Links
-
csis.org | 6 hours ago | 22 points/hour | 143 points | rankings
-
sipri.org | 11 hours ago | 10 points/hour | 105 points | rankings
-
pri.org | 8 hours ago | 9 points/hour | 71 points | rankings
-
theconversation.com | 8 hours ago | 9 points/hour | 71 points | rankings
-
foreignaffairs.com | 13 hours ago | 8 points/hour | 110 points | rankings
-
foreignaffairs.com | 27 hours ago | 8 points/hour | 225 points | rankings
-
zoom.us | 15 hours ago | 7 points/hour | 108 points | rankings
-
mfa.gov.sg | 40 hours ago | 7 points/hour | 262 points | rankings
-
finn.no | 3 hours ago | 5 points/hour | 16 points | rankings
-
(reuters.com) | 12 hours ago | 6 points/hour | 71 points | rankings
-
youtube.com | 25 hours ago | 6 points/hour | 139 points | rankings
-
David Hutt (asiatimes.com) | 26 hours ago | 6 points/hour | 143 points | rankings
-
bloomberg.com | 14 hours ago | 5 points/hour | 71 points | rankings
-
essentialvision.com.au | 14 hours ago | 5 points/hour | 71 points | rankings
-
france24.com | 29 hours ago | 5 points/hour | 143 points | rankings
-
service.gov.uk | 18 hours ago | 5 points/hour | 88 points | rankings
-
lawfareblog.com | 16 hours ago | 4 points/hour | 71 points | rankings
-
taskandpurpose.com | 17 hours ago | 4 points/hour | 73 points | rankings
-
pmo.gov.sg | 34 hours ago | 4 points/hour | 143 points | rankings
-
foreignaffairs.com | 34 hours ago | 4 points/hour | 143 points | rankings
-
economist.com | 37 hours ago | 4 points/hour | 143 points | rankings
-
salon.com | 37 hours ago | 4 points/hour | 143 points | rankings
-
daum.net | 19 hours ago | 4 points/hour | 72 points | rankings
-
warontherocks.com | 26 hours ago | 4 points/hour | 93 points | rankings
-
washingtonpost.com | 37 hours ago | 3 points/hour | 118 points | rankings
-
irrawaddy.com | 27 hours ago | 3 points/hour | 71 points | rankings
-
cimsec.org | 27 hours ago | 2 points/hour | 65 points | rankings
-
Zlata Kozul Naumovski (nytimes.com) | 26 hours ago | 2 points/hour | 61 points | rankings
-
mailchi.mp | 14 hours ago | 2 points/hour | 32 points | rankings
-
thediplomat.com | 35 hours ago | 2 points/hour | 71 points | rankings
-
vietnamplus.vn | 36 hours ago | 2 points/hour | 71 points | rankings
-
asiania.me | 23 hours ago | 2 points/hour | 44 points | rankings
-
canberratimes.com.au | 37 hours ago | 2 points/hour | 71 points | rankings
-
smh.com.au | 34 hours ago | 2 points/hour | 65 points | rankings
-
mailchi.mp | 38 hours ago | 2 points/hour | 71 points | rankings
-
oup.com | 39 hours ago | 2 points/hour | 71 points | rankings
-
channelnewsasia.com | 36 hours ago | 2 points/hour | 65 points | rankings
-
theguardian.com | 40 hours ago | 2 points/hour | 72 points | rankings
-
ft.com | 40 hours ago | 2 points/hour | 71 points | rankings
-
csis.org | 41 hours ago | 2 points/hour | 71 points | rankings
-
totalwonkerr.net | 24 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 36 points | rankings
-
australianaviation.com.au | 29 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 38 points | rankings
-
google.com | 10 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 11 points | rankings
-
nytimes.com | 36 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 39 points | rankings
-
effectivealtruism.org | 11 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 11 points | rankings
-
japantimes.co.jp | 30 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 32 points | rankings
-
medpagetoday.com | 18 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 18 points | rankings
-
medpagetoday.com | 18 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 18 points | rankings
-
medpagetoday.com | 18 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 18 points | rankings
-
Michael Pettis (carnegieendowment.org) | 30 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 30 points | rankings
-
Neil MacFarquhar (nytimes.com) | 22 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 21 points | rankings
-
Megan Eckstein (defensenews.com) | 21 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 18 points | rankings
-
malijet.com | 41 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 36 points | rankings
-
youtube.com | 20 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 17 points | rankings
-
Staff Writer (nikkei.com) | 32 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
Staff Writer (nikkei.com) | 33 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
KIM DUNG TONG (nikkei.com) | 33 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
Staff Writer (nikkei.com) | 33 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
youtube.com | 40 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 33 points | rankings
-
NARAYANAN SOMASUNDARAM (nikkei.com) | 33 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
Jason Torchinsky (jalopnik.com) | 41 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 33 points | rankings
-
Staff Writer (nikkei.com) | 33 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
Staff Writer (nikkei.com) | 33 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
Staff Writer (nikkei.com) | 34 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
Staff Writer (nikkei.com) | 34 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
Staff Writer (nikkei.com) | 34 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
Staff Writer (nikkei.com) | 34 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
warontherocks.com | 22 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 17 points | rankings
-
Staff Writer (nikkei.com) | 35 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
Staff Writer (nikkei.com) | 35 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
Staff Writer (nikkei.com) | 36 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
[{"@type":"Person","name":"Masaru Sato"},{"@type":"Person","name":"Atsushi Enomoto"},{"@type":"Person","name":"Emiko Maeda"},{"@type":"Person","name":"Takashi Igarashi"},{"@type":"Person","name":"Yuta Tsunashima"},{"@type":"Person","name":"Anna Nishino"},{"@type":"Person","name":"Mio Tomita"},{"@type":"Person","name":"Yosuke Suzuki"},{"@type":"Person","name":"Akira Shimizu"},{"@type":"Person","name":"Shohei Yasuda"},{"@type":"Person","name":"Hiroshi Kunou"},{"@type":"Person","name":"Hiroya Kato"},{"@type":"Person","name":"Masayuki Shimizu"},{"@type":"Person","name":"Marina Nakagawa"}] (nikkei.com) | 36 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
KENTARO IWAMOTO (nikkei.com) | 36 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
Theresa Hitchens (breakingmedia.com) | 20 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 15 points | rankings
-
Staff Writer (nikkei.com) | 36 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
Alex Sanz (apnews.com) | 41 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 31 points | rankings
-
Staff Writer (nikkei.com) | 36 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
Staff Writer (nikkei.com) | 37 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
Staff Writer (nikkei.com) | 37 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
Staff Writer (nikkei.com) | 37 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
gsu.edu | 39 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 29 points | rankings
-
economist.com | 18 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 13 points | rankings
-
Staff Writer (nikkei.com) | 37 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
KENJI KAWASE (nikkei.com) | 38 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
Staff Writer (nikkei.com) | 38 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
Staff Writer (nikkei.com) | 38 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
qstheory.cn | 22 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 15 points | rankings
-
Staff Writer (nikkei.com) | 39 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
Staff Writer (nikkei.com) | 40 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
Staff Writer (nikkei.com) | 40 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
epi.org | 23 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 15 points | rankings
-
(worldpoliticsreview.com) | 19 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 12 points | rankings
-
Staff Writer (nikkei.com) | 41 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 27 points | rankings
-
scmp.com | 23 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 15 points | rankings
-
warontherocks.com | 8 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 5 points | rankings
-
Arie Egozi (breakingmedia.com) | 23 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 15 points | rankings
-
Gabrielle Debinski (gzeromedia.com) | 10 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 6 points | rankings
-
David Wallace-Wells (nymag.com) | 19 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 12 points | rankings
-
scmp.com | 24 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 15 points | rankings
-
scmp.com | 24 hours ago | 1 points/hour | 15 points | rankings
Tweets
Oh to be a fly on this wall. Vietnam’s special partnerships of solidarity with Cambodia and Laos are increasingly threatened by China daily. https://t.co/lxbfmGgvf3

Singapore's foreign minister Dr. Vivian Balakrishnan gave by far the most elaborate take on the island city-state's stance on AUKUS. Read also his responses to other questions posed at the doorstop press session on the 76th UNGA session sidelines. https://t.co/D3Rjd8MPLl https://t.co/QuLs4hXeLr

Pretty perfect celebration of another revolution around the sun, I’d say. https://t.co/pylSNW8y6S

Baby August is here!
Stay tuned for my analysis of whether additional proliferation stabilizes or destabilizes the family environment. https://t.co/3twvfriFjF

4yo’s class going virtual for the week due to a COVID case. So so glad we’re doing this again. Feels like old times!
You know supply chain problems are bad when you can’t even buy a Billy bookshelf from @IKEAUSA for delivery or store pickup in all of Southern California. I can only proceed with one-tenth of my order. https://t.co/WpzXgLGiKY

Must have missed 35k troops tiptoeing out of Germany. Would have thought it’d have been reported on. https://t.co/HrOdzgD0VK
“Actually, [AUKUS] was not really the centrepiece of concern. The real strategic question remains the relationship between the US and China, and how they manage this strategic realignment…. Everything else, in a sense, are secondary issues." https://t.co/SDNARnqHg8
I wish every US taxpayer could see how godawful military websites are. This is like 1998-level, Napster quality development.
I question the value of counting ASEAN as a bloc to get them in at #5. https://t.co/Ct9qdd2Hqf
@hmarston4 @BichTTran1 @GregPoling @SoutheastAsiaDC https://t.co/obiqoejgJs

Fun delivery today, thanks @TurkishPolicy! https://t.co/bsR5EgeIhJ

@BDHerzinger @clary_co And USN would be probabaly involved if there is a sea smuggling scenario.
Coast Guard was involved when it was last hosted in Honolulu.
Being held every 3 years ensures almost no one involved last time is around for the next one. 🙃
@supbrow @clary_co This is kind of where I was going with what I said, it still exists but the execution ensures that it’s effectively brain dead.
@clary_co I’d say basically defunct anywhere outside DTRA, @supbrow?
.@wendyscutler notes that "Asian countries view trade as a foreign policy priority and will continue to search for ways to expand trade whether or not Washington decides to participate."
https://t.co/q9AFEbDPeS
Some of you may be interested in this webinar by Prof Edmund Malesky and Dr Ho Quoc Tuan. It reviews the first six months of Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh's government and discusses Vietnam's political and economic prospects.
Registration link: https://t.co/s6reCGkQDs https://t.co/G6kIfYcpXp

@hmarston4 I didn’t read it that way. It doesn’t seem normative to me - not an “affront” to China but accurate assessment of effects. Is it in Australia’s interests? Yes. Will it strain relations with China? Yes. I’d agree with both, even tho I think the former is worth the latter.
Did YouTube actually push me an ad for "pumpkin spice sushi"? I mean, seriously, I'm out. Just completely out.
Expenditure by Asian militaries: https://t.co/Wsfdhzyuz7 https://t.co/C1BHE01Iou

I don’t know who needs to hear this but most people are trying their best. So cut them a little slack.
“Taking care of a kid is tough, right?”
My four-year-old, as I was running around to finish what I was doing fast to get her something she requested or, rather, demanded.
She must have seen my face because then she said “I love you.”
The problem is that the game, the long game China is playing is geoeconomic. US not at the table. https://t.co/Vg1ZARP5sh
@CollinSLKoh "large reservoirs of trust and alignment" is always a nice thing to hear.
@forbesmm An angle grinder and gin? Absolutely not. This works fine, to a point...
If we want to lean into this idea, civilian government needs to provide clear guidance to the uniformed services and tell them what they’re supposed to do, and how to know if they’re succeeding. Because I can tell you, definitively, they don’t know right now.
We will walk backward into a major war unless policymakers get control of this situation, of that I am thoroughly convinced.
Nobody has told INDOPACOM or the Seventh Fleet what “winning” competition in peacetime looks like. That’s true today and was true for the entirety of the Trump presidency.
Here’s something you haven’t thought about in months: Clubhouse.
As opposed to the massive numbers of people fired over Afghanistan during the previous three admin— wait. https://t.co/dBN0jKSyT3
After 40 years of Reaganism, it is time for people to realize that sometimes government IS the solution, especially for things like education, air quality, water quality, public safety, and . . . public health.
I might take "great power competition" seriously if the GOP didn't think flirting with U.S. default was a small price to pay for disingenuous midterm attack ads.
@hmarston4 This is quite the stretch!
"Singapore's dismissal of Yale, announced late last month, illuminates a lot of what has driven the Taliban's far-more brutal expulsion of America from Afghanistan..."
Josh Mandel always reminds me that I experienced more racism in 3 years in Ohio than 12 in Indiana, 1 in Tennessee, and 6 in Mississippi.
Still don't know why that's the case, and I think about that often.
Feeling vindicated in my decision not to think much about it at the time. https://t.co/Ae077eJ2kn
I also keep my books where they will be kicked repeatedly. Great for the bindings. https://t.co/lM779CMCN8
Asian defense spending is up pretty much across the board, but also way below its potential. If national budgets were statements of grand strategy, Asian political elites want to focus on business and development...but that's very slowly changing https://t.co/32XstcyRAm
Damn. Also didn't know the US was blocking the appointment of judges to the WTO https://t.co/HyQ2iKtjQY
A pithy explanation of why you'll never find me cheering for a specific capability. Applauding specific platforms devoid of a causal wager for how they'll help you is celebrating playing the wrong game. And that's w/in a rationalist paradigm, to say nothing of other critiques https://t.co/doyZo94LNO
Also nota bene Mike Dahm: "We tend to fight stuff with stuff instead of fighting strategy with strategy." (around 56:45) cc: @WonkVJ
Well argued. There are other factors I have concerns about not discussed here, but as one of my friends likes to say, just give me a good argument. This is that https://t.co/5W7r9FN35G
I might be biased, but Duck of Minerva has been killing it lately https://t.co/Sp9jzqRvK2
Excellent thread, terrible trajectory. There's a deranged, fascistic transfiguration of America happening from within. Nobody knows how far it'll go, but it's getting worse. https://t.co/KBeUoftrEN
@hmarston4 All the pars that stick to reporting about the Yale-Singapore tie up are indeed useful and illuminating
@hmarston4 @BDHerzinger Noting Singapore as a significant outlier.
I have been thinking about this tweet all morning. https://t.co/lDXvidsnDz
Imho a US-China G2 or “condominium” would be pretty much the worst case scenario for New Delhi. The Quad is as much about keeping the US “in” as it about keeping China “out”. https://t.co/mfvoZTvmA9
Useful counterpoint to India-is-a-weak-link talk from @tanvi_madan: "Delhi worries about the possibility of [US] commitment to the region waning or a reversion to a more accommodating position on China. There has been even more concern about Canberra..." https://t.co/y9GV2NFY1l
Cloaked spaceships land on Lake Burley Griffin, while submarines lurk below… https://t.co/un1Vq1NuyJ
Tonight I learned that some people put their socks/shoes on one leg at a time (sock-shoe, sock-shoe; not: sock, sock, shoe, shoe) and I honestly feel quite adrift.
"En route through the Taiwan Strait". Nothing to see here. Move along. https://t.co/FxM7wy2edp
Spaghettoni and meatballs🥰 #poliscinonna @murrigellas https://t.co/0r32ukMzrY

Strong support for the #GangGang on day 1! We gotta maintain that support people!!🙌🏽🙌🏽 https://t.co/bCxpuv0c3W
I’m not sold on this new voting system…but I *AM* sold on making the Gang-Gang Australia’s Bird of the Year for 2021!
https://t.co/8MfTG1qzvM
Excellent article by @jamescrabtree. It should be a no-brainer for the US to augment AUKUS with the CPTPP, but Washington remains tied in knots. https://t.co/s7xkFkjVWO
Latest for @Diplomat_APAC: Malaysia to Seek Chinese ‘Views’ on New AUKUS Security Pact https://t.co/FPiMINHanp https://t.co/dSrqTooJZ5

Soeharto: 32 years
Lee Kuan Yew: 31 years
Mahathir: 24 years https://t.co/UbqkvQQoZt
@hmarston4 Institutionally, the Tatmadaw can absorb losses; it has conscription. At the lieutenant-major level, the guys incurring losses, one has to think that they will want blood, escalating the violence. But will the colonels start to re-evaluate and search for off ramps?
Over 30 #Myanmar junta troops killed in fierce Weekend fighting with EAOs and PDFs. While numbers were not independently verified, we're definitely seeing an escalation of violence. https://t.co/T1rcHwGI8c
Our Kind of Traitor: one of the bleakest & best Le Carre’s I have read, or on this case listened to as i huffed & puffed around the streets of locked down #downer 👟
Russian oligarchs, perfidious Albionites and a cameo from Roger Federer 🎾. https://t.co/A7Hllcac2Z

Is there any more forlorn title for a Word document than ‘rewrite v3’ ? (Apart from v4)
Vietnamese, Cambodian, Lao top leaders discuss cooperation orientations https://t.co/XDJcK95JSf
And this one surprised me - a third would be ok with nuclear weapons (!! @SamRoggeveen !! ) but more are ok with nuclear-powered subs and nuclear power in homes. More here: https://t.co/8up5bjp6nD https://t.co/DZO5mMA7yR

New polling! Essential polling out today asks about Australian public views towards AUKUS: 54% say the deal is in Australia's best interests, but the same number say that it will strain relations with China 1/3 https://t.co/JTkqksD1Rm

@davidhuttjourno @gardlunden Could be more specific here. If you want to know, talk to people who have interacted with Min Aung Hlaing's deputies. There are senior US officials, for example, who have met them & have (limited) judgements of their characters.
@davidhuttjourno @gardlunden Still sounds pretty speculative to me. Reality is nobody knows the exact future an internal coup would precipitate.
RT @stephendziedzic: Incidentally the internal push for ASEAN to issue a statement expressing concern about AUKUS/nuclear submarines seems…
@arzandc I think you're right. I'm reading too much into the two answers as paired, which aren't necessarily in tension. Perils of distilling tough questions into concise wording & no real way to tease out the interrelated components. I'm projecting my sense of attitudes onto the results.
Interesting to hear Peter Jennings @ASPI_org state a rather straightforward point in such stark terms that I hadn't really considered before: he says Australia has gotten a lot more out of the bilateral US alliance without NZ in ANZUS. Good episode @CSIS: https://t.co/Do56e6Bveo
@BDHerzinger Which only further underscores the low level of defense spending by individual ASEAN countries relative to China, India, Japan, ROK et al.
@BlackwellJ_ Canberrans voting for the magpie to protitiate the baleful birds out of collective fear 😂
@BlackwellJ_ I'm sorry, but who did the magpie attack/threaten to get the #2 spot?
@Dellow__J Welcome back to the land of cell signal, Jake! Looking forward to an exciting episode this week!
As an American in Canberra, it's remarkable to note the extent to which Australians have internalized the view that investing in their defense is an affront to China. Blaming AUKUS fits Beijing's narrative that Canberra is the antagonist & fuels the idea that any deterrent is bad https://t.co/gASscDkYGd
In which @BDHerzinger gives the most effective overview of the US Maritime Security Initiative I've seen to date. As well as a great presentation on Vietnam's naval modernization from @BichTTran1 & flawless moderating by @GregPoling as always. #SouthChinaSea @SoutheastAsiaDC https://t.co/6TeukJAgKB
@ZachAbuza And it's remarkable to read about Tatmadaw losses every day.
@DrIanHall I knew there was more to this city than meets the eye!
The bowls have flipped once again #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar https://t.co/zTkBJ5lxqy
RT @dunfordmichael: Signal is down apparently everywhere, not only in Myanmar. Not the result of a TMD action. Pass it around! #WhatsHappen…
@ConnellyAL "The US-China bilateral relationship is the most important in the world today. How the two work out their tensions and frictions will define the international environment for decades to come."
- PM Lee at SLD 2019
@ConnellyAL This resonates strongly with PM Lee's consistent focus on the potential of US-China competition to disrupt the Asian peace/balance of power in recent years:
https://t.co/wOaTyPpiDw
https://t.co/ojSxisfFmT
I hadn't realized what a long history Yale had in Singapore or that Henry Luce (founder of Time Magazine & born in China), went to Yale for that matter.
@samuelgbaron @TheEconomist Whoa. I'll have to check this out.
But IMO the author is overreaching with the parallel to Afghanistan. Come on. Axe to grind with neoliberal capitalism? Fine. But the anti-imperialist crusade is a bit of a stretch to a private American university's overseas cooperation.
Interesting read. This article makes it sound like there was much more pushback from within Yale, rather than Singapore's gov pressuring Yale out of NUS as @TheEconomist implied (https://t.co/qPQ9EQtZKj): https://t.co/by2Ds6CxX1
RT @royngerng: A Singaporean company chaired by a former Singapore member of parliament Ang Mong Seng and which operates via shell companie…
"Cambodia’s strongman government is seldom acclaimed, at least in the West, where [but instead] denounced for dysfunction, corruption and crackdowns on dissent. But by any measure, Cambodia’s COVID-19 vaccination program has been a major success."
https://t.co/QT692KcoRc
Former Australian diplomats agree! Read their letter here: https://t.co/IyaaQQM1yC
@CollinSLKoh Within ASEAN, Philippines, Singapore, Vietnam, and Thailand are positive about AUKUS; Malaysia and Indonesia are negative. ASEAN has to face the fact that it's not one on some of the most important issues in the region.
@damienics Fidel Castro, 49 years
Kim Il Sung, 46 years
For those who think China will join CPTPP: It's unlikely that Japan & Australia will let it in. Canada & Mexico may be bound by a clause in USMCA to not let it in. China's bid for CPTPP membership will turn out to be a stone to block Taiwan's membership & a wedge to divide CPTPP.
The Thai Constitutional Court moved its ruling on same sex marriage to mid-December. This is a debate unsettled only in the minds of the Court, but long settled in the minds of Thais. #สมรสเท่าเทียม #LBGTQ
Over several months, I talked to a young Burmese protester-turned-guerilla, as he left Yangon for military training and came back to the city to put that training into practice. This is his story. https://t.co/pXuUBaMwhI
@hmarston4 @TheEconomist Thanks Hunter. I was involved in it, but didn't write it: the authors are our Banyan columnist, Dom Ziegler, and a Yangon-based writer
@PurpleTarantula @GuardianAus Look how beautiful she's become ❣ https://t.co/kKRoTSjMYa
@cosmicpinot Dear Brian, thank you for your message of support. I should clarify that the incident took place in Europe, though I have had similar experiences in Australia. I would very much welcome your leadership and any ANU initiatives on this front. I would be happy to be involved.
@GuardianAus Vote for the Tawny Frogmouth. This was one I raised last year after she was kicked from the nest. From 10 days old, until 3.5 months when she was a big girl and flew free #tawnyfrogmouth for #BirdoftheYear ❤️ https://t.co/eq5uqW2BlB

I think too many commentators are ignoring this important point in favor of emphasizing conflict and horse race coverage. Coalition and proportional politics are nuanced, but there is a world beyond first past the post. https://t.co/LJEIFN2qRW
Usually, I am on my own when I confront racism & prejudice.This wasn't the case on Sunday. My 7-yr old had to witness how his mom was reduced to the color of her skin.He was very upset.I had to give him a survival course on racism.
That enraged me more than the actual encounter. https://t.co/itgktCl1mq

'If you want to get the old people who are not being vaccinated to be vaccinated, take away some of their rights: Gold Cards, baches, tax breaks and trust funds.'
#Listen Young people have plenty of suggestions for how to boost NZ's vaccination rate. https://t.co/vYzl02PBkv
Why is the US-Vietnam partnership growing? @GregPoling @simonhudes and @a_natalegawa explain how Chinese encroachments into contested waters in the South China Sea affect US-Vietnam relations in our latest report: https://t.co/v1MUIYh74e
Tomorrow night: grab a drink ☕️🍷🍺 and get ready for pop-up @AIIA_WA event on #AUKUS 🇦🇺 🇬🇧 🇺🇸 feat. Prof Hugh White, @SusannahCPatton and Prof @PJD_DefStudies, Tue 28 Sep 2000hrs AEST, tix + rego here https://t.co/ZKffCKElcB #ausdef
Dear all, thank you so much for your messages of love and support. We are ok. 💜
No birds should win bird of the year, as all birds are a) scary and annoying, and b) CIA spies
Proving a lot easier to get vaccinated than to get an Australian vaccination record.
@LorenzLuthi @damienics Lee Kuan Yew had 31 years as PM, Felix Houphoet-Boigny was in office for 33 years, and I think Robert Mugabe pulled in 37 years as head of government in Zimbabwe.
I dropped put after not finishing year 12
7 years later i help produce and edit a podcast with an esteemed professor and have hundreds of people listening to what i have to say on politics fortnightly(for better or for worse).
High School is so temporary its not even funny https://t.co/9znMyP5CAg
Recent meeting of Southeast Asian nations' leaders underlined Hanoi's push to restore strong ties with its old neighboring allies, Cambodia and Laos, with comments from @ThayerCarl and @lhhiep for @asiatimesonline https://t.co/SytH0WMEnh
That econ journal that's never heard of political economy is now spamming me to submit. https://t.co/b2Sa9vUmvX

Welcome Dr @evewarburton & @RNeilsen1 as our new @ANUBellSchool Research Fellows to work on “Representation in Crisis: Politicians & Voters in Post-Pandemic Indonesia” & "Cyber Humanitarian Interventions: Ethics, Prospects & Atrocity Prevention in the Digital Age", respectively! https://t.co/d3R6NPmAIa

For the first time in many years, VCP chief Nguyen Phu Trong held tripartite talks on September 26 with General Secretary of the Lao People’s Revolutionary Party Thongloun Sisoulith and Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen. Me for @asiatimesonline. https://t.co/SytH0WMEnh
RT @tanvi_madan: 🇮🇳🇹🇼 "India & Taiwan are in talks on an agmt that could bring chip manufacturing to South Asia along with tariff reduction…
@EvanLaksmana Responses seem logical. But I wonder what percentage of respondents believe China's unprecedented military buildup also increases regional tensions. Or the Nine Dash Line. Or the artificial islands. Or the provocative actions around Taiwan/Senkakus. Or attempts to restrict FON.
@ConsWahoo @LisaCurtisDC More or less but the degree of incline has fluctuated. Pretty sharp rise under Trump, at least on the strategic/defense front. Partly due to greater eagerness from the Modi gov't, driven by rising concerns about China.
"When people go back and look at the Trump admin's foreign policy, I think what they'll see is the elevation of the India-US relationship was really one of the highlights...in particular the last 18 months."
The Pulse of the Indo-Pacific w/ @LisaCurtisDC.
https://t.co/POQRivp9Jj https://t.co/E4Zj258zgk

"We are not unduly anxious about these new developments." https://t.co/THBpsHpWll
RT @Cold_Peace_: On @WIONews yesterday with @palkisu reflecting on how far we've come with the Quad and the India-US bilat.
I wish you wer…
RT @YusufDFI: I write on @news18dotcom on AUKUS, Quad, and why India needs France for its naval nuclear reactor tech, not the US. https://t…
"Akash Prime" - Super fast same day or scheduled delivery, lightening deal. https://t.co/itLjsfACzx
@profmusgrave @clary_co (also, I was her TA one semester)
um this is a violation of my third amendment rights https://t.co/Fh2zWnlo3L
Photographic proof that the world is round https://t.co/GNFuHcqEqd
Japanese and German navies train together to support a multipolar Indo-Pacific free of hegemony and coercion https://t.co/Ieln7bmCvI
All these people out there torn about whether to stay in the city or reluctantly move to the suburbs for more space, when they could just buy the townhouse next door for $1.4 millon and spend $2.2 million to combine them into a 7,000 sq foot double-wide. https://t.co/qO3NvMmc8J
This is thoughtful from @ProfTalmadge: "On balance, the AUKUS submarine deal is probably more likely to reduce proliferation risks in the Indo-Pacific than increase them."
https://t.co/H618VlzVHE
Very sad to learn that @burdett_loomis has passed away. I always admired his scholarship, but I didn't know him at all until we became Twitter friends. His kindness, generosity, and sincerity on this website was unusual, to say the least, and makes me wish we had met in person.
@clary_co I thought I was the only one who remembered
Another week with lots of news, but here is the key takeaway: The vaccines continue to work, especially at preventing severe outcomes. While cases in lower-vaccinated states have decreased dramatically, the gap in death rates has widened. Thread on data:
https://t.co/sBdYBmvNdP https://t.co/9TQ7WH7yeg

@clary_co I lost track in the Trump years but it was at the absolute height of its powers in 2015-16...there was even talk of making it a formal institution (contra its original mandate)
I’ve read the Li Rui diaries, I think in their entirety. I’m quoted in this new article about them by @JEPomfret https://t.co/1Vyt2PD0mJ
DRDO incorporating Prime into its naming conventions ought to confuse everyone. https://t.co/j4GRevSjfC
The case for Australia getting SSNs is that Australia is pretty far from China and Japan, and had limited ability to support most China contingencies via SSKs alone. Japan is quite close to China and incredibly close to itself. https://t.co/3kdDeaibid
Kidman’s character famously modeled in part on Jessica Stern. https://t.co/8uxJHb1qip https://t.co/Oyk3CLxW44
Sorry, Russian-language memoir by Aleksandr Feklisov was published in 1999, it appears.
I'm sure this little nugget in Plokhy's Cuban Missile Crisis book received attention in the reviews earlier this year (and presumably when the underlying Russian-language memoir was published in 1996), but, man... the past sometimes rhymes. https://t.co/MC3R5rp3tO

@clary_co Not defunct. Still new states signing up. Relevant in dprk sanctions context and others. Not sure if there had been psi exercises since covid, but there was active meetings before that some of which I attended / presented at
@clary_co Worth saying top that all regimes have struggled in covid context .
Wow. The UK 2021 National Space Strategy really went there: “Galactic Britain.” https://t.co/Fg9fpN8LCK https://t.co/0JZE4DHFMn

My latest in @ForeignAffairs: why the US should sell nuclear subs to Australia, despite concerns about proliferation.
BLUF: US can manage the prolif risk. And security benefits to Oz having US-designed SSNs are substantial.
https://t.co/BKuOw11BGc
And persisting to bang on about STRATEGIC COMPETITION is all risk and no reward without that foundation. And the risks are truly terrible.
@ConsWahoo @DavidLarter @philewing You know I’m firmly on side where it comes to building the fleet, and I agree with you insofar as an end to the rhetoric also translates into decreased funding - that is definitely the wrong approach.
So yeah, I’m good with dialing back the rhetoric until we can get our ducks in a row.
Because there is *zero* policy guidance for what it means, and DoD doesn’t know either.
There are a number of @FulbrightPrgrm candidates in #Afghanistan stuck in limbo as a result of the situation there. I'm calling on @StateDept @State_SCA to find a way to give these candidates the shot they deserve!
RT if you concur!
#SupportAfgFulbrightSemifinalists2022 https://t.co/Zi6G1AeEGB

I refuse to take seriously any argument being advanced that asserts DOD has had "insufficient funding" for the past decade 👎 https://t.co/7bvAJwqVtQ
If you believe this NYT headline is real, I have a bridge to sell you over the Yamuna before "Setpember" is out...
(this is doing the rounds in WhatsApp groups in India) https://t.co/eMbM0Y8zE0

Flight attendant: Is there a doctor on the plane?
Me: Nope.
Flight attendant: Not even the PhD type?
Me: Now you and my Korean mother are equally disappointed.
*the end* https://t.co/UdTMBxGWR9
Protip: ANYONE it ANY media outlet telling you China is having electricity supply issues because of their commitment to the environment is either lying to your face or had no idea what they are talking about. Good chance they are bad faith actor pushing disinformation https://t.co/pRFq4BzwZp
@BDHerzinger @ratemyskyperoom Jeez that Lima November tail fin is awesome!
Sorry, but this is ‘PNG the entire embassy’ material. Taking a victory lap IN CANADA after holding two Canadians hostage for three years? Get right in the sea. https://t.co/8y018Gd8tE

At my own peril I’ll disagree with @ConsWahoo here and say I don’t mind focusing away from the discourse on military competition. Why? https://t.co/Vc2zV48Grk
ROK ADD claims to have successfully tested a ballistic missile with a *6 ton* conventional warhead earlier in September; 7-8 ton conventional warhead SRBM under development, per this report https://t.co/CqASygtXJD
@dburbach @wd40__ @GeorgeWHerbert Presumably this will also be a unitary system (as most recent ROK SRBMs have been).
Despite repeated claims in the South Korean media, we’re still far off from anything resembling the effects of tactical nuclear weapons.
RT @JessLuella_West: @LauraEGrego turns the tired cliché "all space objects can be weapons" on its head.
"The vast majority of objects in…
RT @clary_co: DRDO incorporating Prime into its naming conventions ought to confuse everyone.
3 years ago today a dream of mine came true - I saw my name as the author of a piece in a major publication for the first time.
It was a story about one of the hardest and most rewarding days of my flying career. You can read it here:
https://t.co/o9uAnNbDDb https://t.co/dGLUzN768z

@dburbach This is uncanny...I looked out the window earlier and was very confused as to why there was a UA777 departing BOS. Thanks for enlightening me!
@NarangVipin @eriklg We get a UPS & FDX 757 daily, plus the Pats 767, and that's it larger than 737. United is regional jets only out of PVD In 2007, UA had five 757/737 to ORD daily.
@NarangVipin Our household follows college ball but I'm pretty oblivious to NFL (my wife works with a lot more locals than me so she at least keeps up on Pats games so as to not be left out Monday mornings)
@NarangVipin Too used to seeing the Pat's 767 (based here in PVD) to remember most teams don't have a dedicated plane https://t.co/uTFJHcejMO

@dburbach Football and aviation are two of my indulgent hobbies 😂
@NarangVipin Damn, that's almost certainly it given the MSY stops 🏈. Better #OSINT than me!
In @ForeignAffairs, @ProfTalmadge pushes back against the nonproliferation risks of the AUKUS SSN deal, arguing that while they may exist, they are minimal, manageable, and offset by the strategic advantage of Australia operating SSNs in the Indo-Pacific.
https://t.co/3aad2ah6zQ
@eriklg @dburbach UA had a high density domestic 777 BOS-SFO prior to the pandemic, and gets a lot of EWR’s international diversions. But you rarely see a UA 777 at PVD I imagine!
If Malaysian states were U.S. states, Sarawak is Texas, right?
@MikeBlack114 @BDHerzinger more than that, I think many critics conflate a wildly messed up development cycle with how the planes in the air actually work. youtube missives about how the f-35 "can't turn with a viper" don't help
@MikeBlack114 @BDHerzinger "aircraft carriers would be instantly sunk in a war, just like two *unescorted, no air cover* surface ships in world war ii"
I really can't
@mgerrydoyle I’ve been considering making a comment about this for an hour but it’s too dumb to approach.
Flight attendant: Is there a doc on the plane?
Corpsman: Yes, but I'm not that kind of …
Flight attendant: The pilots need Motrin and a change of socks
Corpsman: I’m on my way
Jet lag is a personal attack on me and my life and how I exist.
“He married another woman but he really loves me! I know he does!”
@BDHerzinger @mgerrydoyle Seriously, like, they fought an entire war after PoW and Repulse were sunk. It proved the critical importance of carrier-based aircraft versus surface warfare fleets
I shall always insult the Navy, but this whole argument is absolutely ludicrous
@squirelskitchen @TomHeartsTanks @BDHerzinger the last air-to-air gun kill by a u.s. aircraft was in 1991, against a helo. the gun issue doesn't affect all f-35s, is fixable and is far from making the plane or even the gun "not work." f-35a unit cost is about $78 million
@mgerrydoyle @TomHeartsTanks And Tom, as we all know, naval engagements ended after the sinking of Prince of Wales and Repulse. There has not been a single use of warships since 1941. Planes rule the waves.
@mgerrydoyle @TomHeartsTanks No Gerry, the Navy thinks that missiles could never sink big ships, which is why we have not spent several decades refining our own missiles as well as systems to counter enemy missiles. Jeez, catch up.
@TomHeartsTanks @BDHerzinger like even if you try to consider this in good faith--adversaries have come up with many new anti-ship missiles that are serious threats to carriers--you also have to engage with the facts that 1) carriers don't sail alone and 2) the navy is well aware and has defensive systems
@mgerrydoyle It’s honestly overwhelming, that’s what is deterring me. Even just the one tweet about the attack on PoW and Repulse. Like, what is the history of WW2?
none of this is accurate except for the bit dunking on space force, which is 100 percent warranted https://t.co/F3MFgwEouc
This was my comfort food. My mom made it for me anytime I was sick. https://t.co/zS8D1dFUU3
Just saw Will Mackin’s incredible Amazon bio https://t.co/eMSyjbcY9b

Europe hasn’t been drubbed this hard since the Mongol invasion https://t.co/LKFOMKmnCk

Good to see RAN in high visibility joint exercises with regional partners. Say what you will about those flattops, but visually they do make an impression. https://t.co/oCpazZyB1A
Capability is nice, when you have an industrial base to build it up. https://t.co/MvbmntqTYb
Check out @CollinSLKoh's great work on tracking PLAN Escort Task Forces that deploy to Gulf of Aden.
The 39th ETF just departed.
Opportunity for countries along the route to watch & share info.
@raylockman @abhijit227 @MarSec_Bradford @BDHerzinger @duandang @ryankakiuchan https://t.co/ADDEkD2iZ5
@BDHerzinger @clary_co Still going... exercises about every three years (Ex Deep Sabre).
Lead nation rotates. I think SGP is next lead, maybe.
IndoPacom has a code that owns it when in this theater. Army CBRD and
DTRA also involved.
“He puts the dick in dictatorship” was my trademarked cringe phrase in Model UN. (Was talking about Mugabe.) https://t.co/gWLMljhEgY
@Samir_Madani @BDHerzinger @supbrow @ratemyskyperoom I threw @BDHerzinger stinkin' palm tree overboard because that is not how we do it in the merchant marine! https://t.co/5yZFuymiSj

@BDHerzinger Blake, let’s not be too hard on CANTRAC. https://t.co/VeSxWsLVQL

Ok @ratemyskyperoom, I’m back with a new angle and a higher camera (and no blue light-blocking glasses) https://t.co/SeeSTYMSzD

I really don’t think it can be chalked up solely, or even primarily, to mistrust when Singapore has just gone back into a snap mini lockdown for internal reasons. https://t.co/VtZ3bP0V37
@BDHerzinger Well, you know the level of craziness here. Others will need to listen.
I've made far more meaningful professional connections on Twitter than I have on LinkedIn. https://t.co/zDNy5oxXVr
@JerryHendrixII @ratemyskyperoom My first division got me that when I left the command, lots of good Pelican memories.
@TomWrightAsia Technically it’s bleach but we can’t legally use that on people, no matter how much I might like to.
@supbrow @ratemyskyperoom Yeah, still trying to figure out how to get a shelf over there. Stop prejudicing the jury, Charlie!
Sunlight is the best disinfectant. Looking forward to @TomWrightAsia’s newest project. https://t.co/vvmUo8H8Fh
@mercoglianos But at least we finally have some containers….
Critical transport shortage as a weight loss solution is a fresh take. https://t.co/DO9Ps2Jfd5
Last year two countries that both have US National Guard State Partnership programs (Kansas and Oklahoma) fought a conventional war. Do we even remember? https://t.co/YBnzNJINQN
RT @louischeung_hk: Very impressive!Latest propaganda video of China Weapons in #Zhuhai2021 https://t.co/QoReUIr5Ac

RT @NavalInstitute: U.S. Naval Institute Archive Photo of the Week: Then-Captain Bowman H. McCalla and other U.S. Navy officers in China du…
Was not remotely aware of Vietnamese amphibious ops / sea basing. Great shot. https://t.co/t9Ybtc06O5
‘No grey area’: China leaves no doubt with its cryptocurrency ban https://t.co/9kk2WZ5RAZ
"We need to get the views from the leadership of China, especially China's defence, on AUKUS that was announced by the three countries and what are their actions following the announcement," Hishammuddin said in parliament. https://t.co/wEfLQyeG5Z
An evening in the #metaverse with #degens of #singapore ❤️😂
We need more #cryptohangs - should we go digital during the next month. Let us know if you’d like to join us! https://t.co/nN4hRNozZv
@jamescrabtree ‘Nothing to see’ (not our words) because the truth is, a ship in international waters is just that. @alessionaval @shashj @shetlerjones @Dr_M_Davis @IanJStorey @james_rogers @graham_euan
Zhuhai underway… heading to PLAAF-hosted convening conference. #Zhuhai2021 #lovemyjob @AndrewSErickson @JerryHendrixII @peter_dutton @USNINews @CovertShores @DEricSayers @alessionaval @CollinSLKoh https://t.co/U6PTF2OKeO

CSG21 units sailed from Guam today to commence the next phase of the #CSG21 deployment in the Indo-Pacific. Our thanks to all in #Guam for their fantastic support during our period of maintenance and R&R. https://t.co/Uk6HklPsRW

@smrmoorhouse @DefenceHQ @HMSQNLZ @louleonguerrero @nbguam @USPacificFleet @INDOPACOM @US7thFleet @RoyalNavy @RoyalAirForce We look forward to welcoming you all in SE Asia soon.
My husband just won a Tony award and I am so fucking proud of him https://t.co/FXdlNFoLiA

Cappy thinks she deserves a special Tony for cuteness https://t.co/sFoUFw92Ze

@forsureafedera @MikeBlack114 National highway system, inheritor of railways, inheritor of canals…
Wow! This is an outstanding piece. I’m not surprised Taiwan 🇹🇼 is ranked the freest country in all of Asia. But, as an American, I am surprised and deeply disappointed that it’s even ranked higher than the USA 🇺🇸. That can’t be right. We need to have a goodwill freedom race! https://t.co/gHZ1WNGeuQ
That's through the Taiwan Strait folks... https://t.co/CHze3msFjp
Yes I am an extremely powerful magic user trapped in a dystopia of my own making, torturing everyone in here with me as I desperately try to trick myself into happiness https://t.co/9ZYH8Y2rIs
That latest ep of Ted Lasso...man, it dug up some feelings I didn't quite realize I'd had about dad. That was a hell of an episode. One of those "grief silently creeping up on you and hitting you over the head while you're laughing" episodes
@DavidLarter I hear there are high returns on hookers and blow
My grandpa just announced during lunch that I’m his most intelligent grandkid. Excuse me while I live on that high for the rest of the year.
Freedom Train brought Jefferson’s draft of Declaration of Independence, Washington’s copy of Constitution and other National Archives documents across US, 1947-1949—Memphis and Birmingham were removed from tour for refusing to let Black and White visitors mix on train: https://t.co/1y7K1Gm8O0

“….Above all, let us remember, however serious the outlook, however harsh the task, the one great irreversible trend in the history of the world is on the side of liberty--and we, for all time to come, are on the same side.”—JFK, November 1961 (7)
“….Let us not heed these counsels of fear and suspicion…Let us…devote less energy to organizing armed bands of civilian guerrillas that are more likely to supply local vigilantes than national vigilance….”— JFK, November 1961 (6)
“….They object quite rightly to politics intruding on the military--but they are very anxious for the military to engage in their kind of politics….”—JFK, November 1961 (5)
“….They find treason in our churches, in our highest court, in our treatment of water. They equate the Democratic Party with the welfare state, the welfare state with socialism, socialism with communism….”—JFK, November 1961 (4)
“….The discordant voices of extremism are once again heard in the land….They look suspiciously at their neighbors and their leaders. They call for ‘a man on horseback’ because they do not trust the people….” — JFK, November 1961 (3)
“….At times these fanatics have achieved a temporary success among those who lack the will or the wisdom to face unpleasant facts or unsolved problems. But in time the basic good sense and stability of the great American consensus has always prevailed….” —JFK, November 1961 (2)
“There have always been those on the fringes of our society who have sought to escape their own responsibility by finding a simple solution, an appealing slogan or a convenient scapegoat.”—JFK, November 1961 (1)
Reserve your seats now and get the popcorn ready! GTI's #TaiwaneseFilmWeek starts this Friday, October 1. Note that the films are only viewable during the specified 24 hour window. https://t.co/bRFyOKHYDC https://t.co/PmPVfEN435
Taiwan gets the Zakaria treatment & in the context of the @UN no less. Unsettled issue of sovereignty should not preclude the legitimate representation of the people of Taiwan & their ability to meaningfully participate. UNR 2758 does not create a UN-wide "One-China Principle." https://t.co/e4cFubqkAR
@marthagimbel @LeemourSeymour ❤️❤️❤️ (and omg this is SO not what i look like tonight)
Hi I won't be live tweeting the Tonys this year because I'm a nominee(!) and that feels weird(?) to do, so I'll just say I'm so so SO excited theatre is coming back and I'm rooting for literally everyone. Love you all so much.
@DavidLarter You may find the political writing of @charlescwcooke enjoyable on this very subject.
@DavidLarter @philewing @BDHerzinger My Singapore memories cannot be shared publicly.
@philewing @DavidLarter My compliments on the deep track ref.
@DavidLarter @philewing And hopefully when @BDHerzinger sobers up from his latest Raffles induced hangover, he'll jump onboard with the "walk and chew gum" thing (build a Navy even as we figure out the larger policy).
@philewing @DavidLarter What I tried to address in my repost to the Sage of Singapore was that all the minimize competition talk was having important budget ramifications, and that while the whole golden BB policy thing is thought out, we need to be building a larger Navy that there seems to be a sound
@BDHerzinger rhetoric; it is the bureaucratic cudgel wielded against Navy force structure planning in order to justify a smaller Navy at a time where this strikes many (ok, maybe just me) as unwise. When you look at Navy and say,"meh, all that forward presence stuff can't be mathematically
@BDHerzinger No peril, friend. Would that I had your confidence that there will be some sort of over-arching policy guidance coming to provide rigor and logic to explain (strategically) the truly inexplicable budget decisions being made. The "no more military competition" stuff is not just
.@gideonrachman calls Fiona Hill's new book "a valuable and riveting historic document."
https://t.co/makL6ScD4m
.@stengel reviews two new books that "show how [America's] experiment in republican self-government almost didn't happen....How the many became a fractious one is the story these two books tell."
https://t.co/uvYFMr9N5e
Important update alert: Navy reorg puts Columbia SSBN construction & Ohio sustainment under the same rear admiral; Virginia construction & SSN sustainment under another; weapons systems & *Project Overmatch undersea connectivity* under a third. Big deal!
https://t.co/k4OGXT3KgC
@AbraxasSpa @Tom_Antonov Issuing letters of mark would be an interesting twist to 2021, and sort of on-brand for Johnson.
Here's the text of #Mali PM Maïga's UN speech. I learned from him the word "lapalissade," which wiki tells me is "an obvious truth—i.e. a truism or tautology—which produces a comical effect. " https://t.co/ol5N2hkml3
@EvanFeigenbaum @seemasirohi In the end, this is what it boils down to. Supply chain diversification, chip manufacturing, climate tech, open architecture for 5G, more vaccine manufacturers—will require reform. Change is happening, but needs to keep pace with the changing geopolitics. At present, it’s a gap.
Absolutely awesome footage for baseball fans everywhere. https://t.co/qJVaQw1snq
@EvanFeigenbaum You have the basis of some of the finest comedy the world has ever seen there Evan.
Literally sweating because I’m not writing a story today about F-35 production smoothing, wtf
Probably not a great sign that I’m feeling a wave of guilt and FOMO from taking a week between jobs and not writing about contracts.
The internet deciding that IPAs are just pumpkin spice lattes for basic white guys and me liking both is the closest I've come to being like "fuck it, I'm nonbinary now, but *basic* nonbinary" https://t.co/4G99puDWre

First the world expects me to work five days a week, then the New York Times personally attacks me https://t.co/luabqQmUkK
This was my fault y’all. In the office today I said out loud “this should be a relatively quiet week on my end.” Rookie move https://t.co/pKjfQBpbLt
@DavidLarter I refer you to Messrs. Merriam and Webster: "a person who is trained or skilled in exercises, sports, or games requiring physical strength, agility, or stamina"
@DavidLarter Miss those trade school ads that always ended the list with “refrigeration technology.”
If the Royal Navy has evil intentions you'll know because they'll be supporting a quasi-private company setting up a trading company in your country.
Well ... this should keep Germany inwardly focused for awhile. https://t.co/Jz4iaSm0Ow
to make this clear, lets say they used 10 sources. They numbered the sources 1-10.
After an assertion from that source, they just added the number of the source it came from.
x is true. 6. y is true. 1. z is true. 6. a is true. 4.
Like that.
@DavidLarter This NYU professor definitely isn’t dating cuz this is already the state of things.
It's going to be something incredibly dumb, too, like a minor dispute over some rock somewhere that some Chinese politician decides is the Alamo and we decide we can't back away from. https://t.co/0Dn23EyENd
“Estimates” like this can’t help. https://t.co/iM0Nvzp6O0 https://t.co/IX1rTLzgZB

@DavidLarter I guess the first step would be laundering the money, because nobody’s suddenly getting rich right now without committing some kind of crime.
@DavidLarter I knew a Brit who was like “The way you Americans view your president, what you obviously really want is a constitutional monarch.” and I wanted to punch him for being so annoyingly right.
@Kenneth80782988 @DavidLarter @RupprechtDeino @Aviation_Intel @detresfa_ @JosephHDempsey @AndrewSErickson @CollinSLKoh @hoje_no Yeah sorry, a very brief diversion from overtly naval stuff
Zhuhai airshow. #China, 2012 (not 2021) visible in the Google Earth archive.
How far things have come!!!!!
#AvGeek https://t.co/R7DW3E9si7

@CobraBall3 @DavidLarter At least someone knew what I was talking about. 😌
@DavidLarter Oh but we built islands and Taiwan is part of China and and and we're really mad at you...
@DavidLarter This is a sometime Republic in which pluralities of ostensible citizens believe all they have are rights and privileges but no responsibilities or obligations and that isssssssssssss ... problematic -- and also is what leads to the issue you've identified
@DavidLarter @ConsWahoo @BDHerzinger I, for one, reluctantly volunteer
@DavidLarter @ConsWahoo We recall the words of defense analyst Geddy Lee: "If you choose not to decide, you still have made a choice." Ppl got mad at the "what does A'stan mean for Indo-Pacom" thing, but it means a *lot* -- including that #ThisTown will allow a near-crisis to build until it explodes
@ConsWahoo @DavidLarter What makes it especially dangerous is that years and decades of dithering by Washington over how to address this very dilemma may mean the U.S. is materially unready to do so, irrespective of whatever order comes from the commander-in-chief of the moment -- but no one said so
Was struggling on this Monday morning but then noticed these pix of aircraft from HMLA 167 operating from LHD 3 somewhere in the Hotlantic, per MC3 Schwab. Now I am motivated. https://t.co/IM06uTtxgO

@DavidLarter Are they planning a port call in China? Now if that is the case I can see where the headline may be coming from.
@BDHerzinger @DavidLarter Now I got my lil flag & boat.
@DavidLarter Ya’ll mean like this, @BDHerzinger 😉?
https://t.co/d4oj67jlGJ
@DavidLarter Someone please tell me they know what an International Strait is. Even if Taiwan was back in the PRC and the SCS was PRC territorial waters, intl. warships can still sail through an “International Strait” as per UNCLOS.
Maybe we could point to this as an example of the system holding the rich and powerful accountable, but that would overlook how he went years with criminality being common knowledge and with no real consequences.
We've known about his preying on young women for decades, and the fact that it went essentially unaccounted for all these years meant he just destroyed more and more lives.
R Kelly is probably going to die in prison.
That's something.
RT @CovertShores: Zhuhai airshow. #China, 2012 (not 2021) visible in the Google Earth archive.
How far things have come!!!!!
#AvGeek htt…
Lol. Misspelled "Routine operations in international waters." https://t.co/DLKcdHVVmY

You get what you ask for, too. If you treat the Presidency like he or she runs the country, you attract people for whom that is an attractive idea, and you get runaway executives. We should treat the president as what he or she is: the top bureaucrat.
At the risk of sounding cliched, we are a nation of laws, not personalities or dictators.
At some point we will need to adjust what we expect from the Presidency. He or she is one person who serves as commander in chief and the head of the Federal Government. That's it. Doesn't run the whole damn country, that's the Constitution.
@Navy_Hipple Or the usefulness of calories as a unit of measurement.
@AltAlexanderHam The study discussed calls into question the traditional calories in/calories out model.
Could be half, could be damn near all, we dont really know but you should freak the f*** out. https://t.co/hWZNEYN43l
To be clear, though, I know of no diet where McDonald's french fries are a healthy part of it. https://t.co/u8yaMXGVgt

Disappear back into whatever Robot-run planet is most like France.
I'm going to miss Daft Punk emerging from nowhere every 7-10 years to absolutely thrash the charts and disappear into thin air again.
Me, whenever a lab comes back telling me my liver is functioning normally: https://t.co/VcmEdAYQfR

@ConsWahoo @philewing @BDHerzinger I like the idea of young navalists on a pilgrimage to Singapore to learn at the feet of Blake.
All because we didn't set up a framework for what competition means and what our goals are in the region.
Just realized Monday night football is really Monday late-afternoon football for me anymore
@LethalityJane Confused how people figure out their shoe size otherwise
@JeffJjmom All is great and Jeff seems to be doing great :)
@mavrick_brett Hmmm, fair point. Those cats are clearly athletes. Perhaps earning a seat in a competition -- vice paying an entry fee -- is the distinction.
@JoelSuspended I didn't manufacture it, as much as I prepared it and forced my wife and friends to drink it.
I brewed beer for a while, brewing was my hobby. I was not a brewer.
I believe there is a distinction to be drawn between athletes, to whom sport is their profession, and people whose hobby is athletics -- no matter how dedicated or excellent at that chosen pursuit they may be. And that the term "athlete" applies to the former.
Discuss
@DavidLarter Have the British promised not to bring opium this time?
@DavidLarter It was 33% of BP stations on the early morning news. This escalated quickly.
@DavidLarter Seems like the same rationale applies to athletes, IMO the definition fits either way, but you can clarify it further by specifying whether you’re a professional or amateur athlete.
@DavidLarter They are nutritionally lacking for sure, however, when it comes to weight lost, you could eat all the French fries you want. It would just have to be under your calorie limit/burn rate. So, in essence, you could have fries, just get vitamins and such as well
@DavidLarter amateur prefix - problem solved. Nothing wrong with telling your friends you are an amateur brewer. You express your hobby while also telling people you arent a professional
@DavidLarter Also, HMS Richmond doesn't even have her Mk 141 installed... basically just carrying a handful of point defense CAMM missiles... such an evil and menacing loadout to threaten the great and powerful PLAN
@DavidLarter @LethalityJane I wondered the same.
Do they just guess? Try random sizes until one fits? Is there some app that I’m not aware of??? https://t.co/ZMWofB9oER

@DavidLarter If we just had a larger legislature, it'd be more able to both represent public opinion and exercise actual lawmaking and oversight functions
@DavidLarter The issue is also that Congress has given up a lot of its powers to the executive. Unfortunately, on the fly, I don’t have specific citations, but there are a lot of well read people on here that do. I’ll thread updates as well
@DavidLarter Then there would be no need for the qualifier "professional." But it's quite common, and is easy to use
@DavidLarter Seems like there's a bunch of aiding or misprision.
@DavidLarter If the companies can promise me that, I will invest.
Grad school Sapphics, this is our time https://t.co/PyQf8l3eY2
@DavidLarter Now do China (not you @DavidLarter - I meant this ridiculous NYU professor)
@DavidLarter Seems like you've identified a hole in the diet market.
@DavidLarter I actually met a guy who only eats French Fries, I couldn't believe it but that's what he ordered for lunch and his story was featured on a show:
https://t.co/DGllC6trX6
He seemed to be in pretty OK shape to me.
@DavidLarter @AltAlexanderHam Sigh...yes, the whole point of the STAT article is this based on is that "calories in/calories out model" is junk science on par with Eugenics. NOT to say fries are healthy, but that's different than saying you can consume them...
@DavidLarter @LethalityJane I'm sure there's a phone camera app.
@DavidLarter Preficed by "in moderation", Julia Child endorsed them because she loved them!❤
@DavidLarter Does anyone in CCP media get that powerful, confident nations don't sound like this?
@DavidLarter I mean, kinda yeah you were. The literal definition of "brewer" is "a person or entity that manufactures beer."
@DavidLarter 45 was a continuation of the growing “imperial presidency” that was really got going under 44. Now what caused 44 to go in that direction is debatable, but an imperial presidency is not how the US is supposed to operate.
@DavidLarter I feel like this has happened before. Power flows back and forth between the House/Senate and the Executive. Before the Civil War, the House ruled. After, the executive.
“The Taliban are moderating.” https://t.co/gRjuNv52I9

In foreign policy it’s highly likely that the next 🇩🇪government will have a somewhat sharper tone on both 🇷🇺 and 🇨🇳.
The Law of Undignified Failure says that, no matter how sad the failure you imagine, reality will come up with a way to fail that's even less dignified. Before reading this article, try to imagine the stupidest way to fail at making a car's turn signal. https://t.co/W5n0KJWcV8
@johnsperanza @MarkKoyama @SilverVVulpes I declare this thread won
@MarkKoyama @SilverVVulpes ah yes, the Sturdy Windows Fallacy
@Benoit03157452 @EliasHasle Minarchist Georgist and above all econoliterate, but you'd have to be a principled libertarian to tell the difference.
RT @diviacaroline: Btw I have frequently heard people (that I respect!) say “but x term clearly isn’t a slur bc it’s only for the members o…
RT @CraigGidney: @PikumaLondon @3blue1brown Another anecdote: my favorite university prof/class covered some quantum computing at the end.…
@mllichti @06rPilot @DogIsABot @caseycapshaw I think you're misunderstanding MS-06R_Pilot. When MS says "employer vaccine mandate" he does not mean "the employer chooses to mandate a vaccine" but "the government has mandated that the employer require a vaccine". Or so I'm inferring from context.
@ESYudkowsky The second tissue box has a million tissues, but only if Omega predicted that you would open only it.
@Mad_Science_Guy @ESYudkowsky The current system doesn’t work. Medical error is the 3rd most common cause of death, even beats covid.
Flight attendant: Is there a doctor on the plane?
Me: Yes, but I’m not that kind…
Flight attendant: Can you explain to us why Americans politics is so polarized?
Me: I might need a few weeks. Plus, I don’t like talking about work on planes. Or to people.
Esoteric truth?: Taiwan is strategically a lot less important to the U.S. than foreign policy experts are willing to say. And the smart ones know it.
Pleased to share that I received the Duke Alumni Distinguished Undergraduate Teaching Award. Very gratified for the recognition and thankful to my Cornell mentors who modeled commitment to both scholarly research and teaching: Peter Katzenstein, Walter LaFeber and Ted Lowi https://t.co/2lUVVP3H9R

Disappointing that status-boosting or status-buttressing institutions & influencers continue to give friendly platforms to military leaders responsible for our failures in Afghanistan and elsewhere. Wish those would balance more w/ @SIGARHQ, @CraigMWhitlock, @stephenWalt, etc. 1/
@shifrinson @Miller_Center I suspect our confidence intervals vary more than our estimates :-) Thanks, interesting discussion
@shifrinson @Miller_Center I guess what I’m trying to say is that, from my own mostly-ivory-tower POV, none of this seems inherently bad unless you come into it already believing that these pathologies exist. It mostly reads as a bit chummy, but refreshingly bipartisan and stable. YMMV, of course.
@Prof_BearB @Miller_Center Right. I don't think we disagree on (1) the "inherent" piece of this at all and (2) the need to check priors at the door, though we may differ on the (assessed) situation as it has actually evolved in the US foreign policy space. But that's fine - analysts can vary.
@Idooren @MZLopate @Prof_BearB @Miller_Center I agree with that, though I'd reframe the arg: insularity can't JUST be reduced to educational background (though it certainly encompasses ed background).
@MZLopate @Idooren @Prof_BearB @Miller_Center The conversation does not, so far as I understand it, define "the Blob" in terms of education. The point is about repeated selection for office and insularity that results.
@EvanDMcCormick @mkguliford @INCITE_Columbia wait...what happens if we aren't happy?
@LorenzLuthi @damienics Bismarck: 19 years (Chancellor only)
@MZLopate @Idooren @Prof_BearB @Miller_Center I'm obviously sympathetic, but it MIGHT hurt via loss of expertise. The matter is, I think, better framed as whether the net gains outweigh the net losses.
@mkguliford @shifrinson @INCITE_Columbia thanks @mkguliford! I feel awkward shouting from the rooftops when it's like "just sit tight for a few years!" but my goal is to make all the IR/diplo in my life very happy when it comes out
There’s no way Xi and the #CCP will cooperate with this. Xi has to go. New WHO team to probe Wuhan lab leak https://t.co/vWVo6ZFnSC
@DavidSantoro1 @PacificForum Superb publication. Many for thanks for keeping producing it.
Read @Rob_York_79 and @akhil_oldsoul's piece in @PacificForum's PacNet:
"The Quad...should develop a positive agenda for the Indo-Pacific: upholding rules and norms of behavior in the region, as well as the free flow of goods, services, and ideas."
https://t.co/zl4Tpo63nk
GALACTIC Britain.
How do you compete with that?
Cc: @elonmusk https://t.co/31Qa6gpLI8
The answer to that critical question is yes, and not just the Quad.
The Quad is just a piece of a bigger puzzle, and the newest piece is AUKUS.
The missing piece is trade policy, for the US. https://t.co/q36sMvINFs
@Rmanning4 This is the BIG missing piece that we in the US are neglecting because it's become fricking political: trade policy.
So yes, I agree with you.
@AshleyAFrawley Ah yeah my daughter (4 years-old) said something similar to me. Like: "So, you say you're a doctor but you're not ***really*** a doctor."
Absolutely brilliant piece by @ProfTalmadge on AUKUS:
Key points:
- Major security benefits.
- Good to reduce proliferation incentives in the region.
- Nonproliferation issues manageable.
https://t.co/TpXY2WE581
RT @RobertAlanWard: In first, Japan names China, Russia and North Korea as cyberattack threats | The Japan Times https://t.co/r1wHqn7EIM
Best way to get more knowledgeable, step by step. https://t.co/5k23YmSADU
RT @Ali_Wyne: .@gideonrachman calls Fiona Hill's new book "a valuable and riveting historic document."
https://t.co/makL6ScD4m
@ArtyomLukin @PacificForum Delighted to hear you like it, Artyom.
@RLHeinrichs Yes there’s never been a European perspective.
@RLHeinrichs Okay but my point is all this is meaningless from a European perspective. The upshot for them is be it Obama, Trump, or Biden, they see the US as a problem, for different reasons.
@DavidSantoro1 @elonmusk Doesn't that leave them technically in the same galaxy as the EU?
@DavidSantoro1 Miss 7 told me, during the getting ready for school madness, that I should take up yoga cos I looked stressed 😬 But not the sit-down bendy poses, cos I'm too old to do that. Apparently. 🙄
The coin is dumb. The debt ceiling is dumber. Let’s go with dumb over dumber
Remote work innovation or no? https://t.co/NC2nQ5z7L3

Retweet if this is the dumbest shit you’ve ever heard in your entire life https://t.co/oamU3gzuEK
Update: This has not become less true. https://t.co/byAtG3mSPU
Afghanistan girls soccer team given asylum in Portugal
https://t.co/xhOXeULWsc
Not a coherent approach. Maximizing shareholder value is an ideology, and it’s why these firms do what they do. The whole ‘woke capital’ critique is that no one is actually sacrificing profits! https://t.co/IQEOSb1xVH
I love Washington, D.C. but I don’t know if I’m “in love” with Washington, D.C.
At least the Rs have turned against Citizens United. https://t.co/Qu1sQNl02k
putting in my to read file https://t.co/3xbzergbUP
Holy shit Holy shit Holy shit https://t.co/1Fbt7DCAp4
Happy Petrov Day! On Sept 26, 1983, Petrov disobeyed orders to report what appeared to be an American nuclear attack (but later turned out to be a false alarm), thus probably averting full fledged nuclear war.
Petrov Day celebrations are some of my favorite:
I'm so proud of @inheritanceplay. Of Lois, who finally got her Tony 70 years(!) after her Broadway debut, of Matthew, who is the first Latine playwright EVER to win a Tony for Best Play, and of Andrew, whose experience on the show helped him along his journey to coming out.
@curiouswavefn The terse "every word in its place" makes me wonder how the translation was achieved.
@Robben4days There is a tight link between energy, temperature and entropy that those creatures would have to obey. (sneaking past it requires very unusual initial conditions contrived to allow it, but these are not generic states) https://t.co/5dbJYkurLg
@Robben4days In a high dimensional space there are many more directions that don't go in a positive direction than do, but the same is true for negative. "Easier to mess up than to create" is likely due to entropy rather than complexity. We often care about sensitive systems.
@TDeryugina Connecting with policy makers and journalists, to widen the impact of your research but also to get ideas and context
Discussing the upcoming 🇪🇺🇺🇸 trade and technology talks in Pittsburgh in Brussels today, it seems as if 🇺🇸 sees them first and foremost in the light of pressing back 🇨🇳, while 🇪🇺 primarily is keen to sort out real 🇪🇺🇺🇸 issues. But in spite of this progress should be possible.
Taro Kono, the vaccination minister, is the favorite to become the next leader of Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party and effectively the next prime minister, a poll by Nikkei and TV Tokyo shows.
https://t.co/R6S4aQdGqw
Why is Chinese President Xi Jinping keeping his distance from China Evergrande? Factional politics may hold clues.
#Evergrande
https://t.co/kZSK5GBXkv
Sydney lockdown to ease, but faster for the vaccinated
https://t.co/5b1OUA24KB
#COVID19 #coronavirus #vaccine
Vietnamese GDP growth in the third quarter is expected "to have slowed to 1.9% year-on-year, from 6.6% in the second quarter, as the pandemic hit the economy," according to Standard Chartered.
https://t.co/h6R2sXeuDz
Diego Garcia, an Indian Ocean atoll that is part of the British Indian Ocean Territories, is growing in geopolitical significance for the U.K. and the U.S. as they increase engagement in the Indo-Pacific region.
https://t.co/noSbNAeZTO
China Evergrande Group's electric car unit halted its plan to sell shares on Shanghai's STAR Market after "due and careful consideration."
#EV #Evergrande
https://t.co/nNcsFuAh87
CYBERSECURITY | Japan names China, Russia and North Korea as cyberspace threats.
https://t.co/6V7RBzhPh1
South Korea's COVID-19 emergency relief funds, which began distribution on Sept. 6, provide 250,000 won (US$212) per recipient.
https://t.co/ihq9I96y2f
#COVID19 #coronavirus #vaccine
In case you missed it, this story was popular in the U.S.
#iPhone #Apple #Tesla
https://t.co/6FZEs7Iygz
Southeast Asia welcomes the sharing of coronavirus vaccine technology from the U.S and China for local production.
#COVID19
https://t.co/pkV81esxkv
Chinese sportswear startup Peak raises $232m as it aims for IPO
https://t.co/bTO9XntC1A
Follow our live updates on the #coronavirus here:
-- South Korea reports 2,383 new cases
-- China reports 35 cases
https://t.co/hReMjxL1p9
#COVID19 #coronavirus #vaccine
EVERGRANDE CRISIS | According to Rushi Advanced Institute of Finance, condominium prices in the southern city of Shenzhen are now 57 times the average annual income, and 55 times that of income in Beijing.
https://t.co/eeBPoQ6khP
#Evergrande #中国恒大集団
Is the world ready for the big population drop?
https://t.co/FtsW9TMQ2d
As Japan's ruling LDP picks a new leader on Wednesday, which of the four candidates would have the greatest impact on the stock market?
https://t.co/aJTc86Sh77
Get the latest daily coronavirus infection figures in Asia for September 26. (Source: Johns Hopkins University)
#COVID19
https://t.co/pgHZupTUzY https://t.co/DLdRQyZSSw

COVID RESTRICTIONS AGAIN | Although 80% of Singaporeans have been inoculated with two doses, the government is reimposing some restrictions on eateries and workplaces until Oct. 24 following record-high new infections. #COVID19
https://t.co/VnNWbCDwLU https://t.co/bhsBuEHbSM

Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga sounded optimistic about lifting Japan's state of emergency over the #coronavirus pandemic when it expires at the end of this month, but health minister says the restrictions on people's lives will not be lifted in one go.
https://t.co/fWsv6TankS
"We just want what's due to us." As China Evergrande tries to claw its way out of financial crisis, the lives of the ordinary people who work for it and its many contractors are in limbo. #Evergrande
https://t.co/SDKVyLU5so
Coronavirus latest: COVID cuts life expectancy most since WWII
Follow the latest #COVID19 news on Nikkei Asia's free blog.
https://t.co/yJdmPJdmNk
#COVID19 #coronavirus #vaccine
Mongolian-born sumo grand champion Hakuho to retire.
https://t.co/N4gvTi6RXD
#Sumo #相撲 #Hakuho #白鵬
Iran fails to honor agreement on monitoring equipment, IAEA says.
https://t.co/X7wQ8vdje9
Good morning, Asia. This was our most read story over the weekend.
https://t.co/5fBApL6dWE
Should Japan get nuclear submarines? Taro Kono, the favorite in the four-candidate race to lead the Liberal Democratic Party, gives a thumbs-up.
https://t.co/7obJnVTlFt
South Korea has managed to distribute 90% of a cash handout program in just two weeks, showcasing the effectiveness of its resident registration number system.
https://t.co/izudFcVxk6
RT @KenKobayashi: Haruki Murakami Library's music room has been furnished with the same equipment as jazz aficionado Haruki's own music roo…
RT @KenKobayashi: A new library dedicated to Japanese novelist Haruki Murakami will open next week at his Tokyo alma mater Waseda Universit…
Japan LDP election, China auto data law and Tokyo Game Show -- Your Week in Asia
https://t.co/KGJoOOoTAf
AUKUS PLUS JAPAN? | LDP CANDIDATES ON NUCLEAR SUBMARINES
Kono: "As a capability, it is very important for Japan to have nuclear submarines"
Kishida: "When I think about Japan's national security arrangements, to what extent do we need it?"
https://t.co/0R1zUOmJ2j
CHINA POWER CRUNCH I IPHONE PRODUCTION HUNG UP
Beijing's tighter energy consumption policy is forcing key Apple and Tesla suppliers to halt production as global markets worry about a debt crisis in the country.
https://t.co/XJYBraKpcC
MARKET SPOTLIGHT | JAPAN UNDER EACH CANDIDATE
Stronger leadership? Fresh policies?
Here is a look at how each of the four LDP candidates will change the course of the country.
https://t.co/M0OLpx1zP3
People. There are maybe 5 leaves on the ground. You can hold off the incessant leaf blowing.
We have a number of opportunities at different levels, check them out! https://t.co/xx3jfZGyO3
@trekonomics Appears the fall weather has arrived... best season.
@Brian_Riedl Wait for the unnecessary hugging call on the fumble play. Might need to go back and review and see if there should have been a flag.
Every aspiring designer has to start somewhere. 🤣 https://t.co/O3vifVspK6

🎥FLASHBACK TO SEATBELT PUBLIC HEALTH CAMPAIGN—“Everybody buckle up! If your car doesn’t have seat belts, get them. If you do have seat belts, use them!” … ➡️ can you imagine how an innocent health campaign like that would be received by anti-maskers today? #MaskUp #vaccinate https://t.co/lWlhbgSOaS

@peligrietzer Surely Kenny Easwaran? This is in his works in progress section on website https://t.co/EBMC2u1r1y

Why not try to make the effective altruism movement as large as possible? One concern might be "idea dilution": as you get bigger, you need to appeal to more people so you weaken the claims. Yet it feels like EA ideas have actually become more concentrated as the movement grows.
Somebody definitely wrote an actual paper about this https://t.co/Y1E0E5Bcri
Creepiest. Resurrection. Ever. https://t.co/JsGfKPN4Wd

@AmandaAskell Agree 100%! Aside from maybe the fringes of longtermism, imo dilution wouldn't be necessary to gain 5-10x greater population. Afaik, I'm like the only blue collar ea, and have heard others explicitly advocate advancement only via exclusive universities.
@AmandaAskell My experience organizing EA Georgetown: there are a ton of very smart, EA-aligned ppl at good but not Ivy universities who have never heard of EA, and who would be extremely receptive without dumbing down/diluting the ideas
@AaronBergman18 @AmandaAskell There are a bunch of construction workers and mechanics who would be extremely receptive to ea without diluting the ideas! Mystified as to why ea is pulling away from earning to give when the opportunities there seem the largest.
@AmandaAskell Or maybe a bronze age account of CPR mediated by a dozen or so storytellers?
@AmandaAskell Hi Amanda - i've worked in marketing for my whole career but only in EA for ~ 3 and this has been my No1 suggestion so far. Big brands get big by reaching lots of people but EA is excruciatingly focussed on retention. It also has a massive tone of voice issue.
Back on the road this week for my first in-person seminar since Feb 2020. Excited to see people and wear work clothes!
@jenniferdoleac Two done this semester and they are the best!!!
Had a great time at #WomeninQuant get together this afternoon. What a great start of #SREE2021!! 🎉 https://t.co/RRsBBmpdRG
Folks, my tenure dossier is due Friday. . . I apologize in advance for all the snippy comments, erratic behavior.
RT @gema_zamarro: Had a great time at #WomeninQuant get together this afternoon. What a great start of #SREE2021!! 🎉
RT @jialanw: Scott Baker + Constantine Yannelis asked me to help them put out this call for papers on Taxes and Government Lending @ the Jo…
San Genarro ferris wheel with Junebug https://t.co/BX1qbkKH5d

USAA blocked my cc because my wife ordered $300 worth of shoes for her and our son. In the year of our Lord 2021 how is this a thing?
I was born and raised in the South. As were both of my parents. As were all of my grandparents. Yet I have stared at this tweet and the article to which it links for 20 minutes and am no closer to understanding any of it. https://t.co/usJkGc8TJl
Another Trump gift on his way out the door: American Carnage. "Murders Spiked in 2020 in Cities Across the United States" https://t.co/uOypa1ePVs
@chadgarland @tcburkejr @AppleTV Wow, that's awesome!
physically unable to stop cackling over the photoshop jobs on this ad for a pet hammock https://t.co/4DwDLMuEBN

If only France was willing to take Americans as hostages, it could be as great as China? "Alstom's exec was sentenced in the US...Alstom paid a huge fine and was forced to sell its core business to GM. In comparison, Meng and Huawei are much luckier.…" https://t.co/Kb5rh7liI3
(Insert joke about how without seeing Counterfactual Little who taught other classes we can’t know this for sure etc etc)
Friday night lights @BrownandProv i#nofilter https://t.co/nuLzfhB7M0

People often forget that Trump didn’t withdraw because of Iranian non-compliance. Indeed, in leaving the deal, he cited that it was no longer in the U.S. interest to remain—a much easier out—precisely because there wasn’t really a case to be made for Iranian non-compliance. https://t.co/0guUzEXfRl
🕵🏻♂️✈️🛩🛥🚠💣🧨🧑💻👷🗜💎🪒🔧⚒⚙️📡🛰🇨🇳🇺🇸🌎🌍🌏🛵🧪 https://t.co/MLSinJ7Ugs
In the 1990s, I sometimes got paid $2,000 for an 800-word article.
Aspiring #writers: For just about everyone, those days are LONG gone.
#WritingLife https://t.co/qppvAWRKhT
#Singapore is ranked 4th.
And today we entered another quasi-lockdown. https://t.co/IzA03CMgWp
In Pakistan, India & Nepal, still fairly common: A variant spelling of a common पहाड़ी name/community. There are both Muslim & Hindu versions.
When I lived in Lahore, the local sugar-cane vendor had a sign with this (English) spelling of his family name. Followed by "Juice." https://t.co/H21aj38Rz6
@Nick_L_Miller Amazing! Congrats to all involved : )
This was, quite literally, how Belgium's King Leopold II ruled the Congo: As his personal property, through a shell corporation.
It was barely a century ago. When his own nation was a constitutional monarchy.
Millions of Congolese were killed.
Virtually nobody in the US knows. https://t.co/Ock42OMGIw
@Nick_L_Miller Congrats, Nick! Hope you all are doing well!
@Nick_L_Miller So happy for you and Eugenie! Congrats!
@Nick_L_Miller Congratulations! We experienced non-linear effects from additional proliferation. Will be interested to hear your analysis.
James I: here is a miniature of me holding my heart in my hand, for you, my beloved Steenie
James I: Steenie for St Stephen, who was as beautiful as an an angel, just like you, sweet George
Contemporary historians: another clear example of a close but heterosexual friendship!
another supply chain explainer thingie cc @scrivenix https://t.co/Db86zpZgwg
Sorry to mislead, gm is good morning, gmi is gonna make it https://t.co/vYODqnzEjY
If this is the “rose of Jericho” I don’t think I want to meet the other plants from there https://t.co/eP585YIoBC
In the biggest economic races, money is how you figure out who won second and third place.
First place usually goes to the player who redefines the meaning of money.
Fourth place onwards is people who console themselves that they’re working for “human values.”
I would like to start a tradition here in the United States where our victorious politicians also have to awkwardly hold a bouquet of flowers. https://t.co/iiZOfiZFfk

Might have to start paying attention again. Kinda tuned out of crypto in this last cycle. Got too complicated for me, but maybe time to out in the effort now. https://t.co/xT9AeSKc7Q
This is why I'm not a public figure, though I have significant reach. Any allyship from me can at best amplify momentum in an existing direction a bit, not materially change the course of significant events.
And on enmity... I can't finish any significant fight I can start
🤔 a script that replaces all occurrences of ‘expert’ with ‘elite’
As in “experts say xyz” is rendered as “elites say xyz”
Would capture big mood very well and also supply lulz
I’m not actually in this expert-bashing camp but I find the idea funny.
“Consumer” internet tech is a bit like psychohistory. The game is not to sell but predict and govern. Ads are the go-to way to make money because making money is almost a misaligned afterthought.
A story. When I was in law school, a long long time ago (but not so long), Justice Scalia came to speak. This was shortly after Lawrence v TX. My classmate asked him "do you sodomize your wife?" bc Scalia thought the state could ask and criminalize this. All hell broke loose https://t.co/jsYinbkgGn
How 2 simple vitamins ➡️ skin color ➡️ racism. When I taught at Harvard, we reminded students that our need for vitamin D is a key evolutionary driver of lighter/darker skin colors—thereby a cause of many ethnic wars in history. Here is why. HT @BillNye. https://t.co/bUxTo6bB6s

LISTEN TO MOM—A 6 year old was given strict instructions not to take off his mask in school. The school photographer came@for picture day… well the adorable 6 year old sure had strength in resolve in honoring his mother. @AliciaMenendez #MaskUp #COVID19
https://t.co/f04lSLN5Jo

DEVASTATING—life expectancy of 2019 to 2020 plummeted in women (red) & men (light blue). US young men lost the most—ONE FULL YEAR among age 0-59. Sweden🇸🇪 lost more than all its Scandinavian neighbors. And we haven’t added 2021 #DeltaVariant yet! #COVID19
https://t.co/XSnjBh4VV9 https://t.co/IS3tOTgrQB

@MollyJongFast At least your friend didn’t suddenly pop up as DeSantis’s new anti mask / vaccine hesitant surgeon general.
MIXING SHOTS—The elephant in the room that FDA/CDC has completely failed to address is mixing boosters—especially for J&J & Moderna recipients who are still waiting—J&J most urgently. Angela Merkel 🇩🇪 had gotten AZ + Moderna. Canada allows mRNA mixing. 🧵 https://t.co/30zMemnH62 https://t.co/2oBHHTYwgk

@MelissaJPeltier Canada 🇨🇦 allows for mixing mRNA for the first two doses, unclear on mixing boosters. But it’s good enough for Canada…
5) to be fair— CDC's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP), many panelists seemed to be in favor of "heterologous boosting." — but they just pondered it, no action taken yet. Too much talk. Too little action. https://t.co/5S3VC5lMnK
4) "Two AstraZeneca shots are weaker than anything containing mRNA," he said. "It's weaker than one AstraZeneca plus an mRNA or two mRNA shots."
3) Two trials from across the pond -- one in Spain (CombiVacs) and one in England (Com-COV) -- as well as smaller cohort studies, "consistently show that you get a stronger antibody response when you give AstraZeneca followed by one of the mRNA vaccines," Moore said.
2) mixing and matching became something of a necessity in Europe, as vaccine hesitancy with AstraZeneca ran high there following reports of unusual blood clotting. Many European countries moved ahead with mixing and matching AstraZeneca with mRNA vaccines. https://t.co/N5YIL9n06Z
DISINFECTION—Study found portable air cleaners are highly effective in clearing particles from the air & reducing spread to other areas. ➡️2 small air cleaners in one patient room clears 99% of potentially infectious aerosols within 5.5 minutes! #COVID19🧵
https://t.co/lQQkvgvI0o https://t.co/IYrAX9GPVX

The best part of cross-country travel is arriving in America’s most glamorous city in compression socks.
a real may-december romance here https://t.co/aSCnLhxjk7
More vintage on red carpets please! https://t.co/zKF99pLT7G
@profmusgrave if his condition had been more serious I absolutely would have kept that one inside my head
Got to watch our competitive lumberjacking team do a demo at the county fair today. https://t.co/tCHnPZhQG3

@Jason_K_Dempsey I bet I could interview any number of Army or Marine units and get v similar comments.
-that's not our job
-we could do this if they left us alone
-they're killing us out here
@Jason_K_Dempsey But we apparently did train them in how to blame higher headquarters!
RT @megpyre: Bookseller Friends,
Nettle & Bone by @UrsulaV
Read it immediately. It’s got everything that made me fall in love with fanta…
RT @DecisionDeskHQ: All constituencies have reported and all first-past-the-post seats have been awarded.
SEATS AWARDED THUS FAR || DDHQ/…
RT @ryanstruyk: “I was wrong. I was wrong. I love my sister very much. I love her family very much. And I was wrong,” Rep. Liz Cheney says,…
@snorerot13 @Patrick_Wyman here's reading list we made in another life https://t.co/lPR1g3lEyk
@snorerot13 @Patrick_Wyman Some options:
-Kitson, Gangs and Countergangs
-Elkins, Imperial Reckoning
-Galula, Counterinsurgency Warfare
-Horne, Savage War of Peace
-Cann, Counterinsurgency in Africa: The Portugese Way of War 1961-74
@charlie_simpson @Patrick_Wyman Cool. Thanks for helping a stranger!
@Patrick_Wyman The novel The Centurions by Jean Larteguy seems to pop up on many reading lists.
magic has nothing to do with violating the laws of physics. it has much to do with violating *expectations*, and we can reflect on what in our society causes us to conflate the two
@nickcammarata @RomeoStevens76 @eigenrobot ah it was @TRULY_RELAXED
https://t.co/2qkoyXEfwz
@nickcammarata @RomeoStevens76 i definitely feel like i stole it from someone, probably @eigenrobot ?
I know theatre kids from 8 to 88 are losing their shit right now
We arose from the pits of hell to wander the earth. https://t.co/l3dGQ95ViS

Today I was on a zoom call and my dog was barking at me demanding food, so I shut her out of the room. She then went outside via an open door in another room, came around to outside the window in front of my desk, and barked at me from there. ❤❤❤
friends if you see me on here next week please bang a rolled up newspaper loudly on a table nearby so that I get startled and scuttle away! I am supposed to be working on my book!
Could watch this entire clip all night, but the wrong-footed, George Gervin floater at 0:32 is other-level game. https://t.co/QH3DwP2mah
Best Birthday Party Ever!!!
🐕🐕🐕🐕🐕🐕 🐕 🐕 🐕 🐕
We went to Elie Beach to meet of Albert's siblings, his mum and Bera's sister.... And had a blast watching them all run, play and swim 🏖
Such a beautiful family ♥
#dogsoftwitter #dogs #Dog #smileforbert ♥ https://t.co/aveS1I5iAD

@marthagimbel @LeemourSeymour Congratulations Lee! (On both the Tonys and being married to Martha!)
We are pleased to announce that David Cooper (@metaCoop) has been named director of EPI's @EARNetwork, a national network of nearly 60 state- and local-level policy research and advocacy organizations.
https://t.co/pa8K6uwMMH
A steal at twice the price, as my mother would say. https://t.co/JYqX7lHtWy
@metaCoop @EARNetwork @NaomiAWalker We are so excited to have you in this role Dave!!!
RT @clairecmarkham: A steal at twice the price, as my mother would say.
RT @EconomicPolicy: We are pleased to announce that David Cooper (@metaCoop) has been named director of EPI's @EARNetwork, a national netwo…
@marthagimbel @LeemourSeymour 🤗This is mindblowing!Congratulations!!!!
@bencasselman Here, have a kitten https://t.co/D3d3merpgf

I'm incredibly excited to take on this role, especially at such a pivotal moment. There's arguably never been a better time to be ambitious in state and local policymaking. https://t.co/UkjmQzvBKq
I've said it before, but among my most precious theatrical talismans are the letters I got from people who wrote to tell me that The Inheritance helped them grieve, mourn, and heal in a way nothing else had for decades. Art matters.
Thank you @tkirdahy @SFP_London and Hunter for giving me a spot on the team. Thank you Matthew for writing the play YOU wanted to write. Thank you @oliverhenryroth for sending me the play to read in the first place! And to my brother Alec who is not on Twitter. I love you bro.
We are honored and humbled to be the recipients of 4 #TonyAwards, including Best Play. Thank you, thank you, thank you. #InheritLove https://t.co/kBaNelsAe6

Took my daughter to the new Army museum today and showed her a diorama of me in our TOC in Mosul in 2010. https://t.co/jUaXKBNlFs

@mikejason73 Not enough rip it cans and full spitters
RT @AlexHortonTX: Inside the Afghanistan airlift: Split-second decisions, relentless chaos drove historic military mission.
Here is how th…
RT @kiddaaron: Broken-down mobility scooter propels @USNavy veteran to TikTok fame, tests limits of generosity (by
@WyattWOlson). https://…
In just a few days, I will marry Chris.
(!!!!!!!)
Today's post is about all that I'm pondering just days before our wedding. What does it mean to promise to be with someone "until death do us part"?
https://t.co/j913JKP0zu
The Taliban’s “Deputy Prime Minister Abdul Salam Hanafi said regional intelligence was behind the recent bombings in Jalalabad.”
[ISIS can both conduct attacks and be cynically enabled by outside actors. Not unusual amid internal chaos in recent years in Iraq and Syria.] https://t.co/NBj53jxufE
Every large American city is a "good food city."
What are these cities you're visiting where it's somehow impossible to come up with a good restaurant to go eat at? The hard part is getting a babysitter!
My dissertation is 418 pages, and costs nothing unless you count my youth. https://t.co/VyXfzwJwCp
Technological innovation is how you win
(Sound on) https://t.co/MNlql4zWkt

just submitted a 50 page paper I've been working on for MONTHS 🎉
@CkLorentzen ha, i take things only the right way https://t.co/6Qxb6YF4KW

@CkLorentzen but i want to split hairs and make people furious at me, it's the only joy i can find in this clockwork world!
@CkLorentzen i'm mostly talking myself into never making statements of any kind whatsoever, in order to not deceive, in principle
that would be rad
silent avery
@CkLorentzen i'm pretty inscrutable, for an over-sharer
i'm pretty good at evasion and inhabiting an esoteric ambivalence
... want to try, in a courtroom: "i can't answer that question truthfully because it would lead you to being deceived into believing that i was guilty"
@CkLorentzen hm, i try to divorce intent from all questions of episteme- not that truths can't be used strategically
thinking specifically about questions like "who did you vote for?"
with my knowledge, i could guess some of the conclusions at which they will arrive: wrong ones
is answering a question truthfully, that you know will lead someone to the wrong conclusion (due to other misconceptions), deceptive
there is nothing a person could say to me that would lead to me talking to their boss and trying to get them fired, that's all there is to it
Have we started selling tokens of the Brooklyn Bridge yet https://t.co/grSM7QUSFJ
@CkLorentzen @roonmate it does maybe exist as a "vibe" that moral questions are numerical problems to be optimised and solved objectively.
@CkLorentzen @roonmate I agree that's a problem, and actually it's one reason I do have problems with many consequentialist arguments, but even if the rationalist framework doesn't exist in the sense of consistent set of rules across the rationalist community, ...
@CkLorentzen @roonmate But beyond that, they mostly seem to be the kind of consequentialists who actually believe in running the numbers to decide what the correct course of action is, which is surprisingly uncommon elsewhere.
@CkLorentzen @roonmate I think people who call themselves rationalists are overwhelmingly consequentialists (not just majority consequentialist).
I always have to think about US political colours on charts and maps because most other places use red for socialists, not for the right. It always looks like Texas has fallen to the Communists.
Golden rule of morality is basically just game theory: before you do something, think about what would happen in equilibrium if everyone did it
@amalieskram For those not up-to-date on Oslo real estate, that is approximately half what you’d pay in an average Oslo neighborhood. Romsås is, indeed, what passes for a ghetto.
@amalieskram Here’s a 3 bedroom ghetto apartment going for ~$470K. https://t.co/E2biE66kar
@michaelcurzi Honestly think “as fast as humanly possible delivery, sparing no expense” might be a legit start-up idea.
@EGirlMonetarism Another great one: “Big financial actors are paying X% above market rate.” If a family buys a house for considerably more than comps, yeah okay maybe that’s “paying above market rate”. When Blackrock buys a whole neighborhood, what they paid *is precisely the market rate*.
@EGirlMonetarism (technically just “not rent them out” but c’mon. Does *not* squeezing every last cent out of their assets sound like something “big financial actors” are gonna do?)
@EGirlMonetarism It makes sense if you think the big financial actors are not only buying the houses, but will also themselves be living in all of them
@averykimball And I will take the hairs you’ve split and split them further. Huzzah!
@averykimball But yeah, I guess in that kind of case, deceptive isn’t *wrong* anyway. But also, I think the connotations of the words may pertain to intent, so I’m not sure you can dodge that entirely if you’re picking apart vocabulary.
@averykimball Well even without bringing intent into it, you might have obligation to answer, reason to believe they’ll learn your answer later anyway, etc.
@roonmate all shall bow before the shape rotators, for we alone have the power to destroy the mental representations of two and three dimensional objects, and they fear we might just be crazy enough to do it
@averykimball but of course you’ll take this the wrong way
@averykimball It’s certainly misleading. “Deceptive” depends on your motive and/or reasons for answering and probably other context too. Also, it obviously has negative connotations, so in some situations “ambiguous” or “evasive” might be more apt descriptors?
@AnthonyLeeZhang Game theory is basically just the golden rule of morality: before you think about what would happen in equilibrium, do unto others as you would have others do unto you
@Jotto999 I mean, a little. It signals something extra. But it can’t be thaaat important compared to the content?
@Jotto999 Yeah, I get you. I’m such small fry that I hardly have proper ‘being QTed lived experience’. Aren’t dunks always lame? At least the bad faith and/or mean spirited ones? How much worse is it if it’s in QT form rather than reply?
I was just scrolling some old replies, though, and I write “though” too much, though
@DaltonDEmery When you control the mail you control… information. https://t.co/qrphfO2rl2

@DaltonDEmery But honestly this sounds like it might be a Newman situation so think twice before crossing him.
@DaltonDEmery I hear if you want someone fired you have to call their boss these days
@Jotto999 I get you. Sometimes I QT precisely because I don’t want to derail the person’s replies, though. I guess this has usually been when making a joke in an otherwise serious setting. In those cases I would have certainly welcomed interaction with/from OP, though.
@rasmansa Firsts move is a check. Shame on my poor notation
@rasmansa Kf6 is overloaded, covering both e8 and h7. So 1. Re8 Rxe8 2. Kxe8 and it’s checkmate in 1 if he doesn’t capture, 2 if he does.
…I think
@chrisgardenuk @roonmate Something between a vibe and a toolbox, yeah
@chrisgardenuk @roonmate Absolutely, but running the numbers can lead to a lot of different interpretations. Which numbers do you run? Which outputs matter? Etc.
@roonmate I’m pretty sure Rationalism is dominated by consequentialists and utilitarians if you take a poll, so I think I get what you mean. But is it really correct to talk about a “rationalist ethical framework”?
@powerbottomdad1 “hey dude, can you do me a solid and talk to my boss and get me fired?”
@peachblvd Norway, Sweden, Finland all have their main centers of industry and commerce in the south, in no small part because ‘the north’ is very, very far north indeed.
@CkLorentzen @powerbottomdad1 "yeah man, sure" [2s later], "hey man, can you do me a solid, can you tell the boss that you asked me that I ask him to fire you? thanks, you're the man bye"
Romsås aka the most bougie ghetto in Scandinavia https://t.co/Egu0fbQuU4

@EconCharlie @mobolito @LeemourSeymour This is a slander I would never animate a slide deck
I was not holding it together and now we have Audra McDonald and Brian Stokes Mitchell doing Wheels of a Dream
@gbenga_ajilore @LeemourSeymour Gbenga not good luck!!! You’ve cursed us!!!
Cappy decided a champagne cork was her new chewtoy this morning. https://t.co/wk1wRvEAuW

@MarthaOlney @Casey_Mink Lol I am at a separate party but yes I hear you :)
Singing about how you have to get the vaccine, I love Broadway
Mostly just checking to see if @Casey_Mink is still alive during this speech
Rubio's bill on woke corporations says firms are not allowed to consider employee retention as helping their enterprises. Nor can they think about public relations and marketing as useful to their business. https://t.co/WLzQp5CPPw

After experiencing symptoms for the first time this morning, I tested positive for COVID-19 shortly thereafter, & will now quarantine for the next 10 days. I'm feeling under the weather but am grateful for the protection from severe illness offered by safe and effective vaccines.
RT @garrytan: Supply chain shortages of basic equipment and medical supplies are exposing mass cartel price fixing behavior
In this case:…
RT @OmarKelly: The Raiders are up 25-14 after missing the extra point.
Dolphins suck.
RT @LucasKunceMO: Well... At least one thing people everywhere seem to agree on: Time for real accountability for the elites in Big Tech! h…
RT @jeremys: The Corrupt System Behind Covid Medical Shortages, by @matthewstoller https://t.co/5YHvs5Ngvb
RT @ddayen: Powell was warned about the distorting effect of Fed COVID relief, and did nothing. https://t.co/0SoS14M3Fj https://t.co/bQhEJE…
Super weird seeing people use the word copium to troll on behalf of a place that had 2 opium wars
Exactly 5 years ago today was the first day of my internship at @politicomag. It would be an understatement to say the opportunity/experience shaped the beginning of my journalism career, and I’m lucky and proud to continue working with great colleagues here every day.
I keep accidentally sending this emoji 🤪 to people today. Sorry.
@SaeedShah Do the Marshall Plan figures include military aid?
Wojcicki said YouTube considers free speech a “core value” of its platform. “But when we work with governments, there are many things that we have to take in consideration, whether it’s local laws or what’s happening on the ground.” 🤷♀️ https://t.co/sGq9P4OG61
Behind-the-scenes dealings for Meng and the Michaels to go home have removed one headache in U.S.-China ties—and demonstrated a little-noticed pragmatic dimension to their otherwise “completely dysfunctional" relationship.
@jamestareddy @AndrewRestuccia https://t.co/6kRI9WYGJm
Until the 1980s, the biggest of the roughly 1,000 Chinese-language news outlets outside China were run and owned by people from Hong Kong and Taiwan—and staunchly anti-Communist. Now, "most of the big ones in America now read like the People’s Daily."
https://t.co/4uLJhDoZAO
Wait, so is it the policy of Chinese state media that Imperial Japan should have... kept fighting? https://t.co/2BUdq44Oyh
@JChengWSJ Incredible stands for non credible I guess
The WHO is going to give the whole Covid origins investigation another try—with a new lineup of about 20 scientists, and a mandate to hunt for new evidence in China and elsewhere.
@drewhinshaw @betswrites
https://t.co/0kkjUL6IB5
RT @timeswang: This is my father, so the concern and attention is much appreciated. And since I'm up feeding my newborn son anyway, here ar…
Chinese companies are using a new legal tactic to fight claims of intellectual property theft. Meet the so-called "anti-suit injunction," which blocks foreign companies from taking legal action anywhere in the world.
@JoshZumbrun https://t.co/djhIWR4Bq9
If there was one paper that epitomized the growth of independent, brave, clear-eyed Afghan journalism over past two decades, it’s @Etilaatroz. Help if you can.
(More about their journey: Afghan Newspaper Hunts Corruption, but First It Has to Pay the Rent https://t.co/igRiUv0JQX) https://t.co/KNRHGCe242
“I finally don’t have to pick which life I want to commit to, my faith or my country.” For five years, First Lt Toor has pulled on the uniform of the USMC. On Thursday, he also got to put on the turban, a first in the 246-year history of the Marine Corps. https://t.co/XOdUn2URj7 https://t.co/cVWkPBfVih

RT @AsadHashim: A statue of Quaid-e-Azam Muhammad Ali Jinnah, Pakistan's founder, was blown up in Gwadar on Sunday, officials say. The sepa…
Whew. If women had had a larger decline, we’d have had a sexism problem to solve. https://t.co/le6ZX9s8kO
The only things I care about right now are savoring this time with family. And getting that Goddamn coin minted.
The rest is all BS. https://t.co/XyDqUdr49e
As Michael explains here, China is not a driver of global growth, but still derives its growth from the globe, which is a big part of the overall problem. https://t.co/FSQLqTO8wq
@nfergus @michaelxpettis Stumbled across his blog maybe 15 years ago. Incredible how a “random” blog can be a top source for real insight into a country with 1/5 the world’s population.
📑|#Beijing’s financial regulators face a tough decision on #Evergrande, as they cannot rescue its creditors without undermining the fight against #baddebt, writes @michaelxpettis. https://t.co/Ryinw9X4mE
13/13
Above all, Evergrande didn't create China's debt problem. It is just one of many symptoms (and not even the first important one) of a problem that has developed over more than a decade and which cannot go on indefinitely.
12/13
The turmoil surrounding Evergrande matters a lot to China, obviously, but while it will ultimately have an impact on the rest of the world, this impact will probably evolve slowly and will depend on the speed and nature of Beijing's reaction.
11/13
Offshore bonds issued by Evergrande and other property developers will obviously be affected by the turmoil, but the amount held foreign creditors isn't huge.
10/13
This is because foreign investors still play a small role in China's onshore stock and bond markets, and anyway the vast majority of bonds held by foreigners are Chinese government bonds, which are unlikely to be affected by an Evergrande crisis.
9/13
As for global financial contagion, while the Evergrande crisis can (and will) have a substantial impact on domestic Chinese financial markets, the contagion mechanism abroad is likely to be pretty limited.
8/13
For example a significant reduction in Chinese demand for property-related commodities and metals might be bad for commodity exporters, but it will be good for commodity importers.
7/13
Higher infrastructure investment or lower savings, in other words, will make up for the impact of less real-estate investment on China's current account. This doesn't mean a property slowdown will have no impact, only that its impact is likely to be very mixed.
6/13
But all other things are not equal. Unless Beijing is willing to accept much slower domestic growth, past form suggests we will see the reduction in real-estate investment countered by an increase in local government spending.
5/13
a reduction in Chinese real-estate investment. If all other things were equal, this should cause China's trade surplus to grow, as the gap between savings and investment expanded, which in turn would remove even more demand from the rest of the world.
4/13
The way in which China's current account adjusts to the property-sector turmoil will determine how the real economy of the rest of the world will be affected by the Evergrande crisis. The crisis, for example, will almost certainly result in...
3/13
demand to the global economy, it is in fact the biggest net absorber of global demand, with monthly trade surpluses of around $50 billion. That is why a crisis in China won't affect the real economies of the rest of the world in the same way as a crisis in the US might.
2/13
While China is the largest arithmetical component of global growth, this doesn't make it the main engine of global growth in any meaningful sense. In a world of excess desired savings, the engine of growth is demand, and not only is China not the biggest source of net...
1/13
While I agree with most of what Ruchir Sharma says in this piece, I am more skeptical than he is about the following: "The problem: what happens in China no longer stays in China, which is the main engine of global growth."
https://t.co/MMpW9GPz4K
@michaelxpettis This plus the delayed deliveries due to container shortage seems like a perfect storm on supply chains. If we add rising gas prices to the picture, is the risk of cost-push inflation rising? https://t.co/ByGTXe8QeN
@FGodement I know, François. I meant the confusion some have by which a country's arithmetical share of global growth is also its contribution to global growth.
@greg_ip And as someone just reminded me, Xi Jinping himself makes the point in his Qiushi essay that it is demand that drives growth. Among other things he says: "In today's world, markets are the scarcest resource."
https://t.co/KY4OajQU0b
@Patrik_eu I'm hearing similar things, although not as directly as you.
@RonPauliticsJS Yes, I noticed that line too when I read the essay.
@M_C_Klein If you do a write up of the economic implications if the election, Matt, please send me a copy.
Perhaps another reason to question the likelihood of global financial contagion.
https://t.co/y2LAdWMJGx
RT @70sBachchan: While political press occupies itself with heat & light of US-China decoupling, the financial press (FT, WSJ, Economist)…
@snootypigeon There really isn't a "first", but the latest sequence probably started with Baoshang in May 2019 and includes Huarong just a few months ago.
@AminNayebpour Thanks. I have some knowledge of Iran (thanks in part to my Iranian sister-in-law) but it tends to be more cultural than economic. I'd love reading recommendations about that period.
From Gan Li, a professor at SUFE: “Now times have changed. What the government needs is not highly leveraged companies or billionaires, but for the sector to return to rational growth.”
In fact this has been the case for over a decade.
https://t.co/DKIVmLkCIL
4/4
As I explained in a recent essay, periods marked by the systematic creation of massive amounts of bezzle, as I define it, are also periods typified by a lot of bezzle as Galbraith originally defined it.
https://t.co/PUNna4Id0v
3/4
in investigations in the next few weeks and months because of their involvement in questionable financial deals that characterized (as they always do) the boom period of rapid growth, soaring debt, and asset price bubbles.
2/4
be keeping some Chinese bankers awake at nights."
In a tweet I posted a few days ago I said that the Beijing rumor mill was buzzing ferociously with talk about senior financial officials, especially from an institution I cannot yet name, that were likely to get caught up...
Zhou Xin writes: "News that China’s disciplinary watchdog will send inspectors into the country’s financial regulators and its top state-owned financial institutions to look for signs of corruption, negligence and disloyalty could soon...
https://t.co/wiflse6BL5 via @scmpnews
3/3
a major impact on manufacturing and even, to a lesser extent, on consumption. Already banks are lowering their GDP growth targets for the year.
2/3
that the power supply crisis may be replacing Evergrande as everyone's top concern. It isn't clear if spreading power shortages are being caused mainly by coal shortages, environmental policies, or problems in the power grid, but it is clear that this could have...
1/3
Every month a group of Chinese and foreign analysts get together under the leadership of one of my former students to have an open discussion on the Chinese economy. We met today and there seems to be a consensus...
https://t.co/UoLxQ6urYD via @scmpnews
@AlexandreKateb Lower commodity prices aren't necessarily a bad thing. They're bad for commodity exporters but good for commodity importers.
4/4
And in every case the country faced a very difficult economic adjustment during which subsequent growth fell below even the most pessimistic predictions. The longer it took to adjust or the more extreme the typical imbalances, the more difficult the adjustment tended to be.
3/4
under the high-savings/high-investment model — of which the USSR and Japan are just the most famous — has later shifted into a phase in which growth is driven mainly by surging debt and the systemic creation of bezzle.
https://t.co/PUNna4ZNS3
2/4
I've long argued that japan in the 1980s and the USSR in the 1960s are important historical precedents in helping us understand how this growth model works. Every country that has achieved "miracle" growth...
1/4
Good piece by Niall Ferguson (@nfergus) who also thinks that the history of the USSR in the 1960s and early 1970s has a lot to teach us about a sustainable growth trajectory in China.
https://t.co/6D20Os2Qq6 via @bopinion
4/4
to grow rapidly, wouldn't use these funds as a very cheap form of financing. Of course if property developers are not allowed to commingle pre-sale funds, that obviates most of the purpose of pre-selling.
3/4
homebuyers, few of whom can evaluate the credit risks associated with property developers. It would also have given creditors a better understanding of repayment risks. It never made sense to assume that a property developer facing liquidity constraints, or one seeking...
2/4
This makes sense, although for now if the habit spreads it will put a lot more liquidity pressure on property developers. Pre-sale revenues probably should have been kept in segregated accounts for all property developers from the very beginning in order to protect...
1/4
At least two local governments in China are seizing pre-sale revenues on Evergrande projects and keeping them separate from other funding sources, so that the money can be returned to homebuyers if the projects for whatever reason aren't completed.
https://t.co/asNGqAU48L
@ChinaBeigeBook @nfergus @bopinion ...surging debt aren't problems, or aren't unsustainable, then why settle for 4% GDP growth? Why not go for 8% GDP growth?
@ChinaBeigeBook @nfergus @bopinion I agree with Leland. 4% growth today just means a partial reduction in the pace of malinvestment, and 4% growth in a decade means no reduction at all, and that also means little to no reduction in the amount by which debt growth outpaces GDP growth. If malinvestment and...
RT @kevtellier: Sources for this thread and other reading that I've found especially valuable:
/1 cont'd
China's plan to inspect banks came after President Xi on August 17 stressed the need to strengthen legislation related to the financial sector https://t.co/Pj0IuEQg8p https://t.co/6wlWYG2NHc
I find it almost soothing to read and then reread Michael Pettis pragmatic but sophisticated use of identities. Every asset has a liability. Every delta asset has a delta liability. Amazed so few look at economics this way which with contract (law) is the only way. https://t.co/ZniIji0EIP
@michaelxpettis I would say it’s a mix of those two. The high inflation rate is the late 70s and displacement of rural population into urban areas were quite dramatic changes.
If you read Farsi, the best book on this is the memoirs of Alinaghi Alikhanu, Shah’e economy minister. There are books👇🏻
RT @dbernstein: This story is re-circulating like crazy today, mostly (like here) as if it actually happened. The union made this claim Fri…
DARPA has announced the HAWC air-breathing hypersonic weapon had a successful test, hitting Mach 5.
Last week, @Genevaexpat wrote about a growing sense of unease in the Air Force around hypersonics. https://t.co/zPdtWVhTCC
RT @ragipsoylu: Erdogan says Turkey decided to ratify the Paris climate agreement next month.
RT @JustinSKatz: Most don't know this, but I am a big sumo fan. To put it in perspective for those who don't follow sumo.
#Hakuho is to S…
Israeli defense firms are pushing the government to allow greater drone exports by doing away with MTCR guidelines, fearful that Turkey, China and the US are eating up their market share. https://t.co/ui6Fm2nIO7
Continually baffled by people who brag I blocked them. If we were sitting next to each other on the train and you crapped your pants, I’d change seats. Same dynamic with blocking. (Except I’d make sure you were ok if we were on the train.)
"Here at Gregor Samsa Financials, we choose an outside-the-box interpretation of The Metamorphosis and choose to read it as a celebration of hard work and the joys of office community!"
STEM bros trying to understand art is always... something https://t.co/qRt57HD092
I keep this near my desk as a reminder anytime I get irritated at the stupidly slow process for National Guard promotions, which will have me years behind my year group's active component counterparts
GCM ain't wrong https://t.co/gJ72mLtbVQ

@donachaidh The secret to success in almost any field is know which is is which
@pptsapper Why tf does Ted have to make me cry all of a sudden
At a cafe listening to an American dude incorrectly explain to his partner what an Aperol Spritz is with violent confidence is peak American white guy
It's officially "Oh no I forgot to bring a jacket and I'm Cold Actually" season.
Ran a sub-6:00 mile for the first time since I was in my twenties today. It hurt, but it happened. Thanks to @orangetheory for the great morning workouts! https://t.co/NgllONwBHy

@donachaidh @LSignaleer Y’all certainly are a thing.
@r_HistoryMemes This has strong @pptsapper vibes that it could be a #drunjhistory story.
@PaulSzoldra @pptsapper hot damn, this season's lessons in grief are something💥
@pptsapper @JRMoockjr @gilltheamazon @LSignaleer @CombatCavScout The new building is sick
@pptsapper @JRMoockjr @gilltheamazon @LSignaleer @CombatCavScout I'm game
@pptsapper @JRMoockjr @gilltheamazon @LSignaleer @CombatCavScout Pretty sure if we try to go back to Airbnb HQ we'll get kicked out this time
@pptsapper @JRMoockjr @gilltheamazon @LSignaleer @CombatCavScout Longer, bish
@pptsapper @JRMoockjr @gilltheamazon @LSignaleer @CombatCavScout ISLAND INVADERS BAY BEE
@pptsapper @JRMoockjr @gilltheamazon @LSignaleer What needs to happen is you, me, and @CombatCavScout invade a small country drunk off our asses
@DenisonBe But never is the population so extremely at both ends and not at all in the middle. It's wild.
You meet exactly two kinds of people in the infantry: the smartest motherfuckers alive, and the dumbest motherfuckers alive
@pptsapper @JRMoockjr @gilltheamazon @LSignaleer (It's my back, hips, and feet that are fucked tyvm)
@pptsapper @JRMoockjr @gilltheamazon @LSignaleer They're fine, geezer
@JRMoockjr @gilltheamazon @LSignaleer Yes, and https://t.co/0FBpWedJ5R

Just saw an eggplant floating in a canal in Venice and feel like this is a metaphor for something, but I’m not sure what…
@pptsapper It’s a comedy they said, you’ll laugh they said.
Which I still do! Dani Rojas is the best charachter to break the tension! Lol.
But that sequence flipping back between Rebecca and Ted? Wow.
@TheLincoln I mean, what is "dulce et decorum est" than a cry for greater devotion to corporate profits, right?
RT @andylevy: um this is a violation of my third amendment rights
@donachaidh @JRMoockjr @gilltheamazon @LSignaleer @CombatCavScout All the more reason to do it
@donachaidh @JRMoockjr @gilltheamazon @LSignaleer @CombatCavScout Not drinks drinks, per se
@JRMoockjr @donachaidh @gilltheamazon @LSignaleer @CombatCavScout Done and dusted about 6 years ago
We should probably reenact it sometime
@donachaidh @JRMoockjr @gilltheamazon @LSignaleer @CombatCavScout Shit dude
That's kinda messed up
@donachaidh @JRMoockjr @gilltheamazon @LSignaleer @CombatCavScout Wait have I known you for 9 years???
@donachaidh @JRMoockjr @gilltheamazon @LSignaleer @CombatCavScout Aaaaand we've come full circle to Twitter circa 2012
@donachaidh @JRMoockjr @gilltheamazon @LSignaleer That said, I miss your disreputable, tall ass
@donachaidh @JRMoockjr @gilltheamazon @LSignaleer I sometimes forget how gross you are
@donachaidh @JRMoockjr @gilltheamazon @LSignaleer J is at this time, 65% Motrin
@donachaidh @JRMoockjr @gilltheamazon @LSignaleer I can hear your knees from here, old man
@pptsapper Got me getting weepy while they Rick rolled me too.
@pptsapper The writing is so damned good. I haven’t caught up there, but this show hits me in all the feels.
@pptsapper Interestingly, my BDE S3 and XO are now telling me that after O4, I'll have an easier time getting promoted as an M-Day vs all the AGRs that have to wait for control grades. Basically, I have to not suck and meet all my education requirements? Now obvi I don't want to settle for
@pptsapper I'm hearing a lot of men talk about Ted Lasso the way they did about Good Will Hunting
@pptsapper Floors, Outside looking in. Inside looking out. https://t.co/KAeKKsSIha

@pptsapper Don't you just hate how grief pops up out of nowhere? It's...not very convenient.
BDh'E
@donachaidh @gilltheamazon @LSignaleer Yeah but there’s a LOOOT of worse in there
@pptsapper @donachaidh @gilltheamazon @LSignaleer Shiiiiiiiid. This is very real. And 35% alcohol.
@pptsapper Mine do this when their noses and or ears are cold.
He then hopped into a semi and drove 3 tons of feed to Nebraska. https://t.co/0VXGNUD8rd
@donachaidh @pptsapper @gilltheamazon @LSignaleer *laughs in former jumpy boi*
@donachaidh @pptsapper @JRMoockjr @gilltheamazon @LSignaleer I mean, at least he's not mixing them with stuff.
@pptsapper For me, the latest @TedLasso served as a much-needed reminder to seek out and relish the good memories of my father. That was a rough episode for a “comedy.”
It’s probably gonna be a B grade but it’s done and I literally can’t stare at it anymore.
@donachaidh @pptsapper @gilltheamazon @LSignaleer You really do hate yourself, huh?
I love it when twitter asks if I want to read my own articles before I retweet them. Yes, twitter, yes, I *do* want to read this.
I left behind the cheap elliptical I’ve had since grad school. I run/bike only in good weather. Gyms near me in NYC are meh. I thought maybe time for a new elliptical or a rowing machine? So hard to find objective, reasonable assessments! The fitness-bs industry drives me nuts.
@dburbach @ExumAM @dandrezner Wait hold on, there is a all you can eat ceviche bar?!
Across the US, the trend is clear. Places with more vaccinations have fewer hospitalizations. https://t.co/zT2HgC5WJS https://t.co/FCNCxXpiyB

After you recover from Covid, you have some protection from the virus, but it's unclear how strong, consistent, or lasting that protection is because it can differ greatly from one person to another. Vaccination gives you proven and durable protection against reinfection.
If you're vaccinated and exposed to Covid, your immune system shows up ready to fight and win. But if you're unvaccinated and get infected, your immune system is forced to fight a dangerous opponent without proper training.
Today’s Twitter seems to have way more than the normal blathering about clandestine human intelligence operations by people who literally & I mean literally don’t know what they’re talking about. I’m going back to my garden to stare at some blackberry vines that I loathe so much
We live in a world where someone thinks they can “protest verbally” to someone take off a shirt they don’t like. JFC. https://t.co/vKp9dqc4Cw
“Supreme Court Justice Elena Kagan said that the newly renamed Antonin Scalia Law School at George Mason University celebrates a ‘remarkable judge and teacher’ who will be remembered as one of the greatest justices in history.” (2016)
https://t.co/5xQd1KtRX6
Narrative might be the environment but who really believes China is going to a 3 day work week to save the environment. Wildly out of character doesn't begin to describe how far outside expectation that would be. There really is no evidence to support this idea 5/n
@BaldingsWorld Seizing up their financial system in the middle of a crisis is a bold move
@BaldingsWorld Wouldn't call it mad vs the Chinese having like 3 tricks.
Winery at Bull Run on the Manassas Battlefield https://t.co/OEDQTZAfec

@BrookingsFP @solis_msolis @BaldingsWorld You could have said the same for them joining the WTO
@PeterSweden7 @BaldingsWorld France is definitely in turmoil.
@BaldingsWorld We would probably need an interstellar kingdom in order to pay that one off
@BaldingsWorld I think that exceeds the Earth's gross domestic product.
@BaldingsWorld Read my mind. I didn't know enough for sure so I didn't say anything, but this is telepathic.
@SariArhoHavren @dktatlow @elisabethbraw @BaldingsWorld @Jkylebass @joshrogin @keverington @Rory_Medcalf @SharriMarkson @michael_ASPI @BillGertz @anderscorr @niubi @robert_spalding @Tantalite @ajphelo @AMFChina @BillEvanina @BethanyAllenEbr 🇨🇳’s IP thefts. Did Beijing win again? https://t.co/WYB9VEn8k9
Me: So I got some jam for peanut butter and jelly sandwiches for your lunches
10 year old daughter: Actually Dad, we are making sushi and dumplings for school tomorrow.
Me: Sorry what
Daughter: Spring rolls on Tuesday
Me: Can I interest you in Doritos and Twinkies?
Daughter: https://t.co/lVn5Lq80Yw

Gensler is doing great work in this over at the SEC though I want to see concrete rules on this https://t.co/7TS8b3TZfq
Say what you want, these people knew how to hate the media. 🙃 https://t.co/CauDiUCEib
You know what great economic forecasters say?
Any country that can't turn on the lights needs to have their growth projections raised https://t.co/VXL94G8a9A
@jtht2 @BaldingsWorld If you provide some people with stuff like music to their ears, they are very tolerarant of lies, inaccuracies, absurdities. You can exploit them at will.
@BaldingsWorld Some who choose to live in alternative universes need the crap. In other words, the crap is like music to their ears consistent with their alternative universe. There is not much one can do to pull them to reality.
https://t.co/wLAGqvWr0u
@BaldingsWorld Fry some eggs for them to put inside of them rolls to make more balanced nutrition
@BaldingsWorld I didn’t have sushi until I was about 34 years-old. Lol.
@niubi I wish I could RT your recent string of Tweets 😉
@RaussenJ Germany instrument foreign policy believes deeply in change through trade and the car industry. The rest is elementary
I criticize Europe on foreign policy but I really do hope Germany conducts a major revaluation and decides to play a more constructive role of engaging in the biggest issues. Their approach under Merkel had been awful https://t.co/BnWBzGToUR
@Shambhalawot1 I like him!! https://t.co/Kh2gAy9O0W

One of the interesting aspects here, absolutely no way most crypto in China wasn't a quasi official operation. You don't consume double digits of all electricity in Chinese provinces without being quasi official. Therefore this smacks of internal fight as much as other issue https://t.co/JIKsgZaqAB
Officially China aims to reach carbon neutrality by 2060. I suppose shutting all industry down will speed that process up but it will make the next 40 years pretty interesting with all the peasants sitting around. That's not the reason for the power crunch https://t.co/X3ZRiym5Xy
@AndyGrewal Seriously? I see tshirts all the time I think are stupid, I disagree with, it are even offensive. Who cares? Go on with your life
No seriously my kids are making sushi to take to school in their lunch box https://t.co/gNTqyQsSgh

@niubi Universities do due diligence on check givers? https://t.co/AHCLAxzUid

@kpalmer00111111 Have never really written it down but yes. I know the people I think are the best and I think it would surprise most people.
@TheFreedomFella The Party by McGregor. Probably a decade old at this point but everything still applies perfectly maybe better than when it was written
I'm really not into gatekeeping, I'm actually against it, and I don't believe in credentialed snooty expertise but man there is a LOT of junk being written about China these days. I almost need to start writing again because there is so much crap being spewed
If this isn't just the "round up the usual suspects" they've done so many times over the past decade, this could get ugly. I mean ugly ugly fast. Bodies figurative and literal buried all over these institutions https://t.co/idP3HsyO9k
@gregorr2004 I read the whole thing and I'm not even sure what the entire point was. Don't over or under estimate China?
@tcschell I'm pretty sure their numbers have been falling
People refer to multilateralism like it predetermines am outcome when it is really a method not an outcome. Small Euro states have different interests they use multilateralism to obtain while France has very different desired outcomes from the same multilateral institutions https://t.co/qyr0c6Yzhf
I have some suggestions I'm just not how you would staff up that fast after firing everyone or what would happen to subscriber numbers after you started producing a quality fact checked unbiased product that was not just for the "left of MSNBC" crowd https://t.co/k8EAg0SOqT
@TonyDin19635600 Have you met us? https://t.co/PQPZI27zeY

@HEPenny41396494 @bpetershome Cinco de Chino? https://t.co/NaGLyxdkAo

@BaldingsWorld This is a common translation error. "Reach carbon neutrality" is the literal translation; the actual meaning is "finish subjugating carbon obsessed wokies".
@BaldingsWorld 🤣🤣 I don’t want my great great grandchildren to be serfs. She is making a really good case for checks and balances right now.
@BaldingsWorld It’s like NK state operated opioids factory: sell it to your enemies only.
@AvidCommentator @BaldingsWorld "They are increasingly stuck between a rock and a hard place"..... agreed, it's like having zip/cable around your cock and balls..every click tighter the situation becomes more uncomfortable with little to no way of reversing the situation...
@BaldingsWorld Shoulda got out of Disneyland sooner. The Princess indoctrination has taken. 🤣 (I know it only too well.)
@BaldingsWorld Please do. Easiest buy for a long while! https://t.co/nLfcqKJB8b

@RobertMCutler @BaldingsWorld So i guess the non-Xi faction was running the largest part of it
@BaldingsWorld Three words for you. “Substack.” I would pay you to read your thoughts on China weekly. ✌🏼
@globalej @BaldingsWorld Indonesia sells coal to China then imports from Australia and pockets the spread 🤣
@AvidCommentator @BaldingsWorld This was power supply chart of 11 coastal provs 2014 - with exp power demand growth of ~4%pa (blue line) - while coal's contribution reduces - there was also a switch of closing small inefficient coal-fired power stations & moving & rebuilding larger ones inland for clearer skies https://t.co/aGoyVOmj7g

@BaldingsWorld China is banning other crypto currencies in favor of their own within China. That speaks to importance. Outside of China it is supporting crypto and having its private firms invest heavily.
Amazed someone could type anything after “hope Germany” without laughing so hard they could finish the tweet https://t.co/2Wq5TF1VmP
@BaldingsWorld with the off the script take on the blackouts in China. I hope he's right. China needs a good internal struggle to set them off kilter. https://t.co/LDs7rEVn2j
@BaldingsWorld Gangsters Paradise. All that hydro power could have easily been shut down. We're not talking light usage.
@hz_udhr @BaldingsWorld Well,it definitely sells junk financial products.
@BaldingsWorld Interesting. I wonder who that might have been, but I could probably come up with a short list of suspects lol
@BaldingsWorld says it's hard to comment on how Biden handles China 🇨🇳 if the US admin is not doing anything about it.
👉 This video bite is part of the #QuickHit episode on China. Watch the full discussion here: https://t.co/fjLov6vRIB https://t.co/BD8jXiQwno

#China Rumors of a potential coup against Xi (Emperor for Life)? - a slowing economy, propping up Evergrande, and their next National People’s Congress is due in May. May they live in interesting times. https://t.co/bSlMgIln63
@BaldingsWorld You are touching on the key point. Is there a financially viable subscription base returning to the Gray Lady tradition? I’m afraid that journalistic business model is irretrievably broken in a world where the news public likes their news to be first and with partisan frisson.
@BaldingsWorld Sounds like a great idea! My son, who loves to pun, has given you a new nickname. He says since you tell what China will do before they do it, your name should be Crystal Balding. Also says anyone allowing kids to make sushi for lunch should be published. 😉
@BaldingsWorld Getting in bed early is going to do wonder to boost the birth rate.
@BaldingsWorld @GaryHaubold @TonyNashNerd According to Chinese official, Chinese can live on grass only for a year, so they can “hungry out” everybody else and dominate the world. I guess Chinese can transform to herbivore.
@BaldingsWorld I made $ on BABA-I'm out
The Challenge China and their good people face comes from the extreme nationalists CCP dictatorship that shuns working with international community, bullies, harasses and steals from its neighbors, as it oppresses/implements Mao's Cultural Revolution 2.0
@BaldingsWorld In Canada with @bchydro in particular
buy high and sell low to natural gas industry
but dump the billions in inflated costs onto citizens and consumers is standard practice and good governance apparently 🤷♂️
@BaldingsWorld NATO is a bureaucracy armed with nuclear weapons.
@BaldingsWorld Xi is taking China back to Nap AA quickly as he can. Might be time forvtge rest of the world to publicly state this and then create policy that deals with that reality.
@BaldingsWorld Do some of them get a coffee now that they've been rounded up so many times?
Son Number Two had to get a COVID test to go to pre-K, so let’s check in on the Best Healthcare System in the World™️ and what it charged us. https://t.co/eESv20uUTC https://t.co/glwJAHhcAB

Apologies for the non-econ tweet:
But I want to thank @causalinf for inspiring me to start Noom and lose weight. I've neglected my health since I started my PhD, gaining 70 lbs in 7 years. That's hard to make public.
Here's to committing to changing things!