Lens 2021-09-29T14:15:09

Tweets

@bopinion -- Tue Sep 28 05:20:06 +0000 2021
A deep dive into the mechanics of the world's most indebted real estate company https://t.co/1pfvWX69CK
@bopinion -- Wed Sep 29 13:12:03 +0000 2021
How can New Yorkers tell whether their city's recovery will continue? @Matthew_Winkler has the metric that really counts https://t.co/1h60cJAKat
@bopinion -- Tue Sep 28 04:59:03 +0000 2021
China's big economic problem isn't Evergrande. It's the entire economy https://t.co/tv8kTli9Yi
@bopinion -- Tue Sep 28 04:28:59 +0000 2021
China's big economic problem isn't Evergrande. It's the entire economy https://t.co/wIIBIKpV0w
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 17:12:41 +0000 2021
@csilverandgold Taking Biden hostage to threaten Manchin is the worst possible strategy here...who has more to lose from a failed Biden presidency, Manchin, or progressives? That's not a rhetorical question!
@Noahpinion -- Wed Sep 29 03:47:01 +0000 2021
@jdcmedlock It seems quite possible that it will play out differently, yes. But do we have evidence, beyond the popularity of Medicare and a couple of other non-means-tested programs?
@Noahpinion -- Wed Sep 29 01:39:25 +0000 2021
Ro is right https://t.co/KvQe0lhlTA
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 04:43:17 +0000 2021
Florida Man, meet California Woman https://t.co/IftwBLcyNJ
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 23:10:49 +0000 2021
You're a progressive, Liz! You're supposed to say Powell hasn't done enough easy money to help the little guy, not that he's encouraging financial crises and needs to tighten up! Come on!!
@swimming_blerd -- Tue Sep 28 05:33:06 +0000 2021
@Noahpinion https://t.co/S3zIN5gehM
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 05:57:35 +0000 2021
Your regular reminder that not every game is a Prisoner's Dilemma, and that the dominant strategy is not "defect" when "defect" hurts you without hurting the other player at all. https://t.co/xY4SDlliTW
@MandHF -- Tue Sep 28 06:00:16 +0000 2021
@Noahpinion You're right; this is a hostage situation where the hostage is either non-corporeal, or is actively belching carbon into the sky.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 22:12:51 +0000 2021
Yes https://t.co/eBPcrVvegU
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 18:45:24 +0000 2021
@CautionPesimism The economics
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 18:43:01 +0000 2021
The time to build nuclear was 45 years ago. We missed the window... https://t.co/c7zBgJjO3B
@dotorii_muk -- Tue Sep 28 06:47:15 +0000 2021
@Noahpinion Yeah take your own advice 👇 https://t.co/bhG3BADtrY
@Noahpinion -- Wed Sep 29 01:58:17 +0000 2021
One problem with the "big opening bid" theory is that people don't necessarily know what's "big". If the $3.5T bill gets cut down to $2.8T, was it gutted, or was $3.5T just a big opening bid?? https://t.co/L71CeVoG38
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 17:00:37 +0000 2021
@csilverandgold Hold out? Manchin doesn't care about the infrastructure bill. He won't take any loss at all if it fails. It's like taking some random store clerk hostage to try to stop the bad guy from getting away with the McGuffin. Bad guy just laughs and walks out the door.
@daguilarcanabal -- Tue Sep 28 05:32:09 +0000 2021
don't get it twisted yall https://t.co/MhcGWS7VHz
@NickTimiraos -- Tue Sep 28 14:40:00 +0000 2021
Powell is asked if the inflation we're seeing is broader and more structural than earlier in the year. "Yes, I think it's fair to say that it is." Supply bottlenecks "have not only not gotten better, they've actually gotten worse." He points to ships parked off the port of L.A.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 16:18:44 +0000 2021
How many rich people go to community college? Come on. https://t.co/cc1PZruUbU
@memeorandum -- Tue Sep 28 06:56:05 +0000 2021
Pass the damn infrastructure bill, dammit (@noahpinion / Noahpinion) https://t.co/Lx1wWH5UWh https://t.co/MwXOhItw7c
@jaycaspiankang -- Tue Sep 28 05:37:58 +0000 2021
@Noahpinion Seems like most of these areas are in the suburbs now
@bluefiddleguy -- Tue Sep 28 15:17:51 +0000 2021
@AngelicaOung @noahsmith @noahsmith or @Noahpinion ? Does have the given name Noah Smith automatically mean you have 🐇🐇🐇?
@stevemushero -- Tue Sep 28 05:24:27 +0000 2021
@Noahpinion Also in places like San Leandro - three-way mix of Latino, Black, and Asian, often in the same person (many of which are absurdly attractive). It's the future.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 18:34:00 +0000 2021
AND a diehard crusader against air pollution! https://t.co/30qhNEUhj4
@Noahpinion -- Wed Sep 29 01:44:06 +0000 2021
He just wants freedom from his eternal servitude https://t.co/br5ETAQNN4
@Matt_Alt -- Tue Sep 28 06:33:53 +0000 2021
That said, Dazai seems to have been more of a beer guy. https://t.co/NbiYREPztT
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 17:55:11 +0000 2021
"Tactical urbanism"!! https://t.co/NGKvJlsEid https://t.co/fVczkfddV2
@skdh -- Tue Sep 28 06:28:34 +0000 2021
One day our grandchildren will ask us, how did you cope with this pandemic back then, when one in 500 people around you died, and all we'll have to say is well, we got used to it. https://t.co/VZBIqPtVfU
@wophugus -- Tue Sep 28 06:54:02 +0000 2021
@EEMthethird @Noahpinion Sir take that back, I was contemptible well before I got my jd.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 14:15:00 +0000 2021
If progressives kill the infrastructure bill, they'll keep lead in the drinking water of millions of marginalized people. And they'll starve trains and buses of funding all across America. And they'll show Dems can't govern. DON'T DO THOSE THINGS. https://t.co/elVn2hsp9I
@jallepap -- Tue Sep 28 06:24:15 +0000 2021
vivid and to the point #synesthesia https://t.co/lf05d8oMOL
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 11:30:00 +0000 2021
The bipartisan infrastructure bill would be a huge win for progressivism. It would get rid of lead water pipes in America. It would pour $105 billion into trains and transit. It would prove that big government is good for the economy. TAKE THE W. https://t.co/elVn2haNL8
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 19:13:52 +0000 2021
I just tried to write "violence begets violence", and my keyboard corrected it to "violence Vegeta violence" Time to log off
@holz_bau -- Tue Sep 28 04:25:34 +0000 2021
how is cost of housing not even on this list? https://t.co/wbcGKyUqxm
@Noahpinion -- Wed Sep 29 01:36:01 +0000 2021
Fair point, I also tend to slaughter, rape and pillage when I'm confused, unless war has been officially declared in which case I restrain myself https://t.co/BZ0FK1qtJ6
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 18:20:43 +0000 2021
If you're an IQ Bro who spends all his time on Twitter talking about how important IQ is, I want to see you become a diehard crusader for lead pipe replacement. https://t.co/vigNmeLmTy
@znmeb -- Tue Sep 28 06:14:57 +0000 2021
@MattAlhonte @Noahpinion ICYMI https://t.co/b41gjFXUcj
@DerekMYoung -- Tue Sep 28 07:23:57 +0000 2021
@Noahpinion I worked at our law school CLE as an undergrad. Our director had a post JD degree & insisted we refer to him as Doctor. He made me write essays for the Federalist Society newsletter despite my being a public employee and 18. They were not good, because of incompetence and intent.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 04:40:05 +0000 2021
This is correct https://t.co/TxDvLEgIuq
@Noahpinion -- Wed Sep 29 02:08:19 +0000 2021
YES. THIS. 1000X THIS. https://t.co/aysfKfF75Y
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 18:15:22 +0000 2021
Jesus f***ing Christ get the lead out of drinking pipes right now https://t.co/WytYmo6ZlE
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 17:44:14 +0000 2021
New Pew research finds that Twitter is used by the 23% of Americans who think "I beg of you", "You idiot", and "Imagine thinking this" are persuasive arguments https://t.co/8p8rvz6VCR
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 16:22:05 +0000 2021
@thought_less_ Courage to do what, buddy? Spike a good bill that Manchin doesn't really care about, just out of spite? Yeah that's real mature. 🙄
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 16:15:42 +0000 2021
@BenjaminDanard Yes
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 07:46:57 +0000 2021
@DerekMYoung shit man, that sucks
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 07:45:40 +0000 2021
Wow, I didn't even know China was keeping some American hostages too! https://t.co/NltaBchZVC
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 07:44:19 +0000 2021
@stan_keshi Ceausescu banned Scrabble
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 07:31:40 +0000 2021
Kai Strittmatter's "We Have Been Harmonized" really home the point that under Deng, Jiang, and Hu, China really did create a novel, flexible, adaptible new form of autocracy...but then Xi Jinping came in and started turning it into something older and more familiar.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:57:32 +0000 2021
@puremalarkey Again, I think you're confusing public opinion with progressive Twitter opinion here, but now we're going in circles. Anyway, I will circle back when stuff happens, and we can see!
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:56:18 +0000 2021
@stan_keshi It does seem like it! 😊
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:55:57 +0000 2021
@clayranck @Theophite @samdman95 Thanks I hate it
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:54:16 +0000 2021
@EEMthethird Get em
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:52:07 +0000 2021
@puremalarkey They could never receive anything in return because no one else really cares about the infra bill. So pass it, because it's good, then use that success to gain popularity and help exert more pressure on Manchin by whatever methods do exist for exerting pressure on Manchin.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:49:45 +0000 2021
@bengrossbg Second one is to stop people from talking down to you
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:48:45 +0000 2021
@puremalarkey Just keep racking up wins man
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:48:10 +0000 2021
Today in Reply-Tweets: You're allowed to talk down to people about society if they have only ONE law degree. https://t.co/hK0Y9QDkEy
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:47:05 +0000 2021
@wolfe_herb I can't drink or do any drugs, medical issues
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:46:39 +0000 2021
@puremalarkey If bribery works, DO THAT SHIT. Hell yeah.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:45:22 +0000 2021
@stan_keshi Yeah
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:44:44 +0000 2021
@wolfe_herb Well u a poo poo hed
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:43:38 +0000 2021
@stan_keshi (2) is psychological
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:42:44 +0000 2021
@dotorii_muk https://t.co/X3RZ6ZfX5a
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:41:07 +0000 2021
@puremalarkey I mean, taking lead out of pipes is gooder than not taking lead out of pipes. Honestly that's something I never thought I'd see done in my lifetime.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:40:29 +0000 2021
@scorzeth @kejjmad Awwwwwwwwwwwww
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:37:42 +0000 2021
There are so many things about the pre-internet age that I want to go back and experience now that I've learned of their existence via the internet
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:35:10 +0000 2021
RT @Matt_Alt: I've written extensively about Japanese sensibilities inflecting global youth culture, but never imagined Osamu Dazai going v…
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:34:36 +0000 2021
@scorzeth What's his name?
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:34:08 +0000 2021
@stan_keshi The connection is psychological. It's not in the genes.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:33:34 +0000 2021
@puremalarkey Conservatives don't have any policy plans except preserve the status quo and ban CRT and abortion at the state level. They already got all their tax cuts. What's left to bribe them with? They're just gonna sit there and block everything as long as they can.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:31:25 +0000 2021
@puremalarkey I think the "until they get some of what they want" part is the flaw here. It's like step 2 in the Underpants Gnome plan. Remember, if Congress passes absolutely nothing, conservatives pretty much win.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:30:15 +0000 2021
@stan_keshi What?
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:29:31 +0000 2021
@stan_keshi I mean, I share genes with my ancestors, but the idea that this means I share ownership of a nation with them is purely psychological.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:28:02 +0000 2021
@puremalarkey If conservatives have a majority in Congress, they can do whatever the hell they want, legislation-wise.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:23:10 +0000 2021
@AImas8706 His name is Giggles, but that's similar to Gigolo
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:21:45 +0000 2021
@stan_keshi That's the ADOS view. But I think connections are in our heads, not our genes.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:18:46 +0000 2021
@scorzeth Damn that's a cute rabbit.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:18:20 +0000 2021
@stan_keshi I don't think your genetic definition of "replacement" makes any sense...
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:16:53 +0000 2021
@puremalarkey I mean, America is more conservative than us, and America's governing class is more conservative than America, and this is a problem. And it's a problem I don't think we can solve by refusing to remove lead from pipes.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:15:00 +0000 2021
@stan_keshi I mean, I just don't care about "founding stock" as much as you do. Or really at all, tbh. Like...who cares if you share genes with the Mayflower people? That means zilch to me. I don't understand why I should care about that. America isn't in the genetic code.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:13:10 +0000 2021
@puremalarkey Conservatives didn't even want to spend money on infrastructure. They definitely didn't want to give Biden a legislative victory.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:12:02 +0000 2021
@JHead1984 @VoidOfRoses I mean you're not wrong
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:11:29 +0000 2021
@RealPotatoFan Gave her smaller treats
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:10:20 +0000 2021
@heynottheface @samdman95 Who ever got blamed for killing a bill they voted for?
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:09:57 +0000 2021
@puremalarkey I mean, they are really bad. But what can we do to stop them? I believe we can do something, probably. But this is not something that will stop them. It just isn't.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:09:06 +0000 2021
@stan_keshi The point is, America's racial composition has changed. We are now only 73% White+Black. I want to know what that does to our society. I'm pretty optimistic it will be good. But I want to understand the changes.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:07:12 +0000 2021
@DLEG101 https://t.co/f6uquuxzlw
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:06:03 +0000 2021
@stan_keshi I feel like you're just making up new definitions for common words in order to justify misuse of those words.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:05:17 +0000 2021
@monopaulist Well, more than fractious, it makes them look chaotic and hapless.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:04:24 +0000 2021
@Theophite Welp
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:04:08 +0000 2021
@monopaulist Maybe, but it makes Dems look fractious
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:03:25 +0000 2021
@puremalarkey Blowing up the infra bill to get Manchin is like hitting Manchin in the knee with our nuts.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:02:51 +0000 2021
@puremalarkey Yes, because I don't actually know how to threaten them. I assume there are threats. I just know this isn't one. This isn't a threat. So let's not tell ourselves it is.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:01:59 +0000 2021
@Theophite Manchin and Sinema will take no heat if progressives vote down a bill that Manchin and Sinema voted for. So blowing up that bill is simply not a credible threat.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 06:00:14 +0000 2021
@jaycaspiankang Yep. Suburbs have always been the engines of integration in America, possibly because they're just so hellishly isolating that you have to hang out with whoever there is.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 05:58:57 +0000 2021
@stan_keshi So if your parents die and you're still here, you didn't replace them because you're genetically related to them??
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 05:58:24 +0000 2021
@puremalarkey The answer is no, of course. So the question becomes how to credibly threaten them. And blowing up infra just isn't any kind of a threat to them. So use the threats we do have.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 05:56:10 +0000 2021
@Theophite @samdman95 Draw me the strategy payoff matrix and tell me if we're facing a prisoner's dilemma, hotshot
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 05:53:22 +0000 2021
@samdman95 Whoa, they broke a promise? HOW FUCKING DARE THEY, who could have ever foreseen this. Well, some assholes broke a promise, we better blow shit up now
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 05:51:57 +0000 2021
@puremalarkey There's just no convincing argument here that killing infrastructure, or even just threatening to kill it, will exert any kind of leverage over the centrists. If I thought it would it would be a different ball game.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 05:50:31 +0000 2021
@Bamfurlough Oof I'm sorry.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 05:47:29 +0000 2021
@levraibzzz Ooh, got data on that?
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 05:46:54 +0000 2021
@puremalarkey It's stream of consciousness, but it's also based on the conceit that progressive Twitter's opinion corresponds to public opinion. And when has that ever proven to be true? Such inside baseball. I'm sorry.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 05:46:03 +0000 2021
Important news: Despite having lost a bit of weight, Cinnamon is still fat ❤️ https://t.co/BUKmcOKmEw
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 05:45:07 +0000 2021
@stan_keshi Are you a replacement for your parents?
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 05:43:23 +0000 2021
@puremalarkey Dear Lord, this is so bad
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 05:32:23 +0000 2021
@ringtrick I mean, I was going to praise Haitian immigration specifically, but I realized that no one actually cares anymore.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 05:31:44 +0000 2021
Anyway, killing infrastructure will not hurt Manchin; he voted FOR the bill. Threatening to kill the bill will not compel Manchin to support reconciliation; other means of compulsion must be found. Vote for the infra bill because it's good, and because it's progressive. (end)
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 05:28:44 +0000 2021
@puremalarkey Nobody takes heat for the death of things they vote in favor of!
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 05:28:29 +0000 2021
@puremalarkey They voted for the infra bill. If it dies they won't take the heat; they voted for it. The complex idea that its survival hinged on a deal about the reconciliation bill will not make it into the heads of American voters; it's far too complex.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 05:27:30 +0000 2021
Was going to write a post about how well Haitian immigrants do in America, and then I realized it doesn't matter, because the people who really care about halting immigration don't actually give a shit about that, and everyone else already likes immigrants. https://t.co/UN4Z26Ba4O
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 05:25:37 +0000 2021
@ImNotOwned @Taara535 Why are people acting like this is an alternative to the reconciliation bill? The idea that killing this bill will hurt Manchin in any way is fantasy.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 05:18:20 +0000 2021
@JimJamison84 Days or weeks are fine. But if that turns into months, it saps Biden's momentum, and that will be bad. Most worryingly, if Manchin calls progressives' bluff, and they actually vote DOWN the bill, that's a disaster.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 05:16:47 +0000 2021
@puremalarkey It's not fine; Manchin and Sinema are horrible. But can they be compelled by threatening the infra bill? If it goes down, they don't take any heat. They were fine not passing infra in 2019, and 2018, and 2017, etc. They'll be fine. This is not leverage.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 05:03:39 +0000 2021
@TheOmniZaddy I mean of course they need to do this, but threatening the infra bill is pointless; if it fails, Manchin and Sinema won't take the blame for its failure. So there's no leverage there. Instead, simply put them in the spotlight as the obstructionists they are.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 05:02:36 +0000 2021
@puremalarkey There's no goddamn leverage there. If the infrastructure bill fails, Manchin and Sinema won't be blamed; they voted for it.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 05:02:09 +0000 2021
@TWOMARD @BrandyFromTX Whether the infra bill passes will have no effect on their votes, unfortunately. If it fails to pass they won't take the blame.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 04:46:28 +0000 2021
@DanFagella But I agree with that.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 04:42:39 +0000 2021
@wolfe_herb OK sensei
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 04:42:04 +0000 2021
@KI7BDA They are really good with fatty food, not as good on their own. In my opinion.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 04:41:24 +0000 2021
@BenjaminDanard Agreed.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 04:41:16 +0000 2021
@wophugus Both are true, and both perspectives will continue to oscillate as needed in the future.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 04:39:55 +0000 2021
@BrandyFromTX You're absolutely right, of course.
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 04:24:51 +0000 2021
@VoidOfRoses Yes...and?
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 04:24:05 +0000 2021
@PatrickLeijon @whstancil Well, the fact is, I was right, and eventually everyone agreed with me, and it was not I who was burnt :-)
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 04:23:32 +0000 2021
@SamJabbers @whstancil Man, owned
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 04:23:13 +0000 2021
@SamJabbers @whstancil No I didn't, I said they were nuts
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 04:22:49 +0000 2021
@patio11 Well, why don't we average over the past decade
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 04:21:48 +0000 2021
@ThinkMiamiBeach That wasn't even one of my arguments
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 04:11:42 +0000 2021
@puremalarkey You have no counterarguments to any of the points, do you
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 04:05:06 +0000 2021
@amicus_obscura "Burn it all down"? Man, shut up
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 04:04:22 +0000 2021
@JHead1984 @klein86alex This is so goddamn dumb
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 04:03:04 +0000 2021
@SeanErnst Cut their losses? Fuck that! Take all the Ws!!!
@Noahpinion -- Tue Sep 28 04:02:39 +0000 2021
Voting down the infrastructure bill -- or threatening to vote it down -- doesn't do a damn thing to pressure Manchin and Sinema. They get to sit back and watch progressives be the obstructionists. PUT THEM ON THE DEFENSIVE!!
@rincredible -- Tue Sep 28 07:06:40 +0000 2021
I should start talking to people like this of anyone brings up anything about confectionery (thankfully no one ever does, because I'd be insufferable). https://t.co/g19fpReVNz
@paulbaumgart -- Tue Sep 28 06:10:28 +0000 2021
@Noahpinion Yeah, this is not a great way to strengthen the breadth of their appeal, though perhaps it comes across as more noble than hapless to the base.
@clayranck -- Tue Sep 28 06:55:33 +0000 2021
@Noahpinion @Theophite @samdman95 Sinema and Manchin win because they get nice lobbyist careers to fall back on, and America gets nothing because that’s what we ultimately want.
@Bamfurlough -- Tue Sep 28 05:49:36 +0000 2021
@Noahpinion I needed this. I just had a package stolen for the third time in the past two months. Cinnamon soothes my rage.
@AImas8706 -- Tue Sep 28 05:50:41 +0000 2021
@Noahpinion *big boned
@paulbaumgart -- Tue Sep 28 06:02:23 +0000 2021
@Noahpinion I think the strategy here is more like: “threaten loudly to defect while stalling for a couple weeks and then sulkingly cooperate when the obvious bluff is called.” It doesn’t accomplish much, but maybe it maximizes news coverage or something?
@scorztv -- Tue Sep 28 06:34:08 +0000 2021
@Noahpinion Ya he is 😊 https://t.co/VELb9d18Ea
@AImas8706 -- Tue Sep 28 05:51:27 +0000 2021
@Noahpinion Also, I support giving pet rabbits exotic dancer names. Is the other one named Sapphire or Tarzan?
@scorztv -- Tue Sep 28 06:38:40 +0000 2021
@Noahpinion 楓糖 Fengtang, means maple syrup (named by @kejjmad)
@Lehramt1 -- Tue Sep 28 06:20:02 +0000 2021
@Noahpinion @stan_keshi I think it'd be more reasonable to say that most people won't care about it.
@PENGINDAKARA -- Tue Sep 28 06:38:26 +0000 2021
@Noahpinion zoomer moment
@fsanchez1983 -- Tue Sep 28 05:36:31 +0000 2021
@stan_keshi @Noahpinion You can think of nationhood as a: (1) blood and soil, or (b) shared ideals and shared purpose. In the first concept, ethnic demographics is integral for nationhood, in the other it isn’t. Which one are you for?
@AlexYang9 -- Tue Sep 28 11:22:21 +0000 2021
@Noahpinion The Jiang and Hu mode had serious shortcomings, which gave Xi legitimacy as he went the other direction.
@Jack_Pondit -- Tue Sep 28 06:39:04 +0000 2021
@Noahpinion Privacy was good.
@lvaughn -- Tue Sep 28 05:08:40 +0000 2021
@Noahpinion Among my questions is how did she aquire the bear urine?
@AngelicaOung -- Tue Sep 28 15:15:49 +0000 2021
Just blocked somebody for talking shit about @noahsmith’s rabbit.
@EEMthethird -- Tue Sep 28 06:50:32 +0000 2021
@Noahpinion I already think you are an idiot if you have ONE JD, much less two. That is contemptible.
@puremalarkey -- Tue Sep 28 05:41:53 +0000 2021
@Noahpinion linking this here since I *did* type up a whole bunch of counterarguments I don't think anyone saw because I apparently dislike myself https://t.co/hJPDikBqRM
@racheleesthinks -- Tue Sep 28 06:54:10 +0000 2021
@Noahpinion So he paid double? Can’t be a smart decision.
@AngelicaOung -- Tue Sep 28 15:21:10 +0000 2021
@bluefiddleguy @noahsmith @Noahpinion Oops! apologies @noahsmith, although I would also stand up for your hypothetical rabbits. Yes @noahpinion’s rabbit, specifically Cinnamon.
@scorztv -- Tue Sep 28 06:18:26 +0000 2021
@Noahpinion https://t.co/RtIKyR8D5L
@MattAlhonte -- Tue Sep 28 06:04:23 +0000 2021
@Noahpinion @znmeb Right, sometimes it's an Iterated Ultimatum Game
@cory_fitz -- Tue Sep 28 07:45:24 +0000 2021
@stan_keshi @Noahpinion Consoles were banned in China for like a decade
@TimOBrien -- Tue Sep 28 21:04:21 +0000 2021
"Trump’s handlers designated an unnamed White House official known as the 'Music Man' to play him his favorite show tunes, including 'Memory' from 'Cats,' to pull him from the brink of rage." https://t.co/JzoRavwJkn
@JTLonsdale -- Tue Sep 28 14:11:15 +0000 2021
Hrmm. These are clearly well-meaning but economically illiterate people. That is unfortunate. https://t.co/YXjr8fkYOa
@nfergus -- Tue Sep 28 12:17:38 +0000 2021
So widespread is self-censorship on U.S. campuses, as @SamuelAbramsAEI argues here https://t.co/JA2J2Obaez, that one wonders how far these Harvard results were skewed by self-censored answers: https://t.co/60O81ggF77
@nfergus -- Tue Sep 28 12:17:38 +0000 2021
I mean, if you were a first-year undergraduate in 2021, would you admit to the Harvard Crimson that you were a conservative?
@nfergus -- Tue Sep 28 04:56:42 +0000 2021
RT @bopinion: China's big economic problem isn't Evergrande. It's the entire economy https://t.co/wIIBIKpV0w
@lisaabramowicz1 -- Wed Sep 29 08:50:37 +0000 2021
While stocks, bonds and oil have gotten most of the attention this week, the dollar is arguably the more interesting story. The greenback has risen to its strongest vs peers in almost a year, despite a potential U.S. default & the prospect of less fiscal spending than expected https://t.co/YT0gTE2eRR
@lisaabramowicz1 -- Tue Sep 28 08:38:14 +0000 2021
There are six seats on the Federal Open Market Committee that could be filled in the coming months, including two posts previously filled by more hawkish voices. One question now is whether there'll be even less dissent on a dovish & more dovish Fed. https://t.co/qbNO4jKphF
@tylercowen -- Tue Sep 28 11:24:48 +0000 2021
https://t.co/xa5oMpnh9R
@tylercowen -- Tue Sep 28 14:49:01 +0000 2021
RT @danielgross: Hybrid is the new remote, and there's no software for it. We need things like: 1. Connect go Gcal and coordinate who come…
@tylercowen -- Tue Sep 28 14:48:26 +0000 2021
RT @shikhadalmia: Orban is attacking churches in Hungary. But CPAC has chosen Budapest for its 2022 confab, signaling the ominous direction…
@tylercowen -- Tue Sep 28 13:48:57 +0000 2021
RT @yurimilner: Less than a decade after CRISPR, another gene-editing system has been identified in bacteria and re-engineered to work in h…
@yurimilner -- Tue Sep 28 13:44:41 +0000 2021
Less than a decade after CRISPR, another gene-editing system has been identified in bacteria and re-engineered to work in human cells. https://t.co/1rXaDDHTkh
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 19:12:56 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart To the extent it has, those voters already switched over to Biden from Romney.
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 19:11:01 +0000 2021
Yes, this too. It's all so weird. https://t.co/5AeVoxonD7
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 19:40:25 +0000 2021
@modestproposal1 Obviously Republicans are shitheads for voting no, but there’s no excuse for Dems to be in this position to begin with, a problem entirely of their own making.
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 19:18:22 +0000 2021
The Dem debt ceiling politicking seems to be aimed at college-educated white people who voted for Trump/the GOP, and I’m skeptical those voters can be moved on the debt ceiling (or perhaps on anything other than fuzzy feelings of good governance that persist through 2024).
@StaceyShick -- Wed Sep 29 13:33:24 +0000 2021
@conorsen I recently read an article that mentioned a kid selling lollipops who got shutdown and it definitely made me feel old
@StaceyShick -- Wed Sep 29 13:28:35 +0000 2021
@conorsen Ice cream costing more than $2 still feels a bit crazy after selling $1.10 small cones in high school.
@joe_sheehan -- Tue Sep 28 18:51:08 +0000 2021
My new marketing director. https://t.co/qHyuA3s67J
@davidshor -- Wed Sep 29 15:36:55 +0000 2021
@Nate_Cohn @mattyglesias After 2012 a new generation of staffers entered into the Democratic party with empirically incorrect views about the composition of the electorate and the effectiveness of persuasion and the net effect was that a lot of the previous CW was seen as obsolete
@mattyglesias -- Tue Sep 28 22:42:27 +0000 2021
Huge contrast with Biden coming out for vaccine mandates which electrified some, pissed off others, but all in all got folks talking even though the actual policy steps he embraced were very modest. People care about Covid and the short-term economic situation, not this stuff.
@NatBullard -- Wed Sep 29 12:31:22 +0000 2021
Hey @conorsen if you can hold out another nine years your new beater will be guaranteed electric https://t.co/mq0hoPTdKG
@ModeledBehavior -- Wed Sep 29 11:32:21 +0000 2021
@conorsen @TheStalwart Aimed a cannon at Powell, but accidentally blew herself up
@ModeledBehavior -- Wed Sep 29 13:25:09 +0000 2021
<New research alert> Today I have a new report out using Upwork’s survey of 1,000 hiring managers. We look at trends in remote work, and the key takeaway is this: remote work is a general purpose technology with many downstream spillovers to come. https://t.co/6kP89BM1dH
@ModeledBehavior -- Tue Sep 28 22:45:17 +0000 2021
@mattyglesias Higher householder rates, not more people. That is my guess
@IvanTheK -- Tue Sep 28 19:45:51 +0000 2021
@Fullcarry As they should have done when Trump was POTUS.
@IvanTheK -- Tue Sep 28 19:43:28 +0000 2021
The debt ceiling is not going to be a electoral issue, IMO. Dems are scared of their own shadow.
@ShiraOvide -- Tue Sep 28 14:25:50 +0000 2021
Different circumstances BUT. Reading this reminded me of reporting in @sheeraf & @ceciliakang's book that Facebook made a bad situation much, much, much worse by dithering and arguing with Congress over turning over the specific posts from Russia-backed propaganda around 2016. https://t.co/YUyvByz48L
@AdamSerwer -- Tue Sep 28 12:33:43 +0000 2021
The vaccine mandate is a clarifying example of police unions being entirely indifferent to public safety, because there’s no risk at all to the officers and no real opportunity to frame it as somehow leading to more crime. They just think they ought to be exempt from the rules. https://t.co/CPtNhyRHFF
@BobOnMarkets -- Wed Sep 29 12:10:34 +0000 2021
America's intellectual class doesn't seem to paying full attention to the policy implications of Biden's economic agenda, says @tylercowen https://t.co/ZZ4EjzOFRG via @bopinion
@rorycooper -- Tue Sep 28 22:36:03 +0000 2021
I guess McConnell should've hired sky writers or something because the whole thing has been pretty clear since mid-summer. https://t.co/MnPcKkWZCk
@pearkes -- Wed Sep 29 13:37:53 +0000 2021
@conorsen that plus leadership not telling them "either you vote for reco to keep the party together or you're not in the party anymore"
@pearkes -- Wed Sep 29 13:30:45 +0000 2021
I'm on a daily basis deeply confused by just about every Democratic Party faction's actions in this whole thing. https://t.co/rO1N7ATLml
@pearkes -- Tue Sep 28 15:58:25 +0000 2021
This is patently ridiculous rhetoric from Warren and anybody with an iota of knowledge about Powell's record can't take it seriously. https://t.co/QYo0dDaRAI
@ShiraOvide -- Tue Sep 28 13:52:46 +0000 2021
I will be bringing up “Ekejechb ecehggedkrrnikldebgtkjkddhfdenbhbkuk" repeatedly and forever.
@modestproposal1 -- Tue Sep 28 19:38:46 +0000 2021
@conorsen watching the only thing standing between us and the constitutional wrecking ball that is the prior president repeatedly attempt self immolation is concerning. rather than competence they're demonstrating total ignorance of the peril looming in 2024 as they bicker among themselves
@kateconger -- Wed Sep 29 17:10:11 +0000 2021
@ShiraOvide Amazon…….. hire me
@danprimack -- Wed Sep 29 17:41:23 +0000 2021
Soon there will be a deep profile on Carlos Watson. And if it's not called The Wizard of OZY, someone should be fired.
@mattmday -- Wed Sep 29 13:34:15 +0000 2021
@mcwm @bryanrbeal that iRobot was the only thing Wall Street could find to sell off when Amazon took the wrapping off Astro at least proves the point this is new ground, whatever that's worth "Hey, Phil, Amazon's entering a new market" "Short the incumbents" "Uh, all I see are the vacuum guys?"
@ShiraOvide -- Tue Sep 28 17:23:33 +0000 2021
Dave Limp: "People don't just want Alexa on wheels." Everyone: ALEXA ON WHEELS. https://t.co/0YUR5KsxUX
@ShiraOvide -- Tue Sep 28 16:27:36 +0000 2021
Recap of Amazon devices event so far: AMBIENT INTELLIGENCE! KIDS! BRAND DEALS!
@puiwingtam -- Tue Sep 28 14:32:59 +0000 2021
@ShiraOvide no
@pierce -- Wed Sep 29 20:09:45 +0000 2021
Ain't no petty like billionaire petty, 'cuz billionaire petty involves PR people and really long PDFs https://t.co/68x8UbRLDk
@ShiraOvide -- Tue Sep 28 13:48:20 +0000 2021
Like Microsoft's CEO, whatever the heck that was with TikTok and the U.S. government brokered sale (that never happened) was one of the weirdest things I've seen in business. https://t.co/AbK7cJWfE5
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 18:19:23 +0000 2021
It's pretty obvious who's face should be on the trillion dollar coin IYKYK https://t.co/1IJn6itgyk
@drewharwell -- Wed Sep 29 17:03:58 +0000 2021
"Fear is a powerful emotion. We will buy anything to protect what we care about. But it’s also unnerving that the vision from one of America’s great innovators involves erecting 24/7 virtual sentinels inside and outside our homes" https://t.co/snKZhBtju7 @ShiraOvide
@ShiraOvide -- Tue Sep 28 14:29:46 +0000 2021
@puiwingtam (the bunny IS cute. Also the snake.)
@jordannovet -- Wed Sep 29 17:09:32 +0000 2021
'Amazon is America’s silliest inventor.' https://t.co/MJRoQRPvHl
@jordannovet -- Tue Sep 28 14:51:28 +0000 2021
@ShiraOvide feels reasonably likely - meta-research, searches for products from the same company
@jordannovet -- Tue Sep 28 14:39:58 +0000 2021
@ShiraOvide would guess that 'chrome' would also be popular
@ShiraOvide -- Tue Sep 28 13:49:55 +0000 2021
This is also my excuse to again mention that two of America's biggest companies had this response to their deal for TikTok: “Ekejechb ecehggedkrrnikldebgtkjkddhfdenbhbkuk.” (Also the deal never happened. In hindsight, correct response.) https://t.co/TnsO5ybw4I
@mhstein -- Wed Sep 29 17:16:24 +0000 2021
@ShiraOvide Alton Brown did this on his show Good Eats about 10 years ago :) (It does work)
@mattmday -- Tue Sep 28 18:44:28 +0000 2021
@ShiraOvide looks kinda modular. In another setting the cup holders were removed and it was toting around the Furbo "fire treats at your dog by pushing a button" machine.
@vikasbajaj -- Tue Sep 28 18:46:26 +0000 2021
@ShiraOvide When all else fails, add a cup holder. Not unlike designing a car.
@Moonalice -- Wed Sep 29 19:03:41 +0000 2021
Another outstanding piece from @ShiraOvide. Amazon is applying its brilliant product and marketing skills in the most dystopian possible way: scaring people into buy surveillance products that lower the quality of life of everyone they touch. https://t.co/pFyTZ8T3wq
@blm849 -- Tue Sep 28 14:24:18 +0000 2021
This is a great thread. Twitter is great. :) https://t.co/JMTUQFAgSD
@katologic -- Tue Sep 28 16:28:59 +0000 2021
@ShiraOvide my new rule is "no device with a built-in camera other than my computer and phone" in my home
@ShiraOvide -- Wed Sep 29 17:13:35 +0000 2021
I want the number one question in technology to be: IS THIS A GOOD IDEA? (And apologies to all my colleagues who have been on the receiving end of my all caps messages like that.) https://t.co/ksMgu29jEe
@ShiraOvide -- Wed Sep 29 17:08:09 +0000 2021
Very THIS vibes: https://t.co/QiI1019t71
@ShiraOvide -- Wed Sep 29 17:07:43 +0000 2021
Yes, that is an Astro, cordless drill toothbrush AND a Flowbee from @demidovaway. This is what happens when you mention to the art director: Amazon is Ron Popeil, but more weird. https://t.co/lxsnGDcXG5
@ShiraOvide -- Wed Sep 29 17:04:14 +0000 2021
In today's On Tech: I wrote about what's thrilling about Amazon's "SURE, WHY NOT?!" approach to product development. And also what I fear about the ethos of invent first, and see what happens. https://t.co/YiSq6jIiX0
@ShiraOvide -- Wed Sep 29 16:44:12 +0000 2021
Read @CadeMetz's riveting story about the man who has tried just about every experience in virtual reality, loved it and then ...meh. He shows the allure of VR and its limitations. https://t.co/gYiHJ02u7S
@ShiraOvide -- Tue Sep 28 20:45:10 +0000 2021
@maureenmfarrell @nytimes @PreetaTweets !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
@ShiraOvide -- Tue Sep 28 18:43:35 +0000 2021
Update: They *are* cup holders. https://t.co/4paQCJBalz
@ShiraOvide -- Tue Sep 28 17:39:16 +0000 2021
Are those cup holders in the back? https://t.co/tawforYv86
@ShiraOvide -- Tue Sep 28 17:36:39 +0000 2021
Kudos to Eugene's sharp reporting on the thing now called Astro: https://t.co/C6UdaxXzKM
@ShiraOvide -- Tue Sep 28 17:31:42 +0000 2021
Also Pepper: https://t.co/GQg1SPV5uk
@ShiraOvide -- Tue Sep 28 17:30:38 +0000 2021
I may also have immediately though of Marty, the grocery store robot. https://t.co/CbM28UCGul
@ShiraOvide -- Tue Sep 28 17:03:58 +0000 2021
RT @DelRey: Yes, Amazon made a "home robot"
@ShiraOvide -- Tue Sep 28 14:58:18 +0000 2021
The WSJ article suggested that Facebook has a good handle on the flaws of its program that has effectively exempted influential people from the company's rules. The hard part is fixing what's broken and dealing with the fallout, no? https://t.co/F5oktwJQ0p
@ShiraOvide -- Tue Sep 28 14:42:34 +0000 2021
@jordannovet I was also curious if "Google" is also a popular search time in Google.
@ShiraOvide -- Tue Sep 28 14:20:16 +0000 2021
How does Google know this, exactly? (Presumably this is not an analysis that Microsoft would willingly give to Google.) https://t.co/29gVuHfSlD
@ShiraOvide -- Tue Sep 28 11:24:26 +0000 2021
A riveting, only in 2021 America story from @erinkwoo with amazing photos by Houston Cofield. (Warning for the snake-phobic, though.) Shout out to Horsey Haven Retirement Home. https://t.co/VJAaQOl0oF
@PaulGerard -- Tue Sep 28 18:59:35 +0000 2021
@ShiraOvide I want one now
@JJSingh -- Wed Sep 29 17:18:27 +0000 2021
@ShiraOvide Bravo. The question should extend to MUCH more than technology, but that would be an excellent start.
@erinkwoo -- Tue Sep 28 13:02:32 +0000 2021
@ShiraOvide Thank you, Shira!
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 01:40:41 +0000 2021
@ModeledBehavior I don’t think so?
@Bernstein -- Tue Sep 28 12:24:15 +0000 2021
I guess a tweet of mine got screengrabbed and posted by one of the truly big Instagram meme accounts. Now people I knew from like, Hebrew school, are reaching out to congratulate me — “I always knew you were talented,” “so insane,” etc. Puts my “accomplishments” in perspective.
@ryanavent -- Tue Sep 28 16:03:40 +0000 2021
He guided the US economy through an extremely dangerous period last spring, and pushed the Fed's policy framework in a more worker-friendly direction. If you don't like his finreg approach, fine, but "grave concern" is way over the top.
@SMTuffy -- Wed Sep 29 12:47:18 +0000 2021
@conorsen Ha, totally. In my mind a can of Coke costs 50¢
@SMTuffy -- Wed Sep 29 12:26:02 +0000 2021
@conorsen @followtheh Oh, yeah think the game has gotten bigger it took Kraft using (and then boning) Hartford as leverage to get all the concessions that he wanted from the state
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 12:15:47 +0000 2021
@SMTuffy It was somewhat recently — and I know what you mean, I turned on a random Rays-Astros baseball game last night and said “Oh right, the Astros are in the American League now.”
@SMTuffy -- Wed Sep 29 11:50:57 +0000 2021
@ModeledBehavior @sam_a_bell @conorsen @TheStalwart Yeah, especially in the context of the crisis being brought on by a sudden global pandemic. No amount of FinReg is going to protect the financial sector if the world shuts down
@karlbykarlsmith -- Tue Sep 28 14:30:12 +0000 2021
https://t.co/ZrNJ0ra5Gp https://t.co/dfpZXVH3Mw
@hassankhan -- Wed Sep 29 15:24:33 +0000 2021
@conorsen If policymakers don’t screw up this cycle firms are going to learn how to hire and train workers, raise prices, and invest in productivity enhancing capex
@SkeleCap -- Tue Sep 28 16:12:49 +0000 2021
@pearkes Love Liz on some stuff but her attitude towards financial sector regulation is at odds with a sector balance model AND helps (but does not completely) explain the anemic post-crisis growth in the USA. This goes beyond the pale.
@woodruffbets -- Wed Sep 29 01:39:29 +0000 2021
Jonathan just won an Emmy!!!
@SteveMatthews12 -- Wed Sep 29 15:07:29 +0000 2021
@conorsen Excellent question.
@MrBlonde_macro -- Wed Sep 29 13:59:30 +0000 2021
@conorsen more detail. industrials and materials notable part for sure. weakness always starts somewhere. 3Q is an interesting time for CEOs: can't say "expect improvement in 2H" and start to manage expectations for next year. notice seasonality in revisions. https://t.co/M2AehhDhsi
@MrBlonde_macro -- Wed Sep 29 13:50:25 +0000 2021
@conorsen ...after falling 30% from April
@MrBlonde_macro -- Wed Sep 29 12:30:54 +0000 2021
@conorsen @fcastofthemonth noted and one piece of the puzzle. but i was focused more on data evidence of covid impact rather than market emotion.
@StephanieKelton -- Tue Sep 28 23:31:11 +0000 2021
I would do anything to safeguard The Full Faith and Credit of the United States of America except commit to an all-of-the-above strategy—where everything’s on the table—to protect that sacred trust. Ditch the filibuster, mint the coin, whatever it takes. https://t.co/e35QsR3RBd
@CAVandy -- Wed Sep 29 12:45:10 +0000 2021
@conorsen oh I didn't know I was never a big soda drinker (or a 7-11 goer)
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 14:23:09 +0000 2021
#MTFC https://t.co/qXHgbrVGpm
@MattZeitlin -- Tue Sep 28 15:49:34 +0000 2021
https://t.co/qCopL63LEd
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 17:14:50 +0000 2021
Binge watching peaked in the mid-2010’s when the big cohort of Millennials were in their mid-20’s. Your time/energy’s just different at 40 with a couple kids. https://t.co/toza4l1PH3
@Fullcarry -- Tue Sep 28 19:45:23 +0000 2021
@IvanTheK I am not sure who the voter is that makes this the deciding factor. Dems should just increase the debt ceiling to a billion trillions and get rid of this issue forever
@ryanprociuk -- Tue Sep 28 14:25:23 +0000 2021
@conorsen Ever notice the same people who don't like the DH, also support the debt limit.
@markets -- Tue Sep 28 18:20:09 +0000 2021
The pandemic was brutal for Las Vegas, but don’t bet against a comeback https://t.co/dBeexyz1aY
@markets -- Tue Sep 28 11:55:04 +0000 2021
Investors who are male, over the age of 45, married or consider themselves as having “excellent investment experience” are more likely to “freak out” and dump their portfolio during a downturn https://t.co/ZYrX2tYaCg
@StevenTDennis -- Wed Sep 29 15:49:57 +0000 2021
@conorsen Also, Bernie Sanders voted against Brainard last time.
@StevenTDennis -- Wed Sep 29 15:36:22 +0000 2021
@conorsen Before yesterday, Manchin was the Democratic Senator most critical of Jerome Powell, though for different reasons than Warren. https://t.co/vjU0JtOPcr
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 01:39:02 +0000 2021
Linear TV programming is targeted at 55+ year olds, movies/TikTok/YouTube are for teens and 20-somethings…I guess the twitter takes game is dominated by people around my age.
@mucha_carlos -- Wed Sep 29 12:24:35 +0000 2021
@conorsen @jc_bradbury Between the Braves/Cobb stadium racket and the cartoonishly large 30% film production tax credit Georgia hands out, I’ve decided nothing would make me happier than if Congress taxed it away. https://t.co/dxyiJTZpV0
@DeanBaker13 -- Wed Sep 29 11:51:12 +0000 2021
@sam_a_bell @ModeledBehavior @conorsen @TheStalwart This comes up in the supply chain story too. You are not going to have a system that is 100 percent resilient so that it can withstand a once in a century worldwide pandemic without government support. It doesn't even make sense to try to build that
@CapitalEdgeNY -- Wed Sep 29 13:38:08 +0000 2021
@conorsen @pearkes hard to make progress with 'no and crazy'
@annmarie -- Wed Sep 29 15:01:02 +0000 2021
@conorsen Enter @StevenTDennis
@GrainSurgeon -- Wed Sep 29 12:19:52 +0000 2021
@conorsen And let me guess, the taxpayers won't profit either although the teams will get hundreds of millions in abatements
@petesaunders3 -- Wed Sep 29 12:17:08 +0000 2021
@conorsen Yup. And this will also be an increasingly suburban phenomenon. I passed by Truist Park/Battery in 2017. No activity during the week between Christmas and New Year's, but it looked surprisingly nice.
@OfficialSynanon -- Tue Sep 28 22:20:44 +0000 2021
@conorsen They’re overplaying a bad hand and need to make their next move already. I’m hoping that if BBB/BIF need to be punted (and a clean CR is probably a given) they’ll just do one of the things they already said they wouldn’t.
@gregsasso -- Wed Sep 29 12:17:47 +0000 2021
@conorsen This is correct, and will create a wedge between team revenue and team success.
@J264B -- Tue Sep 28 15:32:39 +0000 2021
@conorsen How is her statement actually true? Our banking system less safe? It just went through a major crisis without event.
@Jesselansner -- Tue Sep 28 17:29:28 +0000 2021
@conorsen We try to do a family movie night once a week, which means I see a decent amount of kid-friendly movies. But otherwise most of my TV watching is "something I can watch while folding the laundry or solving a few crossword puzzles and not miss any important details".
@mihirpshah -- Tue Sep 28 17:49:43 +0000 2021
@conorsen It only gets harder as the kids age. We’re super-behind on what we started over the past year: The Office (we watch with our 15-year-old) Schitt’s Creek Ted Lasso Queen’s Gambit MCU w/ kids is the only thing we seem to keep up with.
@Live_News_Nick -- Wed Sep 29 12:59:37 +0000 2021
(WSJ) - Dollar Tree Inc., which sells nearly everything for a dollar in its namesake chain, plans to add more products at slightly higher prices as costs rise for a range of goods. @WSJ $DLTR https://t.co/UejSDK9JmO
@NW_Horadam -- Wed Sep 29 13:37:45 +0000 2021
Public sector needs to make hiring this easy, or staffing shortages will worsen across the board. Maybe not same-day hiring, but certainly no more than a week for due diligence prior to offer. For white collar employees the process shouldn't last more than 30 days. https://t.co/ftYVS8V1Iy
@VKMacro -- Tue Sep 28 15:48:38 +0000 2021
This defo feels more factor driven than industry driven at the moment.
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 11:30:50 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart Probably the single most damaging statement she’s ever made imo.
@jc_bradbury -- Wed Sep 29 12:15:05 +0000 2021
@conorsen Also not sharing with taxpayers who contribute substantial subsidies.
@typesfast -- Tue Sep 28 23:43:38 +0000 2021
Dude where's my stuff https://t.co/THrOca2Lnz
@jessecouk -- Wed Sep 29 13:02:32 +0000 2021
@conorsen @CAVandy 32 oz. Super big gulp was 44oz, looked like a box, and absolutely insane appearing at the time.
@jessecouk -- Tue Sep 28 21:50:36 +0000 2021
@conorsen There’s always Atlanta too: https://t.co/YiXt0PYmJw
@Wertwhile -- Wed Sep 29 00:42:58 +0000 2021
@mattyglesias Is it certain now? Still seems quite plausible it’s working.
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 15:38:50 +0000 2021
@VegaVandal Might also be the worst is behind us.
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 15:37:26 +0000 2021
RT @StevenTDennis: Doesn't mean Brainard wouldn't get any GOP votes, but difference between an easier bipartisan path for Powell and a toug…
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 15:36:37 +0000 2021
@StevenTDennis Lol
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 15:07:54 +0000 2021
@phouch Never in a million years.
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 14:54:33 +0000 2021
Manchin and Sinema have enough on their plate but has anyone asked them if they’d be cool replacing Powell with someone to his left?
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 14:25:02 +0000 2021
@AdamLoebSmall The people who return phone calls and show up
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 14:22:06 +0000 2021
"Gov. Kemp and Visa Announce New Office Hub in Atlanta Will Create 1,000 Jobs” Noteworthy who’s not listed in that headline.
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 14:17:33 +0000 2021
Big Midtown Atlanta expansion for Visa: https://t.co/ZtCoQZK0y2
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 13:52:52 +0000 2021
@pearkes @BenPiggot Gotta keep the gavel.
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 13:51:29 +0000 2021
Investors giving $MU and $SHW the benefit of the doubt on their supply chain-related bad news yesterday.
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 13:48:33 +0000 2021
On the subject of corporations flexing their pricing power muscles, Dollar Tree's going to expand its offerings of products that cost more than a dollar and the stock's up 13% today.
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 13:39:59 +0000 2021
@vexedinthecity I got a small fracture in my wrist from blocking one of those things in 5th grade -- not my finest moment.
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 13:36:31 +0000 2021
@pearkes With Sinema/Manchin not saying what they want the whole process is a mess.
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 13:31:37 +0000 2021
@pearkes I feel like it's easier to tune it all out and assume something will happen because the more I pay attention the less it makes sense.
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 13:29:42 +0000 2021
RT @carlquintanilla: Very weird dynamic developing in #NYC: apartment rents are soaring, up +11.7% — but OFFICE rents down -7.5%, “as vacan…
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 13:29:29 +0000 2021
@StaceyShick Every year at my high school the junior class had an "exclusive license" to sell Blow Pops for 25c a piece, and it was printing money.
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 13:28:20 +0000 2021
@ModeledBehavior Think about all the remote speaking engagements you're missing out on.
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 13:25:45 +0000 2021
@ModeledBehavior How's the book coming along?
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 13:24:40 +0000 2021
@hassankhan https://t.co/7slW67qIKF
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 12:46:47 +0000 2021
@JustinYung1 @CAVandy I don’t think I ever finished one but I definitely bought some 48oz Mountain Dews in my day. We didn’t know about carbs!
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 12:43:48 +0000 2021
@CAVandy Oh, Big Gulps were way bigger than that.
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 12:42:31 +0000 2021
Not that I would drink one these days but in my head I still expect a 20oz bottle of Mountain Dew to cost 85c because that’s what it cost when I used to drink them in like 1993.
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 12:23:57 +0000 2021
@SMTuffy @followtheh Maybe the Braves just did it on steroids (with huge local tax abatements to boot).
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 12:23:27 +0000 2021
@MrBlonde_macro @fcastofthemonth Travel stocks fell 20-35% from the spring highs — fair to argue they were overvalued back then, but it was a pretty meaningful market shift.
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 12:20:08 +0000 2021
@GrainSurgeon That’s correct.
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 12:18:56 +0000 2021
@WillEvans215 That really stood out to me when I went to a Phillies game.
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 12:18:20 +0000 2021
@petesaunders3 Downtown real estate is too expensive with one exception — poor predominantly African-American communities (Falcons/Mercedes Benz Stadium) — which then gets into other issues.
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 12:16:06 +0000 2021
@jc_bradbury The Atlanta/Cobb County Way!
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 12:11:45 +0000 2021
Every stadium built going forward is going to be this model — the anchor of a mixed-use development where the team profits off the real estate too (and argues the real estate revenue shouldn’t be shared with players). The Braves/Battery model. https://t.co/nxLXyaugm6
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 11:49:17 +0000 2021
@hmeisler @Cardinals They’re the anti-$XLU.
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 11:27:34 +0000 2021
https://t.co/UsEXqyvdwv
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 11:04:37 +0000 2021
@MrBlonde_macro This makes sense: https://t.co/c5B9zmiwzW
@conorsen -- Wed Sep 29 02:08:04 +0000 2021
@ryanprociuk https://t.co/Eb31MgAvYu
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 23:05:08 +0000 2021
@MickSchnagger McConnell won’t be doing anything, that’s the point.
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 23:00:46 +0000 2021
@EZembeck I’d guess low $2,000’s.
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 22:39:30 +0000 2021
“The national median rent rose to $1,302 this month, which is $102 greater than where we project it would be if rent growth over the past year and a half had been in line with the growth rates we saw in 2018 and 2019.”
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 22:38:24 +0000 2021
“there are now 22 cities among the 100 largest where rents have increased by more than 25 percent since the start of the pandemic” https://t.co/rBRUvhapfJ
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 22:26:37 +0000 2021
@mwgarbett @jalex2003 @thomaswheatley https://t.co/0nPI5pGOnM
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 22:25:09 +0000 2021
@VixCentral They can mint the coin, they have just chosen not to so far.
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 22:13:14 +0000 2021
By not telling us their fallback/last ditch plan, it’s Democrats who are creating the economic/financial uncertainty. McConnell has signaled for months what he’s going to do. https://t.co/LBiCF3DdWa
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 22:11:30 +0000 2021
@mwgarbett @thomaswheatley I got unblocked!
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 20:45:26 +0000 2021
@KevinSmiith Auto sales have plunged actually — auto manufacturers bet incorrectly last spring. https://t.co/rmQBvY6sHF
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 20:42:19 +0000 2021
For no reason in particular: https://t.co/ebxt5S5kN8
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 20:38:04 +0000 2021
My take: we saw Q3 GDP forecasts get ratcheted down over the past couple months due to supply chain problems and now we’re finally hearing it from (non-auto) companies. The question is whether supply chain-related misses count the same as demand misses.
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 20:27:36 +0000 2021
@MrBlonde_macro Admittedly leisure/hospitality might’ve been more about supply — the number of people who said they didn’t work because they were sick/caring for sick people spiked, so that could’ve been it.
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 20:23:00 +0000 2021
@MrBlonde_macro The deceleration was there in the TSA data — you had the whole travel industry talk about it in August. And leisure/hospitality employment growth was 0 last month too.
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 20:21:46 +0000 2021
@MrBlonde_macro Yup
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 20:19:30 +0000 2021
Sherwin-Williams lowering guidance (again?) on supply chain problems: https://t.co/nEe0tex9OX
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 20:07:53 +0000 2021
*MICRON SEES 1Q REV. $7.45B TO $7.85B, EST. $8.57B
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 19:23:00 +0000 2021
@Samhale72 That should always be the assumption.
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 19:19:47 +0000 2021
The flippable voters, again to the extent they exist, are probably non-college non-white Trump voters, particularly Latinos, who might have a pro-incumbent bias. And you win those back by not threatening a debt default when you have the tools to avoid it.
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 19:11:10 +0000 2021
RT @TheStalwart: I don't see how anyone having paid attention to DC over the past decade could think the anti-Republican arguments -- They…
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 17:43:11 +0000 2021
RT @switchyards: We’re excited to announce we’re expanding our club with a new location in Buckhead. Opening early 2022. Stay tuned for mor…
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 17:25:48 +0000 2021
@Jesselansner If I'm in the mood, which is not every night, I can watch one 40-60 minute episode of television or perhaps 1-2 episodes of a 25-30 minute show. I basically never watch movies anymore because they're all too long.
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 16:28:59 +0000 2021
RT @IrvingSwisher: @LPDonovan @TheStalwart @chrislhayes Whereas there is a statute that clearly authorizes minting the coin. Part of the…
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 15:37:23 +0000 2021
RT @BenDWalsh: this elides the fact that there wasn't a financial crisis in March 2020 in large part because of Powell https://t.co/cjWGE31…
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 15:26:13 +0000 2021
boo liz https://t.co/rhIgCDRyap
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 14:39:12 +0000 2021
RT @RenMacLLC: COVID driving a wedge in confidence? Consumers' assessment of the present situation looks low relative to how they are seein…
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 14:25:58 +0000 2021
@ryanprociuk Having pitchers hit in 2021 (outside of Shohei) is an abomination.
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 11:50:56 +0000 2021
@ArchMcClure https://t.co/FDlfnLi6RQ
@conorsen -- Tue Sep 28 07:31:50 +0000 2021
This tantrum in treasury yields and global energy markets is spilling over into overnight equity futures.
@VelvetBarstool -- Wed Sep 29 12:26:00 +0000 2021
@conorsen It’s taken a little time, but the Battery is now a hub of activity for our neighborhood.
@VanAilwood -- Wed Sep 29 12:49:01 +0000 2021
@conorsen Now you've got me thinking about candy bar shrinkflation. Sad!
@jalex2003 -- Tue Sep 28 22:23:32 +0000 2021
@conorsen @mwgarbett @thomaswheatley https://t.co/vyCCvXXkFL
@CarwashGuerilla -- Wed Sep 29 14:26:14 +0000 2021
@conorsen She pared down her calendar
@JenWesthoven -- Wed Sep 29 13:13:04 +0000 2021
@conorsen I still expect a pack of cigarettes to cost $1.10 - the price we sold them for at my first job in a NJ drugstore!
@BriMcCaskill -- Wed Sep 29 15:05:46 +0000 2021
@conorsen Growing up in NJ, its a slice of pizza. I can't wrap my head around why its not $1 a slice, or $1.50 if you want pepperoni.
@BreakdownSheets -- Wed Sep 29 12:34:42 +0000 2021
@conorsen This idea was one of the pillars of my Master of Architecture thesis in 2012. https://t.co/xkmCiT5R0V
@ArchMcClure -- Tue Sep 28 12:27:40 +0000 2021
@conorsen Thesis been in play since 1991 #BigBankTakeLittleBank https://t.co/rxCnHNJUBT
@mikeleinart -- Tue Sep 28 17:18:01 +0000 2021
@conorsen Interesting that the two streaming companies that made existential bets this would be the case—HBO and Disney—were the two strongest legacy media outfits. The quality control-related phenomena in big-budget entertainment right now is astonishing to me, just endlessly fascinating
@PatrickHeizer -- Wed Sep 29 12:56:28 +0000 2021
@conorsen For me, $1.19 because with 5% sales tax in MD in early 2000s, they'd be exactly $1.25 when rung up at the register.
@LDrogen -- Tue Sep 28 22:39:09 +0000 2021
A 23 year old kid moving to NYC for cheap rent in April was the easiest trade ever https://t.co/5YlaCtxEDT
@jordanbrianl -- Tue Sep 28 21:37:01 +0000 2021
@conorsen Sister in law is waiting for her new car not because of chips but because they can’t paint it
@psenroot -- Tue Sep 28 13:27:31 +0000 2021
How many people are subconsciously singing “Never Gonna Give You Up” this week…
@13bbird -- Wed Sep 29 13:34:41 +0000 2021
@conorsen I think you can still get a giant-sized fountain drink one at QT for around that price.
@ddreyer -- Wed Sep 29 11:48:49 +0000 2021
@conorsen Good info. As long as Rs continue their complete embrace of anti-science policies and election lies, the major dynamics are the same. I almost added bad-faith policy positions to the list, like debt-ceiling hypocrisy, but I don’t think most people know that.
@terrellwrites -- Wed Sep 29 13:08:35 +0000 2021
@conorsen The sound and fury of Trump’s presidency distracted most of us (me included!) from the tectonic shifts happening right below our feet. FWIW, here’s how my Sandy Springs precinct has voted recently: 12: Romney 73%, Obama 26% 16: Trump 53%, Clinton 46% 20: Biden 52%, Trump 47%
@daveweigel -- Tue Sep 28 19:18:33 +0000 2021
The moment in 2020 when liberal groups endorsed "defund the police" - then never talked about it again! - continues to reverberate. https://t.co/brSZMNIZKU
@chrisgeidner -- Tue Sep 28 18:29:16 +0000 2021
This is 44. 🎂 Here’s to another year of making it happen. 💖 https://t.co/xo3doAuF5F
@BChappatta -- Tue Sep 28 15:22:46 +0000 2021
wow *SEN. WARREN: POWELL IS DANGEROUS MAN, I OPPOSE RENOMINATION
@ModeledBehavior -- Tue Sep 28 23:30:05 +0000 2021
It’s time, Joe. It’s time… https://t.co/FiezpWdgB7
@RashidaTlaib -- Tue Sep 28 14:05:16 +0000 2021
#MintTheCoin
@_SidVerma -- Tue Sep 28 11:11:59 +0000 2021
Treasury traders are so unconcerned about a Treasury default possibility they are selling off Treasuries
@mattyglesias -- Tue Sep 28 22:39:08 +0000 2021
Gotta say I am not detecting a lot of engagement with the BIF, the reconciliation bill, the possible shutdown, or the debt ceiling among anyone in the civilian population.
@kavithadavidson -- Tue Sep 28 15:31:01 +0000 2021
Dear lord he even has the worst fucking taste in musicals https://t.co/aampUWmCPK
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 19:09:08 +0000 2021
I don't see how anyone having paid attention to DC over the past decade could think the anti-Republican arguments -- They were the ones that ran up the debt! -- They're risking default -- They're hypocrites Would have any political force whatsoever
@MollyJongFast -- Tue Sep 28 19:59:23 +0000 2021
I’m still stuck on the idea that trump loved cats the musical.
@IvanTheK -- Tue Sep 28 12:08:51 +0000 2021
Remember when you would have to pay someone to take your crude oil delivery? That was funny.
@Popehat -- Wed Sep 29 01:24:35 +0000 2021
They were talking about social media in my 14-year-old's class and she said "oh Dad's on Twitter [eye roll not witnessed but reliably surmised]" and the teacher looked me up and read some of the tweets to the class and now I get to meet the new headmaster
@adam_tooze -- Tue Sep 28 11:00:01 +0000 2021
For all the signs of recovery, New York City employment is by no means back to pre-crisis levels. https://t.co/SldZq5CUY8 https://t.co/SX7KtwGOa7
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 15:42:23 +0000 2021
Just a quick reminder that if you're opposed to #MintTheCoin, you're on the same team as people who think like this. https://t.co/ghDTgUniFP
@hmeisler -- Tue Sep 28 17:40:08 +0000 2021
@DavidSchawel @TheStalwart David, I hope he gave you a chart mask! I am still waiting for mine!
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 14:23:06 +0000 2021
!!!!! *it's happening gif* https://t.co/VhRuCK34v7
@Birdyword -- Tue Sep 28 15:59:00 +0000 2021
Here we GO
@maggieNYT -- Tue Sep 28 15:04:32 +0000 2021
Happy birthday @bobhardt. Gonna get you a copy of a campaign buzz column
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 22:55:40 +0000 2021
Incredible day for the mainstreaming of #MintTheCoin https://t.co/Q16yDDrLAX
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 17:26:36 +0000 2021
Always a real treat see @DavidSchawel when he comes to town. One of the best all around humans on here. https://t.co/0aUMQotvee
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 21:35:55 +0000 2021
@JStein_WaPo @NathanTankus This is part of the problem. Also, my understanding is that Brainard was perceived by many Powell critics as insufficiently progressive when there was discussion about her at Treasury.
@ryanlcooper -- Tue Sep 28 14:41:16 +0000 2021
just read some guy citing a Congressional Research Service analysis saying the coin is illegal. liberals sure love pretending powerless hall monitors have legal authority
@TheStalwart -- Wed Sep 29 11:23:01 +0000 2021
The more I think about it, the more odd it is to say that Powell has been "lucky" not to have experienced a financial crisis in his tenure. I seem to recall the mother of all bank runs happening around 18 months ago.
@tracyalloway -- Tue Sep 28 11:16:19 +0000 2021
@_SidVerma This is the way.
@jimsciutto -- Tue Sep 28 17:08:20 +0000 2021
This is quite an answer: https://t.co/bs0tQHTIyR
@ShazCoder -- Tue Sep 28 18:20:56 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart Nice to see @mucha_carlos on the coin.
@JerusalemDemsas -- Tue Sep 28 14:58:51 +0000 2021
okay but dimes *should* be bigger than pennies, @TheStalwart #mintthecoin #butonlyifitsmassive https://t.co/D4cCqmVdn5
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 19:14:30 +0000 2021
@nic__carter A) The problem isn't that the debt is high. The problem is the arbitrary law itself. B) It's not a meme coin. It's a clearly spelled out solution. C) You trust the CBO? Why? D) The CBO has a terrible track record in forecasting interest rates, outlays etc.
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 11:29:17 +0000 2021
Gonna start looking only at un-sensible measures https://t.co/tlPnPLyyEB
@jaynordlinger -- Tue Sep 28 19:33:41 +0000 2021
Overheard in a diner, NYC — a woman saying to the cashier, “I just became a U.S. citizen today, so I wanted to have something especially American.”
@sam_a_bell -- Tue Sep 28 21:17:54 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart https://t.co/hXNVUVZRzf
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 15:12:06 +0000 2021
Another big day for this dude https://t.co/yySG1cekB2
@IrvingSwisher -- Tue Sep 28 16:26:07 +0000 2021
@LPDonovan @TheStalwart @chrislhayes Whereas there is a statute that clearly authorizes minting the coin. Part of the problem is Dems are more interested in illustrating GOP irresponsibility while simultaneously keeping the legitimacy of stupidly dangerous law (debt ceiling) intact
@guan -- Tue Sep 28 18:06:06 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart They should start making more of those, like they did last time.
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 16:19:26 +0000 2021
@chrislhayes @LPDonovan I don't mean this accusatory at all. But why even have this conversation, when the coin option is on the table and the Yellen could use it and have it be done in 5 minutes? (Well maybe longer, not sure what the minimum time is for minting coinage)
@chrislhayes -- Tue Sep 28 15:17:54 +0000 2021
The fundamental problem for Dems remains what it has always been: you need all 50 Dem senators to agree on the package - total unanimity! - and they don't have that yet. Everything else flows from that.
@RadioFreeTom -- Tue Sep 28 14:55:09 +0000 2021
Sen. Fischer basically saying that the problem in AFG pullout was the elected President not obeying military orders.
@RadioFreeTom -- Wed Sep 29 02:03:38 +0000 2021
Huh. It's almost like you could write an entire book about how affluence and peace and high living standards actually create the bored middle classes that end up trying to tear down liberal democracy https://t.co/mGsDnHF1vy
@mark_dow -- Tue Sep 28 16:21:32 +0000 2021
Honestly don't like the idea of having to issue a Trillion dollar coin, but if you're the dems you can't keep bringing your prayer beads to a gun fight
@michaelbd -- Tue Sep 28 16:09:44 +0000 2021
@TenreiroDaniel Oh, inflation targeting is back? Thought we were still talking about the coin.
@AlanMCole -- Tue Sep 28 14:27:22 +0000 2021
Compromise: Mint the Coin, but also, plant more Bradford Pear trees so that @TheStalwart can't get too smarmy about it.
@jc_econ -- Tue Sep 28 15:22:22 +0000 2021
Senator Warren formally opposes Powell's renomination calling Powell "a dangerous man"
@silviakillings -- Tue Sep 28 18:35:55 +0000 2021
Raise High the Debt Beam, Senators, is this anything
@NathanTankus -- Tue Sep 28 21:31:12 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart I think it's a done deal and fighting for Brainard doesn't get me up in the morning but I am still opposed and especially think it's important to oppose his policy framework
@BullandBaird -- Tue Sep 28 15:34:55 +0000 2021
Keep selling this market, I have a retirement contribution in 2 days. tia
@NeerajKA -- Tue Sep 28 15:11:56 +0000 2021
the secret to success is to back every fringe financial idealogy you can find
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 15:54:49 +0000 2021
https://t.co/NMMPDpKyh1
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 17:01:47 +0000 2021
@ThePlumLineGS It would if you raise it to a preposterous number.
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 16:59:27 +0000 2021
@ThePlumLineGS Democrats who don't want to vote for a number should be told they're being very , very, very foolish. There's no way that a debt limit number is more dangerous (or even additionally dangerous) to them over the $X T that they'll be voting for in actual spending.
@rohangrey -- Tue Sep 28 15:54:55 +0000 2021
@NeerajKA Completely up to tsy sec (and doesn't have anything to do with bullion value) https://t.co/kAlPsInDU1
@NeerajKA -- Tue Sep 28 23:03:56 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart 👁 it was all there https://t.co/KljPYITTaB
@ghoshworld -- Tue Sep 28 08:38:54 +0000 2021
@prashantrao @YasmeenSerhan @JeffreyGoldberg Having scrambled my first response, omelette to recognize the further punning potential here.
@NeerajKA -- Tue Sep 28 14:45:26 +0000 2021
sure ill root for the coin. im hedged in case it does turn out to be a bad idea
@arbedout -- Tue Sep 28 15:20:34 +0000 2021
mentally preparing for what my timeline is going to look like when someone sells a jpeg depicting a trillion dollar platinum coin https://t.co/Epx4Pmq5IK
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 16:02:11 +0000 2021
M
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 15:13:42 +0000 2021
@NeerajKA yes.
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 14:12:30 +0000 2021
@RashidaTlaib Would House progressives be willing to block a hike, to avoid validating the entire premise of the debt ceiling, and force the admin into minting the coin?
@IrvingSwisher -- Tue Sep 28 23:53:48 +0000 2021
EPI’s @joshbivens_DC endorses minting the platinum coin. https://t.co/lIp4RHGHm2
@IrvingSwisher -- Tue Sep 28 16:24:02 +0000 2021
@LPDonovan @TheStalwart @chrislhayes I’d bet on a big number yielding more shrieks.
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 17:45:36 +0000 2021
One thing I really got wrong is that I thought that the Biden admin, having seen the way the debt ceiling fight hobbled Obama's early years, wouldn't repeat the same mistakes. Astounding own goal as @JoshuaGreen made clear in his recent piece. https://t.co/mEGFqXe1r4 https://t.co/7TJDDHrOR1
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 14:26:19 +0000 2021
Since #MintTheCoin is clearly gaining momentum as the path out of the debt ceiling crisis, here's my FAQ on it from last week https://t.co/hp54BCf1le
@ryanbeckwith -- Tue Sep 28 20:09:12 +0000 2021
Everyone I knew that went into debate became worse at making conversation afterward.
@IsabellaMWeber -- Tue Sep 28 18:51:37 +0000 2021
Such a privilege to be on Odd Lots with @TheStalwart and @tracyalloway! We talk the big questions of capitalism, socialism, plan and market from the angle of recent history and the unfolding readjustment of state-merket relations as manifested in crackdowns. https://t.co/J57i0QpshH
@BenjySarlin -- Tue Sep 28 18:18:09 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart @JoshuaGreen It had exact opposite effect, it turns out. They seemed determined to force an early debt ceiling standoff to make up for caving in 2011 and set a new precedent. Which, well, it’s a choice.
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 18:57:31 +0000 2021
Wednesday?????? But that's Simchas Torah!!!!!! https://t.co/07f9nywedf
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 18:04:38 +0000 2021
Not good. Used car prices clearly back on the upswing. https://t.co/1mhzQ34jDX https://t.co/rfDv4IiFMP
@Phil_Mattingly -- Tue Sep 28 16:25:00 +0000 2021
@LPDonovan @TheStalwart @chrislhayes how has @TheStalwart not forced you to think fully about this in the last several days (or weeks/months/years), purely by his presence in your timeline
@EricLevitz -- Tue Sep 28 23:18:49 +0000 2021
If you aren't minting the coin, you aren't paying attention https://t.co/PURXmEc8f2
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 18:08:41 +0000 2021
Can someone fluent in DC Debt Limit Blobspeak explain to me why this is a risky nonstarter? https://t.co/vkiKZZrGzP
@LPDonovan -- Tue Sep 28 16:22:21 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart @chrislhayes Have not fully thought about this, but administrative questions aside, could be easier to attack than a big debt number, eg. Shrieks about lawless joe as people clutch their pocket constitutions.
@TheStalwart -- Wed Sep 29 11:56:49 +0000 2021
https://t.co/lmZD3Sdrcn
@BenjySarlin -- Tue Sep 28 18:29:13 +0000 2021
@willcollier @varadmehta @TheStalwart @JoshuaGreen what would the nice politically correct term be for filibustering a bill to prevent a financial collapse
@BenjySarlin -- Tue Sep 28 18:27:46 +0000 2021
@willcollier @varadmehta @TheStalwart @JoshuaGreen the D position is....their strategy is an avoidable train wreck?
@BenjySarlin -- Tue Sep 28 18:20:24 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart @JoshuaGreen There's a lot of different factors, but my sense is that one is there's a lot of D's who spent the last 10 years treating the 2011 debt ceiling standoff as the biggest mistake of Obama's presidency. Many wished he refused to negotiate from the outset and put R's in a corner.
@jbarro -- Tue Sep 28 19:24:20 +0000 2021
They know what they’re doing, they just don’t give a shit about winning elections. https://t.co/yF2pWmC7dQ
@redsteeze -- Tue Sep 28 05:52:18 +0000 2021
@karol So Divorce it is I guess.
@PeterMoskos -- Tue Sep 28 20:41:33 +0000 2021
Before NYC jumps on the "don't prosecute shoplifters" bandwagon (as will likely happen with new prosecutors), let's take a mental picture of the state of shoplifting today. Because when we start getting what Chicago and S.F. has, let's not scratch our heads and go, I wonder why?
@jbouie -- Tue Sep 28 19:29:09 +0000 2021
the idea that you could shame mcconnell — the most unrepentantly nihilistic legislative leader in living memory — could only occur to people with terminal senate “we’re all friends here” brain https://t.co/Ftah8eKhv4
@SkeleCap -- Tue Sep 28 18:49:54 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart You know what power they COULD be citing, Joe!?
@CathyYoung63 -- Tue Sep 28 23:07:20 +0000 2021
Please subscribe to @ArcDigi and read the full article for more.
@CathyYoung63 -- Tue Sep 28 23:06:56 +0000 2021
And why does a biography of Murray leave a rather important word out of a quote used to show that she wanted to transition to male? https://t.co/jDwi4g1ar8
@CathyYoung63 -- Tue Sep 28 22:50:12 +0000 2021
Why did the LA Times run a feature on the late civil rights/feminist pioneer #PauliMurray that forced on her an identity she didn't embrace & a pronoun she didn't use? New from me at @ArcDigi https://t.co/1IRTdNyJjh
@joshtpm -- Wed Sep 29 02:27:39 +0000 2021
I feel like Catholics asking for religious exemptions should probably be sent this link. https://t.co/S8OfPmbzK7
@Claudia_Sahm -- Wed Sep 29 14:01:53 +0000 2021
means testing — across many current social programs — punishes saving. thin financial buffers hurt families. let’s stop hurting families. ❤️ https://t.co/fT2kkoRKKW
@NathanWurtzel -- Tue Sep 28 15:44:13 +0000 2021
If you are opposed to #MintTheCoin, you want everyone to die and also you are mean to dogs. https://t.co/cbs2YibW52
@SteveMatthews12 -- Tue Sep 28 12:23:50 +0000 2021
"It's hard not to read Rudd's paper as expressing doubt about the Fed’s new policy framework and advocating for vigilance and humility about understanding what might be in store for the U.S. economy." --@BChappatta, @BOpinion https://t.co/v6ofehjX6D
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 21:59:17 +0000 2021
@smotus @gorenlj @julia_azari Y'all are gonna be burnt out on the whole thing by the time I get there, aren't you?
@MrBlonde_macro -- Tue Sep 28 20:39:36 +0000 2021
@conorsen price reaction in NKE and FDX say no
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 14:08:45 +0000 2021
That’s right https://t.co/SQj782gRip
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 11:48:06 +0000 2021
Good piece from @binarybits. I don't have strong feelings about the whole "occupational licensure" debate that people like to talk about on here. But if I were to start, the first thing would be to abolish the AMA and other doctor licensing requirements. https://t.co/FN3QA3mi6k
@kevinroose -- Tue Sep 28 22:57:24 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart hard to believe there are only 19 days till Biden mints the coin
@TheStalwart -- Wed Sep 29 11:34:13 +0000 2021
@fintechfrank @markets cmon don't be crazy
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 19:24:51 +0000 2021
Whatever level of spending is required to achieve and maintain full employment. https://t.co/dJhxq5B1UJ
@Mauerback -- Tue Sep 28 18:54:04 +0000 2021
@rohangrey @FlorianMKern @TheStalwart I would strongly trust Rohan's legal judgment here. He's dealt with the legal aspects of this course of action for years. It's time to stop this irrationally destructive game of chicken by the GOP, who are reneging on paying bondholders for spending LARGELY APPROPRIATED BY THEM.
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 15:48:45 +0000 2021
***Yeah I'm officially pushing "neutron bomb" for going nuclear on the filibuster for a single topic while leaving it otherwise intact. No, I don't want to be informed about whether that's a militarily accurate analogy.
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 15:47:10 +0000 2021
....or mint the coin and permanently end the debt limit. ....or neutron bomb*** the debt limit so it can't be filibustered, which would be the beginning of the end of the filibuster. https://t.co/7SxmnwZbic
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 04:11:09 +0000 2021
@hakeemjefferson @dadakim @JZPhilosophy Does "I took Cara Wong's advice" count as a #humblebrag? I sort of think it does.
@jbview -- Wed Sep 29 18:55:19 +0000 2021
RT @julia_azari: zero-sum. Parties have philosophical differences and differences in their assessment of reality. Presidents don't transfor…
@jbview -- Wed Sep 29 18:27:17 +0000 2021
A reminder that @mollyereynolds is an absolute must-follow for all things reconciliation (and really everything that happens on the Hill). https://t.co/mYzQk5N622
@jbview -- Wed Sep 29 18:19:33 +0000 2021
RT @BrendanNyhan: My comments to @Edsall: recent papers finding null effects of reducing affective polarization suggest we have put too muc…
@jbview -- Wed Sep 29 17:46:20 +0000 2021
@ValisJason @meredithconroy_ @ntdPhD Tell me about it.
@jbview -- Wed Sep 29 17:25:58 +0000 2021
@pedrosorianome2 @kdrum Giants/Dodgers reasons. The item was fine!
@jbview -- Wed Sep 29 14:42:29 +0000 2021
On parties, doing popular things, and the complexities and complications of both what's popular and why parties and politicians act. https://t.co/EAGyG4u1NI
@jbview -- Wed Sep 29 12:45:17 +0000 2021
RT @joshHuder: I'm unconvinced policy messaging or framing has much to do with opposition to the bill. Most of the Democratic platform ha…
@jbview -- Wed Sep 29 05:48:17 +0000 2021
Hmmm I just added a @kdrum item to the links but having second thoughts.
@jbview -- Wed Sep 29 05:31:07 +0000 2021
Sing it, Tony!
@jbview -- Wed Sep 29 03:08:57 +0000 2021
RT @askellyphd: Boo this headline! Boo this framing! 99% of their 35,000 employees complied with the vaccine mandate. https://t.co/87Dlb9Y…
@jbview -- Wed Sep 29 01:52:32 +0000 2021
@jenniesweetcush Household all vaxxed. We did it in the spring, then stopped during the summer wave, and just restarted once the local stats got pretty good again
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 22:59:57 +0000 2021
RT @dandrezner: Today @dandrezner said, “One could certainly argue that Australia should be pushing vaccinations harder and lockdowns with…
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 22:58:52 +0000 2021
Well, that's certainly not bonkers. Excuse me: *is* bonkers. That *is* bonkers. Sorry about that. https://t.co/pdfna4lMET
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 21:41:33 +0000 2021
I mean, sure, true enough, but who exactly is the audience for this? Does it help Democrats if we're all scared of an economic calamity? https://t.co/YWPGWC578b
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 20:28:51 +0000 2021
Anyway I'll remind y'all that (1) Bernie is going to sink infrastructure in the House, everyone is flailing, it's all falling apart; and (2) Bernie is applying leverage when he has it and will take as firm a commitment from Manchin/Sinema as possible by Thurs. ...look identical.
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 20:13:53 +0000 2021
Just as nothing is agreed to until nothing is agreed to, everything is in chaos until nothing is in chaos....but still, that's a fair amount of chaos at the moment. https://t.co/xKvb20FF45
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 19:37:52 +0000 2021
@PoliticsReid @dcbigjohn Even if it's as likely to happen (perhaps) and to be reported (maybe) as elsewhere...it's way more likely that the person who made the location decision would be blamed if it's Vegas. We'll see, but I just don't think it'll ever happen.
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 19:24:43 +0000 2021
@PoliticsReid And yes obviously they even have vices in Utah but realistically it's far more likely to be reported in Vegas.
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 19:23:55 +0000 2021
@PoliticsReid Great for the media, and perhaps good for individual delegates, but collectively for the party there's little upside and big risks. Both parties would prevent "Vegas Dems/GOP" smears, but it still risks the VP nominee's cousin or the KY delegation getting caught in a strip club.
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 19:13:43 +0000 2021
@opus17 Well, yes, reconciliation is obviously the most time-consuming method, which has many drawbacks - but I don't think it would scare the markets much.
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 18:58:56 +0000 2021
Fine, it's a bit of a cheat, but it'll still be Simchat Torah in Mountain and Pacific and parts of Central time, and I'm running out of room here.
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 18:50:16 +0000 2021
@PoliticsReid Look, I love Vegas, and obviously the infrastructure is there for it, but...I still think there's no way this is going to happen. Just too easy to generate negative publicity - and too many journalists who will be looking for "Vegas" stories.
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 18:44:56 +0000 2021
Is that last point correct? Getting close with no plan would upset the markets, but getting close with a clear plan, a date certain for final action, and the votes clearly on board...I'm no market expert, but it sure doesn't seem as if that would have any significant effects. https://t.co/3VSZoeneVU
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 17:25:20 +0000 2021
@ThePlumLineGS Yes. Exactly.
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 17:23:15 +0000 2021
RT @ThePlumLineGS: I want to clarify something. Whatever the particular approach, what's important is the overall posture: One that sees th…
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 17:22:09 +0000 2021
@Pfeiffer86 That's only like my 5th or 6th favorite joke.
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 17:15:33 +0000 2021
@ThePlumLineGS Yes, I realize - I'm just saying you could get the same result by raising it to a preposterous number, and I refuse to believe there's any electoral risk in doing that. (Both would be subject to a GOP reversal in the future, which makes minting the coin better, perhaps).
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 17:10:58 +0000 2021
I haven't made my favorite joke yet this year and I'm running out of time and starting to be concerned.
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 17:04:07 +0000 2021
@67jwe @KevinMKruse They could have included it in the relief bill, passed through reconciliation without GOP votes. They might have been able to pass it in the winter bill. It's possible McConnell (or the WH) would have strongly resisted, but it's also possible that they wouldn't.
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 16:55:54 +0000 2021
The danger of this strategy is that even if (some) Dems are willing to live with the 60 vote threshold for many things, they may not be willing to live with also having severe restrictions on use of the floor. Danger, unless they just want Dems to go nuclear. https://t.co/4HuH1zWUF2
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 16:16:01 +0000 2021
@whstancil @nberlat They may believe - and they may be correct - that the votes were not there in December or March but will be there now. Again, I'm very open to the possibility that they foolishly put it off for no good reason. But the other possibility is real, too.
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 16:11:39 +0000 2021
@whstancil @nberlat Possible. I think it's more likely that it's pressure from the rank-and-file, who are irrationally scared of debt limit attacks.
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 16:03:23 +0000 2021
RT @aedwardslevy: my favorite thing about the ongoing Turnout/Persuasion Wars is the way they tend to collapse everything into having a sin…
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 16:01:16 +0000 2021
@jonfasman That is exactly what they should do. (And had a fun thread last week on what the number should be).
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 15:54:32 +0000 2021
@PaulBlu See I considered that but I don't think it's as good. Neutron bomb has the inference (in popular culture, or at least as I understand it) of leaving the surroundings unaffected; tactical nukes are just relatively small.
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 15:52:32 +0000 2021
@rickhasen A Harris Votomatic!
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 15:41:25 +0000 2021
@bindersab @ProfStevenSmith @mollyereynolds Neutron bomb!
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 15:37:35 +0000 2021
RT @AaronBlake: Sen. Angus King (I-Maine): "I do want to point out for the record that, to my knowledge and memory, this committee never h…
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 15:32:04 +0000 2021
@counterpunkt They're not Keynesians, because they support higher deficits regardless of economic circumstances.
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 15:26:41 +0000 2021
RT @cmMcConnaughy: “I like/don’t like that thing.” and “My voting behavior will be shaped by that thing” are not the same. And the lat…
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 15:24:08 +0000 2021
Ford was probably just a lousy economy, but from Reagan on Republican deliberate policy, if unspoken and perhaps even unrealized, has been to run large deficits. https://t.co/hLrKDunyhR
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 15:01:52 +0000 2021
RT @SusanLiebell: Puzzling over Texas's #AbortionBan/how it fits into the wider landscape of abortion politics? Need a primer for your stud…
@jbview -- Tue Sep 28 05:13:07 +0000 2021
@meredithconroy_ Yes! And more: Everything, including mobilization, is not only about elections. Mobilizing party-aligned groups can affect whether bills pass or not, regardless of whether it has any electoral effects in 2022 or 2024 - indeed, it might be worth it even if it had electoral costs.
@edwardnh -- Tue Sep 28 19:13:42 +0000 2021
Looking forward to this Twitter Spaces event at 4 with @BChappatta @kgreifeld and @johnauthers Are we going to mention #MintTheCoin ? https://t.co/BBdCnmm3Om
@edwardnh -- Tue Sep 28 14:20:04 +0000 2021
Janet Yellen speaking right now. cc @TheStalwart https://t.co/VndmXv6m25
@edwardnh -- Tue Sep 28 09:45:25 +0000 2021
European Energy Prices Surge to Records as Supply Crisis Spreads https://t.co/OauFkE4XBu
@CharlesFLehman -- Tue Sep 28 11:50:38 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart @binarybits time to get rid of posting licenses, imo
@johnastoehr -- Tue Sep 28 18:02:33 +0000 2021
Voting against the full faith and credit of the United States is what you'd expect from the party of political sabotage https://t.co/eIbzanMhDv
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 14:30:28 +0000 2021
@AlanMCole lmfao, I'd take that deal
@dg1001 -- Tue Sep 28 23:57:54 +0000 2021
@jgreco Then send it to the treasury's burn address
@sidhubaba -- Tue Sep 28 20:01:20 +0000 2021
A truly diagonally integrated company ... https://t.co/5n91ScCpZi
@ddayen -- Tue Sep 28 18:52:44 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart The chair of the Senate. I'm just saying that they can do the nuclear option to end the filibuster on debt limit (or all legislative) votes.
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 15:22:23 +0000 2021
Some people in Congress are realizing there's an easy way out of the debt ceiling crisis... https://t.co/gbyLezXUEz
@TheStalwart -- Wed Sep 29 16:32:41 +0000 2021
Is it just me, or is the opposition to #MintTheCoin growing increasingly unhinged?
@zachdcarter -- Tue Sep 28 14:14:20 +0000 2021
That's the spirit. https://t.co/GxEnnv93qj
@s_m_i -- Tue Sep 28 20:22:09 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart fair trade how’s after the morning meeting tomorrow
@s_m_i -- Tue Sep 28 20:21:47 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart @_SidVerma podcast that’s just Sid’s Quips
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 15:03:42 +0000 2021
@karlbykarlsmith How does crypto prove to be an escape valve in a way that, say, real estate didn't?
@Econ_Marshall -- Tue Sep 28 21:37:31 +0000 2021
@JStein_WaPo @NathanTankus @TheStalwart This is the question that should have had an answer, were there a remotely functional economic-policy-think-tank apparatus on the left.
@mucha_carlos -- Tue Sep 28 18:32:24 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart 🙂 https://t.co/DmlRgWrC9k
@EsotericCD -- Tue Sep 28 14:42:14 +0000 2021
@damosuzuki1 @RobGeorge Prince himself admitted that the songwriting and especially instrumentation/production of DIRTY MIND (which carries over to CONTROVERSY) was specifically inspired by his love of Lindsey Buckingham's weird 'home demo' TUSK songs like "The Ledge," "I Know I'm Not Wrong," etc.
@EsotericCD -- Tue Sep 28 12:52:10 +0000 2021
@RobGeorge The influence that TUSK had on DIRTY MIND and CONTROVERSY is just so blindingly obvious to me, but it's one that people rarely talk about.
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 05:39:17 +0000 2021
@EsotericCD TUSK is the album that makes me sad that Prince and Lindsey Buckingham never collaborated (as Prince and Stevie did). I mean, they might have killed one another after one day. OTOH, they could have created a masterpiece for the ages!
@NicoleGoodkind -- Tue Sep 28 12:09:47 +0000 2021
Down by the Bay is a song about a child being too scared to go home because of their mother's growing detachment from reality. Tragic.
@RadioFreeTom -- Wed Sep 29 00:55:38 +0000 2021
@danangell11 They can never admit the con. Too deep in.
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 13:38:13 +0000 2021
today working through great comments from @Econ_Marshall and @avdluduvice -- each of their papers are in our report. PS always good to check with the experts that you have not butchered their papers. PPS Marshall is a tough but fair critic :-)
@maybebullish -- Tue Sep 28 14:18:45 +0000 2021
Oil nearly up negative 200% from last April
@kylebrussell -- Tue Sep 28 14:29:47 +0000 2021
Some folks in the fiat scene are only just coming around on minting the coin Joe is a true old guard coin advocate https://t.co/v9QtN3XuAX
@Fritschner -- Tue Sep 28 14:47:46 +0000 2021
I wonder if any of those calls were from @TheStalwart
@JoMicheII -- Tue Sep 28 10:51:36 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart knew that would be servaas before i clicked
@annmarie -- Tue Sep 28 21:02:57 +0000 2021
I blame @TheStalwart https://t.co/Ek6Vsukbak
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 10:49:49 +0000 2021
"There exists no market for ‘savings’ and ‘investment’ which is cleared by an equilibrium interest rate, and, hence the savings glut story of Professors Mian, Straub and Sufi (2021) makes no sense." https://t.co/nZTeYahVEr
@imillhiser -- Tue Sep 28 21:37:34 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart Sure. On the margins, I'd rather have a Fed Chair who is burning inflation hawkery to the ground AND tough on banks AND has a creative plan to use the Fed's powers to mitigate climate change. But if you can only have one, always pick the guy who is strong on monetary policy.
@imillhiser -- Tue Sep 28 21:30:51 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart This strikes me as exactly right. I think part of the problem here (although this doesn't explain Warren), is that monetary policy is complicated and few people understand it, but "bad banks are bad" is easy to understand. So anti-Powell forces have a rhetorical advantage.
@kgcarney -- Tue Sep 28 12:26:07 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart Well, this just shook me.
@dbergstresser -- Tue Sep 28 23:19:09 +0000 2021
This is a great Odd Lots episode. @jc_econ and Laura Rosner-Warburton are wonderful and are exactly the right guests to help unpack what has been going on recently with inflation. https://t.co/OaNeoXErEO
@davidbelle_ -- Tue Sep 28 09:28:07 +0000 2021
$JO looking for more upside too. Loving this trade, just keeps giving. https://t.co/RGNq6FfvZD https://t.co/CZzsHVGRWo
@mags_mclaugh -- Tue Sep 28 22:51:31 +0000 2021
I gotta say… Richard & Linda Thompson. Just had to say it
@talkingbiznews -- Tue Sep 28 16:11:02 +0000 2021
.@ajs wants to turbocharge the @FortuneMagazine subscription business: https://t.co/WfJ0939SSn https://t.co/gLGIYq0HfI
@acityinohio -- Tue Sep 28 14:16:30 +0000 2021
.@TheStalwart this brings up a good point — given your position as Head of Coin Advocacy, what would you recommend for the design of the trillion dollar coin? https://t.co/pylFfHdViA
@josephzeballos -- Tue Sep 28 20:41:31 +0000 2021
This has been one of the most insane days I've had as an econ reporter on Capitol Hill and its only Tuesday
@josephzeballos -- Tue Sep 28 19:12:53 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart Is it.. #MintTheCoin?
@rohangrey -- Tue Sep 28 22:58:33 +0000 2021
@kevinroose @TheStalwart I'm already thinking how i'll explain to our future kids what it was like to live in an America that hadn't yet minted the coin
@rohangrey -- Tue Sep 28 18:45:54 +0000 2021
@FlorianMKern @TheStalwart 1. It's not a ploy of the executive branch it's honoring *all* of Congress's statutory commitments rather than only *some* under the 14A option (which requires ignoring the debt ceiling law itself). 2. The Fed remits net operating profits to Tsy. So having the coin on balance
@rohangrey -- Tue Sep 28 18:03:49 +0000 2021
@jack_zampolin @TheStalwart Lol nice one ill take it
@rohangrey -- Tue Sep 28 17:51:20 +0000 2021
@jack_zampolin I'll defer that one to our dear leader @TheStalwart
@rohangrey -- Tue Sep 28 17:49:34 +0000 2021
@jack_zampolin Because minting the coin is the executive branch getting out of the way of Congress's spending directives, whereas saying "I, Biden, am refusing to mint the coin so we're going to barrel headlong into national default" is an executive power grab.
@rohangrey -- Tue Sep 28 14:19:22 +0000 2021
YES https://t.co/EucfkogCeW
@stevehouf -- Wed Sep 29 09:39:58 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart Yup, I remember distinctly him talking about huge underinvestments in traditional energy capex in recent years as capital eschewed high carbon dirty industries but little else. Interestingly the convo was motivated by WSB trying to squeeze the silver market and GME
@stevehouf -- Wed Sep 29 03:23:14 +0000 2021
Ringing up a February Odd Lots episode interview with Jeff Currie, head of commodities research at Goldman to get better understanding of the current energy crisis. Jeff predicted a huge bull market in commodities due to long term underinvestment in capex https://t.co/0JlFgSeZJq
@imbresigau -- Tue Sep 28 12:12:56 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart I was just thinking about this earlier because I was singing it to my infant son
@mags_mclaugh -- Tue Sep 28 14:07:53 +0000 2021
@RashidaTlaib @TheStalwart
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 09:26:26 +0000 2021
Brazil is facing a massive drought, and its contribution to the global food supply -- particularly breakfast foods -- is enormous https://t.co/4eRCtK2tKj https://t.co/Q0OQiHdENG
@bluser12 -- Tue Sep 28 15:39:25 +0000 2021
we need Liz Warren on Odd Lots so we can understand her position better
@tysonbrody -- Tue Sep 28 08:59:02 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart Getting some pretty good aurora up here in Fairbanks
@arbedout -- Tue Sep 28 15:22:13 +0000 2021
they're only talking about minting one of them, so by definition it will be non-fungible...
@kristenvbrown -- Tue Sep 28 12:36:16 +0000 2021
In a ~brand new~ episode of Doubt, I travel to rural Arkansas to find out what one teeny town has to teach the rest of the country about how to get more shots in arms. https://t.co/pthrM6hpGb
@jackfitzdc -- Tue Sep 28 14:24:30 +0000 2021
Rep. Jerry Nadler raised #MintTheCoin in a Dem conversation on the debt limit, Pelosi tells reporters.
@blueskycap1 -- Tue Sep 28 19:55:50 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart cant taper if this keeps up
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 19:47:51 +0000 2021
Thinking again about this wisdom from @_SidVerma https://t.co/w1JM11S9C0
@jacobdotgov -- Tue Sep 28 21:18:25 +0000 2021
mr biden your refusal to #MintTheCoin🪙 will tank the global economy https://t.co/Yks839JlAD
@alt1na1 -- Tue Sep 28 11:22:08 +0000 2021
back home at my favorite place 🤍 https://t.co/jS0tKG6pBP
@EthanBWinter -- Tue Sep 28 14:26:52 +0000 2021
never doubt that a small group of committed posters can change the world... https://t.co/4mHTXJGm35
@SplitCapital -- Tue Sep 28 18:42:30 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart 100%
@BennettTomlin -- Tue Sep 28 14:19:03 +0000 2021
@acityinohio @TheStalwart I think we should put Trump's face on it, purely to make it uncomfortable for some Republicans to criticize it
@Timccopeland -- Wed Sep 29 09:47:42 +0000 2021
blockfi inceasing stablecoin rates 👀
@jack_zampolin -- Tue Sep 28 18:02:22 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart @rohangrey https://t.co/fnBqdUAo7R
@jack_zampolin -- Tue Sep 28 17:50:39 +0000 2021
@rohangrey Ok, so sold on #mintthecoin how to join the meme army?
@Visible__Hand -- Tue Sep 28 23:35:06 +0000 2021
Trump will win in 2024 because Biden and Yellen would not mint the coin
@esiattorney -- Tue Sep 28 19:34:46 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart Can we just share a job? Like you and @tracyalloway
@jgreco -- Tue Sep 28 21:17:28 +0000 2021
Mint the coin to take the issue off the table. Then give Congress a firm deadline to raise the debt limit before using it.
@TheStalwart -- Wed Sep 29 09:47:56 +0000 2021
RT @darioperkins: here is my blog for @TS_Lombard https://t.co/u0ZMR6XKpO
@TheStalwart -- Wed Sep 29 09:45:53 +0000 2021
One thing I appreciate about @IrvingSwisher and @DavidBeckworth (and many others) is their emphasizing some of the arbitrary distinction between financial stability and macro stabilization. A robust economy with stable incomes is one good line of defense against banking meltdowns
@TheStalwart -- Wed Sep 29 09:42:16 +0000 2021
NASDAQ-100 futures (along with other markets) are rebounding a bit this morning. But still a tough few weeks. https://t.co/FbFMKppYbx https://t.co/qyu5ALUvVO
@TheStalwart -- Wed Sep 29 09:34:50 +0000 2021
Everything we're seeing in commodities right now, Jeff Currie just totally nailed at the beginning of the year https://t.co/Grbg6xfYQ7 https://t.co/sFunoFHCoD
@TheStalwart -- Wed Sep 29 09:30:10 +0000 2021
Great read from @tracyalloway on the myriad ways companies can use changes in accounting to change their official leverage levels https://t.co/sRySvtbnvK
@TheStalwart -- Wed Sep 29 09:26:44 +0000 2021
Evergrande's credit rating cut by Fitch https://t.co/yTHGtTPdC8
@TheStalwart -- Wed Sep 29 08:49:07 +0000 2021
What’d I miss?
@TheStalwart -- Wed Sep 29 00:09:16 +0000 2021
RT @Birdyword: How many available berths at the Port of Long Beach would a rate hike produce, exactly
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 23:55:54 +0000 2021
RT @IrvingSwisher: EPI’s @joshbivens_DC endorses minting the platinum coin. https://t.co/lIp4RHGHm2
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 23:36:54 +0000 2021
@wokus_dei That’s right
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 23:33:36 +0000 2021
Going to write about the coin for the newsletter tomorrow morning. Sub’ here: https://t.co/Pl5nZqKoAY
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 21:33:39 +0000 2021
@imillhiser Yes. “Banks are bad, and the economy would be stronger if they were regulated and taxed more aggressively” is powerful rhetoric. (And may also have some merit)
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 21:29:15 +0000 2021
@NathanTankus Yeah yeah, I know. (Though I recall a certain conversation at park after maybe a few drinks, where you were expressing something that might resemble ambivalence on the question. But don’t worry. Your secret pragmatic side is safe with me)
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 21:25:10 +0000 2021
@KevinSmiith Absolutely. That’s my point. The MMT-left seems more Powell-sympathetic than the oversight left (Warren’s wing)
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 21:21:09 +0000 2021
This to me has long been one of the most interesting divides on the left. Particularly relevant on a day when we’re talking about #MintTheCoin and Warren’s opposition to reappointing Powell. https://t.co/poxe1lmGbp
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 21:15:15 +0000 2021
Yarmuth is the most straightforwardly MMT-influenced Representative as far as I can tell. Not surprised he’s a coiner. https://t.co/uF8AtHQ2Rl
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 21:08:25 +0000 2021
RT @annecronin: Today's crazy market day, in charts. Thanks, @peytonforte & @VildanaHajric https://t.co/iYMe1UAPBB https://t.co/631TwRiXsz
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 20:23:41 +0000 2021
@RobinBrooksIIF Are you saying the spike wasn't about the widely reported on liquidity plumbing?
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 20:23:23 +0000 2021
@txcoastcapt if you go to https://t.co/iXOGJ285YV and then do from:Username Search term you can find them
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 20:22:12 +0000 2021
@s_m_i @_SidVerma many are asking for this!
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 20:21:14 +0000 2021
@s_m_i Might swing by your desk and ask what this tweet means
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 20:19:57 +0000 2021
RT @conorsen: Sherwin-Williams lowering guidance (again?) on supply chain problems: https://t.co/nEe0tex9OX
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 20:08:51 +0000 2021
RT @business: The S&P 500 posts biggest selloff since May https://t.co/cEPub1YVmX https://t.co/cnSK5x4fZv
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 20:06:50 +0000 2021
@rblue215 thanks, hadn't heard of $RPAR. I usually look at $AOR, which I think is pretty close.
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 20:00:54 +0000 2021
*S&P 500 POSTS BIGGEST SELLOFF SINCE MAY https://t.co/Fieb5UECU1
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 19:57:47 +0000 2021
@NegativePnL Regularly https://t.co/UuORVYvwB0
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 19:54:47 +0000 2021
$ARKK -4.1%
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 19:53:53 +0000 2021
Worst day for $AOR since May 12
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 19:53:10 +0000 2021
Pretty awful day for your 60/40 style investor $SPY -2% $TLT -1.5% https://t.co/wnAdc4CLy6
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 19:44:47 +0000 2021
RT @MikeSchuler: Everyone’s talking about Southern California ports but look at Savannah @gCaptain https://t.co/5Q1HJ7ptAR https://t.co/JOk…
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 19:43:51 +0000 2021
@SGJohnsson @nic__carter Well again, I think the purpose of laws is usually to help shape some kind of value, or purpose, or guide society in some way, which the debt ceiling doesn't do.
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 19:34:08 +0000 2021
@bitc01n__ No. There’s still millions of unemployed workers.
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 19:28:13 +0000 2021
@SGJohnsson @nic__carter Well for example, the law against murder is consistent with a widely shared value that murder is bad. Whereas the debt ceiling -- which is disconnected from spending itself -- doesn't even have the effect of constraining the debt. So I'd say it's more arbitrary than other laws
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 19:15:06 +0000 2021
RT @IsabellaMWeber: Such a privilege to be on Odd Lots with @TheStalwart and @tracyalloway! We talk the big questions of capitalism, social…
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 19:12:19 +0000 2021
@josephzeballos Time to skip Plan B and go with Plan C
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 18:55:39 +0000 2021
@ddayen no it's fine. Appreciate this. So can the filibuster be terminated by an individual, or do they need to have a vote to end it? Or is it just Schumer's call?
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 18:54:04 +0000 2021
@ddayen Who is the chair of the Senate? And basically there are tactical nukes, where the filibuster gets erased for specific things (EG how they no longer are used for judicial noms)
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 18:50:33 +0000 2021
@ddayen Which chair?
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 18:47:48 +0000 2021
This is an excellent point. People who cite the Treasury's ability to "prioritize" payments in some way are actually advocating an unconstitutional violation of the separation of powers, whereby the executive branch unliterally decides which of Congress' allocations get honored. https://t.co/E9Eu7YMouj
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 18:41:19 +0000 2021
Each time we go through this process -- even if you are absolutely certain that the ceiling will be raised in the end -- there's some % of the public who's takeaway is that the US is testing the limits of its economic borrowing capacity.
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 18:40:03 +0000 2021
Another unfortunate byproduct of not nuking the debt ceiling is that because the absurdity of the law isn't communicated very well (by the media and politicians) it bolsters popular narratives about the US having tenuous fiscal sustainability. EG: https://t.co/6rFwPPLkl4
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 18:22:33 +0000 2021
@BenjySarlin @JoshuaGreen I do think it was a mistake for Obama to negotiate with the Republicans, but if you're going to do that, you need to be willing to play hardball (coin, 14th amendment, whatever).
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 18:18:43 +0000 2021
@BenjySarlin @JoshuaGreen Wait, what do you mean by that?
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 18:13:36 +0000 2021
@californiacpa21 @guan wait, can you explain that further
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 18:11:31 +0000 2021
RT @brad_compton: @TheStalwart My wife and I were discussing just this morning the scarcity of autos, new and used, on the lots of dealersh…
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 18:06:50 +0000 2021
@guan yeah, make a new car, drive it around a bunch, and sell it as a used car. Voila.
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 18:02:13 +0000 2021
@FlorianMKern The second objection seems very easily addressed by making it obviously a joint Biden/Yellen decision. The first one? Ehhh, have to think about it some more, but seems either minor or solvable.
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 17:54:12 +0000 2021
@rohangrey @jack_zampolin ahaha, basically just tweet the hashtag tbh, and also explain it to people IRL, how an absurd law (the debt ceiling) should be met with another absurd law. And that it's just an accounting loophole, that doesn't affect spending or separation of powers.
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 17:49:41 +0000 2021
@sell9000 @JoshuaGreen Nonsense. People have been voting for debt ceiling hikes forever and most don't face electoral consequences for it.
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 17:39:53 +0000 2021
@JakeSherman @PunchbowlNews @tedcruz Which Dems are likely to vote no in the House?
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 17:37:02 +0000 2021
We interviewed @IsabellaMWeber for Odd Lots today, to discuss how Evergrande and the recent crackdowns (big tech, tutoring etc.) fit into China's broader, long-term economic vision. I learned a ton from her. Will be out Thursday.
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 16:27:10 +0000 2021
RT @IrvingSwisher: @LPDonovan @TheStalwart @chrislhayes Whereas there is a statute that clearly authorizes minting the coin. Part of the…
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 16:24:37 +0000 2021
RT @IrvingSwisher: @LPDonovan @TheStalwart @chrislhayes I’d bet on a big number yielding more shrieks.
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 16:22:10 +0000 2021
@mark_dow At a minimum, don't announce beforehand when you're attending a gunfight, that you're leaving your gun at home.
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 16:20:29 +0000 2021
@chrislhayes @LPDonovan Like, what I'm trying to grasp is, why is this option almost entirely absent from serious DC debate, when even some in Congress think it should be done (Nadler, Tlaib) and others think it should be legal (Republicans who have tried to close the loophole)
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 16:17:02 +0000 2021
@SGJohnsson Why don’t you walk through why you think this would be inflationary?
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 16:01:52 +0000 2021
@SaysSimonson If they minted the coin tomorrow, the whole thing would be forgotten by Friday. The idea that this is going to have some long lasting political ramifications either among voters or elected officials is laughable.
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 16:00:50 +0000 2021
@SaysSimonson Too bad for them they don't get a vote on it.
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 15:58:04 +0000 2021
RT @RichardDreyfuss: #MintTheCoin
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 15:56:38 +0000 2021
RT @rohangrey: @NeerajKA Completely up to tsy sec (and doesn't have anything to do with bullion value) https://t.co/kAlPsInDU1
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 15:51:15 +0000 2021
RT @MattZeitlin: https://t.co/qCopL63LEd
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 15:44:58 +0000 2021
In re: Elizabeth Warren's opposition to Powell, I wrote this a few months ago about the different "progressive" perspectives on his renomination. https://t.co/pjJHYTXkzV
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 15:43:14 +0000 2021
RT @business: NEW: Senator Elizabeth Warren says she won't support a second term for Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve chair, calling him "a…
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 15:39:48 +0000 2021
Open invite... https://t.co/1bdrxI6ph6
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 15:35:36 +0000 2021
RT @BloombergTV: Sen. Elizabeth Warren says Fed Chair Jerome Powell is a "dangerous man" and she will oppose his renomination https://t.co/…
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 15:24:44 +0000 2021
It's always been understood that the Warren wing is where the opposition to Powell comes from. But this seems like the clearest statement yet to this effect. https://t.co/ZjdJ6fAjxC
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 15:22:40 +0000 2021
RT @jc_econ: Senator Warren formally opposes Powell's renomination calling Powell "a dangerous man"
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 15:20:38 +0000 2021
@JohnHumeRoss1 dammit, you're right
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 15:05:41 +0000 2021
RT @JerusalemDemsas: okay but dimes *should* be bigger than pennies, @TheStalwart #mintthecoin #butonlyifitsmassive https://t.co/D4cCqmVd…
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 14:58:09 +0000 2021
I get that the administration wants to communicate the dangers of a US debt default in a way that's understandable to people (higher borrowing costs). But isn't the reality more like, global bank run, that puts basically all assets and savings at risk of implosion? https://t.co/Hutx5K4hv6
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 14:55:48 +0000 2021
@markets And here's why it wouldn't be inflationary. https://t.co/dP5djO2GzM
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 14:27:29 +0000 2021
RT @TheStalwart: Never doubt that a small trillion dollar coin can change the world. Indeed it is the only thing that ever has. #mintthecoin
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 14:25:04 +0000 2021
@IvanTheK But certainly they can put pressure on the admin to do it, and make it clear that it's the best path out of the crisis.
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 14:22:15 +0000 2021
@mattscottcrum @acityinohio lmao
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 14:18:45 +0000 2021
@acityinohio Maybe this, what society would look like if we minted the coin. https://t.co/Rwv7vyIo41
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 14:08:22 +0000 2021
RT @RashidaTlaib: #MintTheCoin
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 12:59:09 +0000 2021
RT @lhamtil: Really enjoyed this. Good listen for anyone interested in rail https://t.co/zFzWmXob6m
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 12:15:23 +0000 2021
@NicoleGoodkind My kids have been singing it for years, and it never really made sense to me. But I just did think about it. But then you realize the mother is sliding into dementia. Awful.
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 12:11:23 +0000 2021
Took me awhile to realize this. Cute song at first, but deeply disturbing and sad. https://t.co/hRz0fwtXRk
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 12:06:58 +0000 2021
RT @kaileyleinz: Investors who are male, over the age of 45, married or consider themselves as having “excellent investment experience” are…
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 11:55:00 +0000 2021
RT @MarthaStewart: OiI
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 11:50:20 +0000 2021
@binarybits https://t.co/qxIi3FiLk6
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 11:27:00 +0000 2021
@jordanfrankfurt Definitely next time say hi
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 11:07:36 +0000 2021
RT @BGrueskin: At a Bronx hospital last Wednesday, “more than 20% of the hospital’s 3,000 staff members had yet to get their first dose.”…
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 10:57:27 +0000 2021
5 THOUGHTS ON ALL THE INFLATION, SHORTAGES, ENERGY, YIELD SPIKING NEWS FROM THIS MORNING From today's @markets newsletter, a few things that I'm thinking about, including implications for the Fed and fiscal policy. https://t.co/Pl5nZqsNJq https://t.co/rc4hMx7cz2
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 10:39:22 +0000 2021
TRANSCRIPT: Our full conversation with Ian Jefferies of the @AAR_FreightRail is out. Great, informative discussion of US rail infrastructure, and how it's been affected by pandemic related disruptions. https://t.co/KSFjaPAhWE
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 10:33:03 +0000 2021
RT @LukeHanrahan: Some UK farmers are throwing away milk because of a shortage of lorry drivers. Milk is "going down the drain, never to be…
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 10:28:47 +0000 2021
RT @Peter_Atwater: Happy 34th Birthday. https://t.co/uLZyvQc767
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 10:19:40 +0000 2021
RT @carlquintanilla: FUNDSTRAT: “Positivity rate is down to 7.7% and falling, the surest sign yet that COVID-19 is retreating in USA ..” @f…
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 10:17:43 +0000 2021
RT @TIME: Making meals from mealworms is "part of the answer" to the climate crisis, the CEO of Ynsect says https://t.co/CVqtRlSiKK
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 09:54:28 +0000 2021
Tons of inflation/supply chain crunch/shortages news this morning. Great day to sign up for the @markets newsletter. https://t.co/Pl5nZqsNJq
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 09:35:57 +0000 2021
" Up to 90% of pumps in major British cities have reportedly run dry..." https://t.co/ozGqQWXLFR
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 09:22:08 +0000 2021
Brent oil soars above 80 https://t.co/JVi1yjmeq8 https://t.co/IK3yvfFvpp
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 09:21:12 +0000 2021
10-year yield got almost as high as 1.55% https://t.co/Fieb5Un22t https://t.co/6ORGerEpIq
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 09:06:58 +0000 2021
RT @tracyalloway: European energy prices surge to new records on Tuesday: - Dutch natural gas futures up 11.6% - Carbon futures jump 2.2%…
@TheStalwart -- Tue Sep 28 08:53:22 +0000 2021
What’d I miss?
@MarioBerky -- Tue Sep 28 10:53:36 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart It’s strange watching the world approaching $500 trillions in net wealth and $300 trillions in debt. We only need good political management to handle this.
@Andrew_DK -- Tue Sep 28 18:58:10 +0000 2021
@rohangrey @jack_zampolin I used to be firmly against #MTFC I wish I had read this back then as MTC isn’t actually a “silly” thing to do, rather, the *only* thing that can be done Mint the Coin is quite literally a constitutional necessary
@PaulMSherman -- Tue Sep 28 19:34:35 +0000 2021
What is the most sophisticated argument against #MintTheCoin? Bonus points if your answer passes the ideological Turing test.
@Hassan_s_sater -- Tue Sep 28 16:13:27 +0000 2021
Excellent summary and FAQ for those who are wondering, thank you @TheStalwart https://t.co/R9eGBIMiU8
@TapiwaMuranda -- Tue Sep 28 16:07:33 +0000 2021
@kevin_doyle @er_steen @DanielSingerS @Jacopobleah @RampCapitalLLC @TheStalwart E
@TamaraHala -- Tue Sep 28 12:27:40 +0000 2021
I've listened to the Odd Lots episode about Lumber twice and love it but still can't explain it to anyone so I guess I'll listen again 🙃
@nlewis1111 -- Tue Sep 28 12:39:45 +0000 2021
@resistbot @RadicalGoats Democrats could mint the coin. Instead they want to play stupid political games. They have a golden opportunity to be the adults in the room and they are failing- https://t.co/Ywyz2Ke1Ld
@jordw -- Tue Sep 28 17:27:57 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart @DavidSchawel He's definitely the best! Tell him I said hello.
@AidanGarrib -- Tue Sep 28 20:05:06 +0000 2021
@RobinBrooksIIF Hi @RobinBrooksIIF , that *was* a plumbing issue though. It wasn't so much the $1.5tn as the relaxation of the SLR that fixed things. Im not saying debt isn't a problem, but it *wasn't the* problem in 2020. Look at the USD (a 0-coupon Treasury) it went bright green in 2020.
@MichaelBKelley -- Tue Sep 28 10:06:49 +0000 2021
“It’s a vicious cycle. There is no rain because there is no humidity, and there is no humidity because there is no rain.” https://t.co/Qq4xvVy2Vh
@ThrivosLLC -- Tue Sep 28 10:03:17 +0000 2021
LaGuardia looks incredible. Wow
@BillySaas -- Tue Sep 28 19:16:11 +0000 2021
Come for authoritative analysis of #MintTheCoin and the present debt ceiling drama from @rohangrey, stay for the kind words about Paul Krugman https://t.co/o8bAzKeain
@Rob1Ham -- Tue Sep 28 16:00:23 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart I’m a multi coin maximalist. Bitcoin, and Trillion Dollar Coins 😍
@FlorianMKern -- Tue Sep 28 17:58:47 +0000 2021
I see 2 problems with #mintthecoin and inflation isn't one of them (see tweet by @TheStalwart) 1. If the @NewYorkFed had a non-interest-bearing 1trn-USD asset, but needed to pay IOER for MP reasons, it would generate a deficit every year, which would be used to delegitimise it. https://t.co/LNXtjxd87W
@justincalles -- Wed Sep 29 00:03:19 +0000 2021
👀🍿 as #mintthecoin finally enters the mainstream discourse (I am in favor of minting the trillion dollar coin, to be clear)
@Po_C_HILL -- Tue Sep 28 11:36:01 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart Is there a mediocre BBQ in Brooklyn index? That shit is expensive AF.
@GTA4brycecity -- Tue Sep 28 23:55:10 +0000 2021
@TheStalwart We like the coin
@AdsoOfBelk -- Tue Sep 28 14:16:47 +0000 2021
If @TheStalwart memes #mintthecoin into existence then I will personally buy him a $600 gold-foil wrapped steak dinner
@StephanieKelton -- Tue Sep 28 12:52:36 +0000 2021
While searching for something else, I stumbled upon this. Started reading and thought, 'this is terrific.' Scrolled up to see the byline, and of course...it's Jamie Galbraith. https://t.co/IFwsiMPGXG
@thor_benson -- Tue Sep 28 06:47:45 +0000 2021
I keep debating if I should talk about the terrible depression I'm feeling. I think that's a sign that I should talk about it. Social media is too often just people pretending that everything is great.
@TPCarney -- Wed Sep 29 00:04:27 +0000 2021
I know they have Yelich, but I'm glad the Brewers also have fat guys.
@TPCarney -- Tue Sep 28 22:44:42 +0000 2021
Meanwhile, in Queens, Noah Syndergaard is about to make his first start in two years.
@drewharwell -- Tue Sep 28 18:02:14 +0000 2021
Facebook researchers here seem baffled that kids during playdates are actually talking with each other, as opposed to staring at their screens: "Is there a way to leverage playdates to drive word of hand/growth among kids?" https://t.co/Mxx1BmBmus https://t.co/eczLbYj6kj
@bendreyfuss -- Wed Sep 29 02:31:37 +0000 2021
People like to make jokes about Oasis but Oasis is actually great.
@BChappatta -- Tue Sep 28 17:39:32 +0000 2021
@IvanTheK @johnauthers @kgreifeld @bopinion this is as close as we get to spontaneous here
@HayesBrown -- Tue Sep 28 19:55:09 +0000 2021
New from me: I wrote on the most benignly weird thing that we’ve learned about the Trump era to date — WH staff using the works of Andrew Lloyd Webber to calm down the former president’s rages — and why it makes perfect sense https://t.co/foVlTOayCR
@prchovanec -- Tue Sep 28 19:32:31 +0000 2021
They should get rid of the debt ceiling entirely. It’s a very silly fiction that only creates the opportunity for crisis, without reining in spending at all.
@alice_radley -- Tue Sep 28 23:58:31 +0000 2021
@ericowensdc @jaynordlinger I’ll tell you what Darren had for dinner on the day he became a citizen. We went from the ceremony directly to Roscoe’s Chicken and Waffles in Koreatown, Los Angeles. I miss that place.
@rumpfshaker -- Tue Sep 28 20:06:57 +0000 2021
Bravo! I am honestly shocked I haven’t managed this yet. I *have* taught the phone to stop correcting a few German curse words though, and I consider that an accomplishment. https://t.co/yFVXPmQo1n
@Tiffany_L_Green -- Tue Sep 28 11:41:06 +0000 2021
Finally finished first draft of my research statement. This has been one of the most difficult things I've ever written but I'm glad to have it at a point where I can ask for the feedback I need.
@Atrios -- Tue Sep 28 10:30:31 +0000 2021
@Claudia_Sahm brexit (mostly)
@johndesio -- Tue Sep 28 10:57:32 +0000 2021
@RobGeorge @karol https://t.co/FB6fbmcJU3
@karol -- Wed Sep 29 02:17:17 +0000 2021
@RobGeorge @etxred67 https://t.co/OnGMUozXGJ
@RobGeorge -- Wed Sep 29 02:05:57 +0000 2021
@karol Call him Elon Dusk!
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 05:47:06 +0000 2021
@karol Why wouldn’t your hubby want his son to be called “Eli”? Shouldn’t it be an honor to be named after the owner of the Cowboys for much of the last two decades? 😂
@EODTEC89 -- Wed Sep 29 00:44:12 +0000 2021
@karol 8yo is based AF.
@yeselson -- Tue Sep 28 22:58:48 +0000 2021
Out of 35,000 employees. https://t.co/WFLoGUmpPt
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 20:07:52 +0000 2021
Wow. We’ve discovered the one form of qualified immunity that cops won’t accept. https://t.co/2RY1uwosS8
@Uptheleft -- Tue Sep 28 10:37:19 +0000 2021
@Claudia_Sahm Brexia being Brexiteer will Brexit. Think of that country as a place where GOP/Trump has been winning since 2014 without even stealing anything.
@owillis -- Wed Sep 29 03:04:30 +0000 2021
Not a single person who says they need to do research on the vaccine has done a single second of research.
@karlbykarlsmith -- Tue Sep 28 19:26:23 +0000 2021
@HayesBrown My understanding is that even if they ammendmend this one a do just debt ceiling, they can still pass another reconciliation bill.
@BeirutCalling -- Tue Sep 28 07:46:19 +0000 2021
In an interview with Diwan, @andrewsweiss and @FWehrey discuss Russian behavior in the Middle East and North Africa, and what they see is successful opportunism, but also limitations in what Moscow can ultimately achieve: https://t.co/SBuRHXjuAg
@Claudia_Sahm -- Wed Sep 29 16:16:52 +0000 2021
another takeaway; nationalize Unemployment Insurance. don’t punish workers by where they live. https://t.co/E64PRQtJiH
@NathanWurtzel -- Wed Sep 29 02:26:24 +0000 2021
Yankees winning by multiple digits? What is going on here? Are they peaking at just the right time?
@NathanWurtzel -- Wed Sep 29 01:48:48 +0000 2021
HOLY COW STANTON DID IT AGAIN
@NathanWurtzel -- Wed Sep 29 01:37:23 +0000 2021
My next "fun" book is a history of Duran Duran and I will accept no mocking. I like them. Always have.
@RexKwonDo92 -- Tue Sep 28 17:55:51 +0000 2021
@Claudia_Sahm I don’t understand why Warren and some of the other Democratic politicians dislike Powell. Imo he’s doing a damn good job and is the reason why we haven’t experienced another recession like 08.
@rachsieg -- Tue Sep 28 14:38:56 +0000 2021
Brown asks if it's time the Fed board included a Black woman. Powell: "We want everybody’s voice heard around the table, that would certainly include black women." Yellen: "That would certainly be a very welcome achievement."
@ThatEricAlper -- Wed Sep 29 02:30:03 +0000 2021
"Strangelove" "Never Let Me Down Again" "Behind the Wheel" Today in 1987, Music for the Masses by Depeche Mode was released. It's still a damn classic. The title comes from their record label telling them to make more hit songs. https://t.co/4LAQ2SaEJS
@IndivarD -- Tue Sep 28 14:59:27 +0000 2021
Leave it to American policymakers to dramatically reduce poverty and hardship, set our nation on the fastest pace (Delta uncertainty aside) to recover from the deep pandemic-induced recession of any country, and then argue that we did it (mostly) wrong. 🤷‍♂️
@nahmias -- Tue Sep 28 14:01:10 +0000 2021
Link rot! It's a huge problem, when you've mostly written for publications that publish online for your whole life. Things from 2008-2016 have just...disappeared!
@wgoggin -- Tue Sep 28 11:38:20 +0000 2021
@Claudia_Sahm As you know, if the data are consistent with two very different underlying causal mechanisms, those data cannot be used to prove or support one as correct. The primary problem with the paper is it assumes the (false) loanable funds model it claims the data uniquely support.
@tspaRoy -- Tue Sep 28 14:15:04 +0000 2021
@KimBrownLive @blackhousenew @Claudia_Sahm - It's not just in Econ profession. Not sure that "misery loves company" is what we desire or is needed but does speak to systemic challenges.
@samthielman -- Wed Sep 29 14:08:34 +0000 2021
my sympathy for cyclists dealing with the horrors of NYC car culture is always mitigated a bit by my experience of cyclists blasting down the sidewalk at 30mph and knocking my kid off his scooter
@CrewsCutts -- Tue Sep 28 12:11:18 +0000 2021
@Claudia_Sahm Correction: delete “during COVID” and insert “of all time.”
@Claudia_Sahm -- Wed Sep 29 15:05:22 +0000 2021
looks like I need a Substack post on all the reasons that means testing is VERY BAD social policy. the economic research is very clear on how detrimental means tests are. I can't do justice to all that work but I can give some solid talking points.
@IikkaKorhonen -- Tue Sep 28 11:29:58 +0000 2021
@ntrickett16 @Claudia_Sahm Also interesting how similar the dynamics are to bank runs.
@IikkaKorhonen -- Tue Sep 28 11:10:52 +0000 2021
@Claudia_Sahm Mostly Brexit. Tens of thousands of drivers leaving the UK, end of cabotage rights for EU drivers etc. Nothing similar in the EU or Northern Ireland.
@kevinriggle -- Tue Sep 28 12:54:14 +0000 2021
@yudapearl @hangingnoodles @Claudia_Sahm Not that it’s impossible, but that any sufficiently advanced artificial intelligence will have, I increasingly suspect, many of the same blind spots as our sufficiently advanced biological intelligences, for frustrating information theory-related reasons
@kevinriggle -- Tue Sep 28 12:43:35 +0000 2021
@Claudia_Sahm “We replaced the CEO with an ML model, let’s see if anyone notices” https://t.co/GN9XrDUPL3
@kevinriggle -- Tue Sep 28 12:09:22 +0000 2021
“Footnote 1: In most macro models, these expectations are referred to, “rational expectations.” The meaning is a bit different than you might think. https://t.co/mxu880Mue1
@kevinriggle -- Tue Sep 28 12:04:52 +0000 2021
“We all are awful forecasters, especially during times of crisis.” See Annie Duke helps keep me honest, ijs @Claudia_Sahm
@kevinriggle -- Tue Sep 28 11:54:37 +0000 2021
“Stable prices come from stable expectations, we said so. But reality don’t care. In fact, since the Great Recession, the Fed consistently fell short of its 2% target.” I hear UBI is a great way to increase inflation, I’m just saying. https://t.co/mxu880Mue1
@kevinriggle -- Tue Sep 28 11:51:29 +0000 2021
This s is similar of course to how it works for stocks (it’s not), the aggregate of analyst expectations is how the stock performs (it’s really not) @Claudia_Sahm
@kevinriggle -- Tue Sep 28 11:49:43 +0000 2021
“Mainstream academic macroeconomists and central bankers latched onto the idea decades ago that inflation expectations were key. So the story goes, how much consumers and businesses expect prices to rise is how much they will rise in reality.” Oh. Oh dear. https://t.co/mxu880Mue1
@kevinriggle -- Tue Sep 28 11:04:21 +0000 2021
@mathiasverraes @Claudia_Sahm Right, and the problem there is both computer chips, the fabs for which are stupidly expensive and time consuming to build
@kevinriggle -- Tue Sep 28 11:01:36 +0000 2021
Therefore, 35% or so of the country is in favor https://t.co/0E2vOCvBw0
@kevinriggle -- Tue Sep 28 11:01:04 +0000 2021
@Claudia_Sahm @Dr_Phalin I’m increasingly convinced if one can’t explain it to an interested fifth grader it’s not worth explaining
@kevinriggle -- Tue Sep 28 10:54:27 +0000 2021
@Claudia_Sahm I’m bad at keeping things in stock! I had the classic “condiments and alcohol” bachelor fridge when I lived alone! And somehow I’ve not known even mild inconvenience
@kevinriggle -- Tue Sep 28 10:40:36 +0000 2021
@Claudia_Sahm From the US side afaict it’s half “US elites are Taylorist high-modernist morons who can’t figure out why 100 years of attempting to scientific forestry our basic industries hasn’t worked” and half “Americans see one photo of empty shelves on Instagram and think it’s the country”
@liamstack -- Wed Sep 29 14:15:01 +0000 2021
A scene from Bishop Brennan's press conference: Q: "Has being a fan of the Mets tested your faith in God?" A: "Well, it has taught me the value of long suffering."
@hangingnoodles -- Tue Sep 28 12:46:17 +0000 2021
@yudapearl @Claudia_Sahm 1 key thing humans can do but AI can't is adjust for what isn't in the data. New essay out soon on "philosophy of data" and the issue of low internality data (antonym of externality)
@Dr_Phalin -- Tue Sep 28 11:02:10 +0000 2021
@kevinriggle @Claudia_Sahm This is a great thought exercise/metric!
@Dr_Phalin -- Tue Sep 28 11:01:32 +0000 2021
@Claudia_Sahm I think the ability to translate these complex concepts into plain language reveals true knowledge!
@Dr_Phalin -- Tue Sep 28 10:53:48 +0000 2021
Finally had a moment to catch up on the latest in inflation & macro research from @Claudia_Sahm. Love her straightforward, punchy style: https://t.co/9KkSH66GVP
@ZJAyres -- Tue Sep 28 07:26:11 +0000 2021
Got nothing for you today. No words of wisdom. I'm tired. Social media is hard work.
@kar_nels -- Tue Sep 28 11:20:54 +0000 2021
@Claudia_Sahm Perfect storm where two or three ordinary, doable problems meet up all at once to be devastating. Happens in personal lives, so to the economy? Labor and JIT already maxed in 2019, housing shortages meeting millennial surge of working age pop, then COVID https://t.co/cE6hlHW0Kp
@KimBrownLive -- Tue Sep 28 13:26:04 +0000 2021
lazy white men keep their journalism jobs & admit to enabling fascism. MEANWHILE, the nonwhite nonmale journos — who recognized what’s been happening and spoke up — get labeled as “difficult” along with the smearing that comes along with daring to challenge the status quo https://t.co/bXRdfxwDfX
@Urbancic -- Tue Sep 28 09:33:31 +0000 2021
*be more on brand So tired. 😴 But in the last couple of hours I managed to complete my most ambitious seating chart to date!
@Urbancic -- Tue Sep 28 07:09:50 +0000 2021
Midnight copies the night before class. Hard for me to me more on brand than that. Maybe I'm ready to go back to in-person courses after all! https://t.co/wuN40CgyHr
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 17:56:40 +0000 2021
March 2020 and the lack of a banking crisis -- frankly banks were did really well throughout -- suggests they were more stable than in 2008. of course, we don't get to see the counterfactual. Fed may have eased up too much. would love to see Congress think more about nonbanks.
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 17:54:03 +0000 2021
RT @Dr_Phalin: Finally had a moment to catch up on the latest in inflation & macro research from @Claudia_Sahm. Love her straightforward, p…
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 17:53:46 +0000 2021
damn, I log off Twitter for a bit and it goes to hell in a hand basket. wow, what a smack down …. https://t.co/J2DmubnbKB
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 13:35:55 +0000 2021
walk done. rest of my day is for editing (no tweeting!) our very-soon-to be released @jainfamilyinst report: "Macroeconomic Effects of Guaranteed Income: Case Study of the Child Tax Credit" critically evaluate and summarize 6 macro research studies for a policy audience.
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 13:22:17 +0000 2021
RT @graykimbrough: American elites regularly go through a cycle of criticizing how poor parents raise their children. But we don't talk en…
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 13:19:25 +0000 2021
RT @_HolyMacro: Choose happiness; it’s free and feels amazing! 🤗
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 12:48:33 +0000 2021
RT @economistmom: We’re having a hearing today! Why just sit around wondering and worrying if the government will shut down and/or default?…
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 12:32:51 +0000 2021
RT @Claudia_Sahm: @yudapearl I agree that failure is the best teacher!
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 12:32:48 +0000 2021
@yudapearl I agree that failure is the best teacher!
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 12:32:30 +0000 2021
RT @Claudia_Sahm: @yudapearl I learn an incredible amount by ruthlessly testing my economic stories as new data and research roll in. black…
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 12:32:28 +0000 2021
RT @yudapearl: @Claudia_Sahm Why? Have you tried? I've learned a lot by just trying, even when failed.
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 12:32:27 +0000 2021
@yudapearl I learn an incredible amount by ruthlessly testing my economic stories as new data and research roll in. black box models are limited in telling us what is driving the world. everyone has their approach. mine adapts over time and I’m happy to consider new approaches.
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 12:28:18 +0000 2021
I’m not arguing the benefits of judgmental forecasting in Twitter this morning. you can see why I need to write the Substack post. and you need to get a paid subscription. https://t.co/s4rqYmVFsR
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 12:23:23 +0000 2021
@DavidLund6 again, happy to see and tools but people are not replaceable in the forecasting and macro analysis for policymakers
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 12:22:15 +0000 2021
PS no one should not mechanize my econ brain. it’s way more surly than its public face. I am also an extremely non linear thinker. code would be an unholy mess. 😀
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 12:19:37 +0000 2021
https://t.co/rO1yS71X2v
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 12:19:33 +0000 2021
good luck with that … https://t.co/PpyeYW9HQd
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 12:18:56 +0000 2021
RT @MollyRose_Good: Tell me more how poor people need to learn financial literacy when these are the policy fights of the elite 🙄🙄🙄
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 12:18:44 +0000 2021
mind of, we use hundreds of statistical models — every flavor that exists. data and statistics are necessary but not sufficient.
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 12:17:31 +0000 2021
nah. computer programs are a long way from the process of the staff’s judgement forecast … our biggest add? we tell the economic story. numbers are not as important as the why, helps policymakers know what to look for in the world and the key conditioning factors … https://t.co/yUEdY7GIyf
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 12:15:28 +0000 2021
@DavidLund6 nah.
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 12:14:53 +0000 2021
RT @CrewsCutts: @Claudia_Sahm Correction: delete “during COVID” and insert “of all time.”
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 11:54:21 +0000 2021
RT @hangingnoodles: Extremely important that we get savvier about the limits of machine learning / stats eg Hard Logical Limits of Stats…
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 11:54:10 +0000 2021
RT @Noahpinion: The bipartisan infrastructure bill would be a huge win for progressivism. It would get rid of lead water pipes in America.…
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 11:53:52 +0000 2021
RT @kevinriggle: This s is similar of course to how it works for stocks (it’s not), the aggregate of analyst expectations is how the stock…
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 11:50:10 +0000 2021
RT @kevinriggle: “Mainstream academic macroeconomists and central bankers latched onto the idea decades ago that inflation expectations wer…
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 11:48:09 +0000 2021
PhD macroeconomists should read his paper after my post. you’ll benefit from the Fed context of his paper I give and his theory section in the paper is top notch. we should all discuss the paper. https://t.co/gCuuclMOK2
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 11:46:12 +0000 2021
do read my Substack post about Jeremy Rudd’s paper on inflation expectations. https://t.co/KxhNFPavUZ I’ve gotten very positive feedback on how accessible my post is and I gives context to the heated debate it stirred up last week.
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 11:43:33 +0000 2021
woke up feeling bad about nagging @LHSummers @ojblanchard1 @jasonfurman @TimDuy to read Jeremy Rudd’s paper. Olivier is right I was insulting and for no good reason. I could explain why but you’re right, I’m sorry. I do think you’ll like the paper, especially the theory part.
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 11:38:36 +0000 2021
RT @wgoggin: @Claudia_Sahm As you know, if the data are consistent with two very different underlying causal mechanisms, those data cannot…
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 11:28:43 +0000 2021
RT @drlisadcook: Great annual opportunity for macro job market students to read and refine your JMPs from @Claudia_Sahm!
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 11:19:37 +0000 2021
PPS students/teachers, if you want a paid subscription for free, please email me: stayathomemacro@gmail.com. PPPS people for whom $10 a month is not a burden you will also help me bring good macro to our next gen and general (interest in econ) public.
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 11:17:37 +0000 2021
curious? sign up for a paid subscription here: https://t.co/s4rqYmVFsR PS based on clicks and feedback, it looks like my subscribers (paid and unpaid) are enjoying my posts. they take time to write. time is money. hint hint.
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 11:15:07 +0000 2021
it's not a standard forecasting approach -- but it's an essential one -- I have a set of skills that frankly machine learning / statistical techniques can't replicate. I keep forgetting y'all don't have the same training, so I will share some basic principles and an example.
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 11:13:08 +0000 2021
Q&A after my lecture on forecasting last night set topic for my first paid-subscriber only post: my approach to forecasting. was on the 'judgmental' staff forecast, we were taught how to combine model results (lots of models) and add in factors outside models, using our judgment
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 11:04:25 +0000 2021
RT @nobrtshnyobjs: @Claudia_Sahm Resilience requires flexibility (slack) - I think this is a design/engineering problem arising from removi…
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 11:03:42 +0000 2021
RT @mathiasverraes: @kevinriggle @Claudia_Sahm I'm in Belgium, and from what I know, apart from new cars and playstations, there are no sho…
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 10:56:46 +0000 2021
@Dr_Phalin thanks. happy to hear you like my writing style. not convinced it’s widely appreciated. some experts act like I’m too dumb to write in a buttoned up way. I’m simply trying to get to the core of the argument and make it accessible,
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 10:54:35 +0000 2021
PS I am not a fan of their paper either. when I read an early draft, I struggled with its empirical basis and inferences they drew from it. their conclusions could be correct but they didn’t argue them well. at all. I need to read it again and this critique. https://t.co/7guJW0vuty
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 10:49:59 +0000 2021
default would be one of the worst unforced policy errors in US during Covid. only surpassed by refusal to take the vaccine. wtf, people. https://t.co/ElxZPffCkz
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 10:47:52 +0000 2021
RT @Claudia_Sahm: @kevinriggle yes, I’m skeptical of the grocery store shelves in US. only aisle at multiple stores I see half empty is toi…
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 10:47:49 +0000 2021
RT @kevinriggle: @Claudia_Sahm From the US side afaict it’s half “US elites are Taylorist high-modernist morons who can’t figure out why 10…
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 10:47:47 +0000 2021
@kevinriggle yes, I’m skeptical of the grocery store shelves in US. only aisle at multiple stores I see half empty is toilet paper. same with family in Indiana. every Covid surge seems to a empty out the toilet paper. so weird. otherwise I can find basically everything.
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 10:45:10 +0000 2021
PS seeing lots of Brexit in my mentions. yes, I bet that’s adding to the woes in UK but no way it’s mucked up supply chains the world over. of course, it would count as a pre-pandemic problem.
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 10:40:07 +0000 2021
even wrote on Substack about it — writing is best way to discipline my thinking. it was a popular post. even so, feels like I am still missing something big https://t.co/VzEsxzIIxS
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 10:37:58 +0000 2021
and yes I’ve now listened to a gazillion podcasts on various parts of the supply chain effed up (#OddLots and #TradeTalk) but big picture is alluding me.
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 10:36:30 +0000 2021
as a forecaster, I was taught to find the economic story that can explain the outcomes. I am struggling to get that story clear in my head. I gotta have one so I can keep testing it as more data come in.
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 10:35:02 +0000 2021
other areas like labor markets clearly have Covid interacting with pre-pandemic problems, especially in lower wage work. Covid is really amplifying things. but they are not getting so much worse now. last idea: supply chain is the we’re upset about, always need to be upset?
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 10:31:22 +0000 2021
… or was everything hanging on the edge before. I remember listening to a pre Covid pod on how awful and frankly financially exploitive it is was to be a truck driver before. also trade wars had weakened ties. ports underinvested, etc.
@Claudia_Sahm -- Tue Sep 28 10:29:48 +0000 2021
supply chain shortages. ugh. news from U.K. of run on gasoline is very worrisome. is it Covid that’s kept a previously well functioning in-just in-time supply chain in disarray now? is it a matter of how long pandemic’s lasted? too drastic cutbacks in production in 2020? or … https://t.co/SAqOnP5Z2t
@enkelejdahavari -- Tue Sep 28 12:08:26 +0000 2021
@Claudia_Sahm Thanks for sharing. I am a micro person but I will read the original working paper and use some insights for my macro undergrad class.
@Discourse_Jeb -- Tue Sep 28 17:55:27 +0000 2021
@Claudia_Sahm so much for low rates go brrrr
@EomicsUK -- Tue Sep 28 14:43:53 +0000 2021
@Claudia_Sahm Important questions for macroeconomics which doesn't fully understand the inflation process. I recall Claudio Borio at the BIS raising similar questions a few years ago https://t.co/rlOHe8Eu6R
@_HolyMacro -- Tue Sep 28 13:18:32 +0000 2021
Choose happiness; it’s free and feels amazing! 🤗
@literaryeric -- Wed Sep 29 01:17:55 +0000 2021
@carney @RobGeorge The engine, engine breakdown is definitely the best breakdown in history.
@literaryeric -- Wed Sep 29 00:30:20 +0000 2021
@Schneider_CM @RobGeorge @GentlemanMuser One of the highlights of my publishing career was saying to Rakim in the meeting about his book proposal, “you should call your book on writing SWEAT THE TECHNIQUE.”https://t.co/E9Gp46ujnk
@literaryeric -- Wed Sep 29 00:24:34 +0000 2021
@RobGeorge I always loved the underappreciated “I left my wallet in El Segundo.”
@literaryeric -- Wed Sep 29 00:23:52 +0000 2021
@RobGeorge Yes, it’s pretty great, too. https://t.co/l9QR3gRdjP
@ArmandoNDK -- Wed Sep 29 01:48:57 +0000 2021
Stanton!!
@smotus -- Tue Sep 28 16:17:28 +0000 2021
Not pursuing a particular legislative tactic is not the reason young people are skeptical of government. https://t.co/b0jOjmC2bm
@IPAzRGR8 -- Wed Sep 29 02:15:04 +0000 2021
@apearlma @RobGeorge @karol For the win
@KenGardner11 -- Tue Sep 28 05:45:33 +0000 2021
Cowboys fans: https://t.co/8PDcMFeBHT https://t.co/HM5327ijK9
@laura_lrnzo -- Tue Sep 28 05:56:42 +0000 2021
@karol @RobGeorge @nypost Maybe we should see other countries.
@KellyScaletta -- Tue Sep 28 22:20:22 +0000 2021
I got Rick rolled today and it made me cry. Thanks, #TedLasso.
@JoeOfTheNorth -- Wed Sep 29 08:24:07 +0000 2021
Lying is bad. Total honesty, also bad. https://t.co/WYyCkT0ASk
@PeterMoskos -- Wed Sep 29 04:55:42 +0000 2021
This is true. And good. And nobody knows why, as far as I know. https://t.co/LCLJIuetwM
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 20:25:52 +0000 2021
I can’t follow this crazy train of thought. https://t.co/I39cXoocsT
@TomBiersdorfer -- Wed Sep 29 03:12:06 +0000 2021
Our @NYDNSports back page: Giancarlo Stanton homers again, powers Yankees over Blue Jays as Bombers extend Wild Card lead; Noah Syndergaard makes long-awaited return to Mets after Tommy John surgery -- https://t.co/gMYsRHdwPn https://t.co/G1gBOjIB1i
@carney -- Wed Sep 29 01:16:50 +0000 2021
@RobGeorge @literaryeric The actual correct answer is The Choice is Yours. https://t.co/xyZPVm2pO6
@TweetBenMax -- Wed Sep 29 13:26:36 +0000 2021
James moves on to thoughts on improving government, working with the private sector, and such. She says state gov't must be data-driven, and sounding like Eric Adams, and in compstate-like fashion. There must be much more accountability & transparency in state gov't, she says.
@laseptiemewilay -- Tue Sep 28 16:34:36 +0000 2021
It starts with “my dad in Iwo Jima…” and gets better from there. Milley stuffed him in the closet back home in Arkansas https://t.co/r8MshKygpk
@Jill_Jorgensen -- Tue Sep 28 18:45:11 +0000 2021
a little scoop: top schools spokeswoman @DanielleFilson will be the next City Hall press secretary https://t.co/1QP88FEbLK
@rumpfshaker -- Tue Sep 28 20:19:05 +0000 2021
@RobGeorge Ha, there should be
@robkelner -- Tue Sep 28 21:53:49 +0000 2021
@RobGeorge Bravo.
@EricKleefeld -- Tue Sep 28 15:37:29 +0000 2021
Greg Sargent’s headline here is “Mitch McConnell is laughing in your faces. Do something about this, Democrats.” Reminded me of the old Charles Atlas bodybuilding ads that used to be in comic books. Mitch is kicking the sand in your faces, you skinny wimps! https://t.co/mcnhfK4NwD https://t.co/uzeUmhZsfI
@Limeylizzie -- Tue Sep 28 19:38:30 +0000 2021
Not in NYC anymore. https://t.co/GoCJAVx0Ml
@ThatEricAlper -- Tue Sep 28 06:00:14 +0000 2021
https://t.co/fXXMWZ7rSI
@ThatEricAlper -- Tue Sep 28 05:30:03 +0000 2021
https://t.co/rP472K39pc
@JoanneMason11 -- Wed Sep 29 03:00:07 +0000 2021
Okay, Mr. Mason just heard the song "Godzilla" by Blue Oyster Cult for the first time, and now he's stomping around the kitchen like Godzilla while somehow playing air guitar, and I think I may need a tranquilizer dart to stop him.
@JoanneMason11 -- Tue Sep 28 23:20:16 +0000 2021
Bit off topic for today, but still: Civil asset forfeiture is evil, it disproportionately affects poor and minority citizens, and it must be abolished. If the Republican party were to take up this worthy cause, it would go a long way towards rehabilitating it's image.
@ScottMcConnell9 -- Tue Sep 28 18:50:58 +0000 2021
My reply to Don Jr. fundraising letter https://t.co/YAiKkuFBrb
@SalAlbaneseNYC -- Wed Sep 29 02:43:01 +0000 2021
Out of 9 shot so far today in NYC it appears 4 have died
@SalAlbaneseNYC -- Wed Sep 29 01:48:48 +0000 2021
GIANCARLO
@Noah__Goldberg -- Tue Sep 28 20:06:33 +0000 2021
Finally started building out a Daily News wall in Brooklyn Federal Court press room — including a great 2008 John Marzulli front page and today’s R. Kelly verdict https://t.co/gVzMcmguhR
@itsJeffTiedrich -- Wed Sep 29 11:52:50 +0000 2021
@AccountableGOP she's wrong, the Hamburglar™ stole the election
@DeebsFLA -- Wed Sep 29 00:08:58 +0000 2021
After getting estimates of 650 and 850 to have the 12 foot hedge behind my pool cut down, I'm now giddy with excitement that I get to chainsaw the shit myself this weekend instead. Aces high, bitches.
@AubreyGilleran -- Wed Sep 29 13:58:06 +0000 2021
What a waste of thirty years, then. https://t.co/p8zorZwDc0
@AubreyGilleran -- Wed Sep 29 02:29:58 +0000 2021
@ZaidJilani @ZCarey13 No, but you understand how unrepresentative, energized groups can sometimes hijack institutions through pressure campaigns. We’ve seen this with activists who want to abolish the police. I don’t want to see the same phenomenon on the right.
@grudging1 -- Tue Sep 28 18:50:47 +0000 2021
McConnell lied about wanting Dems to do it themselves. He wants default. https://t.co/UtbbTcEziN
@ShannonFreshour -- Tue Sep 28 22:42:46 +0000 2021
@RobGeorge https://t.co/0OujpJJqTu
@AnikaFreeindeed -- Tue Sep 28 04:04:53 +0000 2021
Looking forward to teaching Blacks in Classics for the classics dept at University of Maryland Spring 2022!
@KellyAuCoin77 -- Tue Sep 28 18:51:42 +0000 2021
And, by “crush your dreams“, I mean that thing you worked all night on… #Billions @SHO_Billions https://t.co/jbWIWWOKSH
@Mark_Kawada -- Tue Sep 28 21:09:40 +0000 2021
@RobGeorge music hath charms...
@EWErickson -- Wed Sep 29 03:27:46 +0000 2021
The same people who'll support Vernon Jones against @BrianKempGA are the ones who actually get scammed by the extended warranty calls.
@CWBChicago -- Tue Sep 28 19:53:57 +0000 2021
Actually, @barstoolchicago, what I can't f*cking believe is that you copy/pasted our entire story. https://t.co/k3ikVtpupH
@LawEnforceToday -- Tue Sep 28 04:45:01 +0000 2021
As the bill was being considered, opponents of gun lock requirements testified of having loved ones who had needed a gun for self-defense, but who were unable to access their firearm because it was locked. Lawmakers didn't care. https://t.co/M7WXWYMRsj
@bryanbehar -- Wed Sep 29 05:42:43 +0000 2021
Literally, name a single medicine you’ve taken in your entire life where you had to “do your own research” before consuming. “These Flintstone’s Chewable Vitamins look alright. But I’m gonna run a double-blind test just to be sure.”
@JSalama5 -- Tue Sep 28 15:04:02 +0000 2021
Welp, I just spent the night with a catheter after an unsuccessful procedure to remove my kidney stones. How’s your day going?
@CampArlington -- Wed Sep 29 03:21:11 +0000 2021
@MajorFactor2 Oh... you and I go back probably a decade. You're the reason the I pay for YouTube Premium, so I can get those Friday night grooves going without commercial interruption 🤣
@apearlma -- Wed Sep 29 02:13:14 +0000 2021
@RobGeorge @karol bitcoon
@apearlma -- Tue Sep 28 21:16:25 +0000 2021
@RobGeorge Seems outstanton, no?
@NRafter -- Tue Sep 28 23:09:48 +0000 2021
The most common reason I hear for not getting vaccinated is “it doesn’t work. You can still catch and spread #COVID.” Breakthrough infections are rare and rarely transmit were our off ramp but y’all are more concerned with getting everyone to sing kumbaya in #masks.
@winsjuliet -- Wed Sep 29 01:48:56 +0000 2021
omg #Stanton 3-run blast @Yankees
@jkarsh -- Tue Sep 28 20:25:49 +0000 2021
Facebook should be flung into the deepest part of the ocean and never looked for again. https://t.co/nDz9QjhT7x
@RobGeorge -- Wed Sep 29 16:14:02 +0000 2021
@Gormogons Grey's Anatomy, the TV show, has now been around longer than Gray's Anatomy, the original reference book.
@RobGeorge -- Wed Sep 29 14:19:04 +0000 2021
@EricKleefeld @samthielman And they adopt the excuse mantra of the oppressor! Drivers: "The cyclists should have been watching where they were going!" --> Cyclists: "Pedestrians shouldn't have jumped out of nowhere/should have watched where they were going..."
@RobGeorge -- Wed Sep 29 09:48:21 +0000 2021
RT @JoeOfTheNorth: Lying is bad. Total honesty, also bad.
@RobGeorge -- Wed Sep 29 02:58:32 +0000 2021
RT @CathyYoung63: Why did the LA Times run a feature on the late civil rights/feminist pioneer #PauliMurray that forced on her an identity…
@RobGeorge -- Wed Sep 29 02:51:17 +0000 2021
RT @ThatEricAlper: "Strangelove" "Never Let Me Down Again" "Behind the Wheel" Today in 1987, Music for the Masses by Depeche Mode was relea…
@RobGeorge -- Wed Sep 29 02:48:43 +0000 2021
@woodruffbets Wow! Congrats!
@RobGeorge -- Wed Sep 29 02:31:51 +0000 2021
RT @RadioFreeTom: Huh. It's almost like you could write an entire book about how affluence and peace and high living standards actually cre…
@RobGeorge -- Wed Sep 29 02:21:21 +0000 2021
RT @daveweigel: The moment in 2020 when liberal groups endorsed "defund the police" - then never talked about it again! - continues to reve…
@RobGeorge -- Wed Sep 29 02:17:59 +0000 2021
RT @maggieNYT: Happy birthday @bobhardt. Gonna get you a copy of a campaign buzz column
@RobGeorge -- Wed Sep 29 02:14:22 +0000 2021
RT @yeselson: Out of 35,000 employees.
@RobGeorge -- Wed Sep 29 02:11:34 +0000 2021
RT @prchovanec: They should get rid of the debt ceiling entirely. It’s a very silly fiction that only creates the opportunity for crisis, w…
@RobGeorge -- Wed Sep 29 02:04:04 +0000 2021
@etxred67 @karol You leave food out for her??
@RobGeorge -- Wed Sep 29 01:57:08 +0000 2021
I mean, the pitch was so far out of the strike zone, that was a golf swing! Ridiculous. https://t.co/DVpzMLqMnI
@RobGeorge -- Wed Sep 29 01:49:28 +0000 2021
HOLY SH*T!!! STANTON AGAIN!!! #Yankees
@RobGeorge -- Wed Sep 29 01:29:40 +0000 2021
@literaryeric Grrrr… *imitation*!
@RobGeorge -- Wed Sep 29 01:22:37 +0000 2021
@literaryeric @Schneider_CM @GentlemanMuser Something to genuinely be proud of!
@RobGeorge -- Wed Sep 29 01:20:46 +0000 2021
@carney @literaryeric You COULD go with that.
@RobGeorge -- Wed Sep 29 01:19:57 +0000 2021
@literaryeric I mean, it’s already on another level with, “Bust a nut inside your eye, to show you where I come from” — and THEN introduces Busta Rhymes to the world with the guest cameo to end ALL guest cameos (sorry, his Pharcyde contribution is a pale initiation).
@RobGeorge -- Wed Sep 29 00:19:19 +0000 2021
@literaryeric I went with “Ante Up” (which I only discovered a couple years ago), but the true answer is “Scenario” by Tribe Called Quest.
@RobGeorge -- Wed Sep 29 00:16:52 +0000 2021
RT @PeterMoskos: Before NYC jumps on the "don't prosecute shoplifters" bandwagon (as will likely happen with new prosecutors), let's take a…
@RobGeorge -- Wed Sep 29 00:11:17 +0000 2021
RT @jaynordlinger: Overheard in a diner, NYC — a woman saying to the cashier, “I just became a U.S. citizen today, so I wanted to have some…
@RobGeorge -- Wed Sep 29 00:08:17 +0000 2021
@Brennanator The sentence isn’t meant to be read literally.
@RobGeorge -- Wed Sep 29 00:03:19 +0000 2021
RT @ElectionsJoe: @HayesBrown @MenshevikM They can do a clean debt limit reconciliation bill, and then a tax and spend reconciliation bill…
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 23:59:56 +0000 2021
@TPCarney If he’d waited a few more days, Thor could have pitched the Mets season endgame.
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 23:57:56 +0000 2021
@TrumbullComic You forgot one! https://t.co/Xaq0pN5TFI
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 21:12:00 +0000 2021
Or Desmond Child. https://t.co/D8hMR8eMWn
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 21:10:52 +0000 2021
Slacker. https://t.co/qOJPZy0jch
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 21:08:56 +0000 2021
This can’t be true. https://t.co/A9aJqT95gv
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 21:06:55 +0000 2021
@Michaelstm23 I actually tweeted that while flying back to NYC!
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 20:29:25 +0000 2021
RT @ChrisMurphyCT: This is all due the blockade Senator Cruz has on all State Dept nominees. It is an unprecedented effort to undermine our…
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 20:27:43 +0000 2021
RT @drewharwell: Facebook researchers here seem baffled that kids during playdates are actually talking with each other, as opposed to star…
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 20:14:58 +0000 2021
@rumpfshaker Is there a German word for that sort of satisfaction?
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 20:10:04 +0000 2021
RT @CWBChicago: Actually, @barstoolchicago, what I can't f*cking believe is that you copy/pasted our entire story. https://t.co/k3ikVtpupH
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 20:08:30 +0000 2021
RT @EricKleefeld: Greg Sargent’s headline here is “Mitch McConnell is laughing in your faces. Do something about this, Democrats.” Reminde…
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 20:06:12 +0000 2021
RT @AdamSerwer: The vaccine mandate is a clarifying example of police unions being entirely indifferent to public safety, because there’s n…
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 18:58:31 +0000 2021
RT @grudging1: McConnell lied about wanting Dems to do it themselves. He wants default.
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 18:58:01 +0000 2021
RT @ScottMcConnell9: My reply to Don Jr. fundraising letter https://t.co/YAiKkuFBrb
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 18:53:44 +0000 2021
RT @Jill_Jorgensen: a little scoop: top schools spokeswoman @DanielleFilson will be the next City Hall press secretary https://t.co/1QP88F…
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 15:31:41 +0000 2021
@EsotericCD @damosuzuki1 I hadn’t seen that quote, but the similarities are incredibly clear (which is why I made my original point). And, it’s as much the “sound” (production) as it is the music.
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 06:05:22 +0000 2021
RT @WalshFreedom: Just so you know, if you don’t accept the results of the 2020 election and if you don’t strongly condemn what happened on…
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 06:04:14 +0000 2021
RT @bobhardt: It took the Metropolitan Opera 138 years to perform an opera by a Black composer. Here’s to Terence Blanchard, a New Orleania…
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 06:03:07 +0000 2021
RT @FormerlyCBM: Welp, being repped by a Democrat was fun while it lasted I guess. This map would put me in the 9th district repped by a Re…
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 06:00:51 +0000 2021
RT @LawEnforceToday: As the bill was being considered, opponents of gun lock requirements testified of having loved ones who had needed a g…
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 05:49:00 +0000 2021
RT @karol: A national divorce can't work, I lay out all the reasons why in my piece in Tuesday's @nypost: https://t.co/TtX8kSijS4 But I ver…
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 05:40:37 +0000 2021
RT @HotlineJosh: Overlooked: Florida now has a below-average COVID-19 case count, ranking 33rd of 50 states in numbers of new cases over th…
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 05:40:28 +0000 2021
RT @BecketAdams: it’d be the franchise’s most realistic portrayal of what intelligence officers actually look like.
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 05:40:12 +0000 2021
RT @robbysoave: Immediately firing Emma Sarley was a big mistake for two reasons, 1) Video footage is unclear and often misleading, 2) Fred…
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 05:27:55 +0000 2021
Prince Jamie Starr Camille Alexander Nevermind https://t.co/GeotZDxXag
@RobGeorge -- Tue Sep 28 05:20:57 +0000 2021
RT @nicolegelinas: https://t.co/0eMZ5pP545
@LuluMcSideways -- Tue Sep 28 20:19:55 +0000 2021
@RobGeorge @SER1897 Well done, sir. Well done. https://t.co/t6qu22fDU3
@roofusfirefly -- Tue Sep 28 20:08:38 +0000 2021
@RobGeorge 👏👏👏
@Ashlandian -- Tue Sep 28 23:30:56 +0000 2021
I don’t care who got the money, Stu’s porn stache won the night. #Jeopardy https://t.co/188Gc4QgYm
@Piscesboy69 -- Tue Sep 28 05:43:10 +0000 2021
@ThatEricAlper Benny Goodman Gene Krupa Teddy Wilson Lionel Hampton
@RandallLotowycz -- Tue Sep 28 18:52:30 +0000 2021
I'M HIRING! Looking for an intern for my department. If you know anyone who want to get in on the ground floor of children's book marketing, send them my way. https://t.co/Ex0XsUadvg
@MajorFactor2 -- Wed Sep 29 03:18:05 +0000 2021
@CampArlington Before I seen who it was, and I seen the you called me “wheels”, I knew it was someone that we’ve been following each other for a long ass time😂😂💯😎 Right on.
@Panthers -- Tue Sep 28 20:03:16 +0000 2021
Wait for the end 😂 https://t.co/J1akmEsYCf
@LordActonAFool -- Wed Sep 29 00:28:34 +0000 2021
@RobGeorge @literaryeric The Arsenio performance was legendary
@Mark_J_Ryan -- Tue Sep 28 20:14:47 +0000 2021
@RobGeorge You’re the best there is.
@Hwoodpolitix -- Tue Sep 28 20:15:20 +0000 2021
When it comes to best COVID cures, it beets me, man. cc: @RobGeorge https://t.co/qGgY26F2gG
@WallStPoker -- Wed Sep 29 01:15:38 +0000 2021
@karol I was woken from sleep when my wife rushed into our bedroom and screamed at me to get up because a raccoon was inside our garbage can which is inside our garage. I yawned, turned on the lights in the garage, told the raccoon to “get outta here” and he scrambled away. Slept well
@seanherrala -- Wed Sep 29 03:24:00 +0000 2021
@MajorFactor2 Hazard pay AF
@JayFingers -- Wed Sep 29 07:11:32 +0000 2021
@EricHaywood @RobGeorge This is pretty impressive. 🤣
@ToadInfo -- Tue Sep 28 04:34:01 +0000 2021
@RobGeorge @ericgarland He'll definitely get flipped over a few times
@Dave1210Fan -- Wed Sep 29 02:43:00 +0000 2021
@ThatEricAlper Never Let Me Down Again. I love this song. https://t.co/GiHkPuO8OL
@NathanLazarus3 -- Wed Sep 29 02:36:37 +0000 2021
@RobGeorge I can’t stop watching it!
@WalterIV -- Tue Sep 28 21:14:54 +0000 2021
@RobGeorge Wow
@45xiatai -- Tue Sep 28 23:30:37 +0000 2021
@RobGeorge @Steven_Strauss This is the kind of content I follow you for: puns with a public policy emphasis.
@JoekillianPW -- Wed Sep 29 14:13:46 +0000 2021
@TheBeliveau I do. But I'm fussy.
@Abdulkhaleq_UAE -- Tue Sep 28 14:33:39 +0000 2021
Oil prices rise above $80 a barrel for first time in three years and expects to hit $90 by year end. It is party time over here 💃💰💫
@donnabrazile -- Tue Sep 28 17:34:20 +0000 2021
Thank you John Lewis, Fannie Lou Hamer, Bayard Rustin, Ella Baker, CT Vivian and so many more. Our work is not done. We carry this legacy forward. https://t.co/zGIapNDClu
@BoingBoing -- Tue Sep 28 19:54:57 +0000 2021
This singer ordering pizza pretending she’s Shakira is ridiculously funny https://t.co/sEQ9chaS1z
@Ibishblog -- Wed Sep 29 14:58:20 +0000 2021
The UAE’s push to reinvigorate its economy is linked to Expo 2020 Dubai, regional competition, and a broader realignment of Emirati foreign policy to better serve economic interests, sez Robert Mogielnicki for ⁦@GulfStatesInst⁩ https://t.co/sBuCrXqIsP
@Ibishblog -- Wed Sep 29 14:28:01 +0000 2021
@RUkiddi09839349 There's no judicial reason to issue a gag. That she's spewing crap is not enough.
@Ibishblog -- Wed Sep 29 14:20:59 +0000 2021
@fdwilkinson I fail to comprehend it at all
@Ibishblog -- Wed Sep 29 14:04:22 +0000 2021
@EricFoltz @gotoutoftown Yes
@Ibishblog -- Wed Sep 29 14:04:04 +0000 2021
@OceanSpeakers You sure about that?
@Ibishblog -- Wed Sep 29 14:03:43 +0000 2021
Mrs. Lewandowski, Part Deux https://t.co/N0vHu5bJgx
@Ibishblog -- Wed Sep 29 14:02:23 +0000 2021
@hughhewitt You are a dangerous lunatic
@Ibishblog -- Wed Sep 29 13:57:07 +0000 2021
Why does she hate America so much? https://t.co/jLe7FFRXtA
@Ibishblog -- Wed Sep 29 13:53:26 +0000 2021
Two different species meet and hilarity ensues https://t.co/QbVtGHxAlR
@Ibishblog -- Wed Sep 29 12:31:38 +0000 2021
It’s really very odd indeed. It’s like the decided to have a fight and then, at the last minute, said “ah, screw it,” and walked away. I don’t understand this at all. https://t.co/Blqw2o7JQc
@Ibishblog -- Wed Sep 29 12:28:08 +0000 2021
@mattklewis @ggreenwald Nothing. Interview someone worth talking to instead.
@Ibishblog -- Wed Sep 29 12:27:02 +0000 2021
@ZaknafeinDC @ericgarland Excellent insight.
@Ibishblog -- Wed Sep 29 12:26:42 +0000 2021
Absolutely correct https://t.co/w4MKrjpbVT
@Ibishblog -- Wed Sep 29 12:25:38 +0000 2021
Do you feel a creeping, shrinking sensation, when you stand before the serpents in the Zoo, and see the slithery, gliding, venomous creatures, with their deadly eyes and wicked, flattened faces? Well, that’s how Jared Kushner impresses me. https://t.co/BWUL7eWsAC
@Ibishblog -- Wed Sep 29 12:24:28 +0000 2021
@blakehounshell It’s core to their internal Party argument though
@Ibishblog -- Wed Sep 29 12:22:52 +0000 2021
I say Biden now faces two defining tests: Immediately the default madness And in the coming months, protecting the democratic and electoral system from usurpers, coup plotters, vote suppressors and foul cheaters. https://t.co/TIxukymdN3
@Ibishblog -- Wed Sep 29 12:20:49 +0000 2021
@SanamVakil Pretty much
@Ibishblog -- Wed Sep 29 12:20:16 +0000 2021
RT @johnastoehr: Voting against the full faith and credit of the United States is what you'd expect from the party of political sabotage ht…
@Ibishblog -- Wed Sep 29 12:20:06 +0000 2021
RT @laseptiemewilay: It starts with “my dad in Iwo Jima…” and gets better from there. Milley stuffed him in the closet back home in Arkansas
@Ibishblog -- Wed Sep 29 12:19:38 +0000 2021
I completely agree with @EliLake (not at all an unusual occurrence). https://t.co/qGsgnk9uF6
@Ibishblog -- Wed Sep 29 12:18:53 +0000 2021
@EliLake @WSJ Agreed. Brilliant and highly important reporting on the Evil Empire.
@Ibishblog -- Wed Sep 29 00:38:40 +0000 2021
@highbrow_nobrow Not at all
@Ibishblog -- Wed Sep 29 00:38:00 +0000 2021
@highbrow_nobrow No
@Ibishblog -- Wed Sep 29 00:37:23 +0000 2021
Hard stop https://t.co/28cdDcEP11
@Ibishblog -- Wed Sep 29 00:36:42 +0000 2021
Don’t hold your breath https://t.co/AmZENfXhVf
@Ibishblog -- Wed Sep 29 00:32:47 +0000 2021
And that’s that https://t.co/jPPAHsBPMV
@Ibishblog -- Tue Sep 28 23:53:12 +0000 2021
Shūrā-ye Negahbān https://t.co/jiThRIcC4B
@Ibishblog -- Tue Sep 28 23:50:37 +0000 2021
@sherrliloquy Excellent
@Ibishblog -- Tue Sep 28 22:59:06 +0000 2021
@BrendanNyhan It’s perfect! Next up: Tehran.
@Ibishblog -- Tue Sep 28 22:58:33 +0000 2021
Excellent https://t.co/lNqSBHVJz2
@Ibishblog -- Tue Sep 28 22:57:34 +0000 2021
@MaxBoot On to the perfect Tamagoyaki. See you in 16 years time.
@Ibishblog -- Tue Sep 28 22:53:32 +0000 2021
@processanalyzer And yes the sports icon is disgustingly racist
@Ibishblog -- Tue Sep 28 22:51:58 +0000 2021
@DanielMillerEsq He’s just a shaved Grand Ayatollah on our Vilayat e-Faqih
@Ibishblog -- Tue Sep 28 22:41:37 +0000 2021
@processanalyzer It needs to be regarded as a center of subversion and mania and defunded, avoided and discredited in all ways. I’ve lectured there. Never, ever again.
@Ibishblog -- Tue Sep 28 22:40:03 +0000 2021
Obviously the radical fundamentalists are all drug dealers, junkies, maniacs, child molesters, lunatics and frauds. That’s the Taliban for you. But also the five guys named moe on SCOTUS (not Roberts, the other five loonies). https://t.co/PtD360F15I
@Ibishblog -- Tue Sep 28 22:36:27 +0000 2021
@andrewjbernie Yeah. Normative Palestinian rhetoric.