Lens 2021-09-28T07:07:27

Tweets

Revolutionary innovation. https://t.co/tMbZdxEUAD
@DuncanWeldon @SoumayaKeynes @TheEconomist uhh, hello. hi, yeah, umm Chad here. first time caller, longtime listener. so, err, is 'trade' ever an issue for the UK economy? thanks. i'll take your answer offline. <click>
The semantic debates about the budget bill around the meaning of “cost” and whether to use net or gross numbers are missing most of the relevant substantive issues. Like whether the investments are a good idea, whether this magnitude of redistribution is warranted, etc.
IF a piece of legislation is paid for then you know who is paying for it. IF a piece of legislation is not paid for then it will still be paid for, you just don't know who will be paying for it. That's an important difference. https://t.co/WnFe4iGDJi
European Parliament, Committee on International Trade Hearing on "US Trade Policy" My (written) testimony today: "US Trade Policy and Supply Chain Resilience" https://t.co/gFvY4sRLMV
On Sept. 29, the US and EU meet in Pittsburgh to start the complex task of defining—and then beginning to tackle—a seemingly endless list of problems under the Trade and Technology Council (TTC). @MalmstromEU and I on what is known about the TTC so far. https://t.co/HVGo4uRCGs
Looking forward to appearing before @FairGrowthCmte on Tues to discuss globalization With @WSpriggs @cgbrookings under guidance of @economistmom My view: the US has been withdrawing from the global economy for 20+ years, which worsened inequality and unfairness for our workers https://t.co/bIG3UOnWtC
My husband just won a Tony award and I am so fucking proud of him https://t.co/FXdlNFoLiA
Tony nominee and date https://t.co/1iXNfS3y8M
My local grocery store prepares fresh meals every day. I basically eat salmon and empanadas throughout the week. Because they're homogenous, healthy and delicious, I can easily track calories and stay within my budget. It works for me but might not everyone. https://t.co/jgAwaPyGS5
everyone who is pushing for the Fed to be a better Fed, let’s give three cheers to @michaelsderby … no one at the Fed was reading the financial disclosure statements. he did and reported on it. thank you! https://t.co/dzxknXolFd
wow, what a year. day after got Puffi https://t.co/A6iaclQkG3
I’m a paid subscriber. Overshoot is worth it. smart analysis, data driven! https://t.co/oy6IrVCmhs
@SarahJacobsonEc she’s basically full grown. a little kitty like her mom. very spunky.
ok not last day. time stamps are too hard on Sunday afternoon. love this pic from this week. so grown up. https://t.co/CcLKAKUnVi
looks like it was later that week. first day with #PuffiSays. we met my parents halfway from Indiana in West Virginia to get her … https://t.co/kB3ISQFlun
@marthagimbel @LeemourSeymour congrats!!!!
I have decided to retain the name #CodeChella for my "educational consulting" thing. As I feel like the community had ownership over that name, I'm a little uncomfortable taking it, but the fact is, the branding of it is perfect for what I do, and it's already associated w/me.
new Substack post from me on Jeremy Rudd's new paper about inflation expectation and monetary policy https://t.co/KxhNFPavUZ.
Hey, that's my paper in my feed... https://t.co/QyAc9SNOBV
on my Substack in the morning ... https://t.co/h5henXckWn
I sincerely appreciate both Robert Kaplan and Eric Rosengren stepping down. it’s a hard to do and a decision that serves the credibility of the Fed. thank you.
#PuffiSays hey, aren’t you done working yet? … yes, kitty 🐈‍⬛ PS no idea long she was in my office, thank goodness didn’t cause a scene #macrokitty https://t.co/agUBX0enf0
Larry Summers is a keynote and Jim Bullard is on a panel. such a shame we aren't all hanging out in Manilla together! https://t.co/LLghSu8XF6 https://t.co/jnrf8NnfGh
speaking tonight at a central bank conference in Manilla (via Zoom). my lecture is on the future of forecasting. https://t.co/9rtgH0wFqi
@TDeryugina my advice to mentee students is if you enjoy #EconTwitter and learn from it, do it. if it upsets you, don’t. or take a break. #EconTwitter goes way off the rails sometimes. my ‘fav’ was profs sleeping with grad students is totally fine. we traumatized a few with that one …
@JStein_WaPo I'd like to know the rank order of priorities in House and Senate and White House. with approximate price tags. my bet is only $1.5 trillion of reconciliation gets through but not sure what it'll be except child tax credit.
note, neither are voting members of the FOMC this year. President Biden does not appoint Reserve Bank Presidents. the selection process is run at the District level.
The coin is dumb. The debt ceiling is dumber. Let’s go with dumb over dumber
Wanted to mention what Noom is again. It’s just an app but there’s an education element of short articles daily and I used to read them religiously. Now I’ve just settled into a routine. I lucked out with finding meals I like and eat repetitively https://t.co/YbTCOBVdHK
These should be astonishing numbers… https://t.co/clRJlaBhxw
Big Papi in the house… You know what to do @RedSox…
I have a new favorite baseball book… https://t.co/bFXeVgwFH2
I highly recommend that you read the paper, read the substack, watch the video and ask @SCarter611 and @AbigailWozniak questions about the study, as it's got many fascinating elements and I think a lot to teach us abt both people but also our models too. 18/n
Ugh. Now I kinda want the American Military Industrial Complex to create that thing https://t.co/X0WqOAnNAu
There will be again a 1-day synthetic control class, a 2-day diff-in-diff workshop, and a 3-day causal inference workshop. I will still do @jhaushofer remote student exchange annually for free aimed at low and middle income countries. 19/n
So that's my plan. I'll plant a flag in the ground for a 3-day causal inference workshop in January and start aggressively recruiting for it. That's my strategy -- plant the flag, then hustle and fill it, knock it out of the park, and repeat. I'm curious about this. 25/n
@RealEKenD No, but I'm going to try soon. I'm going to try and run the #AEA5k, which will likely require a broader range of exercise because of the leg and ankle breaks a few years ago. But for now, no I haven't been. Just running calorie deficits.
Cappy thinks she deserves a special Tony for cuteness https://t.co/sFoUFw92Ze
Target is the university department, with students and faculty in the audience, largely done in my style of mixed levels of complexity and mediums. Focus is on practice and lecture, lots of materials distributed, value is in the service itself. 11/n
So I'm going to build an educational consulting model with two arms and three products. Arm 1: on-site workshops where people fly me there and I run 1 to 3 day workshops on synthetic control (1 day), DiD (2 day) and causal inference (3 day). 10/n
The AER and QJE are quite similar to me. Very in your face, no frills. I do like all caps blocked letters of QJE titles and names. The AER is probably my least favorite, but only because it just feels very modern and without a lot to say for it except "I'm a journal article." https://t.co/oj3KKvoKlv
I have to give props to Restud, but putting that aside, what I like about REstud is how many different font sizes there are on the first page. I also like the positioning about the article information at the top left. Some journals could learn from that. 3/n https://t.co/v6spjNdflC
I am a huge fan of the minimalism and font of the JPE though. It's definitely one of my favorite fonts the more I think about it. I love how clean the authors' names always look below that thin line. 2/n https://t.co/z3rcudPbBF
I really like the distinctive front page of many economics journals articles. Here's a few nice ones. First, there's the @J_HumanResource . I like the indentation of the first line, the dark thick black horizontal line at the top and the lining of the abstract, plus the font. 1 https://t.co/NLXLlI2mWO
Wow -- major resource for the Stata community. Even includes matrix completion with nuclear norm regularization. FYI @Susan_Athey . https://t.co/g8LGDNEKeQ
The first batch of the new 4th annual #AEA5k tee shirts are completed, and now we are on second batch. First batch is off to the printer. I'll update as I learn more. I want to say they'll be sent in a week. Here's link again. Tag me when yours arrives https://t.co/Sts1b9bzwx
My colleague Michael Richards told me the other day that one of my strengths he'd noticed, even going back to when he met with me at Yale, was how I just disappeared into every new conversation with the student, listening to their ideas, and just getting super into brainstorming
The on-site workshops are priced at an hourly consulting fee and each day is 8-hours. You fly me out, cover those costs, and for the duration of the visit, I'm 100% yours to be used anyway you want. I'll meet with students and faculty constantly in addition to teach. 12/n
I am comfortable monetizing workshops, and I am comfortable monetizing physical book sales, and that's it. So anything extra I do, that's free. And I have some workshops I've committed to which will remain free. But I have others that will not. So let me talk about that. 8/n
I won't get into it more than that, just suffice it to say for personal reasons I am personally morally obligated in my own self image and understanding of my personal mission to make free services for others an important part of my career. But. 5/n
But, all that said, I feel strongly that I am supposed to help people at lowest cost possible which is why I insisted on a contract with a publisher that would allow me to have a free version of the Mixtape, and why I do so many free workshops and free newsletter. 4/n
My #AEA5k tee shirt vendor, Bonfire, collects orders every 7 days, then ships out a batch shortly thereafter. This repeated ad infinitum, so there is no hurry, but I thought I'd say there are 4 hours left before first batch closes and they make shirts. https://t.co/Sts1b9bzwx
Have I ever ran in any sort of race? no. Am I currently out of shape from not playing tennis this summer? yes I'm prepared. https://t.co/SvF4IF8NBN
Just registered! It’ll be a swimmer vs. triathlete showdown against @K_A_Eriksson :) https://t.co/hSd9UheMmY
@zkarlinn @LeemourSeymour https://t.co/gNNgAqqwhi
SOME NEWS... https://t.co/6wZCJC873E
As the parent of a teen, I'm now thinking less about the signaling value of college degrees on resumes, and more about value added. This paper shows "Faculty/student ratio," "Share of faculty who are full-time," and "Instructional expenditures per student" matter for value added. https://t.co/JtNGFODkwR
So nice to see it getting dark at the proper time again. Only a few more weeks till we're back on Natural Time.
The sun should rise at 5a and set at 7p. But since our failed scientists can't/won't make that happen year-round, I'll take the Ws I can take.
Did some television watching this weekend and I can report that Foundation is better than Ted Lasso now.
San Genarro ferris wheel with Junebug https://t.co/BX1qbkKH5d
@prashGana @MrJoshPerry Own it
But the really interesting thing was what he found on self-reported happiness. Months later, when asked about subjective happiness, compliers who went through with the decision because the coin came up heads were happier than had they not. 15/n
With that dogma in my mind, I went to the study believing "well, put aside whatever they find, I still believe that these marriages are probably sub-optimal, because why wouldn't they have formed them if they were so great to begin with?" But it's on here the study pushed me. 13n
As I say in my substack, matching models often show that the assigned matches that occur, when made voluntarily, are better than other assignments that could have been made. Like more stable. This seems sensible -- wouldn't it be people who know best when and to whom to marry?
These move induced marriages are a complier population who would have not married (not then anyway) had they not been assigned which to me, and how I think, made me suspect they would be relatively unstable as far as unions go. But it's hard to find evidence for that 10/n
In this table, we see linear probability models of marriage regressed against total number of moves for various types of marriage outcomes and samples. The results are the same -- there is a large increase in the probability of marriage caused by a move. 9/n https://t.co/UvBBqENPnn
As most reading this know, randomization has the nice feature of allowing us to draw plausible conclusions about causal effects in aggregate, and the authors walk us through evidence suggesting that moves, indeed, cause marriage rates to rise. 8/n
The questions are scientifically interesting, as well as relevant for questions in labor economics. The US Army, as Susan notes, cares about the well being of its employees, for instance, and so has a natural vested interest in knowing what effect its choices have on others 4/n
The economic impacts of migration, a research question that Wozniak has spent a large chunk of her career studying, weave through family's lives and may cause households to dissolve or form. The problem is migration and marriage is so endogenous it's hard to say much 5/n
Susan and Abigail are interested in estimating the effects of moves on marriage. Moving and marriage, as I try to say in my substack, are deeply intertwined in knots of endogeneity. I propose that maybe that's true for all really massive life decisions occurring together. 2/n
I just posted a substack #JHR_Threads of a new forthcoming article at @J_HumanResource by @SCarter611 at West Point and @AbigailWozniak at the Federal Reserve. I loved this paper and encourage you to read the substack, watch the interview and the article. https://t.co/cms3yikXAf
Tony winner and date. https://t.co/nJmqI4MUkk
Back on the road this week for my first in-person seminar since Feb 2020. Excited to see people and wear work clothes!
I have oatmeal with brown sugar for breakfast (160 calories), two empanadas for lunch (540 calories) and salmon with crab meat for dinner (570 calories). Basically every single day. Honestly, I may never eat another thing again the rest of my life. https://t.co/rxF1BIwNva
Guarding. https://t.co/VARS9pFqs7
I started Noom Oct 2 w/ 170 my goal. Today I weighed in at 173. October 2 is Saturday. So wish me luck. It would be cool to hit it by or on that day. Highly recommend Noom — it has felt very Zen. https://t.co/CDs9X1UphN
@PrachiSrivas Sure — I only use the Noom app. It uses a lot of common weight loss app thins (habits around calorie counting, daily weighing), great library of meals, slick design with cognitive behavioral style education abt food and your relationship to it. I do it nonstop.
RT @lucas_crisco: Have I ever ran in any sort of race? no. Am I currently out of shape from not playing tennis this summer? yes I'm prepar…
RT @hannahgabes: Just registered! It’ll be a swimmer vs. triathlete showdown against @K_A_Eriksson :)
@causalinf Can I ask what your regimen has been? Sorry, if you've explained it elsewhere. I think it would be really useful for some people I know and want to help! Thanks.
I think this should work well for both of us. https://t.co/mVEQOqaWN6
@jenniferm_q That husband is an evil genius
7 hours later, and it still haunts me. hope I can sleep tonight
The bottom line is masks work, and higher quality masks most likely work better at preventing Covid-19. If you have the ability to choose between a cloth and a surgical mask, go with surgical. https://t.co/L8axge4oqE
Apologies for the non-econ tweet: But I want to thank @causalinf for inspiring me to start Noom and lose weight. I've neglected my health since I started my PhD, gaining 70 lbs in 7 years. That's hard to make public. Here's to committing to changing things!
Sweet. Fancy. Moses. https://t.co/22RsOxA6WF
After: https://t.co/TkHVXDMD1f
🇺🇸: "We want green energies/industries" 🌎:"Here you go" 🇺🇸: "Oh not *those* energies/industries" https://t.co/l9SbBkXEHs
Yep. Just make it a zebra flag. Massive upgrade. https://t.co/orNNp3yTOP
@mattdfreund Nah. It should be getting dark at cocktail hr and dark at dinner.
"I don’t want to discourage you, but there is no magical way to earn a full-time salary without working full-time." https://t.co/helMQd37jW
@SonnyBunch Counterpoint: we only beat these guys https://t.co/SwrURCYTEb
Remote work innovation or no? https://t.co/NC2nQ5z7L3
@jbuhl35 Bring on the GSM (Giant Space Mirrors)!
Happy Birthday Rahmundo! https://t.co/4Ukz4hSGtm
I think it was @reihan who first pilled me about this, but @alon_levy’s explanation of why joint federal-state-local financing of transportation infrastructure leads to bloated projects is the clearest I’ve seen. https://t.co/H6NCWaWXVp
Find someone who loves you as much as @causalinf loves public goods provision and Noom
@EsotericCD I think Apple made this ad too
@EsotericCD We all must suffer together. And then invade Europe.
Yup!! https://t.co/dYZ7lhu8Yy
@morningmoneyben @rajcook You missed his middle name..
@RachaelBL Sure, it'll cost another billion, but... Worth it.
@EconCharlie @mobolito @LeemourSeymour This is a slander I would never animate a slide deck
@MarthaOlney @Casey_Mink Lol I am at a separate party but yes I hear you :)
Singing about how you have to get the vaccine, I love Broadway
No one does it like the theater community does it
“Tottenham's performance as they were overrun and embarrassed by Arsenal contained many moments that summed up the full horror of just how awful they were in the north London derby.” https://t.co/muaU2u3tkz
@marthagimbel @LeemourSeymour ❤️❤️❤️ (and omg this is SO not what i look like tonight)
Cappy decided a champagne cork was her new chewtoy this morning. https://t.co/wk1wRvEAuW
Back at #nabe2021 Burnout of healthcare workers (inc suicide) unprecedented with some hospitals losing between 5-35% of front line workers in developed economies - this is compromising all levels of care & no quick solutions. Dr Gold, Chancellor Nebraska Medical Center.
A story. When I was in law school, a long long time ago (but not so long), Justice Scalia came to speak. This was shortly after Lawrence v TX. My classmate asked him "do you sodomize your wife?" bc Scalia thought the state could ask and criminalize this. All hell broke loose https://t.co/jsYinbkgGn
Texas is sort of quietly Georgist https://t.co/Zy6JvEbGBW
@annmarie @AMartinezNYT Evil in pinstripes indeed leading… For now…
@AMartinezNYT This is Sunday night life Twitter…
“That certainly was a miracle,” says @WillFlemming.
@gbenga_ajilore @LeemourSeymour Gbenga not good luck!!! You’ve cursed us!!!
This is obviously a welcome development, but someone seriously really needs to explain why in-home COVID-19 testing is not yet approved 18 months into the pandemic. Make no mistake: this dithering has cost lives and livelihoods completely unnecessarily. https://t.co/zs1iwluG9L
PASS THE DAMN INFRASTRUCTURE BILL RIGHT NOW. https://t.co/elVn2haNL8
Yep. The constitutional crisis began when Trump denied the election result. It will not end until the GOP forswears election denial as a tactic for gaining power. https://t.co/NH54p90ZiA
Shut (and I cannot emphasize this enough here) up. https://t.co/5IDA6G4vdv
@JuanIsidro @AlecStapp It really is unbelievable
@SHamiltonian @swrighteconomy It’s a crowded field, but this is your worst opinion, Steven
Cultural essentialists need to grapple with the fact that the former Axis powers now generally have reasonable, moderate governments while the former Allies are generally going bonkers.
Thread. Fits my mental model of Xi Jinping's regime as "standard conservatives who happen to have way too much power over their society"... https://t.co/3gsGdCHMom
If China really wants to reunify peacefully with Taiwan, seems like they should just allow the KMT to be a second political party within China. https://t.co/L9HerCTagW
Now that the public debate has begun to turn against them, the NIMBYs are focusing less on their bad policy arguments and more on attacking YIMBYs. It won't work. https://t.co/HOBSl9dSB6
https://t.co/Ihq0kn6y7g https://t.co/ZKnu5a5ike
@lukestein perhaps unsurprisingly there is also a didn't understand the assignment corollary
@jmorenocruz look it would shock absolutely zero people that i am procrastinating on crafting a ransom note
@jmorenocruz clearly you've never been to one of my parties
@SHamiltonian Cartoon babies: Goo goo gaa gaa Actual babies: [pterodactyl/Waluigi noises]
Update: This has not become less true. https://t.co/byAtG3mSPU
#futureofwork https://t.co/TGfRTAYnfG
someone just walked up to me in Center City and said "are you Dr Butler who works at Penn?" I nodded yes and he said "i love you" 😩♥️😍 if you're on the bird thanks. Needed to hear that today!!
I can’t believe this shit! I fucking won a Tony! https://t.co/yVsORf1Z2D
https://t.co/NMZmj9Aqds https://t.co/TzPSxvfzif
For the full context on the sheer insanity of these statements, see this piece from MONTHS AGO on this question by @profholden and me: https://t.co/EPHkDvILFS
This, from the head of the @TGAgovau, is *mind blowing*. In Australia, 18 months into the pandemic, it’s illegal to use an in-home test… because of fears of missing positive cases. Have they wondered: HOW MANY POSITIVE CASES ARE WE MISSING BECAUSE IN-HOME TESTING IS ILLEGAL?!?! https://t.co/86J0MF0NhR https://t.co/PnmlFuijDo
@swrighteconomy A 100-year drought for the entire sport would do the trick.
Retweet if this is the dumbest shit you’ve ever heard in your entire life https://t.co/oamU3gzuEK
Another reason WFH might be going well for many firms — main loss from remote work are foregone spontaneous physical interactions. But open office designs had already killed many of those kinds of interactions. What's left can be ported to Slack. https://t.co/jAAwTPy5FJ https://t.co/fVwuRWLsi5
Look at that face, that red panda will cut you. https://t.co/7OMTxIzpMt
Portugal now the global leader with 84% of population fully vaccinated Canada? 71% Cambodia 65% US is 40th globally at 55% Even Vermont, our most vaccinated state, would rank 15th in the world US is falling further and further behind We've got to get our act together folks https://t.co/PzqDCTzRxh
Econ professors: "I just really care about the aesthetics of my articles! I want them to be professional, and I'm OK spending hours fussing with margins and stuff to have a perfect and beautiful document." Also econ professors: *wears cargo shorts to professional conferences*
The only things I care about right now are savoring this time with family. And getting that Goddamn coin minted. The rest is all BS. https://t.co/XyDqUdr49e
I was not holding it together and now we have Audra McDonald and Brian Stokes Mitchell doing Wheels of a Dream
You just do some adulting and do it.* I fainted the first time, on the bed the second. Feeling great now. https://t.co/lsN8EPae2o
Something to watch as we move into an election year (2022) & the potential for headwinds tied to COVID variants. We need to see a smooth handoff with the private sector picking up as fiscal stimulus wanes. Risks significant will not occur. Checks popular but not targeted. https://t.co/nAjzDKguxZ
People are quitting because of vaccination requirement stories are driving me crazy. Lots of jobs have always required vaccinations because not being vaccinated risks the health of the public. If you aren't willing to be vaccinated, you aren't a good candidate for those jobs.
Holy shit Holy shit Holy shit https://t.co/1Fbt7DCAp4
In a conversation with my not very online friend today he said "should I know who Matt Yglesias is"
You know who's been 99% double vaxxed (without a mandate) since June? The WNBA. https://t.co/Gi8nZRcE64
Mostly just checking to see if @Casey_Mink is still alive during this speech
what stories is @michaelsderby working on next? asking for friends (10 of them to be precise) https://t.co/5kyHMTMDZw
@sindap 1 step closer to @alexandrascaggs plan https://t.co/sHDyAeTHt0
@DanRiffle Every October 3rd Birth Is A Policy Failure
obviously a tough way to end… if you read the old transcripts you’ll see he had many good calls and important contributions, especially in the 2008-2012 period… hope the health issue resolves itself https://t.co/fhBkXQ5pwp
@DanielYRubin @imbernomics @thehill "And either way nothing else was allowed yet" Again, I think this differed substantially from place to place. I was doing outdoor dining that summer, for example.
@DanielYRubin @imbernomics I don't think that's true (or, at least, it widely varied between communities).
@andreamatranga @AlexBartik @imbernomics When, in fact, any big social problem is the province of economics!
@AlexBartik @imbernomics I know I had gotten the message that outdoor activities were not dangerous prior to this. We had already started doing picnics and other events with friends. I agree that getting that message pre-BLM required a lot of delicate parsing, which was not ideal.
@BelittleMyTakes @imbernomics I agree with @JamesGLeckie below. I think that there was a failure in coordinating the communications of the risk mitigation factor of (masks/distance/outdoors/mobility) pre-BLM. BLM sort of forced the coordination, but there wasn't anything new about the information.
@JamesGLeckie @imbernomics @BelittleMyTakes The other point is mobility - marches and rallies have very different risks.
@imbernomics But...also, they were correct? I'm not sure I'm really following the argument. Should the public health community give incorrect, but politically beneficial, information about transmission risk?
very confused by German elections…why isn’t Laschet declaring the CDU actually won? Where’s the MeinPillow CEOs talking about ballot dumping in Salzburg? Why isn’t the former Mayor of Munich holding a press conference at the Vier Jahreszeiten Landscaping company? #HaltDieStehlen
Part of what Ross's piece highlights is that having a framework--as opposed to a slogan--for thinking about policy leads to better, more consistent choices across a range of issues. https://t.co/dbWSXfJubq
Your kids know that you’re already too late to order holiday gifts. Check out today’s NYT For Kids to understand why they are suddenly talking about supply chains. https://t.co/bzjHpvzsMi
This type of thing is a good direction for economics instruction to be heading. https://t.co/6S82f4kLp1
Like, don't listen to the libs. Just listen to your fellow conservatives in English speaking countries ... is it really that hard?
Incredible session with President Charlie Evans of ⁦@ChicagoFed⁩ moderated by the incredibly insightful ⁦@jc_econ⁩. Should Fed modestly increase inflation target? https://t.co/Yca8ObKAUr
Lord Stern has entered the chat https://t.co/PxcHPvN8vE
I know we tend to undervalue teaching relative to research in the econ profession, but just took a look at my evaluations from last year, and was heartened by the lovely comments from students about how much they enjoyed learning in my classes despite the online environment 1/n
Sad to have my grandfather pass away this weekend. He was a US Army vet who served in Germany during the Korean Era. He also retired from the Salt Lake Police Department after a full career. He taught me to fish, hike, and love the beauty of southern Utah.
First day of school @UChicago! Saying that I am excited is an understatement (up since 4:50am 😋). Students sitting behind me on train are discussing classes, regression tasks and using R. It’s going to be a great quarter!
My mom’s name is now on one of the white flags on the National Mall honoring those who died of covid-19. https://t.co/kDzKmLB4Qa
@john102414 @alanmanning4 Good comment! The thing to understand about this figure is that this is wage being paid to otherwise similar workers. So think of this as the non-college labor market, for example, or for a given level of qualifications.
@jasonmlindo @HilaryHoynes +1
RT @jasonmlindo: I think I’m way late to the party commenting on this but it’s so so refreshing I have to give my 👍 on this great leadershi…
@john102414 @alanmanning4 W and L are meant to be in logs, so constant elasticity labor supply function. (Axis labels saying log would have made that clearer).
RT @paulkrugman: Really surprised to see Greg Mankiw raising the specter of European economies depressed by excessively large welfare state…
R users really go “ew why would you type ‘reg y x, r’ when you can instead write the more convenient ‘reg1 <- rlm(y~x, data=data)’ after loading in the MASS library?”
This is Thomas Schelling. The economist that shows up in all the things I do. An intellectual powerhouse and also quite charming. https://t.co/Tu1HnvJZFo
Wow. I feel super inspired. This is phenomenal, @FedericoArdila. https://t.co/FQwxXGJF0Q
Official Kaplan retirement announcement from the Dallas Fed https://t.co/95DgGCqyKR
@MarcGoldwein Am reading the book now. My anger at the CDC and FDA only grows.
one of my twitter mandates is to bring you all the good narrow audience jokes https://t.co/NcZ3T1SAPk
@imbernomics A key proposed mechanism was this will facilitate mandates. That was followed up by Biden's speech, which also didn't move the needle. We still need to wait and see if people get shots when mandates actually bind for them.
@johnjhorton Well, you write down a big matrix, where the number of rows is the number of actions one player has...
Regression results slide be like https://t.co/NMl8R1jLO8
@CaltechEconThry Surely you were inspired by https://t.co/y1Be8GF6Lz https://t.co/mr5Mpf6sgu
Sometimes people tell me that I should act like a Yale Professor. But when I taught at Rutgers, nobody ever said, “you should act like a Rutgers professor.”
@imbernomics Not trying to kink-shame, but they should get over their begging fetish
Somebody please stop the billionaires from clogging our community colleges! https://t.co/7mWJdMhNia
It's probably true that the UK lorry driver shortage is because Covid delayed the exams etc, but this is just a tree in a forest of markets that have become smaller and shallower when you leave an economy of half a billion people to do your own thing.
@besttrousers @AlexBartik @imbernomics https://t.co/pID2dWWYQU
@AlexBartik @besttrousers @imbernomics There was also some talk from epi quarters that racism was a public health issue, which is I suppose tenable, but then just about any big social problem becomes the province of public health. (this is separate from saying that racism has public health implications)
A small reward for saving millions of lives https://t.co/gFMIc8rAYm
RT @EricTopol: Breakthrough infections and hospitalizations in over 3 million fully vaccinated persons @VeteransHealth, mostly pre-Delta wa…
RT @EricTopol: + the latest data for kids in school https://t.co/QnOblI5K7v
RT @FaceTheNation: .@ScottGottliebMD tells @margbrennan it's "still possible" that vaccines will be available for kids ages 5-11 by Hallowe…
@CrewsCutts Hearing on the front lines with my oncologist - plural. Backlogged & cases coming in much more advanced but backlogs on tests to detect backlogged.
RT @business_econ: ….and, we’re back! NABE’s first-ever hybrid event #2021NABE kicks off in Arlington, VA. https://t.co/x5To8YrPNn https:/…
@GregDaco at #nabe2021 laid out dissonance in recovery globally, exacerbated by Delta variant. Exacerbates supply chain disruptions. Msg on inflation is one I think we will hear more during this conference - inflation could be “sticky”at a time the Fed has turned more hawkish.
A gov’t shutdown would slow research on vaccines & treatments at the exact wrong time - the middle of a pandemic. Separately, a shutdown could delay child tax credit monthly checks at the very moment fiscal stimulus is waning and demand has slowed.
The collateral damage to emergency care, cancer care & preventative care. Long backlogs are already in place. The hope is that more workers will return to the sector once we get past the worst of hospitalizations but no easy way out of pandemic given variants & lack of 💉globally
This is affecting all healthcare - not just COVID patients. The pulmonary therapist who loses 30% of her colleagues cannot give quality care to any of her patients and risks burning out herself. Add to that traveling HC workers get much higher wages than regular ones get at home. https://t.co/yuUeLUvDMk
"Even with pay raises, the press for labor is so strong that some warehouse employers have started offering four- and five-hour shifts to accommodate workers who can’t take on a full day because of child care or other obligations" https://t.co/OuHeWljUS4
@IvanWerning @causalinf One of those foods whose origins one mentions to throw zizzania. Like kebab. 🤣
@causalinf empanadas 🇦🇷 👍
Please don’t be alarmed, Econ will get the lines a way… https://t.co/qWPVVyWYNT
@mikekofoed hi this might be weird but I saw your joke and noticed your name. Did you know there’s a small street that shares your name in Trondheim, Norway? 😄 Named after Claus Koefoed in 1885. https://t.co/zshfDYD7Mw
@johnjhorton @ben_golub You are way overthinking this. You can screw it up.
@johnjhorton Rollercoaster tycoon
Reader, he married me. https://t.co/702I2mFf2e
@besttrousers @imbernomics The reputational problem comes from the double standard. I mean, having been broadly wrong on how and where COVID is transmitted is the source of a *separate* reputational problem. But the justification for the protests was a special exception for their subject matter.
Me: Tell mommy what lesson you learned tonight. My four year old: We can't go on the balcony when we're naked!
Dozens out of 2,200? So 95% or more did not quit? https://t.co/fNbUThF2jW
@johnjhorton @ben_golub It could also be a tree.
How will we survive 4,000 poor immigrants? It’s not like we’re the United States of America or anything. https://t.co/5OGbhuMPu6
Low priority tax reform ideas: the TCJA temporarily suspended the home office deduction for regular employees drawing a W-2 (still applies for gig workers and contractors). Reinstating the deduction would promote remote work. https://t.co/CSuseEbTnv https://t.co/hyBSoMD87s
@Andrew___Baker Hmm possible natural experiment here? https://t.co/0UVP5SHSwW
I’ll Be Right There! https://t.co/B0Q0tAYEbG
Pretty sure the wild block bootstrap spatial multiway clustered heteroscedasticity robust errors you report are not *standard* and you should stop referring to them that way
After a very *very* short stint covering the European economy, I'm going to be covering the UK economy for @TheEconomist
um this is a violation of my third amendment rights https://t.co/Fh2zWnlo3L
in case it's not obvious, this is largely why we can't just let unvaccinated people fend for themselves https://t.co/1JogFULbqF
I’ve finally had jollof rice. Nigerian jollof to be exact. Thank you @Luvvie https://t.co/jUOQfhZ3CM
After you watch this, go to bed because nothing else is going to top this tonight https://t.co/85DYUvfT1i
I am excited that one my recent working papers is featured on the NBER web page today. @mcgeeconomics https://t.co/9LsYpmKn89
Will Stacey Dash be her running mate? Because this is a picture of Stacey Dash, not Candace Owens… 🧐 https://t.co/iXJo8Q3Bcv
fox has really got to stop using excel's y-axis defaults https://t.co/9OLAufLmIg
@YFeyman also a solid movie iirc (it's called Saved!)
@YFeyman this gif was used elsewhere but i think it deserves a repeat https://t.co/NMoHWChIXk
this may be of interest to some of you https://t.co/ePO54jqoDN
@johnjhorton I know you want to make a game, not play one. But my daughter and I are really enjoying @Timberborn.
Celebrating Betty Reid Soskin’s 100th at the Rosie the Riveter trust gala! So thrilled. https://t.co/T4FhmoLWRE
What is the future of #Crypto currencies? @EswarSPrasad @Cornell discusses on @EconoFactOrg Chats #Bitcoin, #Ethereum & others: volatility, #environmental effects & more https://t.co/1Y0wOxfYac
Just subscribed... https://t.co/dksza86cag
Happy 40th Birthday to legendary athlete Serena Willians 💕 https://t.co/NJPGxi8XYh
Since 2010, the Detroit Lions have lost on the “Calvin Johnson rule,” a touchdown challenge flag, a picked-up pass interference flag, an illegal bat, a 61-yard Hail Mary, a 61-yard field goal and now a record-setting 66-yard field goal off the crossbar.
50 years ago, Gil Scott-Heron's Pieces of a Man was released. It contains great lyrics about Black male unemployment and depression. @LangstonReview @ABSociologists @SandyDarity @DarrickHamilton @drlisadcook @doc_thoughts @learothawms @WSpriggs @CourtneyCogburn @Wizdomisms https://t.co/RaSS23CXFG
How old you gotta be before you start shaking a handful of peanuts like dice while you eat them?
Congratulations to Collin Morikawa, @Cal Class of 2019! #GoBears https://t.co/GaFn96nZX8
@marthagimbel @LeemourSeymour Wonderful! Congratulations!
RT @raqueldeoxum: A magnificent celebration of the life of Bob Moses. He was honored by the Black Men of Labor and the Hot 8 Brass Band --…
RT @bellwak: I found it. The best apple variety in the orchard. https://t.co/1mYdvnb8a0
Who Dey!!! https://t.co/HHiG3klCSS
Cool thread! I might need to add something on innovation in the confectionary industry to my undergrad economics of innovation class 🍫 https://t.co/M7yiSQ6vgU
@OmariJHardy this is one of those statements that says more about you than the thing you're criticizing
@jodiecongirl That’s awesome! A lady of many talents..! 👏🏽
The SPD has scored a very modest success in this election, if one can even call it that. And it is NOT some kind of youthful Corbyn-surge but a lurch towards SPD of older ex-Merkel voters. Old voters, bulk of electorate, are decisive in explaining small gains. https://t.co/CNtAKpGmYk
👇👇👇👇👇👇👇 https://t.co/TUL0CMfeQt
What should I ask General Stanley McChrystal? https://t.co/nxqsNYdiPN
They should turn it into an NFT! https://t.co/jCNbVASli3
Clearly on top of this situation …. https://t.co/b7pscToIp2
I thought Powell was visibly furious at the press conference last week. It was heading in this direction. That’s two hawkish dots! https://t.co/3hfBExh9y4
RT @kimmaicutler: It’s the housing policy, stupid (California vs. Texas edition). https://t.co/UG0oibzHgE https://t.co/5A6QD19u4D
So excited for @guoxu_econ's seminar today at @PrincetonEcon. I simply can't see this talk enough times. Clean, shocking, & compassionate empirical evidence of the FX of Woodrow Wilson's segregation of the federal government. Joint work with @eastbayabhay: https://t.co/xVmGtRJllw
Must be because of the extra $600 that US workers got https://t.co/4iNeTTptrR
@besttrousers @imbernomics If they had said gathering outdoors was a relatively low risk activity and people should do it if for a cause *they* consider important, that would have been very different and much better.
BTW, however smoking hot today's takes on Germany may be, nothing will ever beat this @afneil effort from four years ago about the election that produced another tedious grand coalition being Germany's biggest political crisis since the 1940s. Vintage stuff. https://t.co/x0N6jGeLpp
@johnjhorton "nice try son, but come back to me when it's log + 1"
Was he an economist? https://t.co/MR7AovZEb5
I bring families closer together https://t.co/ruIC5YJfX3
@nominalthoughts Exactly! *you get me*
You: So what’s your favorite Jewish holiday? Me: Sukkot You: Why? Do you eat good food? Get presents? Me: Wellll….. https://t.co/Ou9qrToZZ8
Russian roulette https://t.co/tRPHPzYgU5
WHAT IT TAKES TO SAY SOMETHING INTELLIGENT ABOUT INFLATION In today's @markets newsletter, I wrote about the gas crunch (and the chip crunch, and Evergrande, and fertilizer, and UK wind power, and rebar, and port Los Angeles volumes) Sub' here: https://t.co/Pl5nZqsNJq https://t.co/8sMsY3keSq
US virus cases dropping rapidly lately https://t.co/RQQPr2ZYv7
This is brutal on the fallout from the natural gas shortage https://t.co/SoMd2hh8EY https://t.co/FYdOK9LuVc
Not a bad rule to live by https://t.co/Mu9aP2qEIs
Free business idea: people often rely on loans from friends and family. But there is no formal mechanism to track this. Idea: create a new lending platform, intended for friend and family lending — to simplify and keep track of personal loans. https://t.co/OXLXsYjMIr https://t.co/5xmC3U67zt
@TDeryugina I'd say it's comparable in some ways to a conference: a mix of promoting your own work, listening to others' work, and generally mingling and chatting. If on the margin you would like to go to more conferences, EconTwitter may be for you.
“The last 20 years have been absolutely exhausting for me. It’s been a lonely road.” All my love to Sparkle and the other Black women who sounded the alarm on R. Kelly when nobody would listen. https://t.co/aZRaHuORY3
Que no los confundan. Casi nadie paga los doctorados. Y una gran cantidad de estudiantes no pagan nada porque hay becas y estipendio para vivir. Sí, hay que tener mérito para ingresar y obtener la beca/estipendio. Y sí, importa mucho cómo llegas y hay que asesorarse. https://t.co/E2HY6L9MDK
@IvanWerning Se convirtieron en una secta.
@johnjhorton @ben_golub https://t.co/YagsVSCrVV
@ben_golub She really likes economics and maybe she’ll follow in my footsteps. I really don’t want to screw that up by showing her what we call a “game”
@heathnewburn Oh that’s a nice idea! She’s really into lemonade stands so it would be natural fit.
@benconomics Seems like an appropriate topic for me and my 10yo - do you get to kill rival dealers?
My daughter wants to make a economic simulation game with me. Any suggestions? Think sim city or civilizations, but, uh, simpler
@arpitrage What’s good too is the platform can do the awkward dunning for you automatically, helping you avoid that conversation
@johnjhorton Running a restaurant? Prices, supply/demand, competition, regulations... can start simple and iterate
@leah_boustan @BrianCAlbrecht @causalinf You'd be Canadian!
LaTeX is ass. Absolutely miserable to do anything in it. Dozens of usepackage statements that build up over time and I can't tell which ones I'm even using at this point. I change one line and everything breaks. Every TeX StackExchange answer is like "this is hacky, but..."
@leah_boustan Cool. I'm definitely going to swing by to complete the set!
@leah_boustan If so I hope to swing by tomorrow evening before they take them down. My kids' daycare is in Kingston, so I'm often passing by that way!
@leah_boustan is it OK to go have a look at those ones if you're not Jewish?
Taught my first class at UoC today and despite the time (8am on a Monday morning) turnout and engagement were great! Its so good to have the campus buzzing with students again and everyone enjoying the fall sunshine. #UChicagoFirstDayofClass https://t.co/tWYpVYJjFd
@johnjhorton @clementjd2 @FrameworkPuter Oh how is it?
The sucky thing of cordless anything is that no matter how high quality something is, you know the battery won't hold a charge in three years and the batteries will be unsourceable in six
@pabloschiaffino Justamente hace poco tuve el placer de releerlo y citarlo.
@pabloschiaffino Mira. No sabía que lo conocías. Figura mítica, yo nunca lo conocí de primera mano pero una vez lo vi cuando era alumno de grado dando una charla en La Plata. Se que era muy bueno con los alumnos.
@pabloschiaffino 😂 no creo
@constant_hevia Siempre lo fue
RT @causalinf: Economists of all rank, age and adoration: Please retweet. The fourth annual (virtual) #AEA5k has officially begun with the…
@constant_hevia Ya se olvidan la restricción presupuestaria, es todo un tema moral.
Y si me pongo melancólico porque lo extraño es eso: Olivera fue la persona con la que podía hablar de todo, hasta de teorías absurdas. Y yo flaqueaba hasta que me dijo “crea en en usted, porque yo no me equivoco y no quiero que me haga quedar mal”. Soberbio como pocos, brillante
Thousands of containers are stuck, but the busiest U.S. ports still shut their gates for hours each day. Cargo is rarely picked up on weekends. ‘We have to move to 24/7 operations.’ https://t.co/TiqcqqjLTA
“Better dead than vaxxed” is is strange up hill on which to die, but y’all do you. Red Covid https://t.co/Kkby4Jw02l
@YIMBY_Princeton @leah_boustan Love this exhibit! The Y, arts center, and Trinity Church ones are also great. Just love seeing them around town.
@vpcalabrese A single, fast Kohelet reader; no speeches; don’t drag anything else out
@YIMBY_Princeton There’s a really fun one there that the kids can climb
@YIMBY_Princeton Yes, of course!!
@YIMBY_Princeton If you come to the field next to the Jewish center, you can see six in one stop
@vpcalabrese Just spitballing but maybe read one chapter of kohelet a day - it’s like a miniseries!
@EconTalker That’s interesting - thanks!
Me: Why don’t undergrads take me seriously? Also me: #meme https://t.co/6xbWvluPDI
Building off of @SHamiltonian's noteworthy and admirable iconoclasm, tonight I'm making rigatonia amatriciana
Which episode of Star Wars had the best music? https://t.co/5EfggZsG4a
@SamRoggeveen Net zero not surprising. External pressure had to trump RW loonies in the end.
I'm honored and humbled to win this year's Gossen Prize @VfS_econ and to join the impressive list of previous winners. Also very happy to bring it back to @econ_uzh 22 years after Ernst Fehr won it in 1999 (too big shoes for me to fill!). https://t.co/iv0OMWUnfv
One toy soldier that never made it out of the box https://t.co/JBIxj6mfIt
One thing I learned in my late 20s that I should’ve realised much earlier in life is: no one outside Australia cares about Australia. I used to think that because we pay a bit of attention to the UK in policy & politics circles, the inverse was also true. Very dumb in retrospect
just had my second dose of AZ, currently feeling very positive earnest feelings, we can get out of this thing if we all roll up our sleeves, cheers
@soashworth @itaisher @TDeryugina I agree about that it can be a time sink, but it's an investment in knowledge, networking, etc. As for the mental toll, I may be missing something as a white male, but it seems easy enough to mute/block/avoid convos that don't bring you joy.
politicians need to level with them. "you might not like to hear it but in the long run there is nothing the government can do to save this industry. markets gonna market." this is your chance to bargain for an exit package on highly favourable terms https://t.co/FkqkNQmxpy
You don't say https://t.co/3IDetP4dAk
The @BadCOVID19Takes are really giving me a headache (Tylenol actually works great for the minor pain after you get the vaccine) https://t.co/d7O4S3Fjg5
Hi I won't be live tweeting the Tonys this year because I'm a nominee(!) and that feels weird(?) to do, so I'll just say I'm so so SO excited theatre is coming back and I'm rooting for literally everyone. Love you all so much.
https://t.co/z4mZWNnPoS https://t.co/ANXy2rHJh4
@jbarro @besttrousers @imbernomics agree with the thrust of this, but it's worth noting the split between the actual government officials (fauci, de blasio) who said the protests were likely unsafe and the high volume, high visibility public health twitter community who tied themselves into knots
I wish instead of best supporting actor it was most supportive actor
Important reminder that our work as teachers can be a much needed bright spot for students during these times 2/n #EconTwitter
If you wonder how cooked the Libs have made the Fair Work Commission, a Deputy President (appointed by the Coalition fairly recently and out of the resources sector) has, in a dissent in a Full Bench, said that vaccine mandates are "medical apartheid." https://t.co/LDekMmSP6n
Was touched to see Sandy Rosenberg's name at the end of the #TonyAwards In Memoriam segment. Sandy was a lifelong performer and a lovely and warm person who was wonderful to my daughter, who loved her.
@imbernomics I'm one of the only holdouts I guess for still getting a lot from reading my
Ah, so this is why I am getting so many angry emails right now. Because Fox does not understand the difference between net and gross costs https://t.co/skgUXiQ0v6
@mobolito @marthagimbel @LeemourSeymour You didn’t know Martha was nominated for best live animated slide deck?
The policymakers giveth (nuanced flexibility) and the bureaucrats taketh away. This should be a real worry for Africans - just ask the Kosovars. https://t.co/GVrxLCiH2i
@AnthonyLeeZhang Perhaps we can agree on the following summary: Kantian thinking can be abusively described as "In a symmetric game form, whenever you consider deviating, imagine everyone does "the same" deviation, suitably defined. Do not do deviations you would not like then."
https://t.co/8bY0QXWvgz https://t.co/1qSkDEkczM
@JohnQuiggin @SamRoggeveen Most of the climate twitter I follow has been predicting a net zero announcement for a while, mainly because they were worried it would be backloaded (all reductions near 2050) as to have no effect, but would still be treated as a watershed moment
THE RAIL EPISODE OF ODD LOTS We're getting closer to covering every aspect of the supply chain. This time, @tracyalloway and I spoke with Ian Jefferies, President & CEO of the @AAR_FreightRail to talk about what the pandemic is doing to their industry https://t.co/SlhHqLlaPD
Meanwhile, 2000m lower… https://t.co/VtHfMeeUde https://t.co/8wg7X2NpCS
Stunning! Congrats. https://t.co/nzz1EaAKnI
RT @DavidHenigUK: Deploying some soldiers and allowing some more visas can't fix the problems caused to international supply chains of putt…
RT @C_Althaus: In Switzerland, higher cantonal vaccination uptake is strongly associated with lower numbers of #SARSCoV2 cases and hospital…
RT @MalmstromEU: Next week the EU and US will meet at high level to discuss cooperation in the trade and technology field. @ChadBown and I…
How history will view the fast rollout of vaccines in UK #COVID19 • It started so ✅but ended so 😢 https://t.co/tI1wsx12Gi
@profholden ...considerations on the potential harms and benefits of vaccination are very finely balanced." Not a fringe group, the official assessing authority for the UK. (The recommendation was only for those 12-15yo with underlying conditions.) https://t.co/CeBFkI8cfS
@profholden I think the recommendation here is far more marginal than most expect. For example, JCVI recommended against universal vaccination of 12-15yo, rather only those w preconditions. "Very low risk of serious disease in those aged 12 to 15 years without an underlying health condition.
@SHamiltonian @petesivey @profholden https://t.co/FKugVkqhnb
@profholden They wrote that solely because the NSW govt report (referenced in article) censors everything below 1% as "<1%" but there have been a total five NSW children 0-9 admitted to ICU over the last 2 years.
Low cost harm reduction tips welcome
Starting to get some serious hand nerve/muscle issues (maybe carpal?) from laptopping during this extended WFH. Is extended laptop use a common cause? Only explanation I can think of. Return to office and mixing it up a bit can't come fast enough in any case.
Race, class, names— it’s all right here… https://t.co/rZqFDcOEdP
Does your community want: few people hospitalized for COVID, or few people vaccinated for COVID? Reality is you can't have both. https://t.co/EroaKC4Sgt
@imbernomics @LPDonovan There is definitely a market for an explainer on this
Ah Australian press - don't the let the truth get in the way of a good (convenient) story. https://t.co/0cWgAAKPDq
@profholden Except it isn’t 1%. The article quotes <1% and the number in the report is actualy 1 ICU case in nearly 1500 cases in under 10s.
Weird Space Advisor, Wide-Eyed Space Grad Student, Angry Space Postdoc, Space Giant Admin Buildings, Space 9/11 Catastrophe, Space Climate Change, and Space Is Sociology A Predictive Science Arguments
At the San Genarro fest. Restaurant says there’s a Moretti shortage. Hasn’t had any in stock in 6-7 months.
@marthagimbel Except the CEA obviously
Excited that @JuliaAFonseca will be presenting "The Real Effects of Banking the Poor: Evidence from Brazil" (joint with @AdrienMatray) at the #WEFIDEV today. Abstract ⏬Are you a junior & want to join? DM @giorgiabarboni, @SeanKHiggins or me. #EconTwitter #MondayMotivation https://t.co/1Q9eOQr5pv
Brie. What the fuck. https://t.co/RQAg3SjQsA
maybe her phone's on silent, happens to me a lot https://t.co/5XyR7qQUFh
house and senate https://t.co/9ZQbqt3uGT
and in the opposing corner https://t.co/n4J1PhwE4f
not to be outdone https://t.co/CzZPiWbiSq
well that escalated quickly https://t.co/VieoJib3M7
Seems like there's a coordinated push to get civil society folks to speak up in defense of Georgieva. https://t.co/GgYGg7C28H
It's been about a month since full FDA approval of the COVID vaccines and no indication of pick up of vaccinations in the time series (even a drop). Don't know the counterfactual, so maybe it arrested a quicker slide, but doesn't seem like it's having a big effect. https://t.co/m39oXOgT2h
A take I’ve been meaning to do at full length but will just toss off half-assed here for now is that some of what progressives conceptualize as a debate about race and racism plays to a lot of people as a debate about patriotism.
I always found the stereotype that New Yorkers are unkind or unfriendly so odd, because I've never been anywhere where people take care of each other like they do here.
@Picketer not sure what the job was, but I would do it for a mere $999,999
Fueled by $22 million in anonymous donations, the Judicial Crisis Network pledged to spend up to $10 million backing Kavanaugh’s confirmation. “There is an understandable concern about the influence of dark money on the federal judiciary,” says Jon Cooper. https://t.co/x6jK8r7XNt
P.S. I have seen the parenting manual, it’s a PDF, the last 20,000 pages are missing and it was written by the guy who writes IKEA assembly instructions.
In any case, after looking through the history of how the aerosol/airborne debate actually went down, versus what the textbooks said, I think it's really useful to look at history at times with fresh eyes. Did we really know this, or did we conclude something and kept asserting?
Make it so ✨ https://t.co/yX2Ucvs40X
@SHamiltonian Not exploting testing very well, generally. In Melb South East, 3h waiting line on Tuesday morning for PCR. How many people are discouraged? I would be, if I had mild symptoms and were vaxed.
@SHamiltonian Before Christmas, they say, then 20 months. No sense of urgency, it's incomprehensible
I want to write about #MintTheCoin more this week. But what more is there to say about it really? Let me know if you have any questions.
Tuesday is International Safe Abortion Day. #AbortionIsNormal https://t.co/S4qiU0LGOb
Crypto fat finger... "Crypto exchange Bitfinex just paid $23.7 million in transaction fees to send $100,000 of tether (USDT) in what was presumably a bit of a slip up." https://t.co/D90ldIlwwi
Probably connected to the above https://t.co/aPedk8XCJp
@RichardRubinDC @jbarro So it's pure DC inside game, without conveying useful economic information?
@jbarro I'm not talking about MMT. I'm asking you what you think the numbers accomplish in terms of journalists communicating the contents of the bill.
@jbarro Why are spending and deficit levels important? I don't think either are. What matters, IMO, is quality, and quantity. And given the heterogeneity of the economy (where there are shortages, where there aren't etc.) what does a headline number that combines it all accomplish?
One-by-one folks... https://t.co/coAVHvZC2h
I’m not a lawyer, but I think that “defaming Tesla” as a product or as a company seems implausible in much the same way that “defaming the bubonic plague” or “defaming Elizabeth Báthory de Ecsed” would be. https://t.co/kEYfHmr2GG
@ljayes How does QLD benefit when vaccinated Sydney residents can visit Fiji or Guam or New Caledonia for holidays but not the Gold or Sunshine Coasts?
@isosteph and as a listener i appreciate how he keeps it moving, and often saves subjects from talking at length about less interesting subjects (eg. i think it was helpful for the overall interview to be like 'not sure this disabled incel line of questioning is a good one' lmao)
@isosteph i think the pull of the tyler interview is his success in generating very wide ranging and interesting conversations from people with different backgrounds? but works best with people who kind of engage in the exercise. hostile/defensive guests are usually bad
@lwantchekon @DinaPomeranz @HaroonBhorat Also, I just realized that @SuriTavneet is on the board at @restatjournal. That's a great pick! I'm super embarrassed having missed both Isaac and her -- clearly this just reflects that I haven't yet had to referee for either :)
@isosteph no this is the worst one in history
Boom. Cc: @marcthiessen https://t.co/mtFwySaCSZ
“She is allergic to opiates and Catholics.” Thanks, dictation software. I said KEFLEX! 😂 Thank goodness I proof-read it!
No plan is outlined in the story. https://t.co/DlGaDFuF7d
@SHamiltonian I desperately need to take you to a game...
@moneyreflux We wouldnt want to miss any positive cases.
@moneyreflux One of was too generous.
@MartinRavallion Wish the economic case weren't necessary, but alas!
@heeney_luke @Birdyword Spoilers!
Little squawker. https://t.co/DlpyYzXRv0
@Birdyword It’s very good, the organ is brilliant and absolutely makes it, just thinking about it makes me tear up a little bit Hans Zimmer is the GOAT I am so excited for the Dune soundtrack
@Usama_Polani @Birdyword Most sustainable love affair centered around deliberate and knowing poisoning
@Usama_Polani @Birdyword Phantom Thread is the correct answer to most “best” questions about movies.
@gbrl_dick Oh man now I have to listen.
@notthebandfool Sometimes the cynical take is the right one.
@phil_erskine Guilt is a state of mind, so yes.
@SamRoggeveen @JohnQuiggin A year ago net-zero was seen as fringe. I think the hardest thing to predict was just how much broad acceptance it would receive, how mainstream it would be in even traditionally Liberal circles, in such a short period of time. That’s what has moved the government.
@MattCowgill Go you good thing
This is why the obsessive focus of many on targets has missed the wood for the trees. And why advocates must also hold politicians to account for their substantive policy commitments and for the real outcomes they achieve. These must be robust, far outlasting the electoral cycle.
I’ve seen many argue political pressure on inner-city Liberals will encourage substantive policy action on climate change. I used to find that convincing. But really all these inner-city voters require is the ability to vote Liberal without guilt. Idle commitments enable that.
@stanveuger Haha exactly. Still garbage tho.
@OliverCaddick I agree with the sentiment, but whether you like it or not a lot of these people don’t see this as an inevitability but rather the consequence of a policy decision. We don’t really have time to wait for them to realize that.
@DavidGlynneJon1 That’s right as a moral statement, but not a political one.
@DavidGlynneJon1 @The_Nationals They should, that doesn’t mean they need to. Politically, you have to argue for a policy change, not for the status quo.
@GregLucas07 Politics doesn’t care.
@StuartBDonovan @StaudeKyle Hopefully. We’re just a fair way away from that right now.
@ToddMorrisEcon @andrewlilley_au @profholden The piece in the Fin by @ash_craig et al I think addressed that question really well in relation to ATAGI.
@StaudeKyle @StuartBDonovan Also: coal, just not thermal coal!!
@ToddMorrisEcon @andrewlilley_au @profholden Yes my thoughts exactly. IMO it’s worth doing for those reasons alone. And certainly I will vaccinate my daughters for that reason when allowed to.
@jvedmond Too much “why”. The why is irrelevant. Only the what matters in politics.
@DavidSligar I personally think that’s the way to go. Pretending it’s all sunshine, lollipops and rainbows isn’t going to convince anyone. Put the fear into them. It’s now an argument that can very credibly be made.
@croydoncathy Not saying it’s right, just that it’s the political reality that needs to be confronted if we want more progress faster.
@grumpyeconomist Challenge is good.
@grumpyeconomist “Should” is the wrong word. “Is” is all that matters.
RT @asintemple: @SHamiltonian @thejohnholden In my analysis, I found that if the structural adjustment follows a similar pattern to previou…
@RDNS_TAI @natecochrane I’m not sure if you’ve noticed mate but there’s this thing called the Nationals party room that is standing between the country and climate action. I said “intra” for a reason.
@asintemple @thejohnholden Yes!
@asintemple @thejohnholden Exactly!
@swrighteconomy Mate I will 100% go with you. I have perhaps watched AFL once in my life and was very confused. I initially didn’t like US college football much, but after attending a couple of games at the Big House in Ann Arbor I came to love it.
@profholden @davidjackson34 Yeah I don’t know what “awful lot” is. With 80-90% of say over-12s vaccinated, I really don’t know how many under 12s will be infected, and thus how many will become seriously ill. But I think it’s probably a pretty small number. Though worth doing low-cost mitigation regardless.
@JamesStevensAus Yes, exactly.
See my piece on this with @profholden here: https://t.co/EPHkDvILFS
@petesivey @profholden Yeah, 1% seemed very high to me.
@davidjackson34 @profholden You’ll be shocked to know David that we are individuals and don’t run every calculation by the other for our views before tweeting! I would like to see a credible estimate of the proportion of children ever infected in other countries.
@natecochrane @RundellTaylor I agree. But they don’t think that. And the onslaught is coming a lot slower than you’d like the transition to occur, and they’ll do whatever they can to block any actions you want to take. This is why the Nationals have been behaving the way they have. It’s politically rational.
@natecochrane @RundellTaylor And again: it doesn’t matter whether it’s true or fair, just what is politically necessary if you want to do what you want to do as quickly as you want to do it.
@natecochrane @RundellTaylor This one is very different to anything before, where one decision is perceived by a large number of people in a large number of electorates to single-handedly eliminate their livelihood. It’s nothing like the decision to close a car plant.
@natecochrane @RundellTaylor BTW, don’t ever use the word transition around these people because they absolutely hate. But I’m order to get the political support of these people, it will be necessary to explain to them what this transition will involve, and perhaps how they won’t be worse off under it.
Nice to see @profholden and me featured in @1RossGittins’ column today. Some very simple economic concepts can take you a long way in good fiscal management. https://t.co/uqxRWpbCBl
@EddieChalk No, because they aren’t organized in a way that they matter to the political system.
@petesivey Replace debate with political system and it starts to make sense.
@SHamiltonian @andrewlilley_au @profholden @ash_craig Yeh, @ash_craig was 💯 right about that. But surprisingly little focus on the mental health and economic benefits of vaccination in terms of kids. Basically we need more economists and econ thinking in the debate, and hats off to you two and @profholden for your dedication there.
The TGA is one of the most incredibly inept group of people in Australia’s history. We’re in a pandemic, and they don’t want us using tests. Truly braindead https://t.co/ZBl7QATgrw
@SHamiltonian @phil_erskine I'm not so sure. Generally, inner-city and inner-ring Libs (and general pop.) are pretty well educated these days and trust to follow through is also key. It will swing some no doubt. I think Lib party has lost the game on a number of these seats anyway.
@SHamiltonian And quite probably right. I suspect Morrison will only give the appearance of taking action. Clayton's Climate Change mitigation.
@SHamiltonian If the Sydney limo driver had access to rapid antigen tests, it’s possible this outbreak may never have happened. Thanks for keeping us safe TGA!
@SHamiltonian @thejohnholden In my analysis, I found that if the structural adjustment follows a similar pattern to previous strucutural adjustments (textiles, automanufacturing, etc), three regions (Central QLD, Mackay + Hunter) stand to lose ~$66m *a week* in wages. That's the end of those towns. (1/2)
@SHamiltonian And so it is. But a policy decision that must be made. Agree we don’t have time to bring everyone around of their own accord. But the policy settings can also soften the transition for coal and gas workers.
@SHamiltonian I don’t know enough about realpolitik to argue with your reply. But in my view there are too many enablers that allow this position to go unchallenged.
International travel to resume by December, for whichever state is willing to take flights. No travel bubbles, no red, yellow, green zone countries. Vaccinated people will be free to travel from anywhere in the world and do 7 days home quarantine. @9NewsAUS
Where’s my beer? https://t.co/TjKn2jORoq
@SHamiltonian @petesivey Including large donors
@SHamiltonian That's a very cynical thought Steven.
@SHamiltonian @StaudeKyle Yeah, I've wondered that too although I'm becoming a little less sanguine than some about the medium- to long-run prospects for metallurgical coal: I suspect we may find technological innovations eat away at that market. https://t.co/ZI5eItmBWr
@thejohnholden @SHamiltonian To echo @SHamiltonian’s point, this isn’t an argument against zero carbon (I’m for it as fast as possible), but an argument to have a credible plan for whole regions that provides a life for the communities that live there. (2/2)
@SHamiltonian And my father one of the many thousands retrenched from the BHP Steelworks in Newcastle. A high-paying job and what would be huge retrenchment payments provides a LOT of choices.
@SHamiltonian @profholden Stop talking sense please
@thejohnholden @SHamiltonian We're in agreement on that! Also, my apologies if my tweets came off in anyway that wasn't just about contributing to the debate. Your points are spot on, in that as it currently stands, there's nothing that says those high paying jobs will be replaced.
@SHamiltonian These are all good questions that you quite rightly say individual workers will face. But why the kid gloves for them? I am one of millions of workers who have been retrenched from jobs & industries we loved & relied on. $200k as guaranteed job for life, why?
@SHamiltonian @RundellTaylor From your fingers to @npomalley’s: https://t.co/rdgF8xRdXS
Nice geom_ work here https://t.co/hLI13r2KeE
@SHamiltonian To be clear I suggest we should all want assistance provided to workers whose lives are disrupted by the transition. Bit sick of hearing “I got treated like shit so why shouldn’t they”. We need the transition to save the climate but let’s aim to treat people better this time.
@SHamiltonian The TGA needs an utter gutting and overhaul. Unbelievable how nothing changes there in spite of the massive need.
@SHamiltonian @profholden I thought the argument about pharmacies was interesting given how many of them are already regularly exposure sites.
@SHamiltonian @andrewlilley_au @profholden 👏 It would be nice to have that articulated more clearly in the debate (or maybe I've not paid attention?). Discussion about cost-benefit in terms of vaccination is frustratingly narrow. Medical experts should at the very least consider impacts on transmission and mental health
@SHamiltonian it’s Monday, surround yourself with the right people this week! https://t.co/8U2551Szy4
@gbrl_dick Ahh damn, guess I’m going to have to listen to enter the Discourse
@thejohnholden @SHamiltonian We’re in furious agreement. There’s nothing that bothers me more than the people who use the problem as an excuse to avoid moving to net-zero or as an argument to say it can’t/shouldn’t. I think a plan like @beyondzeronews proposes is the kind of thing we need.
@SHamiltonian @thejohnholden Again, we all benefit from getting to zero carbon as fast as possible, but none of us in urban centers really lose anything through that transition. We're asking discreet locations and real communities to bear all the brunt, & offering them no credible alternative. (2/3)
@andrewlilley_au @profholden The biggest benefit of vaccinating kids is unlikely to be individual protection from COVID. Child vaccination will reduce transmission (somewhat) and anxiety (a lot). It will also promote more in-person schooling with less disruptions and boost the economy by reducing fear.
@SHamiltonian @swrighteconomy Incorrect.
@SHamiltonian @thejohnholden What's worse, we're somehow surprised that when we're asking them to put their lives and livelihoods on the line without any offer of security, they're not keen. IMO, we need to build secure regional economies with jobs for blue collar workers in a zero carbon economy (3/3)
@thejohnholden @SHamiltonian As I showed in my report a year or so ago, the problem isn’t that there’s not that many miners, it’s that they are concentrated in specific regions & that the regions are built around high wage primary industry. (1/2) https://t.co/bCxS4q1TSy
Good to see ScoMo has scrapped the Australian flag face mask, even better to see that PVO, another of our best and brightest, has picked up the slack. https://t.co/shPfsvPXfd
@StaudeKyle @SHamiltonian Good point. I was interpreting occupation very narrowly but it's absolutely true that the demand for mining (in aggregate) is likely to remain strong.
@asintemple @SHamiltonian No worries! My concern was that this can easily turn into a jeopardy argument, where net-zero cannot be achieved since/until regional economic loss would be "worse"/is remedied, which isn't anyone's argument here, but the nuance can catch you out.
I never took oral comps (or any comps for that matter) but more generally I think teaching methods classes has made me a way better producer and consumer of applied research. https://t.co/bPLWDnHLn9
@imbernomics If the major mechanism is mandates, I'd expect the lag to be both long and highly variable. Agree with you both that the counterfactual is tricky and that this feels telling
Amazes me that it’s 2021 and people are still putting suitcases into the overhead bin hamburger style.
@Andrew___Baker Yes. The good news is that once you're a law professor you get tons of CLE credits from doing talks.
Um hi y'all need to read this https://t.co/gRfUhIayiG
October, to me, is about fall leaves, Ella Fitzgerald crooning, "When Harry Met Sally," ancestor reverence, and hot apple cider https://t.co/6K8NPKmQa3
«Aber die Intensivstationen sind ja gar nicht ausgelastet…». Einer der grausligsten, zynischsten Sätze seit Beginn der Pandemie. Die Realität, in vielen erschütternden Details: https://t.co/loXJDIeR4Q
Mercury retrograde should be a global holiday.
@EconDaryl @imbernomics I was certain enough that name was fake that I looked it up. Learned something new today.
@dlmillimet @Stata Use reshape, don't lose your head
@imbernomics I think this summer we are going to take the northern route to Utah, go through MI, WI, Dakotas, and the dip down through Yellowstone.
@imbernomics Wilson needs to up his game, making me look bad in front of my NY neighbors.
I’m gonna need a fact check on that first bit about “almost universal support” https://t.co/3oXJsIOG6X
It’s once again unclear how I’m supposed to get any work done today. https://t.co/4VpZ3aYv7P
Autumn colours were popping at Marriott Basin yesterday https://t.co/wNlL0lxQ5x
@hyperplanes @arpitrage Yes, so maybe we will start seeing a bump in a few weeks (other than bumps from age 5-11 approvals)
@ryanbedwards @sharatganapati I also personally like NMSBU more than Yoshi's Crafted World or Captain Toad: Treasure Tracker. (Naomi has not tried them.)
@ryanbedwards @sharatganapati Our three year old has been having fun as the invincible purple rabbit character in New Super Mario Bros. U. I just ordered a smaller controller to fit her little hands. :)
Top 25 polluting cities of the world https://t.co/BDcUVoW4Rv
Danke Kurt! https://t.co/0VkAXLNzZS
@ndreas_f @VfS_econ @econ_uzh Danke Andreas!
Thank you Marius! https://t.co/2eWxtbUP6f
I’m coming to the conclusion that it is impossible to write a bio for yourself without sounding like a complete pillock and maybe it is easier just to lean into the pillockness.
@DuncanWeldon I got caught in a torrential downpour. Which isn't quite the same.
@singhabhi @lwantchekon @DinaPomeranz @HaroonBhorat @restatjournal Expect a referee request from me soon!!! Thanks for the lovely thoughts. I have to say I am completely loving editing @restatjournal!! I learn so much and get to see so many different papers, its really such an honor and privilege to be able to do this!
Mit Armand Zorn und Omid Nouripour gehen die beiden Frankfurter Direktmandate an zwei Menschen mit Migrationsgeschichte. Dies repräsentiert die Stadt Frankfurt adäquat, denn 50% der Frankfurter*innen haben einen Migrationshintergrund. Danke Frankfurt! https://t.co/bbwaD1M8md
Interested in being a visiting scholar in aging and health research at NBER? Look here. You needn't be an NBER affiliate to apply! https://t.co/bi329g88Fz
@Florian_Scheuer @VfS_econ @econ_uzh Gratuliere!!!
RT @mjKolly: Carmen Karde hat uns von ihrem Alltag auf den Intensivstationen erzählt. Davon, – wie es dort den Covid-19-Patientinnen geht,…
RT @DanRather: One of the problems with how politics is covered is  many have forgotten that the purpose of politics is policy, as in solvi…
@Cutler_econ But a US citizen or greencard holder
RT @harvarddiverse: Harvard Kennedy School student Viet Nguyen is leading a national grass-roots campaign to end legacy admissions preferen…
RT @ETH4D: Check out the programme of the first African Culture Day organised by @ASA_Zurich! @ETH_en
RT @DaveEvansPhD: Yesterday was the first day of the Research on Improving Systems of Education (RISE) 2021 annual conference! Four hours o…
RT @ProfMangen: Great discussion of the Profit Paradox: “people seem to equate success in stocks and profits with a healthy economy. And it…
RT @PrincetonEcon: “By studying the Black experience, we can better understand some of the most fundamental questions in economics.” - Assi…
RT @charlesjkenny: The Daily Mail (!) on the UK's real migrant crisis... HT @scepticalranil https://t.co/jk2UIXImoo
RT @JohnHolbein1: Can you guess what effect the recent expansion of the Child Tax Credit (CTC) has had on poor families? ... ... ... It's…
RT @EDerenoncourt: So excited for @guoxu_econ's seminar today at @PrincetonEcon. I simply can't see this talk enough times. Clean, shocking…
RT @JustinSandefur: Interesting to see non-cognitive rather than cognitive skills highlighted as the key mechanism here -- another strike a…
RT @IDinsight: Join our team! If you are an early career professional looking to work on some of the most pressing issues of our time check…
RT @CGDev: How can we achieve faster, affordable, more responsive evaluations to optimize public policy? Join #CGDTalks with Ann-Sofie Isa…
RT @charlesjkenny: "...there’s a huge army of people who are about to retire in the United States... We’re going to need a source of labor…
@sandipz Aka having tenure :)
RT @gyude_moore: Uganda last mile connectivity program - seeks to "provide reliable and affordable electricity to rural households, public…
RT @ChloeEast2: Yes! Fantastic and important paper not just bc of the findings ("there is greater equality of opportunity today than in the…
RT @JustinSandefur: China has eradicated extreme poverty, which now stands below 0.5%. How? Well, growth, obviously. But in the final str…
RT @KOFETH: 📢Morgen geht das #Nowcastinglab online. Auf dieser Echtzeit-Testplattform können sich Wirtschaftsakteure täglich einen Überblic…
RT @UZH_en: We are happy to invite you to the livestream with Nobel Laureate Michael Kremer. Following the economist's key note you have th…
RT @TeodoraBoneva1: Interested in behavioral economics and inequality? Attractive postdoc positions advertised again @briq_institute in Bon…
RT @Marius_Brulhart: .@Florian_Scheuer: a world-class expert in public finance and very deserving winner. Glad to have you in 🇨🇭, Florian!
RT @ETH_NADEL: 50 years of NADEL: How has the understanding of development cooperation changed over the last 50 years? Where is NADEL comin…
RT @Knutti_ETH: Klimaschutz lohnt sich https://t.co/7XhZJczTJF
https://t.co/xvf6P2OEsp https://t.co/qr2deK2zfs
RT @ProfALucas: Pre-print @AEAjournals version now available! "Engaging Teachers with Technology Increased Achievement, Bypassing Teachers…
@hansi_voigt Weil die AFD als faschistoide Partei gegründet wurde, die SVP aber als ursprünglich konservative Partei zur faschistoiden P umgebaut wurde.
Ich suche in Twitter nach #Baerbock, aber es kommen nur Tweets zu Laschet. Kann mir das bitte mal jemand erklären? https://t.co/DjKh97ucae
@Hersiczky Nein, faktisch nicht. Es gibt keine Zertifikatspflicht an Schulen und es befremdet mich, dass ein Lehrer solche Dinge behauptet.
Das sollte Beachtung finden: Nicht nur verliert die @CDU beide Frankfurter Direktmandate. Nicht nur holt erstmals ein Grüner eines davon. Beide Mandate gehen an Menschen mit Einwanderungsgeschichte https://t.co/DYCBx3oI8k
Seeing life and buzz ⁦⁦@unige_en⁩ is just wonderful! https://t.co/mqr78JpDhl
Das hast du als Frau davon, wenn du die Grünen zum besten Wahlergebnis in der Geschichte der Partei führst. https://t.co/sJMnINoH4H
@Florian_Scheuer @VfS_econ @econ_uzh Herzlichen Glückwunsch!!
Stadt ZH, die grösste in CH, stimmte mit 50,2% Ja, die eher konservative Stadt SG mit 45,1%.
Die 99%-Initiative, höhere Steuern für Top-Einkommen fordernd, von CH-Jusos fast ohne Budget lanciert, wurde zwar zu 64% abgelehnt. Reiche, davon besonders betroffene Städte zeigen aber ein differenziertes Bild: GE 78.344 Nein/56.198 Ja. BS 33.657 Nein/31.168 Ja. Just think about
Florian is an example of intellectual curiosity and humility https://t.co/pA3ZC2882y
👇🏽 https://t.co/xHBjzpVyc4
Ende August in Morges. Polizisten schiessen auf einen Mann. Vier Minuten stehen sie da, ohne zu helfen. Jetzt wird bekannt: Der getötete Mann war schwarz. Es ist der vierte schwarze Tote im Kanton #Waadt in den letzten viereinhalb Jahren. Warum? @crls__ @RepublikMagazin https://t.co/JVD2vUSt71
tired: damn migrants, coming over here taking our jobs wired: damn migrants, not coming over here taking up jobs https://t.co/WRLxYS1cNB
Herzliche Gratulation, @Florian_Scheuer, zum Hermann Heinrich Gossen Preis des Vereins für Socialpolitik. Das ist grossartig und sehr verdient. Schön, dass du bei uns in der 🇨🇭 forscht. https://t.co/shjBCKCjqs
☝🏼 https://t.co/CHgUUt2Xz6
Support for the Black Lives Matter movement declined between June and September 2020, but has remained stable since. https://t.co/Yzb1cBpoVi https://t.co/sRUixQToHa
@socio_steve @DanRiffle Do you know if anyone has done the obvious RDDs here?
@marthagimbel @LeemourSeymour Wow
@BudgetBen @imbernomics @LPDonovan https://t.co/TSPw3pvvBd
Things happen for many reasons, often at the same time, but it would be weird if the UK putting up significant barriers to trade with its most important trading partner had no impact whatsoever.
I like teaching graduate-level statistical methods classes because it’s like doing an oral comp twice a week for your entire life.
@gabster0191 I am proud to have influenced this tweet form btw
RT @TrevonDLogan: Nephew: I scored a long touchdown at the game! Me: Video or it didn’t happen! Nephew: https://t.co/FVfaGyJvx0
RT @AlecStapp: Not the Onion: Six Italian scientists were convicted of manslaughter in 2012 for failing to predict an earthquake that kill…
R. Kelly Found Guilty of All Counts.
I am so very pleased & honored to announce that I will be writing the biography of the great poet, Lucille Clifton, to be published by @AAKnopf in 2026. My editor will be the wonderful @FreemanReads . Thank always you my amazing agent @sarahburnes of @TheGernertCo . https://t.co/MJb9QHC4Q5
@ryanbedwards Day off sorry!! Thank heavens for @MarkusMannheim (timeless tweet tbh)!
Helluva day not to watch the press conference! https://t.co/SzUGiABiuY
NBA legend Kareem Abdul-Jabbar calls for unvaccinated players and staff to be removed from teams https://t.co/XvjTF03nnS
Obviously, not all parents love their children as much as I love mine. https://t.co/kCINFAE7eO
They’re not spending bills, they’re INVESTMENT bills. Words matter.
Decades and decades of perfection https://t.co/EzH5gCNWTq
The Slave Play shutout is embarrassing. And not for Slave Play.
😳 No big deal. Just. You know. Talking about this book with one of my favorite living writers. What could go wrong. https://t.co/x2FyZWdlbg
don’t be suspicious https://t.co/IcsGExc7Xv
For everyone who has ever called me crazy for intentionally changing lanes when a truck carrying logs pulls in front of me because I saw a little film called Final Destination 2, LOOK AT THIS SHIT AND APOLOGIZE https://t.co/IanTEiDyUF
I'm watching Promising Young Woman again and the same thought occurred to me as it did the first time, that the movie would have been better if she had murdered everyone
Agree. https://t.co/eJErffMrOY
Here’s “Against White Feminism” in the New Yorker this morning ♥️ https://t.co/oKKCRmvjWn
May I cleanse your timeline with a baby kitten playing peek a boo? Credit Imgur/ayuo1111 https://t.co/2j22L5WmsV
This woman is 73. Thee Bernadette Peters. https://t.co/UeMOu7uZrV
Today on @BlkPerspectives, Nicole M. Gipson (@antaeusargus) interviews Keisha N. Blain (@KeishaBlain) about her book, Until I Am Free: Fannie Lou Hamer’s Enduring Message to America (@BeaconPressBks)— https://t.co/mV0pa4NLKy https://t.co/HWePyNuKW6
“Women are re-evaluating path they want to take in work and life in response to stresses of the pandemic.” It’s not Covid per se. We aren’t “restless,” as if bored. This is a political and social failure to take women’s time, work, and ambitions seriously. https://t.co/1SNHB8WMIq
The study of Darwinism is fascinating https://t.co/2BVvh7nfAg
On R. Kelly… https://t.co/XHogs4RHRn
Happy #BannedBooksWeek. We're celebrating on the podcast tomorrow with Dr. Charles Silverstein, the 86-year-old author of The Joy of Gay Sex. See you there. 😍🏳️‍🌈🍆 https://t.co/EDYYbaD8SI
Kyle has unfollowed Dorit 💀 Maybe this reunion DOES need to be 4 Parts #RHOBH https://t.co/kYClw01z3u
Jennie revealing that she’s had NINE miscarriages and for her medically-knowledgeable husband to continue to pressure her, on camera, to have more children is very cringe #RHOSLC https://t.co/hF1IXU9bxW
I’m sincerely sorry to put this question on main but is this man her editor or her ghostwriter, I do not understand https://t.co/NUHXLmvscN
@Maggie_Klaus A word — whew
My next essay: “(Freddie) Nietzsche on Baldwin & Beauvoir” https://t.co/DIcVPjkuuk
RT @freeblackgirl: “The last 20 years have been absolutely exhausting for me. It’s been a lonely road.” All my love to Sparkle and the othe…
Remembering when @CaroMT interviewed R Kelly in 2015 about the allegations and he walked out mid-interview https://t.co/XnpTLTXW37
RT @CairaConner: Sexual abuse destroys everything it touches. It leaves a wake of chaos and ugliness so blinding that it takes at least a l…
@blgtylr This looks amazing! I need to register ASAP take my money!
RT @summerbrennan: I'm sorry to do this. We are fighting to save my father. He was left without care for days due to a medical system overl…
Sexual abuse destroys everything it touches. It leaves a wake of chaos and ugliness so blinding that it takes at least a lifetime to learn to live next to it. Simone Biles explains why in this gorgeous @NYMag @CAMONGHNE profile. https://t.co/rPBxpBsGep
My application for an MPH program is submitted. I wasn’t sure I’d ever really try to go back to school after dropping out from a MA English lit program in 1994. I did it! Whatever happens, I got in my app.
I got a Pfizer booster shot. AMA.
everyone welcome @msisisking to your screens 😍 https://t.co/G03C2lwRgD
So much THIS! https://t.co/NvYaZ7lm7f
@MarcieBianco My marriage …
@ShawnFremstad @MikeDMitchell2 I just want the IRS to measure love.
@MikeDMitchell2 We gotta get more resources to the IRS. https://t.co/EzcH9OjdKt
@pressFToTweet @TorontoNeolib @socio_steve A potential feature of parenthood right now is that schools may close for temporary periods when there are confirmed exposure events. That means that it may be difficult to take a job if you cannot work from home.
@pressFToTweet @TorontoNeolib @socio_steve I think an alternate story is that there are substantial supply side barriers to employment (childcare + compensating differentials due to covid risk) that are not going away while Covid is here.
@LittleKeegs0 @WelfareEnjoyer @a5h1ra heyyy
@jenniferdoleac Two done this semester and they are the best!!!
In honour of a new academic year: Why I find the word 'PROBLEMATIC' problematic: A Thread
💯so many of them dude… https://t.co/IhqEfg6RFE
@BetseyStevenson @PatcohenNYT Ha - I did not recall this: https://t.co/EDgxwUsQx6
We should support diverse artists/writers but sometimes (and this goes for both) viewing societies through different lenses is great. I enjoy writings of migrants on living in westernised mostly white societies and on occasion,I've enjoyed white writers musings on India¯\_(ツ)_/¯
*bong rip* The natural evolution of people getting mad every time someone writes about something/ a cultural experience /anything that's out of their lane. https://t.co/nHiSu3Wdmc
RT @ProfPCDoherty: Lots of people have been asking about rapid antigen tests, and they will clearly be very important as we move on to the…
@imbernomics Authorizing lapse is a headache but not necessarily felt widely until the HTF $ runs out. Problem is that's in a few weeks and by that point you have layoffs, project interruptions, etc.
Vaccine providers at restaurants and movie theaters! https://t.co/Y8ZGK8AT8X
@ClaireAdida Zeno’s vaccine
god he rules so hard https://t.co/z2ftNtdjRC
PM was on Face the Nation on CBS (US news show) and this is a sample of the questions: * Do you think less liberty is medically necessary? We had a huge argument over that in this country. Why did you think it was worth it in Australia? * When will Australians be able to leave?
Amazing stuff https://t.co/vpCL1uhuxI
Here's a couple in Oakland who built an ADU for their adult son to live in (he couldn't afford Oakland real estate). When he has a family & they're getting old, they're gonna switch places; he'll live in the house, they'll age in place near him & his kids. https://t.co/WJ0Abdu592
ACT: From Friday: * 2 people able to visit another household * Outside recreation limits doubled to 4 hours * Non-essential retail can operate under click-and-collect or click-and-deliver * Outdoor boot camps & personal training for up to 2 at a time * Nature parks reopen
@AsjadNaqvi My point is that “top tier” or “second tier” etc is bullshit: these papers are important because they’re in important journals 🥺.
As ANU celebrates its 75th anniversary this year, @DrCraigEmerson reminisces about the social cricket series played between economics departments in the 1980s. It was a time of big hair, big dreams and broken bones. Read our story: https://t.co/OpZRHGGeIy #ANU75 https://t.co/gNsdiG29bm
Nice https://t.co/1GU5gloJ4T https://t.co/aabLmKLFBI
RT @NicolaLimodio: Excited that @JuliaAFonseca will be presenting "The Real Effects of Banking the Poor: Evidence from Brazil" (joint with…
Nice. Would be cool if we could do it also in all public service, including school staff, and other unis. https://t.co/nPwrjYGKFx
RT @MartinRavallion: "The economic case for letting in as many refugees as possible." https://t.co/djKskRXq1X
@jt_kerwin @sharatganapati Thank you! Was looking at this (or Yoshi or Toad, which I've been OK with the demos of) but feel I'll like this more myself.
@Picketer It's only fair, Tim.
RT @lauretig: From @darbour26 and @elenadata: "Causal Inference from Network Data," a very cool-looking tutorial that covers causal inferen…
RT @ryanbedwards: More Switch game recommendations pretty please: for young kids (2, 5), and for me..
This would surely make us one of the world's most conservative jurisdictions w.r.t. easing restrictions. Hopefully it pays off.
Anyone have handy what the predicted ACT vax rates are on mid and end October? Based on the current fig (e.g., all over 40s cohorts at 95+, 30-40 80+, rest rising FAST) could we be at 12 or 16+ at 90-95 by then?
@AnnaVidot thank goodness for that really helpful, clear, and concise infographic
@AnnaVidot I went to your feed because i missed it and didn't want to watch it all lol
RT @SHamiltonian: See my piece on this with @profholden here: https://t.co/EPHkDvILFS
RT @SHamiltonian: This is obviously a welcome development, but someone seriously really needs to explain why in-home COVID-19 testing is no…
This is good though, and they have a great approach. It's all in the delivery. Food. Water. Chill vibes. Distractions. Done.
you love to see it https://t.co/8epMi8IsyX
This was cool. Gang Gang FTW https://t.co/9wFdjhyfIE (how it is beating the tawny frogmouth, which appears to be a close enough second, i don't know) https://t.co/rvRpIU4Xp4
RT @san_muly: I'm really happy & honored to receive the 2021 Etta Chiuri Prize for the best article written by an economist under the age o…
@sterndavidi Indiana Jones proper
RT @jasonmlindo: I think I’m way late to the party commenting on this but it’s so so refreshing I have to give my 👍 on this great leadershi…
RT @ObservStudies: Observational Studies invites submission of commentaries on Paul Rosenbaum and Donald Rubin’s influential paper “The cen…
@MattCowgill The specs do wonders for you
RT @notanastronomer: @jhaushofer Johannes why did you make the rest of us see this too
RT @jhaushofer: I… what https://t.co/s4qbqVc5lC
RT @drvolts: On Friday, the share of renewable energy on Australia's grid hit an all-time high: 61.7%. Some 31% of that was rooftop solar;…
RT @drvolts: In Australia, rooftop solar power is the rock-bottom cheapest option -- cheaper than *the transmission costs of getting centra…
The ACT's pathway forward. https://t.co/OxdwZhjoqz
A self imposed prohibition on tweeting about Covid issues is difficult but rewarding.
UPDATE: About ten days ago I decided to go on a trip without a cell phone. It was both hard and easy, but overall it was amazing to discover how much better life can be when you're not connected all day. I learned a bunch about myself 👇👇
Bird of the year through sortition imo https://t.co/twXYFBlqmQ
Something in the pipe: the Flint water crisis and health at birth. https://t.co/faJqMCcSZk
@In_The_Taratory Hey any insight on masks outdoors? CM indicated they're likely not needed once lockdown ends. But the detailed doc says they're here till Oct 29 (though also labels the mask section "work").
@damienics Some long stints I didn't see mentioned Museveni: 37y Bainimarama: 15y Suharto: 31y Sukarno: 22y LKY: 31y
@mathhew_miskin @zachweingarten yes
@Andrew___Baker https://t.co/lwAa20HKo5
going to the store and labeling all the beets “BEETS” so ben can find them https://t.co/dDfeTvCfQj
@besttrousers @andreamatranga @imbernomics I think similar issues of separating technical knowledge from value judgements come up in econ too and should inform how people think about what open letters to sign onto, what language they have, etc...
@besttrousers @imbernomics I dunno - I expect a little more thought on public communication strategy given that such a large part of public health is obtaining high levels of public compliance with health measures (and communication is key to that effort)
However, debt limit hikes weren't filibustered prior to 2013. https://t.co/Md8osDDr6H
1/ Friends, the federal government is not a business. I'm not sure "gross vs. net costs" is a helpful frame for understanding the federal budget. 1. The bill would increase spending by $3.5 trillion. 2. If fully paid for by tax increases, it would not increase the debt. https://t.co/BsS8sQnffX
This is correct. The $3.5 trillion spending package does not "cost $0" even if it were fully paid for with tax increases. https://t.co/3RtRfCiYUK
2/ But that does not mean that it "would cost $0." I don't even know what that cost statement means. Tax and spending increases effect decisions about working, saving, and investment. They effect future national income.
Interesting and important paper by @kearney_melissa, @phil_wellesley, & Luke W. Pardue. "The Puzzle of Falling US Birth Rates Since the Great Recession" Paper here: https://t.co/R4foTXjfwk https://t.co/pK014VSVhv
Having seen fieldwork pictures of this one, I'm glad I chose to study outsourcing *education*. https://t.co/h2UCTVDwsG
The 14 million who got single dose J&J are especially at risk. One has to think like a CDC or FDA official for this to make sense. https://t.co/bwtOxlpcNs
@imbernomics Colts fans “not so fast”
@imbernomics If you have no hope then it can’t be deflating, right??
Where did the myth that debt ceiling increases are usually bipartisan come from? Outside the Trump era, they were usually mostly partisan unless there was divided government. 10 years ago from @dmarron : https://t.co/fNdBC1F6oe (P.S. we NEED to raise the debt limit) https://t.co/QNYs6rMXIZ
Netflix makes fun of @michiganstateu Trailer looks terrible despite quite the cast https://t.co/y1u8ioEwo6
At least most of the countries experiencing nuclear cost bloat are developed; and so low future electricity growth can be met by renewables. But India has expansive nuclear growth dreams, and is running into cost bloat; as it is with infra too. What's Korea doing right instead? https://t.co/JLsE9dHNyh
@aprihar @imbernomics I think the real issue here was not telling people it was safe to be outside earlier. Even before the data was cleaned, it showed transmission outdoors was 5% of indoors (later we learned it was more like 0.1% or less).
I don’t agree with the mantra that it takes a competing analysis to defeat an analysis. We don’t demand that referees produce a full competing analysis to reject a paper, and for the same reason in the public sphere it shouldn’t be demanded. A good criticism is sufficient.
@TDeryugina Pros: a good way to start research collaborations, promote your work, meet other economists, keep up with some things happening in the field Cons: it can be a time sink and sometimes it is unpleasant and emotionally draining
You could say, SEA is *rising* to the occasion. https://t.co/KSPuURZFQJ
If you are a host, hosting a party why do you have guests and not hostages?
Today in "neither our media nor our political system is designed to deal with a far right authoritarian party" https://t.co/YKrAtvwz63 https://t.co/mXzzIiNt6W
@mikemakowsky I agree, what a mind. You can see his work pretty much everywhere right now.
@jeffreypclemens - The 2002 Nobel Prize Committee
@imbernomics Now imagine being a Jets fan living in Pats country for the last 20 years
You, a naif: let's mint the coin Me: you are like a tiny baby, watch this https://t.co/OAcooAG8x6 https://t.co/39ECct0UW5
The 👏 “audit” 👏 confirmed 👏 NOTHING 👏 because 👏 it was not 👏 a real 👏 AUDIT! Stop falling into the nutcases’ trap! It had no legitimacy whomever it found “won” the race. https://t.co/lz7rULfNbB
@notdred My deepest sympathies.
To be clear, I don’t blame Zach Wilson. It’s not his fault he can get 3 seconds without being smashed by two defensive linemen.
Which new quarterback to the Jets draft again with the #1 pick this year?
May have to get rid of NFL Redzone because I can’t stand watching all these teams play so much better than the Jets and I may just go back to watching the Lions on regular TV so I can watch the one team that plays at the former’s level.
@notdred Fuck all, they better be.
I'm sorry but I think Josh is right here. The public health community OK'ing the Floyd protests because they thought the social benefits exceeded the public health risks was probably the most damaging thing they could have done to faith in our public health experts. https://t.co/wVojRcR8V9
@anthlittle That is not a good thread
Waiting in a giant gym for my daughter to get a Covid test when I learn my son’s being kept in his high school classroom due to a threat. I hate this.
MLRtime, my Stata package for running Machine Learning algorithms in R (but from Stata) has a big update w/ access to gsynth and most of grf. Of most interest for causal inf: causal forest, IV forest, generalized synthetic control, matrix completion https://t.co/BuOXfNVDF1
Maybe they can have a restorative justice hackathon.
Good news colleagues at Yale, if you are giving a talk at one of these five cities you can fly direct from New Haven https://t.co/CQ5o7QDT6g
Really, with the handshaking?
Stop manipulating our regression discontinuities! https://t.co/feI41HCvcU
This is something @paulkrugman pointed out awhile ago about means-testing Medicare. A means-test turns into a head tax after the benefit has been fully phased out, so ends up being dramatically less progressive than a regular tax https://t.co/0VUVJ2Mgd3 https://t.co/mE1mWsHKkO
@MaxMurrayShow @Noahpinion @PolicyShill It does not seem to be the case, but taking the latter claim at face value, I like @hamandcheese's point here that often the best solution is to spend more to prevent a bifurcated system where poor people have to become experts in welfare bureaucracy https://t.co/v9X23ZIVIz https://t.co/TzGb07gAC9
What exactly is being alleged here? https://t.co/gfPWVFwatP
Had a great time at #WomeninQuant get together this afternoon. What a great start of #SREE2021!! 🎉 https://t.co/RRsBBmpdRG
This is my bat signal. https://t.co/Y5vg8866nF
@imbernomics So, I'll take Liz > Random Shill for the win.
It's never "really" about kids. https://t.co/3wwy7PPCvn
@imbernomics I reject this and your internal framework to get here. :)
@imbernomics That's not useful from my POV. https://t.co/z4R1NTNaZu
I can attest living in MI is awesome. https://t.co/ONxGiwU6Yi
@imbernomics Bro your Jets are so bad they let the Broncos d basically beat me by out scoring Kupp and Derek Henry. https://t.co/Y405L656x9
@imbernomics This just came on.. https://t.co/QLLuZ8zjpx
Jared Goff is watching the Rams like... https://t.co/CBAoNvgKXr
This is why I say the MAGA base is a religion. They believed the Arizona audit would show Trump won, but it actually showed Biden win by more. So what's the response to the false prophecies of Trump? To actually believe in the election lies even more! https://t.co/5TjBFHgHJu
I’m so worried about this https://t.co/sbe3VGmlDd
@imbernomics Yeah things kinda went downwards from there on... https://t.co/MZOctScEfa
Dying to own the Libs https://t.co/uKschmceBW
I’m very excited to vaccinate my children. I hope you will vaccinate your children too.
@imbernomics @EPICedpolicy Actually, @imbernomics and I were too busy eating apple cider donuts to be in very many pictures.
I am nothing if not Always On Brand. https://t.co/zpdQqcEubZ
I bet the NFL makes a new rule next week saying, "all delay of games within the last two minutes of a game are reviewable" And they'll call it the Ford Field rule or something. I hate everything.
@jmhorp @MarcGoldwein That’s not America. That’s Staten Island.
I’ve got an idea… what if ya’ll just increase Pell and don’t worry about creating some messy state/ fed partnership program to achieve “free” college? https://t.co/3Y1bRT5zXt https://t.co/btTZmPgES8
@imbernomics Meal experience review: Koopa
@imbernomics Baylor Romney, they're sure a BYU quarterback will be great, they just got the wrong one.
@imbernomics Doesn't look like it will get any better! https://t.co/cVKV9ODIHu
@besttrousers @imbernomics They were proven correct with time, but back then it wasn’t as clear, plus at that point no other public gatherings were allowed, including for religious services (even outdoors). The George Floyd protests were given special treatment
@DrBethAkers https://t.co/772ol6KLqI https://t.co/t4polWdu9U
More for me, I guess. https://t.co/wTWI2au0FN
RT @femonomics: Vaccine providers at restaurants and movie theaters!
@andreamatranga More seriously, if they wanted to do something like this, it’s easier to just say a person who is Pell eligible receives a grant of at least the cost of their local community college.
@cant_b It’s the ultimate own. There is no greater one.
@mikekofoed Sorry for your loss, Mike. My best wishes to your family.
RT @KatharineStrunk: New report released today on @EPICedpolicy’s longitudinal study of MI’s turnaround reform. School & district improvem…
RT @dlmillimet: Yay! We are hiring! Come join us!
@besttrousers @andreamatranga @AlexBartik https://t.co/7Z75BnhiK2
RT @BrendanNyhan: Ds closest to estimating true rate of COVID-19 vaccine efficacy against hospitalization; Rs at 50%, including 0%(!) for t…
RT @aefpweb: 📢📢📢 Calling all doctoral students! Are you interested in connecting with other doctoral students studying education finance an…
@arpitrage https://t.co/5rG5qnxxKN
@asusarla I guess I was expecting more employer mandates, I think those have been very slow. Hopefully the OSHA rules will go through and have an impact.
@trawlsvt1 There are still so many eligible people out there who are unvaccinated that I don't think the dwindling pool on it's own (as opposed to the harder reluctance of that pool) is an issue.
At least she's consistent with regards to her support for overthrowing fair elections. https://t.co/qlEPKyjko7
RT @ASlavitt: How about “We were wrong in February. We didn’t take the 6 months needed to study boosters so we guessed. And we were wrong.…
RT @zbleemer: ---JOB POSTING--- I am hiring one Tobin Center / Economics Pre-Doctoral Fellow to begin Summer 2022 for an expected term of t…
Arrest and prosecute them if the try this. Do not give them any leniency. https://t.co/o4C2KMyatd
RT @VoteGloriaJ: Really concerning to me that an anti-mask group just met saying they need to bring Knox County Schools to a halt (to appl…
@mikekofoed Amazing that you have so far passed on the opportunity to visit America's Dairyland.
RT @SarahCohodes: 📢📢 New Working Paper Alert 📢📢 Joint with @jamesfeigenbaum “Why Does Education Increase Voting? Evidence from Boston’s…
@JamesGLeckie @BelittleMyTakes @besttrousers Totally agree on those merit arguments. I guess my point is that this is not a judgement public health experts should be making in their role as public health expert. Sociologists and political scientists - yes, because that is what they study.
@bending_michael @besttrousers I pushed for that as well. Did the public health experts push for this though at that time, though? I think they were more circumspect.
@JamesGLeckie @BelittleMyTakes @besttrousers Yes, ex-post we learned it had little effect. And the mask wearing was a key difference.
@JamesGLeckie @besttrousers @BelittleMyTakes Yes, that is a good point. Did they make that point in their criticism? I don't recall them talking about the relative travel risks of both of those, though it may just be faulty memory.
@JamesGLeckie @BelittleMyTakes @besttrousers Note, I don't agree with that argument - I think they could have had the same effect w/ regards to freedom of political speech with smaller effects like Biden's. But the argument is plausible.
@JamesGLeckie @BelittleMyTakes @besttrousers I agree. But others may make a similar argument about political rallies going on at the same time that were being chastised. One can make a compelling argument that the social benefit of protecting political speech by holding such rallies also offset costs.
@aprihar But were they doing the same for outdoor Trump rallies?
@besttrousers At the time I don't think we were all that clear on the risks of mass outdoor events (even though for smaller events it seemed at the time risk was low). It was essentially done in the context where the protests were being compared to outdoor Trump rallies w/ similar risks.
@JamesGLeckie @BelittleMyTakes @besttrousers but that needs to be made distinct from the public health risks at that time. Like it or not saying one was ok, and the other was not, while they had similar contagion risks (outdoors, close together) bred distrust.
@JamesGLeckie @BelittleMyTakes @besttrousers I think they can weigh in on social benefits, but they need to make clear that it is distinct from their perspective on direct health benefits. They made a personal judgment that the Floyd protests were more important to social benefit than Trump rallies - which I agree with! -
RT @SarahCohodes: New paper with @jamesfeigenbaum on charters, voting, and why education increases civic participation out today at @nberpu…
Weighing social benefits vs risks is the role of politicians. Public health experts can, and should, give their personal opinions but be clear that they are speaking in their personal, not professional opinions in these cases.
RT @haroldpollack: 👇👇👇👇👇👇👇
The CDC, FDA, and their related committees have a remarkable inability to think logically and theoretically in the absence of sufficient data and that is a devastating position to be in during a public health emergency. https://t.co/HcZvmAIYTi
RT @futurepundit: The 14 million who got single dose J&J are especially at risk. One has to think like a CDC or FDA official for this to m…
@BudgetBen @LPDonovan paging @Noahpinion
@ProfessaJay Kind of thinking the Knicks dodged a bullet by not landing him.
@LPDonovan So what actually happens if the highway bill lapses? I’ve seen no explanation of this. Doesn’t seem to me like it’s something that lapsing for a few days or even a few weeks would be noticed.
@donmoyn In 50 years you’d be able to sell it for a small fortune to those guys who collect Hitler memorabilia.
RT @samdman95: damnnnn https://t.co/xaIJu9ADN6
RT @thehowie: More than 50% of all of Israel & >70% over 60 years have already received a booster shot. Transmission also appears to be sub…
RT @owasow: “We estimate every 600 people who wear surgical masks in public prevent an average of one death per year. If a congregation of…
@Dcollier74 It accomplished something. Doesn’t matter if that something doesn’t match your preferences. 😉
@Dcollier74 Happy they did something useful today.
She’s got the votes. https://t.co/mbV2g8QXbJ
@EGirlMonetarism Not gonna lie, would read a Kirby substack.
RT @cant_b: Academics: we believe in a high marginal tax rate and social spending. Also academics: the overhead rate at my university amo…
@cant_b https://t.co/y5Zq67WVjN
@JeremyTColes Depends on one’s utility function.
@Josh_Merfeld As are single spaces after the period.
RT @Josh_Merfeld: Horrible comparison. Everyone knows the Oxford comma is clearly superior.
@Josh_Merfeld Let’s remember who the real experts on deflating are… the Patriots.
RT @thedrakesays: A state of affairs social scientists refer to as e-coup-librium.
@KatharineStrunk @EPICedpolicy Not true! I constrained myself!
@Dcollier74 https://t.co/nAQQcsVzcs
Announcer for the Jets just said “was a deflating sequence for the Jets” and I’m just like what drive is not a deflating sequence for the Jets?
Sinema single handedly muscling a carbon tax through… https://t.co/UskpElqMfS
Just a reminder - @EPICedpolicy is hiring right now. 😉 (For the record, I was there too, but I like too keep an air of mystery around myself and tend to avoid having my image propagated.) https://t.co/jbkP20aFDh
Ditto. https://t.co/szf6sJNepo
This is an under appreciated point that I too have forgotten. https://t.co/XqU3cDITat
As opposed to the most Jets ending ever to a Jets game which would be the Jets about to score in a tied game with no time left on the clock only to have the runner fumble the ball on the 5 yard line and it gets picked up by the other team who runs it back for the touchdown.
@JeremyTColes That’s what I was wondering. Maybe the clock on the TV was wrong. Didn’t seem that the Lions were all that upset about it.
@imbernomics @BelittleMyTakes @besttrousers I think the aim of the rally was just to go see a candidate when videos and such work just fine. But with an anomic movement like protests, BLM Facebook videos wouldn't have the same effect.
NEWS: @uoregon seeing its largest ever freshman class this year — more than 4,600 students. Along with the largest number of incoming freshmen, this class is also the most racially diverse and the most academically prepared (with the highest average high school GPA).
@imbernomics That would make sense because it wasn’t like it was on 0 for just a split second. But it was wish a Lions loss. I can relate as a Browns fan.
@imbernomics Yeah this sounds like the world’s greatest democracy all right
@besttrousers @imbernomics @BelittleMyTakes True enough. Traveling for rallies would be more common.
@imbernomics https://t.co/tcmeZ0xG76
@imbernomics @BelittleMyTakes @besttrousers It wasn't quite a personal choice either though. Social determinants of health and the connection between disproportionate treatment by police and different problems at large is a huge ongoing problem that affects public health too.
@imbernomics @KatharineStrunk 🙄
@imbernomics @BelittleMyTakes @besttrousers I think this is a fair thing to bring up, but mask wearing at the BLM protests was far higher than at a Trump rally. And there was some evidence a year ago that cases didn't increase after the protests as a result.
@imbernomics @besttrousers I think I agree with the double standard... but also think we had very good reason to believe that outdoor activity, especially masked was safe and they should have emphasized that I remember pushing really hard for beaches and other outdoor venues to be/stay open at the time
A state of affairs social scientists refer to as e-coup-librium. https://t.co/zMiagILgAh
Happy Stanislav Petrov Day to all who celebrate. Which should be all of us. May his memory be a blessing. https://t.co/3f8aIYzEJq https://t.co/Nv6mR5safV
The increasing partisan gap in Covid's death toll is stark: https://t.co/grkrSbiNTe https://t.co/vIancefnfz
@TDeryugina I really like @SarahJacobsonEc 's thorough discussion, notably the inclusion of (something I left out) the warning that "trolls do exist, ... women and people of color, and people who tweet about issues with a political angle, are sometimes targeted." https://t.co/Cr71VgV2L5
@crampell I’d be interested in how worried he is about this: https://t.co/ARI2ZDmHCD
Good heavens! Maybe we can get some more toner over in the History department https://t.co/PBM8wSxChP
Joined up thinking perhaps, if graduates have to pay more tax they won't be able to afford to buy as much petrol? https://t.co/JhOEzjhbWO
Anthony, no. Imagine if everyone else made half-baked tweets hoping for someone else to correct them. https://t.co/qOk1V2Z7JY
There is no shortage of subscribers to my newsletter. I repeat, THERE IS NO SHORTAGE OF SUBSCRIBERS TO MY NEWSLETTER!! ✍️ https://t.co/yq5AwbXXuN
Glad to see the growing scrutiny of stablecoins. The riskiest stuff, from a systemic standpoint, always seems to be stuff marketed as stable (eg money markets funds) or popularly perceived to be stable (eg housing). https://t.co/eT1IuEpUiT
Everyone has tweeted it already, but the latest @benyt piece on Ozy lives up to the hype, so I'm going to tweet it as well https://t.co/w20zjSNbuV
Every day, crypto people wake up, sneer no coiners, and talk about how pumping their bags is saving the world. Every day, fiat people wake up and think about legal approaches to avoiding a default on the national debt, with no personal monetary gain.
A vote to hike the debt ceiling is a vote to legitimize the debt ceiling.
This account never gets old. I still click on every single photo of every single place they tweet, and think about going there. https://t.co/7E5j4pIADa
Once again, the monetary community on here that gets the most mockery is the fiat community. Constant bashing of the Fed, the dollar, inflation etc. And instead of self congratulation, sneering, and smarminess, fiat adherents are working to diffuse the debt ceiling crisis. https://t.co/vNu0OIQOLA
@DanielGabbay @a5h1ra "Giving people money" has positive effects on long term outcomes. "Provide financial education" does not.
“The Republicans' refusal to join Democrats in dealing with the nation's debt isn't typical of Congress, and their arguments for why are largely nonsensical.” https://t.co/HykQZiae9J
Pretty clear that were gonna be stuck in an equilibrium where we have to pretend the ineffectiveness of one party is as bad as the maliciousness of the other and I won't spend my life pretending that a stale twix is the same as a tartine lemon tart.
I tried asking questions in a seminar talk the other week and it doesn't work.
@florianederer Weird bc people email me "Professor Baker" and I do a lot of talks.
👇👇🤌👇👇 https://t.co/UMAW4y1zkH
https://t.co/kp4MpKNjcY https://t.co/fAu0FqWLhq
If you are curious but in the dark about “community communication” tools, here’s a helpful thread 👇 https://t.co/IgndBjOwDo
WHY DID NOBODY TELL ME ABOUT SLACK?? Until now I had been living in a medieval ivory tower, bereft of this tremendous technology. Thank you to those who tweeted about it & brought me up to speed! Fab way for students to connect, create community, share ideas & resources.
@TDeryugina Biggest pro: broadening your network.
UPDATE: While debt limit increases are often partisan, closure votes to allow for debt ceiling increases were generally unanimous prior to 2013. In other words, no one used to filibuster a debt limit increase - at least once it was agreed to. https://t.co/bb8ERHEWsd https://t.co/4cSFl9wC0E
@JStein_WaPo Even scoring the bill "as is" rather than as intended (ie don't charge for extensions), there are only ~$3 trillion of offsets and there is probably over ~$4 trillion of spending (@DonFSchneider has tallied closer to $4.5 trillion). Hopefully net cost WILL be $0. But its not now
Actually, DC food is great and reflects the diversity of America. This take is bad. https://t.co/XhpnHw3rzF
Folks, my tenure dossier is due Friday. . . I apologize in advance for all the snippy comments, erratic behavior.
@MarkKoyama Thank you for finding this!
RT @MarkKoyama: The book does indeed contain a mind-bogglingly stupid piece of economics (apparently more durable goods will destroy the ec…
@Mottel So sorry this happened to your son Mottel. Please tell him I’m thinking of him, and grateful he’s helping others perform a mitzvah.
"The problem with the CDU/CSU is that Angela Merkel left its right flank exposed." https://t.co/LWeLkGXeNn https://t.co/7xA3J9HvfC
RT @gema_zamarro: Had a great time at #WomeninQuant get together this afternoon. What a great start of #SREE2021!! 🎉
RT @jialanw: Scott Baker + Constantine Yannelis asked me to help them put out this call for papers on Taxes and Government Lending @ the Jo…
A pretty on point 1990s prediction about the internet. https://t.co/P4hd8bZpKy
I know, right? https://t.co/JFh1ONJDaB
Feeling subversive this morning ;) https://t.co/9mFAQ3JjwS
tfw a multicollinearity problem finally gets solved https://t.co/AePxKENs8k
Check out this awesome article on my paper with Martti Kaila and @krista_ri_ in the @guardian! Full @OIGInstitute working paper found here: https://t.co/x9zI1NvF2g @USCMarshall @USC_Econ https://t.co/qkZNYhZ1vc
Could a solution to debt brake impasse in Germany look like this? Give Lindner finance and let him promise Schwarze null. Establish Green-led off-balance-sheet investment agency. Boost growth -> lo and behold tax revenue flows in. Budget in surplus. Spain/Ireland 2000s but Green!
@m2matthijs @D_Schwarzer Nope. Njet. Nein. Nee, nej. Mais pas du tout. Ni hablar, chati.
RT @tanita_tikaram: Ilse Bing ( 1899 - 1998) ' All of Paris in a Box ' 1952 ♥️ https://t.co/POQ3Po95QC
RT @tysonbarker: German Defense Minister and former CDU chair AKK looks likely to lose her Saarland constituency to SPD Josefine Ortleb #bt…
Thanks for featuring this, @causalinf. I love this closing to the thread. What we're all aiming for in our research. https://t.co/YFmhw9OWZy
@jhaushofer She is notably absent from this excellent line of dog chew toys that look like world leaders. https://t.co/0zCox79JUp
America, the house you already have a mortgage on & the car that you already have a loan on, @LeaderMcConnell is saying debts already established do not need to be paid. Wonder if that applies to all of us or only members of the @GOP who are intentionally trying to tank economy?
What we should have is a generic federal credit program to ensure that state governments can access cheap financing for ideas they consider worthwhile (or just countercyclical stabilization), but where they’re still playing with their own money. https://t.co/eVT6JbLl0M
free Bloomberg terminals at the New York Public Library https://t.co/4TY6f081eA
@conorsen @mattyglesias Honestly the Ds are R2G and Rs are Bahamas coalition
Feels good to be back in Manhattan. It’s been a long time. https://t.co/rHbVEstuTF
CAP is hiring RAs on their Econ Policy. Great place to develop skills, experience, and networking opportunities. #EconTwitter https://t.co/NL4Ozql4Nw
@johnjhorton @KyleCSN I do the whole state really not just the coast. And please don't forget hype films from @hfdathletic .
@johnjhorton @KyleCSN Love that this is my brand.
This take is correct https://t.co/20bsElQPJh
@BrianCAlbrecht @causalinf The man is a walking, tweeting spillover effect
@BrianCAlbrecht @causalinf @causalinf inspired me too. 25lbs lighter as a result!
@ClaireAdida How is this possible??!! Now I understand how we failed to successfully recruit you all those years ago... 😂
RT @kbburchardi: Let’s not forget: 11% of German voters choose the AfD, a party that ran with a program that’s not just racist and ignorant…
A friend gifted me some salmon he caught in Alaska, I added a mushroom risotto and a caprese salad. As I’m cooking, my kids ask, what’s for dinner. My response is always the same, doesn’t matter, you’re not gonna like it. It’s nice to be wrong sometimes. https://t.co/xXMV7QjbzO
In case you were wondering: the people of #Berlin have voted Yes to expropriating large housing firms in the city. 56% | 38% is the current split. Unlikely to change. https://t.co/sARMiryEDp
Frauenwiesofrauen https://t.co/3CggaeBm5f
@mcopelov It’s not just in the US that the mainstream media is unprepared for dealing with right-wing politics and its radicalization. Same in Canada! https://t.co/HnBTg13bvC
@leah_boustan @causalinf I'm also getting into Noom after all the pandemic, break-up, & injury weight. Make-ahead frittata, which gets me through workweek breakfasts, is pretty minor weekend food prep and gets me a jump on veg in the morning.
Switzerland is awesome. https://t.co/Fcw9kI0Wtf
Hated it. One perk of an interdisciplinary work environment is no LaTeX. https://t.co/y03EkgYjnU
It goes. so. fast. https://t.co/oPyy9pvB42
French media warning about political instability in Germany is a bit rich.
(Insert joke about how without seeing Counterfactual Little who taught other classes we can’t know this for sure etc etc)
"We're not gonna back down," declare unvaccinated health care workers - almost all of whom did eventually back down. Seriously, local news, knock this off. https://t.co/MFLDItlVDq https://t.co/zyGDOcpigl
I think major difference is whether the opposing party filibustered - I’m not aware of that happening in the past. Also, something changed in the mid 2010s in how the parties view debt limit. I’ll write more on both tomorrow.
Note - major different from prior debt limit increases is they weren’t (as best I know) filibustered. https://t.co/lSZRCLfnuz
Yay!!!!!!!! Congratulations!! https://t.co/5cuSsI77vz
@leah_boustan Literally the best description of the arba minim that has ever existed
@notanastronomer @nosuchthing @paulanthjones @praddenkeefe I think I'd tried No Such a while ago but forgot it, others are new to me, thanks!
@notanastronomer what podcasts do you like (hopefully something lighhearted)
@daisythenomad Together they look like a student art project https://t.co/VoVOpdLvgI
(also there's 2 more where that came from)
What should I do with this @ryancbriggs https://t.co/OdIiLP9ReF
@hardsci I think Jim Jaccard at NYU is writing a book on SEM but I don't know if it's out yet
@mosenkis @ryancbriggs paint it pink with a black beak, and add a pair of long legs
@levarburton Want to do my podcast while you're here?
@mosenkis Looks like a good prop for a Halloween costume “Gourdzilla” Sorry, I couldn’t help myself 😂
I don't know who needs to hear this, but if you're a professor: * YOU are the one with some power and an income. * YOU bring in the coffee. Or cubic foot of pepperoni. * LEADERS MAKE SURE THEIR PEOPLE HAVE WHAT THEY NEED. * NOT THE OTHER WAY 'ROUND. Be the goodest. Not a POS. https://t.co/gzVuj2cURk
@eser_isler Fuck that person. Who do I need to bite?
Reports suggest a string of CDU heavyweights have failed to win their constituencies: @JuliaKloeckner, @akk, @peteraltmaier, @HBraun. And Merkel's seat has been lost. All will make it into the Bundestag on state lists, but nevertheless a stark sign of the swing against the CDU.
@MESandbu @crampell How much does productivity respond through aggregate demand, through business cash flow, raised expected productivity of investments, learning by doing, & business-model experimentation?
The budget resolution Dems passed last month allows them to add no more than $1.75T to deficits. So bill could theoretically score as costing anywhere from $0 - $1.75T, and still pass the Byrd Rule. In practice seems Manchin would not vote for a bill at high end of that range
as I’ve written, Dems are getting cold feet on some of their own tax hikes (also questionable whether they can fit all their gross costs into $3.5T-sized box). Most likely, even after budget gimmicks, the bill will score as partly but not fully paid for. https://t.co/RXhIwDDnob
It is actually different. TCJA scored as costing $2T *after* accounting for pay-fors (including addit'l econ growth). Dems say their spending/taxcuts bill will add up to $3.5T *before* payfors. Biden says payfors will be at least equivalent ($3.5T), producing net cost of 0. But… https://t.co/BPY1WbR7Mp
Wallace Shawn Emerges As Frontrunner To Replace Daniel Craig As James Bond https://t.co/61luQg3wDI https://t.co/jZrRZ0J20m
@SonnyBunch @EsotericCD The only reason I know about them was the constant barrage of unwanted email newsletters I got from them, and the effort I devoted to blocking them.
How long has this guy been a so-called journalist? And he still doesn't understand how congressional budgeting works? https://t.co/ZR5T3BwusA
Did people start domesticating crops in order to brew alcohol? And has communal 🍺🥂🍷 🍾🥃🍸🍹 been key to camaraderie & collaborative creativity? Zoom may be efficient, but would a massive booze-up stimulate more free thinking? A very funny & fascinating book! https://t.co/QkFHOEY2FY
YES to more Brian Stokes Mitchell. And with Audra too!!! 🙌🙌🙌🙌🙌
this one appears to be from a CPA. Wouldn't recommend taking tax advice from this dude https://t.co/tNAa4QDCEI
i would simply not fire someone based on a 30 second clip posted by the satanic rituals airbnb guy
This tweet isn’t sitting well with me. Don’t come to my city and then insult it - especially one that’s not at all true. How about “does any one know a good restaurant in DC?” instead of “yall - your city sucks”. https://t.co/XhpnHw3rzF
RT @scottlincicome: Very cool: "3-D printed vaccine patch pioneered at UNC could revolutionize how we distribute vaccinations" https://t.co…
RT @AnaCabrera: NEW: Pfizer is ready to ask the FDA for authorization to use its Covid-19 vaccine in children 5-11 “within days,” Pfizer CE…
RT @jmhorp: America, 2021 Rejecting science, private property, and, well, reality. While eating unhealthy food.
RT @MarthasTableorg: Our 2021 Annual Benefit is days away! This year’s event would not be possible without the support of our fantastic spo…
This graph is particularly amazing https://t.co/9l6fnBSK1j
@ryanbedwards @gdemom DEFINITELY get a separate keyboard. ➡️ Flat/slim keyboard = better (i.e. not bulky(*) since that makes you tilt your wrists. Don't fall for the ones that tilt (higher at the back); no good. ➡️ NO NUMPAD (*) Unless you go for split/ergonomic w/ mechanical keys
@ryanbedwards @gdemom I also find touchpads (but not necessarily the built-in ones) the best. And I've tried 3 different ergonomic mice and a trackball. But best solution is (1) mixing it up between more than one option + (2) getting up, stretching shoulders/neck, arms OFTEN
Beim ZDF fehlen nach jüngster Hochrechnung nur noch 5 Sitze für eine (theoretische) Rot-Grün-Rot-Koalition https://t.co/501VSpSXK9
A word you will not find in this @WhiteHouseCEA report on Biden's plan to eliminate carbon emissions: "Tons." Sort of like a report on how to reduce the deficit that never uses the word dollars. https://t.co/hVnx8d7bT5
I’m reading testimonials from people who are so wealthy that they do not need to worry about money. What is that like? I’ve worried about money since I was a child.
With 218/299 constituencies declared, this is what the German map looks like (at least for the first ballot). - SPD have flipped 40 constituencies from the CDU. - AfD have gained 13 from the CDU - Greens have gained 4 from CDU/CSU and 3 from SPD https://t.co/XtTFzh3atb
@mcopelov Taking both your comment and the quoted tweet together, I took the point to be that the Greens were one of the parties this group "rejected" (grouped under "far left and far right"). (Yes, it can be risky to infer too much from quote-tweets.)
@AdamPosen Good FDP overview here: https://t.co/4AOk207yVp. My concern with Lindner/FDP is not alt-right authoritarianism, but disastrous fiscal policy for 🇩🇪 and the 🇪🇺.
@AdamPosen No. Here's how direct candidates self-placed themselves in 2D space (social, economic). FDP aligns w/ CDU (& AfD) on economic policy, but clearly more closely aligned w/ SPD/Greens on social. Classic European "liberal" party & also clearly pro-democracy. https://t.co/D2FN0cU3WE
If, perhaps, it was premature and wrong to condescendingly dismiss the valid concerns of the Vice President of the United States in 2009, given the events of the subsequent 12 years. https://t.co/VPuYxZ6gKR https://t.co/spMaJqLuxy
https://t.co/FjAK7i4XMw https://t.co/rZD59z5H2G
RT @lennybronner: With 218/299 constituencies declared, this is what the German map looks like (at least for the first ballot). - SPD have…
In re: the ebb tide of far left/far right since the Euro crisis: https://t.co/87Lu2JSDzL https://t.co/hTu7WhCQvM
RT @kniggem: 🇩🇪🗳 Telling data point trying to explain worst CDU election result in history: 86% of ex-CDU voters said: “I would have prefe…
RT @mathieuvonrohr: Beim ZDF fehlen nach jüngster Hochrechnung nur noch 5 Sitze für eine (theoretische) Rot-Grün-Rot-Koalition https://t.co…
@laderafrutal Who said they were? That's precisely my point: first time voters rejected both Die Linke and AfD in favor of the four center-left and center-right parties, but especially the FDP and Greens over the SPD and CDU.
Signs you might be a far right authoritarian party (#1203): https://t.co/pb5M0teIRP
RT @tom_nuttall: Reports suggest a string of CDU heavyweights have failed to win their constituencies: @JuliaKloeckner, @akk, @peteraltmaie…
SPD runs solidly across 🇩🇪. Greens and CDU unable to do the same. https://t.co/CQFemH5G2Q
Today in "Nick Foles was never the actual problem" https://t.co/Td8ibpKzVW
First time voters overwhelmingly rejecting both the far left and the far right <and> also not gravitating to the traditional Volksparteien #btw21 https://t.co/l2LZXD69pP
The media totally unprepared for reporting on far right authoritarianism: not just an 🇺🇸 phenomenon. Fortunately, 🇨🇦's political system is far better designed to insulate against the far right gaining power. https://t.co/uYIbUIVN84
No. The reason that "markets" have held up well in the face of Evergrande is that 🇨🇳's real estate/domestic financial markets are not remotely as important as 🇺🇸's for global financial stability. It has little to do with Chinese growth or austerity. https://t.co/ceFw7LcQld https://t.co/n9FEz0gX2E
@tom_nuttall Fragmentation of the old Volksparteien is an important long-term trend, but the short- and medium-term trends partially offset it as well: https://t.co/BId5ak8Evm
The multiple convergent trends in 🇩🇪 politics visible last month played out in the results tonight: https://t.co/Aj3eKde3pe https://t.co/o2XVHlh1wQ
RT @mhallerberg: I find the so-called “elephant round” an important part of German democracy. Two hours after the polls close all party le…
@JemezStargazer @dwnews Why? That's vastly few seats for a far right authoritarian party than in the 🇺🇸 and many, many other democracies. It means that 89.6% of 🇩🇪 voters rejected the far right authoritarianism.
@mcopelov @dwnews I assure you I’m even more horrified by what is going on in the USA & some other places. Germany has actual laws to prevent glorification of their past authoritarians &teaches about the horrors of it.
I’ve said this before, but I’ll say it again: The `scribble` function from xaringanExtra is awesome (h/t to @grrrck for creating it and @jepusto for pointing it out!) https://t.co/5kBCJ9YB6q
57-years ago today ‘Gilligan's Island' premiered on CBS... (and I watched it every day after school for years) https://t.co/pbdaYxX154
I see my mother is now writing copy for the MTA…. https://t.co/nrh1e5GaVg
In 2 words tell me what a trump vaccine rollout would look like. Use the hash in reply: #DemocratsBuildBackBetter
“I want to thank Speaker Pelosi, who was masterful in her leadership on this,” President Biden Don’t listen to the fake media hype about disarray in the Dem caucus. This is called negotiation, and Madam Speaker is the master! #DemocratsBuildBackBetter https://t.co/dTwfajRI19
Over the last 4 1/2 years and especially during this pandemic I have reached out to many members of the GOP in Congress to help amplify health care by recording a video with me to help every American. NOT 1 member said yes! Why? Because #DemocratsBuildBackBetter
Amy Phan West do NOT come for my health care hero, Katie Porter! Rep. Porter is a legend in her own time. https://t.co/P2tsce85FP
@arpitrage @RajaKorman Oh my friend, you don’t know the Germans. Nothing is ever opening fiscal space because too much fiscal space leads directly to Weimar hyperinflation. Or so the political fairy tale goes. You can’t have too many nice things, because then everybody wants nice things.
@JWMason1 Outside of my preferred coalitions
What’s your preferred German coalition? 🟢- Greens 🟡- FDP, business 🔴- SPD, center left ⚫️- CDU/CSU, center right
RT @mattyglesias: I think it was @reihan who first pilled me about this, but @alon_levy’s explanation of why joint federal-state-local fina…
Olaf Scholz and Armin Laschet are both contenders to replace Angela Merkel, although the SPD has a small lead. In a previous tweet, we incorrectly referred to the SPD as being centre-right. Our apologies—we meant centre-left https://t.co/qLn7WC568E
Noticing a pretty strong trend on agent commissions being reduced All 5 offers I’ve sent out in the past month or so no longer have the 3% that was standard as long as I could remember Routinely seeing 2-2.5% now
Things looking up. From https://t.co/LMz1bZwQZ0 https://t.co/iit9gYVu3Q
Two years ago our daughter, now 5, was saved due to a liver transplant from an initially anonymous donor (@ShawnZed). She had Stage 4 Cancer. She is currently cancer free. Please consider being a living donor (the liver grows back) this #ChildhoodCancerAwarenessMonth. https://t.co/qlXb2cNEnm
Three years ago at the 1st AEA 5K I finished last, 37:48 This year, I’ve lost 60 pounds so far. Today, I ran an initial pre-training run of 31:38. goal by race day is to be another 20 pounds lighter, three minutes faster, and not injured. Thanks @causalinf and @dbergstresser https://t.co/tyDcQgzBA2
I feel shame. https://t.co/QF5di0gMoI
A panel of researchers has in fact determined that eating five mini croissants is more healthy than eating just one.
Good evening https://t.co/y0ls93nAtp
@ryanbedwards Stop using mouse/trackpad and do everything in the shell
@crampell Does productivity respond to aggregate demand, and if it does, do notions of output gap, full employment, natural rate of unemployment etc make any sense?
The Yankee fans I follow on this hellsite are way smarter than Aaron Boone. https://t.co/62PxZ291JF
5. I suspect that we don't do this because the word 'problematic' operates so effectively as an INNUENDO-- Or better, an *insinnuendo* Rhetorically, it divides the audience between those who know ALREADY what *our* commitments are (often because they share them)...
8. It suggests that they had better get on-side, and quick -- whether they understand the objection or not. In short: 'problematic' operates as an EXCLUSIONARY RHETORICAL STRATEGY.
7. For those who don't *belong* to this community of judgment for whatever reason and so don't immediately grasp the objection...well: The word 'problematic' conveys that *they themselves* are a PROBLEM!
6. And so are presumptively *IN THE KNOW* about what the speaker finds objectionable. To this audience, 'problematic' indicates where the problem is, but they do not need to be told WHAT it is.
If you think... OMG I can't run a 5K, that was me 1 year ago. But thanks in part to @causalinf being real on here, I joined @noom, got to a happy+healthy weight for me, + ran my first official 5K! Use #AEA5K as a fitness goal + you'll have lots of accountability buddies like me! https://t.co/1Pzt4z5aLj
9. Here, you may say: 'So? We are excluding the RIGHT PEOPLE.' I say: 'How can you be *sure*? Oh ye of little faith--in your students, and in yourself as a teacher!'
@iGrrrl @eser_isler @ms_peaceweaver OOPS! Yes, it is absolutely NOT a student’s obligation. An unfortunate typo.
Great article about @FedericoArdila and how he builds community in his classrooms. https://t.co/ooXKpPueau https://t.co/ZbpCe9tfJY
10. Because exclusionary rhetorical strategies like this are *disastrous* for learning. They encourage a subtle sort of BULLYING in place of mutual justification or understanding. They EXCLUDE, rather than EXPLAIN.
Most long-run estimates of U.S. intergenerational mobility only include white men. What does mobility over the 20th century look like when we include non-whites *and* women? A thread on my new paper with @ikuziemko and @snaidunl https://t.co/ZEDQItNHrp
Ethics is too important to be left to the economists. https://t.co/o7E5urARX9