Better agenda.
@KenCaldeira @PenCleanEnergy @PGE4Me "Bioenergy" holds the door for "renewable natural gas," yet another propaganda euphemism for just straight natural gas, RE's critical "partner" on every grid run by antinukes, e.g. CA. RNG a big part of industry lobbying to kill municipal gas phaseouts https://t.co/mou0PZ6vJ1
@KenCaldeira The ECO100 plan you mention is the first optional plan I have ever heard of that intentionally includes nuclear.
Whatever level of spending is required to achieve and maintain full employment. https://t.co/dJhxq5B1UJ
@Noahpinion Yeah take your own advice 👇 https://t.co/bhG3BADtrY
what does schadenfreude taste like
My morning text to my mom and I can’t stop laughing #damnyouvoicetotext https://t.co/8GiFrGmdlk
One problem with the "big opening bid" theory is that people don't necessarily know what's "big". If the $3.5T bill gets cut down to $2.8T, was it gutted, or was $3.5T just a big opening bid?? https://t.co/L71CeVoG38
@csilverandgold Hold out? Manchin doesn't care about the infrastructure bill. He won't take any loss at all if it fails. It's like taking some random store clerk hostage to try to stop the bad guy from getting away with the McGuffin. Bad guy just laughs and walks out the door.
@AkshatRathi For lack of a better word, logic-directed standard procedures of gathering and interpreting evidence can be holy.
Fair point, I also tend to slaughter, rape and pillage when I'm confused, unless war has been officially declared in which case I restrain myself https://t.co/BZ0FK1qtJ6
If you're an IQ Bro who spends all his time on Twitter talking about how important IQ is, I want to see you become a diehard crusader for lead pipe replacement. https://t.co/vigNmeLmTy
@csilverandgold Taking Biden hostage to threaten Manchin is the worst possible strategy here...who has more to lose from a failed Biden presidency, Manchin, or progressives? That's not a rhetorical question!
A few reasons Rs won't gain as many seats from redistricting as initial "sky is falling" predictions on left: - Many states they control are existing GOP gerrymanders (TX, OH, etc.) - Blue-trending suburbs constrain their ability to add more seats - Dems can newly gerrymander NY
Pass the damn infrastructure bill, dammit (@noahpinion / Noahpinion) https://t.co/Lx1wWH5UWh https://t.co/MwXOhItw7c
vivid and to the point #synesthesia https://t.co/lf05d8oMOL
Powell is asked if the inflation we're seeing is broader and more structural than earlier in the year. "Yes, I think it's fair to say that it is." Supply bottlenecks "have not only not gotten better, they've actually gotten worse." He points to ships parked off the port of L.A.
If progressives kill the infrastructure bill, they'll keep lead in the drinking water of millions of marginalized people. And they'll starve trains and buses of funding all across America. And they'll show Dems can't govern. DON'T DO THOSE THINGS. https://t.co/elVn2hsp9I
@Noahpinion Also in places like San Leandro - three-way mix of Latino, Black, and Asian, often in the same person (many of which are absurdly attractive). It's the future.
@MattAlhonte @Noahpinion ICYMI https://t.co/b41gjFXUcj
@Noahpinion I worked at our law school CLE as an undergrad. Our director had a post JD degree & insisted we refer to him as Doctor. He made me write essays for the Federalist Society newsletter despite my being a public employee and 18. They were not good, because of incompetence and intent.
That said, Dazai seems to have been more of a beer guy. https://t.co/NbiYREPztT
This is correct https://t.co/TxDvLEgIuq
@AngelicaOung @noahsmith @noahsmith or @Noahpinion ? Does have the given name Noah Smith automatically mean you have 🐇🐇🐇?
YES. THIS. 1000X THIS. https://t.co/aysfKfF75Y
I just tried to write "violence begets violence", and my keyboard corrected it to "violence Vegeta violence" Time to log off
Jesus f***ing Christ get the lead out of drinking pipes right now https://t.co/WytYmo6ZlE
New Pew research finds that Twitter is used by the 23% of Americans who think "I beg of you", "You idiot", and "Imagine thinking this" are persuasive arguments https://t.co/8p8rvz6VCR
@thought_less_ Courage to do what, buddy? Spike a good bill that Manchin doesn't really care about, just out of spite? Yeah that's real mature. 🙄
@DerekMYoung shit man, that sucks
Wow, I didn't even know China was keeping some American hostages too! https://t.co/NltaBchZVC
@stan_keshi Ceausescu banned Scrabble
Kai Strittmatter's "We Have Been Harmonized" really home the point that under Deng, Jiang, and Hu, China really did create a novel, flexible, adaptible new form of autocracy...but then Xi Jinping came in and started turning it into something older and more familiar.
@puremalarkey Again, I think you're confusing public opinion with progressive Twitter opinion here, but now we're going in circles. Anyway, I will circle back when stuff happens, and we can see!
@stan_keshi It does seem like it! 😊
@clayranck @Theophite @samdman95 Thanks I hate it
@puremalarkey They could never receive anything in return because no one else really cares about the infra bill. So pass it, because it's good, then use that success to gain popularity and help exert more pressure on Manchin by whatever methods do exist for exerting pressure on Manchin.
@bengrossbg Second one is to stop people from talking down to you
@puremalarkey Just keep racking up wins man
Today in Reply-Tweets: You're allowed to talk down to people about society if they have only ONE law degree. https://t.co/hK0Y9QDkEy
@wolfe_herb I can't drink or do any drugs, medical issues
@puremalarkey If bribery works, DO THAT SHIT. Hell yeah.
@wolfe_herb Well u a poo poo hed
@stan_keshi (2) is psychological
@dotorii_muk https://t.co/X3RZ6ZfX5a
@puremalarkey I mean, taking lead out of pipes is gooder than not taking lead out of pipes. Honestly that's something I never thought I'd see done in my lifetime.
@scorzeth @kejjmad Awwwwwwwwwwwww
There are so many things about the pre-internet age that I want to go back and experience now that I've learned of their existence via the internet
RT @Matt_Alt: I've written extensively about Japanese sensibilities inflecting global youth culture, but never imagined Osamu Dazai going v…
@stan_keshi The connection is psychological. It's not in the genes.
@puremalarkey Conservatives don't have any policy plans except preserve the status quo and ban CRT and abortion at the state level. They already got all their tax cuts. What's left to bribe them with? They're just gonna sit there and block everything as long as they can.
@puremalarkey I think the "until they get some of what they want" part is the flaw here. It's like step 2 in the Underpants Gnome plan. Remember, if Congress passes absolutely nothing, conservatives pretty much win.
@stan_keshi I mean, I share genes with my ancestors, but the idea that this means I share ownership of a nation with them is purely psychological.
@puremalarkey If conservatives have a majority in Congress, they can do whatever the hell they want, legislation-wise.
@AImas8706 His name is Giggles, but that's similar to Gigolo
@stan_keshi That's the ADOS view. But I think connections are in our heads, not our genes.
@scorzeth Damn that's a cute rabbit.
@stan_keshi I don't think your genetic definition of "replacement" makes any sense...
@puremalarkey I mean, America is more conservative than us, and America's governing class is more conservative than America, and this is a problem. And it's a problem I don't think we can solve by refusing to remove lead from pipes.
@stan_keshi I mean, I just don't care about "founding stock" as much as you do. Or really at all, tbh. Like...who cares if you share genes with the Mayflower people? That means zilch to me. I don't understand why I should care about that. America isn't in the genetic code.
@puremalarkey Conservatives didn't even want to spend money on infrastructure. They definitely didn't want to give Biden a legislative victory.
@JHead1984 @VoidOfRoses I mean you're not wrong
@RealPotatoFan Gave her smaller treats
@heynottheface @samdman95 Who ever got blamed for killing a bill they voted for?
@puremalarkey I mean, they are really bad. But what can we do to stop them? I believe we can do something, probably. But this is not something that will stop them. It just isn't.
@stan_keshi The point is, America's racial composition has changed. We are now only 73% White+Black. I want to know what that does to our society. I'm pretty optimistic it will be good. But I want to understand the changes.
@DLEG101 https://t.co/f6uquuxzlw
@stan_keshi I feel like you're just making up new definitions for common words in order to justify misuse of those words.
@monopaulist Well, more than fractious, it makes them look chaotic and hapless.
@monopaulist Maybe, but it makes Dems look fractious
@puremalarkey Blowing up the infra bill to get Manchin is like hitting Manchin in the knee with our nuts.
@puremalarkey Yes, because I don't actually know how to threaten them. I assume there are threats. I just know this isn't one. This isn't a threat. So let's not tell ourselves it is.
@Theophite Manchin and Sinema will take no heat if progressives vote down a bill that Manchin and Sinema voted for. So blowing up that bill is simply not a credible threat.
@jaycaspiankang Yep. Suburbs have always been the engines of integration in America, possibly because they're just so hellishly isolating that you have to hang out with whoever there is.
@stan_keshi So if your parents die and you're still here, you didn't replace them because you're genetically related to them??
@puremalarkey The answer is no, of course. So the question becomes how to credibly threaten them. And blowing up infra just isn't any kind of a threat to them. So use the threats we do have.
@Theophite @samdman95 Draw me the strategy payoff matrix and tell me if we're facing a prisoner's dilemma, hotshot
@samdman95 Whoa, they broke a promise? HOW FUCKING DARE THEY, who could have ever foreseen this. Well, some assholes broke a promise, we better blow shit up now
@puremalarkey There's just no convincing argument here that killing infrastructure, or even just threatening to kill it, will exert any kind of leverage over the centrists. If I thought it would it would be a different ball game.
@Bamfurlough Oof I'm sorry.
@levraibzzz Ooh, got data on that?
@puremalarkey It's stream of consciousness, but it's also based on the conceit that progressive Twitter's opinion corresponds to public opinion. And when has that ever proven to be true? Such inside baseball. I'm sorry.
Important news: Despite having lost a bit of weight, Cinnamon is still fat ❤️ https://t.co/BUKmcOKmEw
@stan_keshi Are you a replacement for your parents?
@puremalarkey Dear Lord, this is so bad
@ringtrick I mean, I was going to praise Haitian immigration specifically, but I realized that no one actually cares anymore.
Anyway, killing infrastructure will not hurt Manchin; he voted FOR the bill. Threatening to kill the bill will not compel Manchin to support reconciliation; other means of compulsion must be found. Vote for the infra bill because it's good, and because it's progressive. (end)
@puremalarkey Nobody takes heat for the death of things they vote in favor of!
@puremalarkey They voted for the infra bill. If it dies they won't take the heat; they voted for it. The complex idea that its survival hinged on a deal about the reconciliation bill will not make it into the heads of American voters; it's far too complex.
Was going to write a post about how well Haitian immigrants do in America, and then I realized it doesn't matter, because the people who really care about halting immigration don't actually give a shit about that, and everyone else already likes immigrants. https://t.co/UN4Z26Ba4O
@ImNotOwned @Taara535 Why are people acting like this is an alternative to the reconciliation bill? The idea that killing this bill will hurt Manchin in any way is fantasy.
@JimJamison84 Days or weeks are fine. But if that turns into months, it saps Biden's momentum, and that will be bad. Most worryingly, if Manchin calls progressives' bluff, and they actually vote DOWN the bill, that's a disaster.
@puremalarkey It's not fine; Manchin and Sinema are horrible. But can they be compelled by threatening the infra bill? If it goes down, they don't take any heat. They were fine not passing infra in 2019, and 2018, and 2017, etc. They'll be fine. This is not leverage.
@TheOmniZaddy I mean of course they need to do this, but threatening the infra bill is pointless; if it fails, Manchin and Sinema won't take the blame for its failure. So there's no leverage there. Instead, simply put them in the spotlight as the obstructionists they are.
@puremalarkey There's no goddamn leverage there. If the infrastructure bill fails, Manchin and Sinema won't be blamed; they voted for it.
@TWOMARD @BrandyFromTX Whether the infra bill passes will have no effect on their votes, unfortunately. If it fails to pass they won't take the blame.
@DanFagella But I agree with that.
@KI7BDA They are really good with fatty food, not as good on their own. In my opinion.
@wophugus Both are true, and both perspectives will continue to oscillate as needed in the future.
@BrandyFromTX You're absolutely right, of course.
I should start talking to people like this of anyone brings up anything about confectionery (thankfully no one ever does, because I'd be insufferable). https://t.co/g19fpReVNz
@Noahpinion Yeah, this is not a great way to strengthen the breadth of their appeal, though perhaps it comes across as more noble than hapless to the base.
@Noahpinion @Theophite @samdman95 Sinema and Manchin win because they get nice lobbyist careers to fall back on, and America gets nothing because that’s what we ultimately want.
@EEMthethird @Noahpinion Sir take that back, I was contemptible well before I got my jd.
@Noahpinion I needed this. I just had a package stolen for the third time in the past two months. Cinnamon soothes my rage.
@Noahpinion I think the strategy here is more like: “threaten loudly to defect while stalling for a couple weeks and then sulkingly cooperate when the obvious bluff is called.” It doesn’t accomplish much, but maybe it maximizes news coverage or something?
@Noahpinion Ya he is 😊 https://t.co/VELb9d18Ea
@Noahpinion Also, I support giving pet rabbits exotic dancer names. Is the other one named Sapphire or Tarzan?
@Noahpinion 楓糖 Fengtang, means maple syrup (named by @kejjmad)
@Noahpinion @stan_keshi I think it'd be more reasonable to say that most people won't care about it.
@stan_keshi @Noahpinion You can think of nationhood as a: (1) blood and soil, or (b) shared ideals and shared purpose. In the first concept, ethnic demographics is integral for nationhood, in the other it isn’t. Which one are you for?
@Noahpinion The Jiang and Hu mode had serious shortcomings, which gave Xi legitimacy as he went the other direction.
@Noahpinion Privacy was good.
@Noahpinion Among my questions is how did she aquire the bear urine?
Just blocked somebody for talking shit about @noahsmith’s rabbit.
@Noahpinion I already think you are an idiot if you have ONE JD, much less two. That is contemptible.
@Noahpinion linking this here since I *did* type up a whole bunch of counterarguments I don't think anyone saw because I apparently dislike myself https://t.co/hJPDikBqRM
@Noahpinion So he paid double? Can’t be a smart decision.
@bluefiddleguy @noahsmith @Noahpinion Oops! apologies @noahsmith, although I would also stand up for your hypothetical rabbits. Yes @noahpinion’s rabbit, specifically Cinnamon.
@Noahpinion https://t.co/RtIKyR8D5L
@Noahpinion @znmeb Right, sometimes it's an Iterated Ultimatum Game
@stan_keshi @Noahpinion Consoles were banned in China for like a decade
@yayitsrob The econs who signed that "carbon tax über alles" letter? Have at it. :) The rest of us? https://t.co/byGKtoRiZu
Report authors are: @uiweala1 @KatieAuth @toddjmoss @MutisoRose @MurefuBarasa @MBazilian @bhandlerenergy @malemayehou @MssZeeUsman
Climate justice must = global energy equity. 6 principles to guide energy investment in Africa, w/ @uiweala1 @MurefuBarasa @MutisoRose @MBazilian @bhandlerenergy @toddjmoss @MssZeeUsman @malemayehou https://t.co/Wd1aUDTLp8
@Nate_Cohn @mattyglesias After 2012 a new generation of staffers entered into the Democratic party with empirically incorrect views about the composition of the electorate and the effectiveness of persuasion and the net effect was that a lot of the previous CW was seen as obsolete
summoning circle, hope this works 🕯 🕯 🕯 🕯 future wife 🕯 🕯 doesn’t like throw 🕯 🕯 pillows on bed 🕯 🕯 🕯 🕯
Gotta say I am not detecting a lot of engagement with the BIF, the reconciliation bill, the possible shutdown, or the debt ceiling among anyone in the civilian population.
@jonathanchait @Redistrict I think it will mostly make them more comfortable casting party line votes that in turn immunize them from primary challenges.
$7.8 Trillion of debt added during the Trump administration. Once again my fellow Democrats are losing the MESSAGING GAME.
Work requirements and low means testing thresholds don't work if we don't have the ability to actually know if people are working or what their means are in real time. Need to make policy with attention to these constraints!
@mattyglesias @BrendanNyhan @hakeemjefferson @vbhoyo These appeals have been part of Dem politics for a long time; there have been universalizing trends that have taken what used to be understood as explicitly transactional politics and created unintended audiences for it. It's context collapse.
it's hard to see other ppl living out your dreams https://t.co/OCmQK0TlI6
@KenCaldeira Wow. I wouldn’t have gotten either of those. EO to me would mean Executive Office.
@JaclynLeeTV @BensalemPolice @6abc hi Jaclyn, can you tell me what the benefit would be to someone handing out $80+ worth of edibles to children on Halloween. Did the cops tell you what the benefit of doing that could possibly be. If not, did you ask them. Thanks.
@GretaThunberg You wonderful genius. That is the best use of sarcasm and speaking truth to power I have ever seen. Alok Sharma glowering on the screen above you as you roasted him and our government was an image to behold.
@mattyglesias All of the above. Householder rates never recovered from GR, it’s just moving back towards historical norm.
That is the best speaking of truth to power and the appropriate use of sarcasm I have ever seen. A true genius at work.
Huge contrast with Biden coming out for vaccine mandates which electrified some, pissed off others, but all in all got folks talking even though the actual policy steps he embraced were very modest. People care about Covid and the short-term economic situation, not this stuff.
I made a fall soup https://t.co/waN7OGPBK4
Important point from @MattBruenig. https://t.co/69qxKD5TMt https://t.co/jWT5tovyHJ
Tradeoffs like means-testing or adding burdens may not give you the long-run political support that survey experiments suggest. Classic @jbsoss & @sanfordschram piece shows that the promised support for welfare never emerged after 1990s welfare reform https://t.co/Q4cZCB5tmF https://t.co/opfYwBMI3k
absolutely baffling, what was npr thinking https://t.co/zLmuB99Tps
@TamarHaspel In the weeds is the birthplace of sciency shit
@jdcmedlock Joe Manchin is the Eric Hosmer of politics.
Yes, tho admittedly this didn't work out that well for the Padres ultimately https://t.co/RxFvhTQhFq
I think legally it has to be deposited at the Treasury but only while there's an active issuance of debt happening. Can you imagine the drama of some rando Nebraska Rep having to race to get it back on time.
They should give every member of Congress a day with The Coin like it's the Stanley Cup. Make it like pizza sized
Why do Jane Goodall or Marc Benioff think that the world needs a #TrillionTrees? It's a weird story about made up figures, an inspiring German, a flawed study, and a media frenzy. It all begins in 2013, with a boy’s speech in the UN assembly hall (1/15) https://t.co/z9jziH9U7J
Everyone's an assigning editor https://t.co/ubsv4tjgxk
@AtmosMag This one key thing. "We cannot solve the threats of human-induced climate change and loss of biodiversity in isolation. We either solve both or we solve neither." https://t.co/FUHZNH5ZCw
This is an expert maneuver of tax economists and lawyers. "What if we just flipped around what it's called, but it still had the exact same effect?" When you've got a good proposal, it's worth tricking the public and/or the law into accepting it. https://t.co/Y4E6ngMODK
That's right https://t.co/SF6QCkw5oO
@KenCaldeira @PatrickTBrown31 I 100% concur
Tawny was pretty mean to my parents’ new puppy, which I found *deeply* upsetting, but now the puppy is obsessed with her and very respectful (but loves to run and bite the face of my parents’ other dog). So who was playing chess and who was playing checkers?
Seeing folks sharing this 🧵 as if planting 🌳 is a waste of time. Note: 1) Reforestation is no climate silver bullet (nothing is) 2) IPCC 1.5C pathways require large-scale reforestation 3) Large-scale reforestation requires shrinking ag’s land footprint while feeding more people https://t.co/FhtOgA8Pip
@mat And your recipe for Bear Urine soup? I have people coming over this weekend and it’s going to screw up the whole event if I don’t have those instructions
The Sharon(ism) reading list: 1) Trade Wars are Class Wars https://t.co/JMcMktd31f
@theconnorlynch @mtsw @nycsouthpaw Denzel in Training Day saying "I didn't know you liked to get wet" after tricking Ethan Hawke into shooting up the vaccine with what he thought was a heroin needle
Anywho mini vacation is over now. Back to being a semi-functioning adult person.
Had a sweet idea for a column this week. But I fell back to sleep and forgot it. Pretty sure it had something to do with dragons.
This is not correct, individuals who become infected with COVID19 and recover exhibit highly variable levels of protective immunity vs reinfection. Some have protection, others very little or none. If you are infected and recovered, it’s still important for you to get vaccinated. https://t.co/PhTRGhvoX3
@EMCavalieri @EvergreenAction @hollyburkeAK YAY so excited for you and can’t wait to be working together again 🤗
NEW from @EvergreenAction: The Clean Electricity Performance Program is Reliable and Achievable. https://t.co/Wq9SWnM0am
Underneath this "hottest" blob of positive anomalies in North America it was 100°F at Hazen, ND Tuesday afternoon. This is the hottest reading that far north in recorded history for so late in September. @extremetemps https://t.co/3kTlv00oMZ
@ChrisMurphyCT @djrothkopf This response is too defensive. We are, thankfully, now in a position where our President and military can, and should, be criticized in some cases. Not allowing for this brings us back to the nightmare of Trump. By now, someone should have been fired for bombing children.
lots of great stuff in the @chrislhayes fame essay but "a pendulating wall of sound that is now the room tone of our collective mental lives" def reigns as the best description of internet discourse i've ever read https://t.co/FF6RKOimHP
@mat Too bad. Would have been powerful in a pissing contest
Look I'm not so arrogant as to expect to be among the top 50, but even setting me aside and looking at broader trends, it's conspicuous that there is not one, literally not one, Akan-Celt on this list. We still have a long way to go in confronting racism. https://t.co/9xv7Iyx6Rh
I'm going to be interviewing Microsoft's @kevin_scott today for #EmTechMIT - I hope you can join